AkhenOsiris
$CRWD $PANW $ZS $FTNT
Citi sees potential Wiz buyout as positive for Crowdstrike, reports are accurate and Alphabet, Crowdstrike and Palo Alto Networks. The companies can capitalize on "noise" from a lack of vendor neutrality. The potential acquisition of Wiz would be mixed for Zscaler and Check Point and least favorable for SMID-cap players like Fortinet, SentinelOne and Rapid7, adds Citi.
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$CRWD $PANW $ZS $FTNT
Citi sees potential Wiz buyout as positive for Crowdstrike, reports are accurate and Alphabet, Crowdstrike and Palo Alto Networks. The companies can capitalize on "noise" from a lack of vendor neutrality. The potential acquisition of Wiz would be mixed for Zscaler and Check Point and least favorable for SMID-cap players like Fortinet, SentinelOne and Rapid7, adds Citi.
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AkhenOsiris
$ZS Downgraded to Neutral at Mizuho
Mizuho says that while Zscaler remains well positioned within secure access service edge, it is not confident the company can continue to close large, transformative deals at a steady pace, particularly given the macro environment coupled with an increasingly competitive market. In addition, the recent departure of COO Dali Rajic, along with many in sales, adds heightened execution risk, the analyst tells investors in a research note. With the stock having rebounded 31% since reporting fiscal Q3 earnings in late May, Mizuho downgraded the name.
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$ZS Downgraded to Neutral at Mizuho
Mizuho says that while Zscaler remains well positioned within secure access service edge, it is not confident the company can continue to close large, transformative deals at a steady pace, particularly given the macro environment coupled with an increasingly competitive market. In addition, the recent departure of COO Dali Rajic, along with many in sales, adds heightened execution risk, the analyst tells investors in a research note. With the stock having rebounded 31% since reporting fiscal Q3 earnings in late May, Mizuho downgraded the name.
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AkhenOsiris
$SHOP Upgraded to Buy at BofA
BofA says Shopify 'turned a corner,' with a price target of $82, up from $78. Following years of declining margin, the firm believes the company has turned a corner on balanced growth and margin under new CFO Jeff Hoffmeister, the analyst tells investors. The firm forecasts "solid" revenue growth and free cash flow conversion, driven by high single-digit baseline e-commerce growth, steady share gains and disciplined spending, the analyst added.
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$SHOP Upgraded to Buy at BofA
BofA says Shopify 'turned a corner,' with a price target of $82, up from $78. Following years of declining margin, the firm believes the company has turned a corner on balanced growth and margin under new CFO Jeff Hoffmeister, the analyst tells investors. The firm forecasts "solid" revenue growth and free cash flow conversion, driven by high single-digit baseline e-commerce growth, steady share gains and disciplined spending, the analyst added.
