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โ Hidden Value Gems
Amazing ๐ GraniteShares 3x Long MicroStrategy $LMI3.L is down 64% since the start of 2024 vs $MSTR up 349%.
From @mjmauboussin piece on Probabilities and Payoffs:
"...the reason is that the leverage factor is reset every
day. After days when the stock has gone up, the fund increases its exposure to maintain the three times leverage ratio. And when the stock goes down it reduces its exposure. This โbuy-highโ and โsell-lowโ feature creates the huge gap between the underlying asset and the fund."
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Amazing ๐ GraniteShares 3x Long MicroStrategy $LMI3.L is down 64% since the start of 2024 vs $MSTR up 349%.
From @mjmauboussin piece on Probabilities and Payoffs:
"...the reason is that the leverage factor is reset every
day. After days when the stock has gone up, the fund increases its exposure to maintain the three times leverage ratio. And when the stock goes down it reduces its exposure. This โbuy-highโ and โsell-lowโ feature creates the huge gap between the underlying asset and the fund."
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โ Quiver Quantitative
RT @InsiderRadar: ๐จBREAKING: New CEO Insider Purchase
The CEO of $MITK has just reported purchasing $500k of the company's stock.
This is the first insider purchase we have seen him make since he was appointed as CEO in October.
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RT @InsiderRadar: ๐จBREAKING: New CEO Insider Purchase
The CEO of $MITK has just reported purchasing $500k of the company's stock.
This is the first insider purchase we have seen him make since he was appointed as CEO in October.
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โ Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: A federal judge just blocked the Department of Education and OPM from sharing sensitive data with DOGE, per @kyledcheney. https://t.co/g6orA1LdPX
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BREAKING: A federal judge just blocked the Department of Education and OPM from sharing sensitive data with DOGE, per @kyledcheney. https://t.co/g6orA1LdPX
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โ Investing visuals
Tesla $TSLA is now down -25% since the December peak. Would you buy it at its current price?
Here's a full breakdown of the company ๐ https://t.co/keVlypI4n0
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Tesla $TSLA is now down -25% since the December peak. Would you buy it at its current price?
Here's a full breakdown of the company ๐ https://t.co/keVlypI4n0
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โ Stock Analysis Compilation
Clearbridge Canadian Equity Strategy on MEG Energy $MEG CN
Thesis: MEG Energy is a Canadian oil sands operator focused on sustainable thermal oil production, leveraging advanced technology for efficient and environmentally responsible operations at its Christina Lake Project.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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Clearbridge Canadian Equity Strategy on MEG Energy $MEG CN
Thesis: MEG Energy is a Canadian oil sands operator focused on sustainable thermal oil production, leveraging advanced technology for efficient and environmentally responsible operations at its Christina Lake Project.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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โ Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Jack Schlossberg, JFK's only grandson, has bought Tesla puts. https://t.co/QGf8Umi1Ne
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BREAKING: Jack Schlossberg, JFK's only grandson, has bought Tesla puts. https://t.co/QGf8Umi1Ne
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โ Quiver Quantitative
Palantir stock, $PLTR, has now fallen 22% since Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene bought in earlier this month: https://t.co/DuguO3GgAL
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Palantir stock, $PLTR, has now fallen 22% since Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene bought in earlier this month: https://t.co/DuguO3GgAL
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: Even with MercadoLibre's stock price surging +24% over the past month, its forward multiple tightened by -4%, compressing from 51.30x to 49.13x $MELI https://t.co/MhWAWn6s8e
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RT @DimitryNakhla: Even with MercadoLibre's stock price surging +24% over the past month, its forward multiple tightened by -4%, compressing from 51.30x to 49.13x $MELI https://t.co/MhWAWn6s8e
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @ftr_investors: ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ฎ๐น๐ธ #๐ฐ๐ญ
Name: Aria Radnia @QualityInvest5
Age: 19
Residence/Country: Canada
Invests since: November 2021
๐๐ป๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
Iโm currently a full-time student and also work at FinChat @finchat_io (the worldโs best stock research platform, which you can try for free). I also have prior experience in sales, which has been instrumental in shaping the person I am today. The lessons learned from rejection and the process of perfecting a "pitch" apply universally throughout life and only improve with time.
I first became interested in investing when a close friend pitched me General Motors $GM as an undervalued Peter Lynch-style investment based on a low P/B valuation. Looking back, itโs hilarious to see how far I've come from that style of investing. Like everyone else, I initially started investing to grow my money.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ด๐?
Today, I'd categorize my approach as a concentrated portfolio of quality + growth. I place significant emphasis on owning high-quality, wide-moat businesses but am willing to sacrifice some quality if it means a notable increase in growth. My recent purchase of Uber $UBER is the perfect example of this strategy.
