Offshore
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๎จ Q-Cap ๎จ
World Map PE Ratios Excluding USA
The amount of low PE stocks is stunning. https://t.co/ylj71whPrz
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World Map PE Ratios Excluding USA
The amount of low PE stocks is stunning. https://t.co/ylj71whPrz
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Offshore
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Brandon Beylo
My Coal Twitter friends will like this chart.
Coal ETF $COAL forming an inverse H&S basing pattern.
Interesting potential setup here.
What say you @mfwarder? https://t.co/2yq3NF0KHG
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My Coal Twitter friends will like this chart.
Coal ETF $COAL forming an inverse H&S basing pattern.
Interesting potential setup here.
What say you @mfwarder? https://t.co/2yq3NF0KHG
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The Long Investor
RT @JD28438566: @TheLongInvest Long live ,
The Long Investor !!
๐ ๐ ๐๐ป
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RT @JD28438566: @TheLongInvest Long live ,
The Long Investor !!
๐ ๐ ๐๐ป
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Brandon Beylo
Rafael Nadal has always played every match like it's his last.
But now, he's celebrating every victory like it's his last.
That is how you know he knows.
Grateful we get to watch him for as long as we still can.
#mutuamadridopen
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Rafael Nadal has always played every match like it's his last.
But now, he's celebrating every victory like it's his last.
That is how you know he knows.
Grateful we get to watch him for as long as we still can.
#mutuamadridopen
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Brandon Beylo
Imagine what would happen to copper prices if the supply deficit expanded to 30% by the end of the decade.
All the easy copper has been mined.
What's left is more expensive, with greater regulatory burdens, and without enough labor to mine it.
Higher prices are inevitable. https://t.co/TMeSyezJNS
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Imagine what would happen to copper prices if the supply deficit expanded to 30% by the end of the decade.
All the easy copper has been mined.
What's left is more expensive, with greater regulatory burdens, and without enough labor to mine it.
Higher prices are inevitable. https://t.co/TMeSyezJNS
tweet
The Long Investor
RT @JamieMcullough: So let me get this straight. $BIDU a $38B company by market cap has increased $TSLA โs market cap by $60B with their self driving technology?
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RT @JamieMcullough: So let me get this straight. $BIDU a $38B company by market cap has increased $TSLA โs market cap by $60B with their self driving technology?
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Offshore
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Antonio Linares
With $TSLA FSD approved in China, we are getting close to this vision https://t.co/275RW14Q03
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With $TSLA FSD approved in China, we are getting close to this vision https://t.co/275RW14Q03
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Brandon Beylo
Got uranium $U.UN?
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Got uranium $U.UN?
A US official suggests reopening shuttered nuclear power plants in bid to fight climate change https://t.co/xEXxx6FyPj - Bloombergtweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Bloomberg (@business) on X
A US official suggests reopening shuttered nuclear power plants in bid to fight climate change https://t.co/xEXxx6FyPj
Offshore
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Clark Square Capital
Finally, L'Occitane gets an offer from the Chairman at HKD 34 per share.
The Chairman needs 90% approval from disinterested parties. So far, they've only locked up 38%.
Will we see a deal bump to get this through?
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Finally, L'Occitane gets an offer from the Chairman at HKD 34 per share.
The Chairman needs 90% approval from disinterested parties. So far, they've only locked up 38%.
Will we see a deal bump to get this through?
L'Occitane International S.A. $973.HK is a leading global beauty and personal care (BPC) player at ~10x FY25 earnings, growing at a mid-teens plus rate over the next few years.
Below is the summary thesis (link in the next tweet, open to all). Comments appreciated. https://t.co/IYa1H0HlPB - Clark Square Capitaltweet
Offshore
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: 3 months ago I shared my analysis on $RMD suggesting it was undervalued & a good consideration at $174๐ต
Since that post, $RMD is now trading ~25% higher
As I stated in my analysis:
โAs you can see, weโd have to assume at least 25x earnings for $RMD to have attractive CAGR potential
This is well below $RMD 10-Year average multiple of 28.96x
Yet, I believe the 10-Year multiple is elevated and we shouldnโt rely on it
Given its quality & historical growth rates, I believe itโs reasonable for $RMD to trade somewhere in between 25x - 27x, making it a fair purchase today at $174๐ตโ
#stocks #investing
___
Not every business that could be undervalued will react this way shortly after its share price trades at an attractive range
And if youโre a long-term investor โ what happens over the course of 3 weeks, 3 months, or even 3 years shouldnโt really matter ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
Looking back at these short-term increases, HOWEVER, reinforces & strengthens the conviction an investor can have when relying on fundamental analysis ๐ฏ
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ."