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: 10 Investment & Stock Market Quotes ๐๐ญ
1. โInvesting is a business of probabilities, not certainties.โ -Benjamin Graham
2. โThe biggest risk is not taking any risk.โ -Mark Zuckerberg
3. โThe best time to buy is when there's blood in the streets.โ -Baron Rothschild
4. โPrice is what you pay. Value is what you get.โ -Warren Buffett
5. โInvest for the long haul. It's the best way to tame the market's volatility.โ -Peter Lynch
6. โThe stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.โ -Warren Buffett
7. โThe four most dangerous words in investing are: 'This time it's different.'โ -Sir John Templeton
8. โIf you can't bear the thought of losing 50% of your portfolio, then you shouldn't be in the stock market.โ -Mohnish Pabrai
9. โThe most important thing is to understand what you're investing in and why.โ -Nick Sleep
10. โInvesting is not about being brilliant, it's about being consistent.โ -Unknown
#stocks #investing
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RT @DimitryNakhla: 10 Investment & Stock Market Quotes ๐๐ญ
1. โInvesting is a business of probabilities, not certainties.โ -Benjamin Graham
2. โThe biggest risk is not taking any risk.โ -Mark Zuckerberg
3. โThe best time to buy is when there's blood in the streets.โ -Baron Rothschild
4. โPrice is what you pay. Value is what you get.โ -Warren Buffett
5. โInvest for the long haul. It's the best way to tame the market's volatility.โ -Peter Lynch
6. โThe stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.โ -Warren Buffett
7. โThe four most dangerous words in investing are: 'This time it's different.'โ -Sir John Templeton
8. โIf you can't bear the thought of losing 50% of your portfolio, then you shouldn't be in the stock market.โ -Mohnish Pabrai
9. โThe most important thing is to understand what you're investing in and why.โ -Nick Sleep
10. โInvesting is not about being brilliant, it's about being consistent.โ -Unknown
#stocks #investing
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Offshore
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: A sober valuation analysis on $PYPL ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 15.37x
โข5-Year Mean: 31.06x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 10.09%
โข5-Year Mean: 5.08%
As you can see, $PYPL appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~102% MORE in earnings per share & ~98% MORE in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $PYPL is a good business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Short-Term Inv: $14.06B
โขLong-Term Debt: $9.68B
$PYPL has an excellent balance sheet, an A- S&P Credit Rating, & 16.16x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 12.4%
โข2020: 11.5%
โข2021: 13.6%
โข2022: 12.7%
โข2023: 14.8%
โขLTM: 15.7%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 15.2%
โข2020: 22.7%
โข2021: 20.0%
โข2022: 11.5%
โข2023: 20.5%
โขLTM: 21.4%
$PYPL has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2018: $15.45B
โข2023: $29.77B
โขCAGR: 14.01%
FREE CASH FLOWโ*
โข2018: $4.66B
โข2023: $4.22B
โขDecrease: (9.44%)
*FCF in 2017 was $1.86B, so FCF rose ~150% in 2018 start date (โnormalizingโ the decline above)
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2018: $2.42
โข2023: $5.10
โขCAGR: 16.07%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2015 Shares Outstanding: 1.23B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 1.09B
By reducing its shares outstanding by 11.3%, $PYPL increased its EPS by 12.7% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 39.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 16.7%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 14.3%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~102% MORE in EPS & ~98% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $PYPL has to grow earnings at a 7.69% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly below the (7.69%) required growth rate:
2024E: $4.12 (-19.1% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.56 (10.6% YoY)
2026E: $5.00 (9.7% YoY)
$PYPL has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโs assume $PYPL ends 2026 with $5.00 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
18x P/E: $90.00๐ต โฆ ~17.00% CAGR
17x P/E: $85.00๐ต โฆ ~14.4% CAGR
16x P/E: $80.00๐ต โฆ ~11.7% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >16 earnings & aggressive return potential if we assume >18x earnings
The ๐ isn't a mean reversion in $PYPL's multiple, but a modest increase (still below its historical average) - a reasonable and safe assumption
Thereโs still a ton of negative sentiment around $PYPL and this sentiment can be flipped in just a few quarters if management continues to make progress towards its goals
I believe they will โ however, investors concerned with the โturnaround risksโ associated with $PYPL can still benefit by allocating a smaller % to $PYPL
Today at $66๐ต $PYPL appears to be a strong consideration for investment (albeit, with some turnaround risks & competitive risks)
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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RT @DimitryNakhla: A sober valuation analysis on $PYPL ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 15.37x
โข5-Year Mean: 31.06x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 10.09%
โข5-Year Mean: 5.08%
As you can see, $PYPL appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~102% MORE in earnings per share & ~98% MORE in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $PYPL is a good business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Short-Term Inv: $14.06B