Uber is a strong-moat business that is difficult to compete withโbut not impossible. A 10/10 moat business would be something like $SPGI S&P Global, where the moat is literally protected by regulations and customer incentives. But at the same time, that business may only grow revenues in the mid- to high-single digits annually. Just off a whim, I'd rank $UBER around an 8/10 in terms of moat strength, but with a 30%+ FCF growth profile, that more than makes up for the slightly weaker moat, in my opinion. Of course not every business fits this mold, but in general those are the two things I put the most emphasis on, a wide moat and ideally a business that grows its earnings/FCF around the 15% mark (or higher) for the foreseeable future!
๐๐ผ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐น๐ ๐ต๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ?
Currently, I own seven stocks, but my smallest holding, TransMedics $TMDX, hovers around a 1% positionโnegligible in terms of overall performance, as it's more of a small speculative bet.
๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฑ๐ผ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป?
Technically, every holding (except TransMedics) in my portfolio is a tech company. I'm not concerned about sector concentrationโthat's kind of the goal with this investing style. As long as they have different risk factors (which they do), it's not an issue for me.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐?
$AMZN - Amazon is my highest-conviction bet, purely based on weightingโitโs 30% of my portfolio. AWS alone is a business with potentially decades of runway. Over a very long time horizon, I see nothing that could derail it from achieving above-market returns, making valuation less important the longer you hold.
$ASML - ASML, similar to AWS, has a long runway, and almost nothing can derail it.
$MA - Mastercard has a similar story, but arguably the widest moat of the three.
$UBER - Uber, I actually think will outperform all three of these companies for the more immediate term (the next 3โ5 years).
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป?
Because I've continuously averaged up on my holdings, my total Amazon $AMZN position sits at a 40% gain. But in terms of my most accretive buys, I have shares of Amazon at $106, which translates to a 117% return.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐บ๐ถ๐๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ?
Selling based on short-term concerns, worrying that t[...]
RT @ftr_investors: ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ฎ๐น๐ธ #๐ฐ๐ญ
Name: Aria Radnia @QualityInvest5
Age: 19
Residence/Country: Canada
Invests since: November 2021
๐๐ป๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
Iโm currently a full-time student and also work at FinChat @finchat_io (the worldโs best stock research platform, which you can try for free). I also have prior experience in sales, which has been instrumental in shaping the person I am today. The lessons learned from rejection and the process of perfecting a "pitch" apply universally throughout life and only improve with time.
I first became interested in investing when a close friend pitched me General Motors $GM as an undervalued Peter Lynch-style investment based on a low P/B valuation. Looking back, itโs hilarious to see how far I've come from that style of investing. Like everyone else, I initially started investing to grow my money.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ด๐?
Today, I'd categorize my approach as a concentrated portfolio of quality + growth. I place significant emphasis on owning high-quality, wide-moat businesses but am willing to sacrifice some quality if it means a notable increase in growth. My recent purchase of Uber $UBER is the perfect example of this strategy.
Uber is a strong-moat business that is difficult to compete withโbut not impossible. A 10/10 moat business would be something like $SPGI S&P Global, where the moat is literally protected by regulations and customer incentives. But at the same time, that business may only grow revenues in the mid- to high-single digits annually. Just off a whim, I'd rank $UBER around an 8/10 in terms of moat strength, but with a 30%+ FCF growth profile, that more than makes up for the slightly weaker moat, in my opinion. Of course not every business fits this mold, but in general those are the two things I put the most emphasis on, a wide moat and ideally a business that grows its earnings/FCF around the 15% mark (or higher) for the foreseeable future!
๐๐ผ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐น๐ ๐ต๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ?
Currently, I own seven stocks, but my smallest holding, TransMedics $TMDX, hovers around a 1% positionโnegligible in terms of overall performance, as it's more of a small speculative bet.
๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฑ๐ผ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป?
Technically, every holding (except TransMedics) in my portfolio is a tech company. I'm not concerned about sector concentrationโthat's kind of the goal with this investing style. As long as they have different risk factors (which they do), it's not an issue for me.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐?
$AMZN - Amazon is my highest-conviction bet, purely based on weightingโitโs 30% of my portfolio. AWS alone is a business with potentially decades of runway. Over a very long time horizon, I see nothing that could derail it from achieving above-market returns, making valuation less important the longer you hold.
$ASML - ASML, similar to AWS, has a long runway, and almost nothing can derail it.
$MA - Mastercard has a similar story, but arguably the widest moat of the three.
$UBER - Uber, I actually think will outperform all three of these companies for the more immediate term (the next 3โ5 years).
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ผ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป?
Because I've continuously averaged up on my holdings, my total Amazon $AMZN position sits at a 40% gain. But in terms of my most accretive buys, I have shares of Amazon at $106, which translates to a 117% return.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐บ๐ถ๐๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ?
Selling based on short-term concerns, worrying that t[...]