Offshore
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Investing visuals
$AXON is firing on all cylinders and is up +140% year-to-date. Here's a snapshot of the company: https://t.co/cj5a0yb9LO
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$AXON is firing on all cylinders and is up +140% year-to-date. Here's a snapshot of the company: https://t.co/cj5a0yb9LO
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AkhenOsiris
RT @SaaSletter: 👀👀👀 at the implications of many aspects of this @theinformation article on slowing AI model improvement
Especially the 10x cost per query increase theinformation.com/articles/…
Via @steph_palazzolo @amir @erinkwoo
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RT @SaaSletter: 👀👀👀 at the implications of many aspects of this @theinformation article on slowing AI model improvement
Especially the 10x cost per query increase theinformation.com/articles/…
Via @steph_palazzolo @amir @erinkwoo
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Offshore
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Quiver Quantitative
Dave McCormick just won the PA Senate election.
He was previously the CEO of Bridgewater Associates, a hedge fund founded by Ray Dalio.
We've got data on his portfolio up on Quiver.
His largest stock holding today is a $4M position in Rumble, $RUM, per our estimates. https://t.co/HWQUdGqm0D
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Dave McCormick just won the PA Senate election.
He was previously the CEO of Bridgewater Associates, a hedge fund founded by Ray Dalio.
We've got data on his portfolio up on Quiver.
His largest stock holding today is a $4M position in Rumble, $RUM, per our estimates. https://t.co/HWQUdGqm0D
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Offshore
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Conestoga on Vita Coco $COCO US
Thesis: Vita Coco’s dominant position in the fast-growing coconut water market and expanding global reach provide strong growth opportunities in the beverage industry.
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/HK1demMTm4
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Conestoga on Vita Coco $COCO US
Thesis: Vita Coco’s dominant position in the fast-growing coconut water market and expanding global reach provide strong growth opportunities in the beverage industry.
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/HK1demMTm4
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Quiver Quantitative
UPDATE: JD Vance now has up to $490K in Bitcoin, $BTC
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UPDATE: JD Vance now has up to $490K in Bitcoin, $BTC
BREAKING: JD Vance now has up to $400K in Bitcoin, $BTC.
You can track his portfolio on Quiver. https://t.co/h0BfhEGxjL tweet
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Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Trump has chosen former congressman Lee Zeldin to run the EPA.
We estimate that Zeldin currently has a net worth of less than $800K.
We did not see him trade any stocks while in office. https://t.co/dOJmBJ5kRx
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BREAKING: Trump has chosen former congressman Lee Zeldin to run the EPA.
We estimate that Zeldin currently has a net worth of less than $800K.
We did not see him trade any stocks while in office. https://t.co/dOJmBJ5kRx
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
“ if you don’t feel comfortable owning a stock for 10 years, then don’t own it for 10 minutes.”
— Warren Buffett 🗣️
#stocks #investing
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“ if you don’t feel comfortable owning a stock for 10 years, then don’t own it for 10 minutes.”
— Warren Buffett 🗣️
#stocks #investing
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Less than 4 months ago I stated:
“Today at $254💵 $V appears to be ONE OF THE BEST RISK-REWARD opportunities in today’s market & a strong consideration for investment”
Since then, $V shares rallied +22% ✅ — Also, that was essentially the lowest price that $V traded for moving forward 🎯
As I stated in the post attached below 👇🏽
“As you can see, $V appears to have attractive return potential EVEN if we assume >25x earnings, a multiple well-below its 10-year mean & more importantly — a multiple justified by its growth rate AND quality
I consider $V one of the best businesses in the world & as Warren Buffett says:
“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price”
$V is even trading at a valuation better than just a fair price”
#stocks #investing"
A sober valuation analysis on $V 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/E Ratio: 23.73x
•10-Year Mean: 28.11x
•NTM FCF Yield: 4.20%
•10-Year Mean: 4.08%
As you can see, $V appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~18% MORE in earnings per share & ~3% MORE in FCF per share 🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $V is a super business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Short-Term Inv: $16.64B
•Long-Term Debt: $20.60B
$V has a great balance sheet, an AA- S&P Credit Rating, & 31x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL✅
•2019: 27.5%
•2020: 21.4%
•2021: 24.2%
•2022: 30.7%
•2023: 33.7%
•LTM: 35.7%
RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2019: 35.2%
•2020: 30.7%
•2021: 33.4%
•2022: 40.9%
•2023: 46.5%
•LTM: 48.5%
$V has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2013: $11.78B