โขLong-Term Debt: $9.68B
$PYPL has an excellent balance sheet, an A- S&P Credit Rating, & 16.16x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 12.4%
โข2020: 11.5%
โข2021: 13.6%
โข2022: 12.7%
โข2023: 14.8%
โขLTM: 15.7%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 15.2%
โข2020: 22.7%
โข2021: 20.0%
โข2022: 11.5%
โข2023: 20.5%
โขLTM: 21.4%
$PYPL has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2018: $15.45B
โข2023: $29.77B
โขCAGR: 14.01%
FREE CASH FLOWโ*
โข2018: $4.66B
โข2023: $4.22B
โขDecrease: (9.44%)
*FCF in 2017 was $1.86B, so FCF rose ~150% in 2018 start date (โnormalizingโ the decline above)
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2018: $2.42
โข2023: $5.10
โขCAGR: 16.07%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2015 Shares Outstanding: 1.23B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 1.09B
By reducing its shares outstanding by 11.3%, $PYPL increased its EPS by 12.7% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 39.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 16.7%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 14.3%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~102% MORE in EPS & ~98% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $PYPL has to grow earnings at a 7.69% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly below the (7.69%) required growth rate:
2024E: $4.12 (-19.1% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.56 (10.6% YoY)
2026E: $5.00 (9.7% YoY)
$PYPL has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโs assume $PYPL ends 2026 with $5.00 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
18x P/E: $90.00๐ต โฆ ~17.00% CAGR
17x P/E: $85.00๐ต โฆ ~14.4% CAGR
16x P/E: $80.00๐ต โฆ ~11.7% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >16 earnings & aggressive return potential if we assume >18x earnings
The ๐ isn't a mean reversion in $PYPL's multiple, but a modest increase (still below its historical average) - a reasonable and safe assumption
Thereโs still a ton of negative sentiment around $PYPL and this sentiment can be flipped in just a few quarters if management continues to make progress towards its goals
I believe they will โ however, investors concerned with the โturnaround risksโ associated with $PYPL can still benefit by allocating a smaller % to $PYPL
Today at $66๐ต $PYPL appears to be a strong consideration for investment (albeit, with some turnaround risks & competitive risks)
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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Offshore
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
One month ago I shared my analysis on $UNH suggesting it was substantially undervalued at $489๐ต
Since that post, $UNH is now trading ~12% higher ๐ธ
As I stated in my analysis:
โToday, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (8.72%) required growth rate:
2024E: $27.71 (10.3% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $30.97 (11.8% YoY)
2026E: $34.97 (12.9% YoY)
$UNH has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $UNH ends 2026 with $34.97 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
19x P/E: $664.43๐ต โฆ ~14.5% CAGR
18x P/E: $629.46๐ต โฆ ~12.1% CAGR
17x P/E: $594.49๐ต โฆ ~9.7% CAGR
As you can see, $UNH appears to have attractive return potential even if we assume 18x earnings (a multiple below both its 5-year & 10-year mean)
Thatโs a solid rate of return for an excellent capital allocator & wide-moat recession-proof business like $UNH
Today at $489๐ต $UNH appears to be a good consideration for investment โ
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ."
A sober valuation analysis on $UNH ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 17.44x
โข5-Year Mean: 19.73x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 5.79%
โข5-Year Mean: 5.82%
As you can see, $UNH appears to be trading slightly below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~13% MORE in earnings per share & ~1% LESS in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $UNH is a great business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Total Inv: $78.61B
โขLong-Term Debt: $63.85B
$UNH has a strong balance sheet, an A+ S&P Credit Rating & 4.16x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 18.6%
โข2020: 19.1%
โข2021: 19.1%
โข2022: 19.4%
โข2023: 19.1%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 24.1%
โข2020: 23.8%
โข2021: 24.1%
โข2022: 25.4%
โข2023: 25.0%
$UNH has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2013: $122.49B
โข2023: $371.62B
โขCAGR: 11.73%
FREE CASH FLOWโ
โข2013: $5.68B
โข2023: $25.68B
โขCAGR: 16.28%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2013: $5.50
โข2023: $25.12
โขCAGR: 16.40%
PAID DIVIDENDSโ
โข2013: $1.05
โข2023: $7.29
โขCAGR: 21.38%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2013 Shares Outstanding: 1.02B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 0.93B
By reducing its shares outstanding ~8.8%, $UNH increased its EPS by ~9.6% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 14.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 8.5%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 4.0%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~13% MORE in EPS & ~1% LESS in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $UNH has to grow earnings at a 8.72% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (8.72%) required growt[...]
