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Stock Analysis Compilation
Alta Fox on Humble Group $HUMBLE SS
Thesis: Humble Group's strong fundamentals and imminent uplisting to Nasdaq Stockholm present a compelling investment opportunity with significant upside potential
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/KkMaK8qDSd
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Alta Fox on Humble Group $HUMBLE SS
Thesis: Humble Group's strong fundamentals and imminent uplisting to Nasdaq Stockholm present a compelling investment opportunity with significant upside potential
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/KkMaK8qDSd
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Hidden Value Gems
I understand why people may be sceptical about Jeremy Grantham who is often too bearish. But it never hurts to hear a different viewpoint.
The three points I agree with:
✅ “Anyone can see that [AI] is a very serious idea, but if it doesn’t have a glorious bubble up front, and then bust, and then regroup, it will be the first such event in history. History says, that’s the pattern.”
✅ “AI is very important, AI is serious… It’ll be with us forever and it will change life in many ways. I am not convinced it makes the market that attractive but at the moment we are in the selling shovel mode where you sell the chips to people who think they probably can use them and they should be seen to be using them and everyone is putting a lot of money into developing AI products.”
✅ “Brilliant new idea does not mean the path is smooth. Brilliant new idea typically means the more brilliant, the more real it is, the more dollars get behind it, the bigger the bubble, the bigger the bust, and then you dig it out and you make your serious progress.”
h/t @Clay_Finck
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I understand why people may be sceptical about Jeremy Grantham who is often too bearish. But it never hurts to hear a different viewpoint.
The three points I agree with:
✅ “Anyone can see that [AI] is a very serious idea, but if it doesn’t have a glorious bubble up front, and then bust, and then regroup, it will be the first such event in history. History says, that’s the pattern.”
✅ “AI is very important, AI is serious… It’ll be with us forever and it will change life in many ways. I am not convinced it makes the market that attractive but at the moment we are in the selling shovel mode where you sell the chips to people who think they probably can use them and they should be seen to be using them and everyone is putting a lot of money into developing AI products.”
✅ “Brilliant new idea does not mean the path is smooth. Brilliant new idea typically means the more brilliant, the more real it is, the more dollars get behind it, the bigger the bubble, the bigger the bust, and then you dig it out and you make your serious progress.”
h/t @Clay_Finck
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Hidden Value Gems
RT @HiddenValueGems: The change in power mix in favour of renewables is driving electricity prices much higher in the US even as demand has been almost flat for the last 15 years. But with the rise of data centres, additional demand could send prices much further.
The biggest beneficiaries seem to be Independent power plants, some of which were previously bankrupt like $VST or $TLN
“PJM Interconnection — an administrator of the US regional grid stretching from the mid-Atlantic to the Midwest — held an auction for supplemental electricity to be delivered in 2025 and 2026. The clearing price was $270 per megawatt-day, nearly 10 times the level set at the last auction two years ago.”
“Talen said its winning commitments in the auction would raise its annual revenue by $670mn, or 40 per cent, with most of that falling to the bottom line as windfall profit.”
via @FT
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RT @HiddenValueGems: The change in power mix in favour of renewables is driving electricity prices much higher in the US even as demand has been almost flat for the last 15 years. But with the rise of data centres, additional demand could send prices much further.
The biggest beneficiaries seem to be Independent power plants, some of which were previously bankrupt like $VST or $TLN
“PJM Interconnection — an administrator of the US regional grid stretching from the mid-Atlantic to the Midwest — held an auction for supplemental electricity to be delivered in 2025 and 2026. The clearing price was $270 per megawatt-day, nearly 10 times the level set at the last auction two years ago.”