•2023: $32.65B
•CAGR: 10.73%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2013: $2.55B
•2023: $19.70B
•CAGR: 22.68%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2013: $1.90
•2023: $8.77
•CAGR: 16.52%
PAID DIVIDENDS✅
•2013: $0.35
•2023: $1.87
•CAGR: 18.24%
SHARE BUYBACKS✅
•2013 Shares Outstanding: 2.62B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 2.03B
By reducing its shares outstanding 22.5%, $V increased its EPS by 29% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINS✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 97.8%
•LTM Operating Margins: 66.9%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 53.9%
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~18% MORE in EPS & ~3% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $V has to grow earnings at an 11.87% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly more than the (11.87%) required growth rate:
2024E: $9.92 (13.1% YoY) *FY Sep
2025E: $11.09 (11.8% YoY)
2026E: $12.57 (13.3% YoY)
$V has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $V ends 2026 with $12.57 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
28x P/E: $351.96💵 … ~16.4% CAGR
27x P/E: $339.39💵 … ~14.5% CAGR
26x P/E: $326.82💵 … ~12.6% CAGR
25x P/E: $314.25💵 … ~10.8% CAGR
As you can see, $V appears to have attractive return potential EVEN if we assume >25x earnings, a multiple well-below its 10-year mean & more importantly — a multiple justified by its growth rate AND quality
I consider $V one of the best businesses in the world & as Warren Buffett says:
“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price”
$V is even trading at a valuation better than just a fair price
Today at $254💵 $V appears to be one of the best risk-reward opportunities in today’s market & a strong consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
___
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧�[...]
Less than 4 months ago I stated:
“Today at $254💵 $V appears to be ONE OF THE BEST RISK-REWARD opportunities in today’s market & a strong consideration for investment”
Since then, $V shares rallied +22% ✅ — Also, that was essentially the lowest price that $V traded for moving forward 🎯
As I stated in the post attached below 👇🏽
“As you can see, $V appears to have attractive return potential EVEN if we assume >25x earnings, a multiple well-below its 10-year mean & more importantly — a multiple justified by its growth rate AND quality
I consider $V one of the best businesses in the world & as Warren Buffett says:
“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price”
$V is even trading at a valuation better than just a fair price”
#stocks #investing"
A sober valuation analysis on $V 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/E Ratio: 23.73x
•10-Year Mean: 28.11x
•NTM FCF Yield: 4.20%
•10-Year Mean: 4.08%
As you can see, $V appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~18% MORE in earnings per share & ~3% MORE in FCF per share 🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $V is a super business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Short-Term Inv: $16.64B
•Long-Term Debt: $20.60B
$V has a great balance sheet, an AA- S&P Credit Rating, & 31x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL✅
•2019: 27.5%
•2020: 21.4%
•2021: 24.2%
•2022: 30.7%
•2023: 33.7%
•LTM: 35.7%
RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2019: 35.2%
•2020: 30.7%
•2021: 33.4%
•2022: 40.9%
•2023: 46.5%
•LTM: 48.5%
$V has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2013: $11.78B
•2023: $32.65B
•CAGR: 10.73%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2013: $2.55B
•2023: $19.70B
•CAGR: 22.68%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2013: $1.90
•2023: $8.77
•CAGR: 16.52%
PAID DIVIDENDS✅
•2013: $0.35
•2023: $1.87
•CAGR: 18.24%
SHARE BUYBACKS✅
•2013 Shares Outstanding: 2.62B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 2.03B
By reducing its shares outstanding 22.5%, $V increased its EPS by 29% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINS✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 97.8%
•LTM Operating Margins: 66.9%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 53.9%
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~18% MORE in EPS & ~3% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $V has to grow earnings at an 11.87% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly more than the (11.87%) required growth rate:
2024E: $9.92 (13.1% YoY) *FY Sep
2025E: $11.09 (11.8% YoY)
2026E: $12.57 (13.3% YoY)
$V has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $V ends 2026 with $12.57 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
28x P/E: $351.96💵 … ~16.4% CAGR
27x P/E: $339.39💵 … ~14.5% CAGR
26x P/E: $326.82💵 … ~12.6% CAGR
25x P/E: $314.25💵 … ~10.8% CAGR
As you can see, $V appears to have attractive return potential EVEN if we assume >25x earnings, a multiple well-below its 10-year mean & more importantly — a multiple justified by its growth rate AND quality
I consider $V one of the best businesses in the world & as Warren Buffett says:
“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price”
$V is even trading at a valuation better than just a fair price
Today at $254💵 $V appears to be one of the best risk-reward opportunities in today’s market & a strong consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
___
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧�[...]