One month ago I shared my analysis on $UNH suggesting it was substantially undervalued at $489๐ต
Since that post, $UNH is now trading ~12% higher ๐ธ
As I stated in my analysis:
โToday, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (8.72%) required growth rate:
2024E: $27.71 (10.3% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $30.97 (11.8% YoY)
2026E: $34.97 (12.9% YoY)
$UNH has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $UNH ends 2026 with $34.97 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
19x P/E: $664.43๐ต โฆ ~14.5% CAGR
18x P/E: $629.46๐ต โฆ ~12.1% CAGR
17x P/E: $594.49๐ต โฆ ~9.7% CAGR
As you can see, $UNH appears to have attractive return potential even if we assume 18x earnings (a multiple below both its 5-year & 10-year mean)
Thatโs a solid rate of return for an excellent capital allocator & wide-moat recession-proof business like $UNH
Today at $489๐ต $UNH appears to be a good consideration for investment โ
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ."
A sober valuation analysis on $UNH ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 17.44x
โข5-Year Mean: 19.73x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 5.79%
โข5-Year Mean: 5.82%
As you can see, $UNH appears to be trading slightly below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~13% MORE in earnings per share & ~1% LESS in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $UNH is a great business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Total Inv: $78.61B
โขLong-Term Debt: $63.85B
$UNH has a strong balance sheet, an A+ S&P Credit Rating & 4.16x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 18.6%
โข2020: 19.1%
โข2021: 19.1%
โข2022: 19.4%
โข2023: 19.1%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 24.1%
โข2020: 23.8%
โข2021: 24.1%
โข2022: 25.4%
โข2023: 25.0%
$UNH has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2013: $122.49B
โข2023: $371.62B
โขCAGR: 11.73%
FREE CASH FLOWโ
โข2013: $5.68B
โข2023: $25.68B
โขCAGR: 16.28%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2013: $5.50
โข2023: $25.12
โขCAGR: 16.40%
PAID DIVIDENDSโ
โข2013: $1.05
โข2023: $7.29
โขCAGR: 21.38%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2013 Shares Outstanding: 1.02B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 0.93B
By reducing its shares outstanding ~8.8%, $UNH increased its EPS by ~9.6% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 14.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 8.5%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 4.0%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~13% MORE in EPS & ~1% LESS in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $UNH has to grow earnings at a 8.72% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (8.72%) required growt[...]
