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— Keeping a close eye on crypto news so you don't miss the next 2009

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🧠 FUD Is the Best Signal to Buy Bitcoin, Says Santiment

Every time the crowd panics — smart traders accumulate.
Santiment proved it again last week when the market crashed after Trump announced 100% tariffs against China.

The crowd panics — “smart money” steps in.

🗣 Analyst Brian Q:
“Retail always reacts emotionally. And almost every time, the market does the opposite.”


Santiment highlights four dates in 2025 when fear peaked:
— April — first global tariffs
— June — Middle East tensions
— August — fears that the Fed wouldn’t cut rates
— October — Trump’s tariff announcement


Every time, the same pattern: panic → sell-off → rebound. While the crowd shouted “it’s over,” traders were quietly buying assets at a discount.

🤔 Interesting fact: 81% of investors admit they buy out of fear, and 63% say emotions have damaged their portfolios.

The Fear & Greed Index is now 38, after falling to 24 on Sunday — the lowest since April.

The market is scared, which means… it’s time to act.

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🟠 Peter Brandt: “One more drop — then to ATH”

The classic chartist is back.
Peter Brandt believes Bitcoin could reclaim $125K as early as next week — but first, another “shakeout” is likely.

🗣 Brandt:
“Either a shakeout followed by a quick new ATH, or a break of the parabola — in that case, we’d drop back to $50K–$60K.”


🤔 What happened:
— On Friday, Bitcoin plunged from $121K to $102K after Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on China
— Over $19B in liquidations
— BTC has since rebounded to $112K

💬 Charles Edwards (Capriole):
“This is a reminder that even 1.5x leverage can be deadly. But the outlook remains simple: up.”


💸 Arthur Hayes, in his signature tone:
“Powell just declared the end of QT. Load the truck and buy everything.”


📊 Macro favors the bulls:
— U.S. inflation at 2.9%, labor market weakening
— Fed is almost certain to cut rates again
— Pav Hundal: “This is the perfect zone for Bitcoin.”

Bottom line: short-term turbulence is just noise.
The main trend is alive — and the market is gearing up for another leg higher.
We just need to survive one last shakeout.

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🟠 Bitcoin Stalls Below $117K — Correction Possible Without a New Catalyst

Glassnode warns that without a fresh catalyst, the market could drift lower.
BTC is trading around $110,800, about 5% below the key $117K level.

📉 Glassnode:
“Without a new catalyst, the market risks moving toward the lower range. Rising profit-taking among long-term holders suggests demand fatigue.”


🗣 Shubh Varma (Hyblock Capital):
“This month will be volatile. Likely range — $116K–$120K. But most probable scenario is consolidation after the sell-off.”


📊 ETF inflows remain strong — a 9-day streak totaling $5.96B, with spot volumes steady. The market still has liquidity inflows, but lacks a clear driver for the next rally.

💸 Potential catalyst — the Fed.
There’s a 95.7% probability of another rate cut on October 29, and loose monetary policy has almost always been bullish for crypto.

🗣 Matt Mena (21Shares):
“With liquidations behind us and monetary easing ahead, market structure looks increasingly constructive. By year-end, Bitcoin could push toward $150K.”


Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes and Joe Burnett are looking further — calling for $250K by the end of 2025.

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🟠 Bitcoin Falls to $105K — Banks Back in the Game

The 2023 scenario is repeating itself: U.S. regional bank troubles are once again shaking the crypto market. Bitcoin has dropped below $106K, marking a 15-week low.

📉 What happened
— Shares of U.S. regional banks are plunging, just like in spring 2023
— Back then, BTC crashed below $20K before sharply rebounding
— Now we see a similar pattern: fear, liquidations, and panic


🗣 Ted Pillows:
“$BTC lost the $108K level. The next support is only around $101–102K. If we fail to reclaim $110K — expect more pain.”


Analysts warn of a potential “direct slide to $98K” if buyers don’t step back in.

💬 SuperBro:
“If Bitcoin can’t hold, it may fill last week’s wick and drop toward the 50-week MA.”


📊 Gold Hits Records — but Schiff Won’t Stop Talking
Peter Schiff, as always, plays his part:
“Gold will reach $1M before Bitcoin does.”


He called the situation not just de-dollarization but de-bitcoinization.
Yet, some traders disagree — they expect a rotation from gold into BTC soon.

🗣 Jelle:
“It’s natural to see profit flow out of gold — that’s how the market always works.”


Bitcoin stands on the edge again, but history knows how this ends: first panic, then rebound — and everyone’s “back in the market.”

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🟠 Coinbase: 67% of Institutions Expect a Bull Market in the Next 6 Months

Institutional investors are turning optimistic again. According to a Coinbase Institutional survey, two-thirds of respondents believe Bitcoin will continue to rise over the next six months.

