Offshore
Photo
Alvin
Xiaomi 15 Ultra in all of its four colours. They look gorgeous.
✅️ Black and Silver
✅️ Pine and Green
✅️ Black
✅️ White https://t.co/jwVNafqTFu
tweet
Xiaomi 15 Ultra in all of its four colours. They look gorgeous.
✅️ Black and Silver
✅️ Pine and Green
✅️ Black
✅️ White https://t.co/jwVNafqTFu
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Investing for Beginners Podcast
What sets $TXN apart from other businesses?
The quote below describes $TXN's focus on free cash flow. You can find this in their 10-k. https://t.co/IkJm1ZNQZc
tweet
What sets $TXN apart from other businesses?
The quote below describes $TXN's focus on free cash flow. You can find this in their 10-k. https://t.co/IkJm1ZNQZc
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Representative Byron Donalds has introduced a bill to eliminate the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. https://t.co/7KIljIq4lP
tweet
JUST IN: Representative Byron Donalds has introduced a bill to eliminate the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. https://t.co/7KIljIq4lP
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
A quality valuation analysis on $AMZN 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/OCF Ratio: 15.67x
•10-Year Mean: 23.81x
•NTM FCF Yield: 2.21%
•10-Year Mean: 2.88%
As you can see, $AMZN appears to be slightly undervalued using P/OCF
Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~54% MORE in operating cash flow & ~23% LESS in FCF per share🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $AMZN is a quality business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Equivalents: $101.20B
•Long-Term Debt: $59.72B
$AMZN has an excellent balance sheet, an AA S&P Credit Rating & 48x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL🆗 / ✅
•2020: 11.6%
•2021: 8.9%
•2022: 4.2%
•2023: 10.1%
•2024: 15.5%
RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2020: 27.4%
•2021: 28.8%
•2022: (1.9%)
•2023: 17.5%
•2024: 24.3%
$AMZN has solid return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2019: $280.52B
•2023: $637.96B
•CAGR: 17.85%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2019: $21.65B
•2023: $38.22B
•CAGR: 12.03%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2019: $1.15
•2023: $5.53
•CAGR: 36.90%
SHARE BUYBACKS❌
•2018 Shares Outstanding: 10.08B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 10.72B
MARGINS🆗➡️✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 48.9%
•LTM Operating Margins: 10.8%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 9.3%
*Important for $AMZN to continue expanding margins & increase profitability
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~54% MORE in OCF & ~23% LESS in FCF per share
We're using P/OCF instead of P/E. Historical data reveals a stronger correlation between AMZN's share price and Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
Today, analysts anticipate aggressive OCF (per share) growth between 2025 - 2027:
2025E: $13.65 (26% YoY) *FY Dec
2026E: $16.77 (23% YoY)
2027E: $19.46 (16% YoY)
$AMZN has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $AMZN ends 2027 with $19.46 in OCF per share & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples (photos attached below also include these CAGR estimates):
18x P/OCF: $350.28💵 … ~18.9% CAGR
17x P/OCF: $330.82💵 … ~16.5% CAGR
16x P/OCF: $311.36💵 … ~14.0% CAGR
15x P/OCF: $291.88💵 … ~11.4% CAGR
14x P/OCF: $272.44💵 … ~8.8% CAGR
As you can see, $AMZN appears to have aggressive double-digit CAGR potential if we assume ~15x P/OCF, a multiple below what it’s trading for today (a multiple it hasn’t traded for since 2010) & a multiple that’s justified given its growth rate
Also check out $AMZN FCF growth estimates 📈
2025E: $50.28B (31% YoY)
2026E: $75.14B (49% YoY)
2027E: $109.56B (45% YoY)
AWS & Amazon Ads will continue to drive growth & profitability. In $AMZN FY 2024:
☁️AWS revenue: $107.55B
📈Ads revenue: $56.21B
Combined, these segments generated $163.76B net revenue … with ~37% Operating Income Margin
Today at $214💵 $AMZN appears to be a good consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
Data: TIKR
Graphs: FAST Graphs
___
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.
𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥[...]
A quality valuation analysis on $AMZN 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/OCF Ratio: 15.67x
•10-Year Mean: 23.81x
•NTM FCF Yield: 2.21%
•10-Year Mean: 2.88%
As you can see, $AMZN appears to be slightly undervalued using P/OCF
Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~54% MORE in operating cash flow & ~23% LESS in FCF per share🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $AMZN is a quality business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Equivalents: $101.20B
•Long-Term Debt: $59.72B
$AMZN has an excellent balance sheet, an AA S&P Credit Rating & 48x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL🆗 / ✅
•2020: 11.6%
•2021: 8.9%
•2022: 4.2%
•2023: 10.1%
•2024: 15.5%
RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2020: 27.4%
•2021: 28.8%
•2022: (1.9%)
•2023: 17.5%
•2024: 24.3%
$AMZN has solid return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2019: $280.52B
•2023: $637.96B
•CAGR: 17.85%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2019: $21.65B
•2023: $38.22B
•CAGR: 12.03%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2019: $1.15
•2023: $5.53
•CAGR: 36.90%
SHARE BUYBACKS❌
•2018 Shares Outstanding: 10.08B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 10.72B
MARGINS🆗➡️✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 48.9%
•LTM Operating Margins: 10.8%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 9.3%
*Important for $AMZN to continue expanding margins & increase profitability
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~54% MORE in OCF & ~23% LESS in FCF per share
We're using P/OCF instead of P/E. Historical data reveals a stronger correlation between AMZN's share price and Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
Today, analysts anticipate aggressive OCF (per share) growth between 2025 - 2027:
2025E: $13.65 (26% YoY) *FY Dec
2026E: $16.77 (23% YoY)
2027E: $19.46 (16% YoY)
$AMZN has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $AMZN ends 2027 with $19.46 in OCF per share & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples (photos attached below also include these CAGR estimates):
18x P/OCF: $350.28💵 … ~18.9% CAGR
17x P/OCF: $330.82💵 … ~16.5% CAGR
16x P/OCF: $311.36💵 … ~14.0% CAGR
15x P/OCF: $291.88💵 … ~11.4% CAGR
14x P/OCF: $272.44💵 … ~8.8% CAGR
As you can see, $AMZN appears to have aggressive double-digit CAGR potential if we assume ~15x P/OCF, a multiple below what it’s trading for today (a multiple it hasn’t traded for since 2010) & a multiple that’s justified given its growth rate
Also check out $AMZN FCF growth estimates 📈
2025E: $50.28B (31% YoY)
2026E: $75.14B (49% YoY)
2027E: $109.56B (45% YoY)
AWS & Amazon Ads will continue to drive growth & profitability. In $AMZN FY 2024:
☁️AWS revenue: $107.55B
📈Ads revenue: $56.21B
Combined, these segments generated $163.76B net revenue … with ~37% Operating Income Margin
Today at $214💵 $AMZN appears to be a good consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
Data: TIKR
Graphs: FAST Graphs
___
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.
𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥[...]
Offshore
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital® A quality valuation analysis on $AMZN 🧘🏽♂️ •NTM P/OCF Ratio: 15.67x •10-Year Mean: 23.81x •NTM FCF Yield: 2.21% •10-Year Mean: 2.88% As you can see, $AMZN appears to be slightly undervalued using P/OCF Going forward…
𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
tweet
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Stock Analysis Compilation
Baron Durable Advantage Fund on Welltower Inc. $WELL US
Thesis: Welltower Inc. is well-positioned for robust growth in senior housing, benefiting from favorable demographics, limited supply, and strong management strategies that could double earnings over the next five years.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
tweet
Baron Durable Advantage Fund on Welltower Inc. $WELL US
Thesis: Welltower Inc. is well-positioned for robust growth in senior housing, benefiting from favorable demographics, limited supply, and strong management strategies that could double earnings over the next five years.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
tweet