“Talen said its winning commitments in the auction would raise its annual revenue by $670mn, or 40 per cent, with most of that falling to the bottom line as windfall profit.”
via @FT
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: 10 Quality Stocks EPS & FCF CAGR >10% Last 10 Years | LTM ROIC >20% | FFO Int Coverage 💵
💳 Visa $V
•EPS CAGR: 16.5%
•FCF CAGR: 22.6%
•LTM ROIC: 35.7%
•FFO Int: 31x
💸 Mastercard $MA
•EPS CAGR: 16.5%
•FCF CAGR: 16.7%
•LTM ROIC: 65.7%
•FFO Int: 20x
💾 Cadence Design $CDNS
•EPS CAGR: 19.6%
•FCF CAGR: 14.6%
•LTM ROIC: 21.4%
•FFO Int: 27x
🚘 Copart $CPRT
•EPS CAGR: 22.2%
•FCF CAGR: 28.5%
•LTM ROIC: 21.7%
•FFO Int: n/a (nominal debt)
📸 Meta Platforms $META
•EPS CAGR: 32.6%
•FCF CAGR: 31.1%
•LTM ROIC: 31.7%
•FFO Int: 148x
🧬 ThermoFisher $TMO
•EPS CAGR: 14.8%
•FCF CAGR: 14.9%
•LTM ROIC: 8.9%
•FFO Int: 6x
🤖 Fortinet $FTNT
•EPS CAGR: 32.2%
•FCF CAGR: 29.2%
•LTM ROIC: 112.6%
•FFO Int: 91x
🖨️ KLA Corp $KLAC
•EPS CAGR: 20.9%
•FCF CAGR: 13.7%
•LTM ROIC: 34.0%
•FFO Int: 10x
🌐 MSCI Inc $MSCI
•EPS CAGR: 20.1%
•FCF CAGR: 15.7%
•LTM ROIC: 36.3%
•FFO Int: 7x
💽 Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM
•EPS CAGR: 15.5%
•FCF CAGR: 16.8%
•LTM ROIC: 21.3%
•FFO Int: 125x
#stocks #investing
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RT @DimitryNakhla: 10 Quality Stocks EPS & FCF CAGR >10% Last 10 Years | LTM ROIC >20% | FFO Int Coverage 💵
💳 Visa $V
•EPS CAGR: 16.5%
•FCF CAGR: 22.6%
•LTM ROIC: 35.7%
•FFO Int: 31x
💸 Mastercard $MA
•EPS CAGR: 16.5%
•FCF CAGR: 16.7%
•LTM ROIC: 65.7%
•FFO Int: 20x
💾 Cadence Design $CDNS
•EPS CAGR: 19.6%
•FCF CAGR: 14.6%
•LTM ROIC: 21.4%
•FFO Int: 27x
🚘 Copart $CPRT
•EPS CAGR: 22.2%
•FCF CAGR: 28.5%
•LTM ROIC: 21.7%
•FFO Int: n/a (nominal debt)
📸 Meta Platforms $META
•EPS CAGR: 32.6%
•FCF CAGR: 31.1%
•LTM ROIC: 31.7%
•FFO Int: 148x
🧬 ThermoFisher $TMO
•EPS CAGR: 14.8%
•FCF CAGR: 14.9%
•LTM ROIC: 8.9%
•FFO Int: 6x
🤖 Fortinet $FTNT
•EPS CAGR: 32.2%
•FCF CAGR: 29.2%
•LTM ROIC: 112.6%
•FFO Int: 91x
🖨️ KLA Corp $KLAC
•EPS CAGR: 20.9%
•FCF CAGR: 13.7%
•LTM ROIC: 34.0%
•FFO Int: 10x
🌐 MSCI Inc $MSCI
•EPS CAGR: 20.1%
•FCF CAGR: 15.7%
•LTM ROIC: 36.3%
•FFO Int: 7x
💽 Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM
•EPS CAGR: 15.5%
•FCF CAGR: 16.8%
•LTM ROIC: 21.3%
•FFO Int: 125x
#stocks #investing
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Finding Compounders
Reinvestment and ROIC are the compliments of new value creation.
