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— Keeping a close eye on crypto news so you don't miss the next 2009

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🟠 Bitcoin at $150K? Analysts say — get ready for a breakout

BTC has broken a new all-time high at $125,700, and the market is now gearing up for the next leg of the rally. “The next move to $150K+ has already begun,” writes CrediBULL Crypto.

📈 Key levels:
— The $108K–$118K range is a “blessing zone” for re-entries
— Above $125K, Bitcoin enters price discovery mode
— The next technical target sits at $150K


🔥 What’s driving the market:
— The U.S. government shutdown is pushing investors away from the dollar into BTC
— The DXY index has dropped 12% YTD, its worst performance in decades
— Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $3.2B inflows this week — the second-highest in history


📊 Historically, October is a bullish month for BTC, with gains in 10 of the last 12 years, and Q4 traditionally delivers new highs.

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🟠 Gold → $4,000 means Bitcoin → $644,000?

VanEck ran the numbers: if gold trades at $4,000 per ounce, the “equivalent price” of Bitcoin should be $644K. Half of gold’s market cap — that’s the target for the next halving cycle (2028).

📄 Context:

— Gold is up 50% YTD, driven by the weakening dollar and ongoing trade wars
— Bitcoin is “lagging,” but historically gold rallies first
— Younger investors increasingly prefer BTC as a digital store of value instead of gold bars


💬 Matthew Sigel from VanEck: “We expect Bitcoin to reach half of gold’s market capitalization after the next halving.”


💬 Peter Schiff, as usual, grumbles: “Bitcoin is still 15% below its peak in gold terms.”
But according to Theya, the “fair value floor” is already $1.34M.


Irony: gold is back in fashion for the boomers — while the youth are mining their own gold, block by block.

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🟠 Institutions are back: $5.67B inflows and a new BTC ATH

Bitcoin broke $126,200 amid record inflows into digital ETPs ($5.67B).
The market is once again embracing the old mantra: the “debasement trade” — flight from fiat into hard assets.

📊 What’s happening:
— $3.49B flowed into spot Bitcoin ETFs (BlackRock and Bitwise leading)
— $1.49B into Ethereum, $685M into altcoins
— DXY -10% YTD, gold +50%, Bitcoin +27% — but BTC’s upside remains larger
— Whales withdrew 49K BTC from exchanges — a sign of long-term holding, not speculation


💬 Bitwise: “Investors on both sides — gold or crypto — are converging on one truth: capital is flowing back into digital assets.”


Macro factor: with a U.S. deficit above $1T, rising debt costs, and a weakening dollar, Bitcoin is becoming a hedge against financial erosion.
Paul Tudor Jones put it bluntly: “We’re back in the ’90s — same debt, same stimulus, but now we have BTC.”

Ironically, retail isn’t participating. Small transaction activity has been declining since spring — institutions are driving the rally.
A rally without euphoria — rare, but historically, these are the ones that end with another explosive move up.

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🟠 100 Days to “Explosion”: Bitcoin Tightens to the Limit

The market is holding its breath. Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart are now the tightest in Bitcoin’s history — meaning one thing: a volatility explosion is inevitable.

📊 What analysts say:
— Tony “The Bull” Severino: “Bitcoin is on the edge — either a parabola or the end of the bull run.”
— Historically, such compressions resolve within 70–100 days
— A breakout upward = a new phase of price discovery
— A breakdown = the start of a mature bear phase


Right now, BTC is hovering near the upper band (~$126K) but lacks a decisive push.
Severino warns of potential “head fakes” — false breakouts that shake out both bulls and bears.

🔥 Meanwhile, Rekt Capital insists: “The cycle is still alive.”
“If the peak were already in, it would be the shortest bull run in history — which means it’s not,” he writes.


Bottom line: the market is wound like a spring. 100 days to decide — will the parabola begin… or is another crypto winter ahead?

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🟠 Mayer Multiple Says the Market Is “Ice Cold” — Even at ATH

Bitcoin is trading at $120K, yet according to the Mayer Multiple, it’s still closer to oversold than overbought.
To reach the “overbought” zone (2.4×200W MA), BTC would need to climb to $180K.

