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The Long Investor
The medal for outstanding contribution to stock picking.
The vision, the execution, the inside knowledge, the psychology to hold, a real trail blazer.
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The medal for outstanding contribution to stock picking.
The vision, the execution, the inside knowledge, the psychology to hold, a real trail blazer.
Biden has awarded the Medal of Freedom to Nancy Pelosi.
The Pelosi portfolio is nearly at an all time high, up 84%. https://t.co/p6VPsT30fX - unusual_whalestweet
Offshore
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The Long Investor
100% correlation between a share price and its Revenue and its Free Cash Flow
$AMZN https://t.co/lDYEH7ZrKE
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100% correlation between a share price and its Revenue and its Free Cash Flow
$AMZN https://t.co/lDYEH7ZrKE
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Offshore
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The Long Investor
$PLTR this is why you buy and hold $PLTR for long term https://t.co/Fy5DBLKw7Y
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$PLTR this is why you buy and hold $PLTR for long term https://t.co/Fy5DBLKw7Y
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Brandon Beylo
“He’s not broke, he’s just early in the commodity super cycle.” https://t.co/MQLoLfBwW3
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“He’s not broke, he’s just early in the commodity super cycle.” https://t.co/MQLoLfBwW3
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AkhenOsiris
RT @ScroogeCap: WFC brings out an interesting point today and this is massive. Bullets below:
1. Taiwan's April 2024 exports of Automated Data Processing Machines (servers) were $8.218 billion, +298% YoY.
2. This is down from March 2024's $8.715 billion (+465% YoY), suggesting an inflection which many reports have tied to the shipments of #AI servers.
3. Q1 2024 exports for these machines totaled $19.647 billion, +336% YoY and +23.5% QoQ.
4. Exports for the 3 months ending April 2024 (potentially tied to NVDA F1Q25) were $22.240 billion, +363% YoY and +33% QoQ.
5. Historically, this data correlates highly (R² = 0.98) with Nvidia's Datacenter revenue.
6. Based on this correlation, $NVDA DC revenue could be $25B+ vs. your estimate of $20.6B (Street: $21.1B).
7. $TSM also has revenues up 60% YoY, don't see that often.
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RT @ScroogeCap: WFC brings out an interesting point today and this is massive. Bullets below:
1. Taiwan's April 2024 exports of Automated Data Processing Machines (servers) were $8.218 billion, +298% YoY.
2. This is down from March 2024's $8.715 billion (+465% YoY), suggesting an inflection which many reports have tied to the shipments of #AI servers.
3. Q1 2024 exports for these machines totaled $19.647 billion, +336% YoY and +23.5% QoQ.
4. Exports for the 3 months ending April 2024 (potentially tied to NVDA F1Q25) were $22.240 billion, +363% YoY and +33% QoQ.
5. Historically, this data correlates highly (R² = 0.98) with Nvidia's Datacenter revenue.
6. Based on this correlation, $NVDA DC revenue could be $25B+ vs. your estimate of $20.6B (Street: $21.1B).
7. $TSM also has revenues up 60% YoY, don't see that often.
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The Long Investor
CPI out on Wednesday and it will be an important one.
If it comes in Hot, the market will likely behave as it did when it came in Hot in the middle of April and decline hard
If it comes in cooler than expected, then the Fed has an easier job and can expect to rate cut, either during the summer or before the elections in Nov….the market can make one more leg up in this scenario, how much? Unlikely anything more than 5-10%.
The correction happens in both scenarios and it is healthy and needed.
It is either happening this month or when the Fed Rate Cuts, which is a signal the economy is cooling down which has been evident already from this earnings season.
I hold a lot of my positions but have been building to my cash reserves and safe havens during this time.
I recommend doing the same
$SPY $QQQ
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CPI out on Wednesday and it will be an important one.
If it comes in Hot, the market will likely behave as it did when it came in Hot in the middle of April and decline hard
If it comes in cooler than expected, then the Fed has an easier job and can expect to rate cut, either during the summer or before the elections in Nov….the market can make one more leg up in this scenario, how much? Unlikely anything more than 5-10%.
The correction happens in both scenarios and it is healthy and needed.
It is either happening this month or when the Fed Rate Cuts, which is a signal the economy is cooling down which has been evident already from this earnings season.
I hold a lot of my positions but have been building to my cash reserves and safe havens during this time.
I recommend doing the same
$SPY $QQQ
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Offshore
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Giuliano
Taking notes on how much time I actually spend writing.
I'm working on something to help you build the habit. I believe writing is incredibly useful. https://t.co/pepHqyFiVD
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Taking notes on how much time I actually spend writing.
I'm working on something to help you build the habit. I believe writing is incredibly useful. https://t.co/pepHqyFiVD
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