📊 Key findings:
— 67% of institutions are bullish on BTC in the 3–6 month horizon
— 45% think the market is already in the late stage of a bull cycle
— Only 27% of retail investors share that view


🗣 David Duong (Coinbase):
“The crypto market still has growth potential. We’re seeing steady liquidity and a strong macro backdrop.”


💰 Who’s buying the dip:
— BitMine, chaired by Tom Lee, purchased 379,000 ETH ($1.5B) after the recent drop
— Michael Saylor’s Strategy hinted at new BTC purchases, already holding $69B in Bitcoin

Despite corrections in equities, DAT company crypto treasuries remain stable — a sign of long-term confidence.

📈 What’s next:
Coinbase expects:
— Two more Fed rate cuts
— Economic stimulus from China
— Major funds shifting cash back into the market

Bottom line: Liquidity, macro support, and institutional demand all point to the bull cycle still being alive.

But when it comes to altcoins, Coinbase advises caution — the focus remains on Bitcoin.

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📱 DegenPhone Lands on Solana — Time to Call with Money

After making a 2x on TON, the DegenPhone team has leveled up: phone numbers can now be created, used, and sold directly on Solana.

🚀 What’s happening:
— Early TON participants already made big gains, and a bridge between networks is in the works
— Solana joins in with rumored backing from Solana Foundation and 1inch
— Pre-market runs until October 23, 17:00 UTC — prices may skyrocket afterward


💡 The idea is simple: unique phone numbers as NFTs. First on TON, now on Sol — another chance to catch the wave.

👉 Join here
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📱 DegenPhone Lands on Solana — Time to Call with Money After making a 2x on TON, the DegenPhone team has leveled up: phone numbers can now be created, used, and sold directly on Solana. 🚀 What’s happening: — Early TON participants already made big gains…
🔥🔥🔥 Hurry up and join! 🔥🔥🔥

The number of spots is limited
‼️

Don’t miss the chance to earn and grab a juicy piece 💰
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🟠 Bitcoin Heads to Close the CME Gap — Risk of Drop Toward $100K

BTC fell 2.5% to $107,460, attempting to close the futures gap on CME. Trading volumes remain low, sentiment is cautious — and the market is increasingly whispering about a possible “$100K test.”

📉 What’s happening:
— The CME gap at $107,390 is still not fully closed
— The larger gap near $110K (from late September) has already been filled
— Traders note weakness: each rebound comes with lower volume


🗣 Daan Crypto Trades:
“Bulls must hold $107K. If we revisit Friday’s wick, that’s a clear sign of weakness.”


🗣 Roman:
“Didn’t believe in a breakout without volume — and I was right. $100K–$98K is coming.”


🗣 Crypto Tony:
“If support breaks — prepare for $95K.”


💭 Bottom line:
Bitcoin is stuck between an unfilled gap and a fragile $107K level.

Without upward momentum, the road to $100K is wide open — and even $95K doesn’t look unrealistic.

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🟠 Brandt’s Soy Pattern: Bitcoin on the Edge of a Major Repeat

Veteran trader Peter Brandt spotted on the BTC chart the same formation that preceded the soybean crash of the 1970s. Back then, the market plunged by 50% — and Brandt hints history might be about to rhyme.

📊 What’s happening now:
— A “broadening top” pattern is forming — a structure that often ends bull cycles
— MSTR is already down 10%, showing pressure on corporate Bitcoin holdings
— The Fear Index dropped to 25 — panic across the market
— Yet gold is weakening, which could push capital back into crypto


🔥 Other analysts disagree: Q4 is historically Bitcoin’s strongest quarter, and many are still calling for a rally to $200K+.

Bottom line: some see a “soybean-style crash,” others — a “perfect accumulation zone.”

In a couple of weeks, we’ll find out whether this was the top… or the pause before another parabolic run.

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🟠 Bitcoin miners’ debt surges 500% — the hashrate race begins

Over the past year, public miners’ total debt has skyrocketed from $2.1 billion to $12.7 billion, according to VanEck. The reason: massive purchases of new ASIC rigs and the shift of some facilities toward AI and HPC hosting after the 2024 halving.

📊 Key facts:
— Bitfarms raised $588 million to build AI-focused data centers in North America
— TeraWulf issued $3.2 billion in debt to expand its Lake Mariner campus
— Miners previously relied on equity financing, but are now heavily leveraging debt to boost hashrate
— AI hosting provides long-term stable contracts, reducing exposure to BTC volatility


🔥 According to VanEck, the “AI + Bitcoin” trend strengthens network resilience — surplus energy from AI farms is redirected to mining, lowering Bitcoin’s production costs.

Bottom line: miners are rearming and restructuring.
The hashrate race is just beginning — and this time, artificial intelligence is in the game.

