The Long Investor
Second company in a week to lose $200 Billion in value in 1 day.

$NVDA
$META

My concern was always $GOOG and they are up tomorrow
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The Long Investor
In one week Zuckerberg went from:

Steal your data > steal your girl > steal your money
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 Q-Cap 
$META

My 2 cent on the post earning move (other than it was already up 450% from the October 2022 bottom without any meaningful pullback).

Shareholders have PTSD from Zuck overspending on the Metaverse ambitions in 2021-2022 and running a huge loss with Reality Labs with no achievable timeframe for ROI.

In essence , he was investing for the future but with little to no short or medium term ROI and the long term was also very questionable. The vision wasn’t clear. This caused a serious and justifiable short term repricing of the stock in 2022. Markets being markets they overshot to the downside given at one point a 8x Operating Income multiple.

Fast forward to todays earnings. Numbers for the quarter were fine. The issue comes mainly imho from shareholders listening to Zuck talk about another « investment cycle » with no short term ROI in sight. But I think where the market might’ve gotten it wrong today was that this AI infrastructure spent will have a much shorter timeframe and much more quantifiable return for the business. Meta AI has already been integrated and as Zuck mentioned AI is being used to target ads almost to the tune of 50% of feeds. Let’s not forget ads are 95%+ of revenues and any meaningful upgrade through AI for ads can have a significant impact to the bottom line.

My guess is this investment cycle will be somewhat long perhaps 3-5yrs but the ROI will be a lot more quantifiable , justifiable and crucial to the next leg of the life cycle for the company. This does not feel like the Metaverse 2.0.
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Clark Square Capital
Great thread on starting a fund

A year ago I left my job at a hedge fund in NY to start my own fund, Bristlemoon Capital. Some thoughts below on the journey of launching a fund (both the good and bad): - George Hadjia
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Clark Square Capital
Also on the subject of starting a fund. Excellent thread.

Last of the Wall St bonus clearing this week or next depending on your tax choices. Thinking about starting your own fund?

Some unsolicited free advice worth a, well, hopefully of some well meaning help.

Some basic rules: - keyser soze
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Clark Square Capital
Just shared a new write-up. Be sure to find it at the usual place.

Thanks for reading. https://t.co/nXk2QnPFzy
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Brandon Beylo
Me analyzing mining / commodity stocks. https://t.co/nsawX1d0zr
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Brandon Beylo
Idaho Strategic $IDR has been proving you wrong for years @hendry_hugh.

You should check them out.

I wrote a long time ago that gold miners were a complete waste of time

All huff with no puff

All risk and no return

That if you're bullish on gold, just own more gold to amplify your returns

The only rational for the miners today is their catastrophic price performance

Gold has quadrupled and they're flat

F-L-A-T

Someone with a bloomy terminal, do me the relative value chart of long one unit of gold versus one unit of GDX, the gold mining index over last 20 years. Has been one of the least discussed and best trades of all time. - Hugh Hendry Eclectica
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iinvested
RT @hurdle_rate: I like this free site. does fine
https://t.co/5DmjF2QciV

Finchat has one too thats free
https://t.co/pS7BBHxrRg

Another batch of Q1 Letters added 📚

64 newsletters so far. You will not find a bigger and better collection of quarterly investment letters anywhere else in the world.

Especially the letters of many 'under-the-radar' small/microcap investors. 👇

https://t.co/sjzPLNqIuj https://t.co/JkICvItBwt - Capital Employed
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Hidden Value Gems
$KER.PA #Kering is trading at 15x next year earnings, having profit warned twice this year.

Stock down 38% in 5 years (-44% in one year).

Where do you buy it?
- At current level (€327)
- 5-15% lower
- When Gucci starts perform
- 15-25% lower
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The Long Investor
HSI went above its 200 DAY MA for the first time since July ‘23 today.

HSI continues to behave bullish while the $SPY moves into correction territory.

Right now they are in perfect opposite step.
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The Long Investor
HSI 6 days ago I said this was moving in an impulse wave.

Wave C hit and bounced to the 200 Day MA and bounced 7%

All Chinese boats are rising together right now

$BABA
$BIDU
$YINN
$JD
$KWEB
$NIO

HSI

Johnny who lives in his mothers box room who still believes China is one big rice paddie:
"HSI has crashed this year, wouldn't touch it, only Americana for me'

Reality: Moving in an impulse wave. https://t.co/6DKvQgZlUH - The Long Investor
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The Long Investor
Money doesn’t disappear it rotates to value.
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Antonio Linares
Pessimists sound smart, optimists make money.
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
10 Quality Stocks FCF CAGR >10% In Last 10 Years Trading Below 10 Year Avg FCF Yield 💵

💳 Visa $V
•FCF CAGR: 22.67%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.87%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.83%

📈 MSCI Inc $MSCI
•FCF CAGR: 15.75%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.64%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.37%

📦 Amazon $AMZN
•FCF CAGR: 31.83%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.38%
•Avg FCF Yield: 2.83%

⚡️ Monster Beverage $MNST
•FCF CAGR: 17.38%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.07%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.05%

🩳 Lululemon $LULU
•FCF CAGR: 24.29%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.02%
•Avg FCF Yield: 2.16%

💸 Paychex $PAYX
•FCF CAGR: 10.43%
•NTM FCF Yield: 4.59%
•Avg FCF Yield: 4.37%

⚖️ Mettler-Toledo $MTD
•FCF CAGR: 12.56%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.27%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.21%

👾 Adobe $ADBE
•FCF CAGR: 21.83%
•NTM FCF Yield: 4.20%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.55%

💰 Automatic Data Processing $ADP
•FCF CAGR: 10.70%
•NTM FCF Yield: 5.04%
•Avg FCF Yield: 4.50%

💄 Ulta Beauty $ULTA
•FCF CAGR: 26.18%
•NTM FCF Yield: 5.88%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.03%

#stocks #investing
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𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.

𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
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Giuliano
'There are some things that are important, but unknowable. We don't waste our time with those. We want to focus on those things that are important and knowable.'
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