Source: Brown Brothers Harriman https://t.co/RGNyzyoSAe
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Reinvestment and ROIC are the compliments of new value creation.
Source: Brown Brothers Harriman https://t.co/RGNyzyoSAe
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Hidden Value Gems
I am aware that "pessimists sound smart and optimists make money". But it still helps to consider all the arguments. Grantham mentioned Hussman's reports. Their latest piece puts current earnings expectations into a historical context, which is quite interesting.
🧵👇
h/t @billhester @hussmanjp
1/6
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I am aware that "pessimists sound smart and optimists make money". But it still helps to consider all the arguments. Grantham mentioned Hussman's reports. Their latest piece puts current earnings expectations into a historical context, which is quite interesting.
🧵👇
h/t @billhester @hussmanjp
1/6
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Hidden Value Gems
RT @HiddenValueGems: At the beginning of 2023, the market estimate for aggregate 2025 “Hyperscaler” Capex was just $154bn. This estimate has increased by 51% to $232bn by now.
At the same time, “revenue revisions for 2025 for these four companies have increased by just 4% (and have actually fallen by 9%
since the start of 2022), meaning that their aggregate capex/sales ratio has increased from 10% in 2023 to an estimated 15% in 2025.”
h/t @Argonautcapital
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RT @HiddenValueGems: At the beginning of 2023, the market estimate for aggregate 2025 “Hyperscaler” Capex was just $154bn. This estimate has increased by 51% to $232bn by now.
At the same time, “revenue revisions for 2025 for these four companies have increased by just 4% (and have actually fallen by 9%
since the start of 2022), meaning that their aggregate capex/sales ratio has increased from 10% in 2023 to an estimated 15% in 2025.”
h/t @Argonautcapital
$MSFT has seen the largest increase in Capex/Sales ratio in the past 10 years (now at 18% compared to 3% in 2014).
$AAPL Capex/Sales has actually declined over the same period (from 3% to 2%). https://t.co/83npeBxqn6 - Hidden Value Gemstweet
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Invest In Assets 📈
This is Walter Schloss.
Schloss achieved a 21.3% CAGR in the stock market from 1956 to 1984.
His bargain-hunting strategy is a must-read for investors.
Let's dive in 🧵👇 https://t.co/mLHvmFE9gV
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This is Walter Schloss.
Schloss achieved a 21.3% CAGR in the stock market from 1956 to 1984.
His bargain-hunting strategy is a must-read for investors.
Let's dive in 🧵👇 https://t.co/mLHvmFE9gV
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Hidden Value Gems
RT @HiddenValueGems: Fairly basic, but still a good reminder of the 5 typical mistakes investors make during increased volatility:
1️⃣ “They panic-sell: someone who stayed invested from 1980 until the end of March 2024 would have a 12% annual return, whereas someone who started at the same time, but sold after downturns and stayed out of the market until two consecutive years of positive returns, would have averaged a 10% return annually.”
via @MorganStanley
1/5
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RT @HiddenValueGems: Fairly basic, but still a good reminder of the 5 typical mistakes investors make during increased volatility:
1️⃣ “They panic-sell: someone who stayed invested from 1980 until the end of March 2024 would have a 12% annual return, whereas someone who started at the same time, but sold after downturns and stayed out of the market until two consecutive years of positive returns, would have averaged a 10% return annually.”
via @MorganStanley
1/5
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Colebrooke Partners on Watches of Switzerland Group $WOSG LN
Thesis: Watches of Switzerland Group's strong ties with Rolex and ambitious growth plans in the US market make it a compelling investment opportunity despite recent market sentiment
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/BcCxTTPPNU
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Colebrooke Partners on Watches of Switzerland Group $WOSG LN
Thesis: Watches of Switzerland Group's strong ties with Rolex and ambitious growth plans in the US market make it a compelling investment opportunity despite recent market sentiment
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/BcCxTTPPNU
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