Offshore
โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ One month ago I shared my analysis on $UNH suggesting it was substantially undervalued at $489๐ต Since that post, $UNH is now trading ~12% higher ๐ธ As I stated in my analysis: โToday, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPSโฆ
h rate:
2024E: $27.71 (10.3% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $30.97 (11.8% YoY)
2026E: $34.97 (12.9% YoY)
$UNH has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $UNH ends 2026 with $34.97 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
19x P/E: $664.43๐ต โฆ ~14.5% CAGR
18x P/E: $629.46๐ต โฆ ~12.1% CAGR
17x P/E: $594.49๐ต โฆ ~9.7% CAGR
As you can see, $UNH appears to have attractive return potential even if we assume 18x earnings (a multiple below both its 5-year & 10-year mean)
Thatโs a solid rate of return for an excellent capital allocator & wide-moat recession-proof business like $UNH
Today at $489๐ต $UNH appears to be a good consideration for investment
However, keep in mind how volatile $UNH (and all health insurers) can get amid regulatory & political risks
Those considering $UNH would be wise to piece into the position, leaving room for additional purchases if $UNH continues to trade down to an even more attractive valuation
E.g. 1/3 of the purchase at $489๐ต, another 1/3 at $440๐ต, & 1/3 at $390๐ต
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ. "- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
tweet
2024E: $27.71 (10.3% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $30.97 (11.8% YoY)
2026E: $34.97 (12.9% YoY)
$UNH has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $UNH ends 2026 with $34.97 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
19x P/E: $664.43๐ต โฆ ~14.5% CAGR
18x P/E: $629.46๐ต โฆ ~12.1% CAGR
17x P/E: $594.49๐ต โฆ ~9.7% CAGR
As you can see, $UNH appears to have attractive return potential even if we assume 18x earnings (a multiple below both its 5-year & 10-year mean)
Thatโs a solid rate of return for an excellent capital allocator & wide-moat recession-proof business like $UNH
Today at $489๐ต $UNH appears to be a good consideration for investment
However, keep in mind how volatile $UNH (and all health insurers) can get amid regulatory & political risks
Those considering $UNH would be wise to piece into the position, leaving room for additional purchases if $UNH continues to trade down to an even more attractive valuation
E.g. 1/3 of the purchase at $489๐ต, another 1/3 at $440๐ต, & 1/3 at $390๐ต
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ. "- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
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AkhenOsiris
Trump on Big Tech:
Bloomberg Businessweek: During his presidency and afterward, Trump frequently took aim at the US tech industry. For much of that time, Twitter (now X) was his platform of choice for venting displeasure with companies such as Facebook, Google and Twitter itself, pre-Elon Musk. In 2020 he signed an executive order reducing legal protections for social media platforms under Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act of 1996. And his government launched antitrust probes into Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Googleโactions carried on and expanded under Biden.
Trumpโs attacks on Big Tech have never been ironclad statements of policy or principle, exactly. Not unlike his tariff proposals, theyโve served at least as much as leverage playsโhis staking out negotiating positions that companies and CEOs must respond to. The central complaint he and Republicans used to make was that tech companies were biased against conservativesโshadow-banning them, deplatforming them and (allegedly) suppressing right-leaning sources in search results. Today, Trumpโs focus is on a more broadly appealing charge: that out-of-control tech companies are harming childrenโto the point, even, of causing a nationwide epidemic of suicides. โThey have become too big, too powerful,โ he argues. โTheyโre having a huge negative impact on, especially, young people.โ
This position may stem from Trumpโs understanding of how televised drama can shape public opinion. In February, during a Senate hearing of tech executives, Zuckerberg was effectively bullied into apologizing to families in the audience who said social media abuse had driven their children to suicide. It was an arresting moment, and Trump has harnessed the charge for his campaign. โI donโt want them destroying our youth,โ he says of the social media companies. โYou see what theyโre doingโincluding, even, suicides.โ
โIf you donโt have TikTok, you have Facebook and Instagramโand thatโs, you know, thatโs Zuckerbergโ
Moments later, however, heโs defending many of these same platforms as vital bulwarks against Chinese technological supremacy. Trump wants to personally dominate the US companies, but he doesnโt want foreign competitors replacing them. โI respect them greatly,โ he insists of the companies he was just bashing. โIf you go after them very violently, you can destroy them. I donโt want to destroy them.โ
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Trump on Big Tech:
Bloomberg Businessweek: During his presidency and afterward, Trump frequently took aim at the US tech industry. For much of that time, Twitter (now X) was his platform of choice for venting displeasure with companies such as Facebook, Google and Twitter itself, pre-Elon Musk. In 2020 he signed an executive order reducing legal protections for social media platforms under Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act of 1996. And his government launched antitrust probes into Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Googleโactions carried on and expanded under Biden.
