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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Representative Michael Guest just disclosed a purchase of Tesla stock, made just after the election.

$TSLA has risen 34% since then.

Guest is the Chairman of the House Ethics Committee. https://t.co/ldulE5g10a
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Royce Invest on Cantaloupe $CTLP US

Thesis: Cantaloupe’s bundled SaaS model and innovative solutions position it as a leader in the expanding unattended retail market

(Extract from their article) https://t.co/oKxzZYwVXn
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Startup Archive
Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan’s advice for startups: “When you’re small, act small”

A lot of founders try to emulate large companies, and will do things like use the same terminology as Microsoft to describe their products. But Garry argues this is a mistake:

“When you’re starting something new, the whole advantage is that you’re a real human being. We are so starved for real, authentic connection that if you can talk to people and say ‘Hey, I’m the CEO. What do you need?’ That’s the most powerful thing.”

Being small lets you offer fanatical customer support. Not only will this win customer trust, but it’ll help you find product/market fit. If you listen to customers, they will tell you what they want.

“The reason why people don’t do this is they think starting a startup is building this incredibly complex machinery… But I encourage you to think about it in a different way. It’s more like throwing a really, really amazing party… You go there, you see a friend, they say ‘Welcome! Let me take your coat. Let me introduce you to your friends.’”

For his first startup, Posterous, Garry and his team aimed to reply to every single customer support email within ten minutes. And if there was a bug, they fixed it on the spot.

Human connection with your customers is really important. Garry cites a study on Usenet that found retention increased from 16% to 26% if someone received a reply to their post on the forum.

As Garry explains:

“A 10% difference in retention is actually the difference between a startup that’s flatlining and one that’s working. The compounding of this is really, really massive… Be small. Be human.”

Video source: @ECorner (2013)
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Diamond Hill on Arcos Dorados $ARCO US

Thesis: Arcos Dorados’ dominant McDonald’s franchise in underpenetrated Latin markets offers significant growth potential amid attractive valuations

(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/f3EIULsQLD
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Parnassus on UnitedHeath Group $UNH US

Thesis: UnitedHealth’s leadership in health care, driven by data analytics and secular trends, positions it for near-term growth

(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/nKE11zHurV
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Artisan Partners on Installed Building Products $IBP US

Thesis: Installed Building Products capitalizes on housing completions and geographic expansion, driving growth through insulation services and cross-selling

(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/dE1IPjKflF
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Hidden Value Gems
My favourite 2024 charts by @charliebilello

🧵👇

1⃣ Don't make portfolio changes on headlines

1/7 https://t.co/hMW2AsWHCG
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Desert Lion on Lewis $LEW SJ

Thesis: Lewis’ disciplined capital allocation and robust growth potential make it a compelling opportunity in retail and credit sales

(Extract from their november letter) https://t.co/324Ma379wc
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Startup Archive
Peter Thiel on the question he asks every startup founder he invests in

“Why will the 20th talented person join your company when they can get paid way more at Google, they will have to work way less hard at Google, and it will look better on their resume to go to Google?”

The 20th employee won’t get the equity or prestige that someone on the founding team will get, so there needs to be another incentive if you’re going to build a truly great company and attract the best people in the world.

Thiel believes the best answer is something along the lines of:

“This is the only place in the world where you can work on this incredibly important problem.”

He continues:

“It has to—on some dimension—be a really important problem that at least some people think is the most important problem in the world. Those are the kind of businesses that are unique, and when they work, they end up being leaders in their respective markets.”

If it’s a problem that a bunch of other team are working on, it will be hard to attract a truly world-class employee #20.

Video source: @PandoDaily (2012)
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Diamond Hill on Helios Technologies $HLIO US

Thesis: Helios Technologies is leveraging its diversified portfolio and high-value systems to drive margin and earnings growth in recovering end markets.

(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/wlajVurxQH
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Hedge funds' best ideas #24 is in your inbox 🔥
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Includes links to the Q3 letters from Artisan Partners / Curreen Capital / Diamond Hill / Granular Capital / Latitude IM / Montaka / Orbis / Parnassus / Pender Fund / Pernas Research / Riverwater Partners / Royce Invest / RS Investments / Sohra Peak
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