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📱 DegenPhone Lands on Solana — Time to Call with Money After making a 2x on TON, the DegenPhone team has leveled up: phone numbers can now be created, used, and sold directly on Solana. 🚀 What’s happening: — Early TON participants already made big gains…
🔥🔥🔥 DEGENPHONE ANNOUNCEMENT 🔥🔥🔥

Progress is on! The first buyers are already using NFT numbers to make money through anonymity and bonuses! 💲💲💲

Get your number here
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🟠 Bitcoin Options Hit Record: $63B in Open Interest

The derivatives market is heating up — open interest in Bitcoin options has reached $63 billion, with almost all the focus on bullish strikes between $120K–$140K, according to CoinGlass.

📊 What’s happening:
— Deribit set an all-time record with $50B in open interest (80% of the market)
— $100K puts are gaining traction, but calls above $120K dominate
— The most active strikes: $120K, $130K, and $140K, each exceeding $2B in volume
— Signal: traders are preparing for explosive upside volatility


💥 This Friday, $5.1B in options will expire, with a max pain point at $114K — the level where most contracts lose value.

Meanwhile, puts only slightly outweigh calls — a sign of balance, not panic.

Bottom line: derivatives are screaming “up!”, volatility is spiking, and the market seems to be waiting for a trigger — to send BTC into a new round of price discovery.

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🟠 Bitcoin emerges from fear: the market is waking up

After two weeks of panic, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has finally climbed into the neutral zone — 51 out of 100, for the first time since the October 10 crash. That’s when Trump’s China tariffs sent the index plunging to 24, wiping $19B in liquidations from the market.

📊 What’s changed:
— BTC is back near $115K, bouncing strongly from its recent lows
— Glassnode reports a decline in aggressive selling — spot and futures markets have stabilized
— Funding remains neutral, with no overheated longs
— The market is now expecting another Fed rate cut on October 29 (probability: 96.7%)


🔥 In other words, fear is fading — cautious optimism is taking its place.

As everyone waits for the Fed’s decision, the market seems to be quietly preparing for the next upward move.

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🟠 Bitcoin is becoming “too expensive” for retail — bull run at risk

According to 10x Research, Bitcoin’s price surge is making it increasingly inaccessible for the average investor — raising doubts about the idea of a prolonged market cycle.

📊 Key points:
— BTC is suffering from declining returns, and the traditional “Bitcoin cycle” may no longer hold
— 10x Research forecasts a cycle peak at $125K, despite stock-to-flow models predicting $1M
— Researchers remind that Bitcoin is only 16 years old, so it’s too early to draw rigid conclusions about cycles
— For comparison: Standard Chartered expects $200K in 2025 and up to $500K by 2028
— Meanwhile, “smart money” (according to Nansen) continues increasing BTC positions


💬 Bottom line: Crypto is maturing, and growth is becoming less explosive — but with institutions entering more aggressively, the top is likely still far away.

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🟠 Bitcoin risks missing the “Golden Week” — just hours left

The historic upside is under threat: according to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin must reclaim $116K by the end of Wednesday to maintain its “golden week” streak — a period that has brought an average +7% gain every year since 2015.

📊 What’s happening:
— BTC is currently holding around $113K, up only +4.5%
— October’s “golden week” usually delivers +7%, making it — along with February and March — one of the strongest times of the year
— Seasonality still points to a bull market on track toward a new ATH of $160K by December


🌍 Macro tailwinds:
— The Fed is expected to cut rates again on October 29
— The U.S. and China are rushing to finalize a deal to avoid a tariff war
— The RSI on hourly charts shows a hidden bullish divergence


Bottom line: The market is on edge — either Bitcoin holds $116K and ends “Uptober” on a high note, or it misses its shot at a historic upside.

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🟠 Bitcoin ETFs lose $470M after Fed rate cut

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest outflow in two weeks — $470 million on Wednesday, the same day the Federal Reserve cut rates by 0.25%. Amid a volatile session, BTC briefly dropped to $108K before rebounding.

📊 Main outflows:
— Fidelity FBTC: −$164M
— ARKB (ARK Invest): −$143M
— BlackRock IBIT: −$88M
— Grayscale GBTC: −$65M
— Bitwise BITB: −$6M


💡 Bottom line: Total net inflows fell to $61B, while AUM declined to $149B, now representing 6.75% of Bitcoin’s market cap.

📈 Context:
— The market slightly recovered after the Trump–Xi Jinping meeting
— Despite outflows, ETFs still hold 1.5M BTC ($169B)
— BlackRock leads with 805K BTC, followed by Fidelity (206K) and Grayscale (172K)


🚀 Michael Saylor says there’s no reason to panic — in his view, Bitcoin will still reach $150K by the end of 2025.

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