🤔 What this means:
— Current Mayer Multiple = 1.16 (0.8 = “bottom”, 2.4 = “peak”)
— In the previous cycle, the max was 1.84, when BTC was around $72K
— Now the price is 1.6× higher, but the metric has barely moved


💭 Analyst Frank A. Fetter:
“Bitcoin is at an ATH, but the Mayer Multiple is ice cold. That’s fuel for the next breakout.”


📊 The market is still waiting for confirmation.

Rekt Capital and Axel Adler Jr. agree: as long as the MM stays this low, the upside potential remains strong.
If BTC doesn’t break out by year-end, the cycle may “cool off.” But if it does — the path to $180K is wide open.

Even at $120K, Bitcoin doesn’t look overheated — it’s just warming up for the next run.

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🟠 Bitcoin Reclaims $115K — Bulls Are Eyeing $150K Again

After Friday’s $20B liquidation “flush,” BTC bounced 8% and is once again trading above the key $115K level.
That means one thing: the correction is over, and the bull market structure remains intact.

📊 Key signals:
— Price is back above the short-term holder cost basis ($114K) — where short-term holders turn profitable
— Glassnode reports rising demand from new investors — capital is flowing back in
— The 20-week MA ($113.3K) is holding — a strong confirmation of trend continuation


🗣 Frank Fetter: “BTC is back above the STH cost basis. The show goes on.”

🗣 Michael van de Poppe: “The drop gave a perfect entry. As long as 20W MA holds, trend remains bullish.”

🗣 Daan Crypto Trades: “My cycle base stands at $120K–$150K.”


📈 On the Bitcoin rainbow chart, BTC sits in the light green zone — the area where the final leg of each cycle usually begins.
Some are calling this a “2017-style washout” before the next parabolic run.

Bottom line: the market shook off the panic, and the $150K scenario is still alive.
If history rhymes even a little — the next wave is already heating up.

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🧠 FUD Is the Best Signal to Buy Bitcoin, Says Santiment

Every time the crowd panics — smart traders accumulate.
Santiment proved it again last week when the market crashed after Trump announced 100% tariffs against China.

The crowd panics — “smart money” steps in.

🗣 Analyst Brian Q:
“Retail always reacts emotionally. And almost every time, the market does the opposite.”


Santiment highlights four dates in 2025 when fear peaked:
— April — first global tariffs
— June — Middle East tensions
— August — fears that the Fed wouldn’t cut rates
— October — Trump’s tariff announcement


Every time, the same pattern: panic → sell-off → rebound. While the crowd shouted “it’s over,” traders were quietly buying assets at a discount.

🤔 Interesting fact: 81% of investors admit they buy out of fear, and 63% say emotions have damaged their portfolios.

The Fear & Greed Index is now 38, after falling to 24 on Sunday — the lowest since April.

The market is scared, which means… it’s time to act.

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🟠 Peter Brandt: “One more drop — then to ATH”

The classic chartist is back.
Peter Brandt believes Bitcoin could reclaim $125K as early as next week — but first, another “shakeout” is likely.

🗣 Brandt:
“Either a shakeout followed by a quick new ATH, or a break of the parabola — in that case, we’d drop back to $50K–$60K.”


🤔 What happened:
— On Friday, Bitcoin plunged from $121K to $102K after Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on China
— Over $19B in liquidations
— BTC has since rebounded to $112K

💬 Charles Edwards (Capriole):
“This is a reminder that even 1.5x leverage can be deadly. But the outlook remains simple: up.”


💸 Arthur Hayes, in his signature tone:
“Powell just declared the end of QT. Load the truck and buy everything.”


📊 Macro favors the bulls:
— U.S. inflation at 2.9%, labor market weakening
— Fed is almost certain to cut rates again
— Pav Hundal: “This is the perfect zone for Bitcoin.”

Bottom line: short-term turbulence is just noise.
The main trend is alive — and the market is gearing up for another leg higher.
We just need to survive one last shakeout.