A sober valuation analysis on $RMD ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 23.57x
โข10-Year Mean: 28.96x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 4.29%
โข10-Year Mean: 3.46%
As you can see, $RMD appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~23% MORE in earnings per share & ~24% MORE in FCF per share๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $RMD is a quality business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Equivalents: $220.92M
โขTotal Debt: $1.35B
$RMD has a good balance sheet & 16x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2018: 23.8%
โข2019: 19.0%
โข2020: 21.2%
โข2021: 24.9%
โข2022: 23.4%
โข2033: 19.9%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2018: 15.7%
โข2019: 19.6%
โข2020: 27.2%
โข2021: 17.6%
โข2022: 25.0%
โข2023: 24.9%
$RMD has excellent return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2013: $1.51B
โข2023: $4.22B
โขCAGR: 10.82%
FREE CASH FLOWโ * (LTM $814.27M)
โข2013: $339.24M
โข2023: $573.63M
โขCAGR: 5.39%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2013: $2.27
โข2023: $6.44
โขCAGR: 10.99%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2013 Shares Outstanding: 146.42M
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 147.54M
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 56.0%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 26.6%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 20.7%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~23% MORE in EPS & ~24% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $RMD has to grow earnings at a! 11.79% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly less than the (11.79%) required growth rate:
2024E: $7.21 (12.0% YoY) *FY Jun
2025E: $7.94 (10.1% YoY)
2026E: $8.70 (9.7% YoY)
$RMD has a solid track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $RMD ends 2026 with $8.70 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
27x P/E: $234.90๐ต [...]
RT @DimitryNakhla: 3 months ago I shared my analysis on $RMD suggesting it was undervalued & a good consideration at $174๐ต
Since that post, $RMD is now trading ~25% higher
As I stated in my analysis:
โAs you can see, weโd have to assume at least 25x earnings for $RMD to have attractive CAGR potential
This is well below $RMD 10-Year average multiple of 28.96x
Yet, I believe the 10-Year multiple is elevated and we shouldnโt rely on it
Given its quality & historical growth rates, I believe itโs reasonable for $RMD to trade somewhere in between 25x - 27x, making it a fair purchase today at $174๐ตโ
#stocks #investing
___
Not every business that could be undervalued will react this way shortly after its share price trades at an attractive range
And if youโre a long-term investor โ what happens over the course of 3 weeks, 3 months, or even 3 years shouldnโt really matter ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
Looking back at these short-term increases, HOWEVER, reinforces & strengthens the conviction an investor can have when relying on fundamental analysis ๐ฏ
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ."
A sober valuation analysis on $RMD ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 23.57x
โข10-Year Mean: 28.96x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 4.29%
โข10-Year Mean: 3.46%
As you can see, $RMD appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~23% MORE in earnings per share & ~24% MORE in FCF per share๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $RMD is a quality business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Equivalents: $220.92M
โขTotal Debt: $1.35B
$RMD has a good balance sheet & 16x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2018: 23.8%
โข2019: 19.0%
โข2020: 21.2%
โข2021: 24.9%
โข2022: 23.4%
โข2033: 19.9%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2018: 15.7%
โข2019: 19.6%
โข2020: 27.2%
โข2021: 17.6%
โข2022: 25.0%
โข2023: 24.9%
$RMD has excellent return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2013: $1.51B
โข2023: $4.22B
โขCAGR: 10.82%
FREE CASH FLOWโ * (LTM $814.27M)
โข2013: $339.24M
โข2023: $573.63M
โขCAGR: 5.39%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2013: $2.27
โข2023: $6.44
โขCAGR: 10.99%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2013 Shares Outstanding: 146.42M
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 147.54M
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 56.0%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 26.6%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 20.7%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~23% MORE in EPS & ~24% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $RMD has to grow earnings at a! 11.79% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly less than the (11.79%) required growth rate:
2024E: $7.21 (12.0% YoY) *FY Jun
2025E: $7.94 (10.1% YoY)
2026E: $8.70 (9.7% YoY)
$RMD has a solid track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $RMD ends 2026 with $8.70 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
27x P/E: $234.90๐ต [...]