Trumpโs attacks on Big Tech have never been ironclad statements of policy or principle, exactly. Not unlike his tariff proposals, theyโve served at least as much as leverage playsโhis staking out negotiating positions that companies and CEOs must respond to. The central complaint he and Republicans used to make was that tech companies were biased against conservativesโshadow-banning them, deplatforming them and (allegedly) suppressing right-leaning sources in search results. Today, Trumpโs focus is on a more broadly appealing charge: that out-of-control tech companies are harming childrenโto the point, even, of causing a nationwide epidemic of suicides. โThey have become too big, too powerful,โ he argues. โTheyโre having a huge negative impact on, especially, young people.โ
This position may stem from Trumpโs understanding of how televised drama can shape public opinion. In February, during a Senate hearing of tech executives, Zuckerberg was effectively bullied into apologizing to families in the audience who said social media abuse had driven their children to suicide. It was an arresting moment, and Trump has harnessed the charge for his campaign. โI donโt want them destroying our youth,โ he says of the social media companies. โYou see what theyโre doingโincluding, even, suicides.โ
โIf you donโt have TikTok, you have Facebook and Instagramโand thatโs, you know, thatโs Zuckerbergโ
Moments later, however, heโs defending many of these same platforms as vital bulwarks against Chinese technological supremacy. Trump wants to personally dominate the US companies, but he doesnโt want foreign competitors replacing them. โI respect them greatly,โ he insists of the companies he was just bashing. โIf you go after them very violently, you can destroy them. I donโt want to destroy them.โ
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: 10 Quality Stocks That Consistently Achieved ROIC >20% ANNUALLY For The Last 10 Years ๐ธ
๐ Copart $CPRT
โขNTM P/E: 34.23x
โข5-Year Mean: 32.22x
๐ฝ Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM
โขNTM P/E: 24.58x
โข5-Year Mean: 21.25x
๐๐ผโโ๏ธ Pool Corp $POOL
โขNTM P/E: 26.42x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.54x
๐ณ Mastercard $MA
โขNTM P/E: 30.45x
โข5-Year Mean: 35.36x
๐ข NVR Inc $NVR
โขNTM P/E: 15.46x
โข5-Year Mean: 14.50x
๐ Old Dominion Freight Line $ODFL
โขNTM P/E: 27.34x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.82x
๐ฐ Automatic Data Processing $ADP
โขNTM P/E: 25.53x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.11x
๐ Apple $AAPL
โขNTM P/E: 28.51x
โข5-Year Mean: 25.80x
๐ฉ Fastenal $FAST
โขNTM P/E: 30.63x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.05x
๐ฉณ Lululemon $LULU
โขNTM P/E: 22.08x
โข5-Year Mean: 42.17x
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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RT @DimitryNakhla: 10 Quality Stocks That Consistently Achieved ROIC >20% ANNUALLY For The Last 10 Years ๐ธ
๐ Copart $CPRT
โขNTM P/E: 34.23x
โข5-Year Mean: 32.22x
๐ฝ Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM
โขNTM P/E: 24.58x
โข5-Year Mean: 21.25x
๐๐ผโโ๏ธ Pool Corp $POOL
โขNTM P/E: 26.42x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.54x
๐ณ Mastercard $MA
โขNTM P/E: 30.45x
โข5-Year Mean: 35.36x
๐ข NVR Inc $NVR
โขNTM P/E: 15.46x
โข5-Year Mean: 14.50x
๐ Old Dominion Freight Line $ODFL
โขNTM P/E: 27.34x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.82x
๐ฐ Automatic Data Processing $ADP
โขNTM P/E: 25.53x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.11x
๐ Apple $AAPL
โขNTM P/E: 28.51x
โข5-Year Mean: 25.80x
๐ฉ Fastenal $FAST
โขNTM P/E: 30.63x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.05x
๐ฉณ Lululemon $LULU
โขNTM P/E: 22.08x
โข5-Year Mean: 42.17x
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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