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🟠 Bitcoin Stalls Below $117K — Correction Possible Without a New Catalyst

Glassnode warns that without a fresh catalyst, the market could drift lower.
BTC is trading around $110,800, about 5% below the key $117K level.

📉 Glassnode:
“Without a new catalyst, the market risks moving toward the lower range. Rising profit-taking among long-term holders suggests demand fatigue.”


🗣 Shubh Varma (Hyblock Capital):
“This month will be volatile. Likely range — $116K–$120K. But most probable scenario is consolidation after the sell-off.”


📊 ETF inflows remain strong — a 9-day streak totaling $5.96B, with spot volumes steady. The market still has liquidity inflows, but lacks a clear driver for the next rally.

💸 Potential catalyst — the Fed.
There’s a 95.7% probability of another rate cut on October 29, and loose monetary policy has almost always been bullish for crypto.

🗣 Matt Mena (21Shares):
“With liquidations behind us and monetary easing ahead, market structure looks increasingly constructive. By year-end, Bitcoin could push toward $150K.”


Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes and Joe Burnett are looking further — calling for $250K by the end of 2025.

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🟠 Bitcoin Falls to $105K — Banks Back in the Game

The 2023 scenario is repeating itself: U.S. regional bank troubles are once again shaking the crypto market. Bitcoin has dropped below $106K, marking a 15-week low.

📉 What happened
— Shares of U.S. regional banks are plunging, just like in spring 2023
— Back then, BTC crashed below $20K before sharply rebounding
— Now we see a similar pattern: fear, liquidations, and panic


🗣 Ted Pillows:
“$BTC lost the $108K level. The next support is only around $101–102K. If we fail to reclaim $110K — expect more pain.”


Analysts warn of a potential “direct slide to $98K” if buyers don’t step back in.

💬 SuperBro:
“If Bitcoin can’t hold, it may fill last week’s wick and drop toward the 50-week MA.”


📊 Gold Hits Records — but Schiff Won’t Stop Talking
Peter Schiff, as always, plays his part:
“Gold will reach $1M before Bitcoin does.”


He called the situation not just de-dollarization but de-bitcoinization.
Yet, some traders disagree — they expect a rotation from gold into BTC soon.

🗣 Jelle:
“It’s natural to see profit flow out of gold — that’s how the market always works.”


Bitcoin stands on the edge again, but history knows how this ends: first panic, then rebound — and everyone’s “back in the market.”

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🟠 Coinbase: 67% of Institutions Expect a Bull Market in the Next 6 Months

Institutional investors are turning optimistic again. According to a Coinbase Institutional survey, two-thirds of respondents believe Bitcoin will continue to rise over the next six months.

📊 Key findings:
— 67% of institutions are bullish on BTC in the 3–6 month horizon
— 45% think the market is already in the late stage of a bull cycle
— Only 27% of retail investors share that view


🗣 David Duong (Coinbase):
“The crypto market still has growth potential. We’re seeing steady liquidity and a strong macro backdrop.”


💰 Who’s buying the dip:
— BitMine, chaired by Tom Lee, purchased 379,000 ETH ($1.5B) after the recent drop
— Michael Saylor’s Strategy hinted at new BTC purchases, already holding $69B in Bitcoin

Despite corrections in equities, DAT company crypto treasuries remain stable — a sign of long-term confidence.

📈 What’s next:
Coinbase expects:
— Two more Fed rate cuts
— Economic stimulus from China
— Major funds shifting cash back into the market

Bottom line: Liquidity, macro support, and institutional demand all point to the bull cycle still being alive.

But when it comes to altcoins, Coinbase advises caution — the focus remains on Bitcoin.

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📱 DegenPhone Lands on Solana — Time to Call with Money

After making a 2x on TON, the DegenPhone team has leveled up: phone numbers can now be created, used, and sold directly on Solana.

🚀 What’s happening:
— Early TON participants already made big gains, and a bridge between networks is in the works
— Solana joins in with rumored backing from Solana Foundation and 1inch
— Pre-market runs until October 23, 17:00 UTC — prices may skyrocket afterward


💡 The idea is simple: unique phone numbers as NFTs. First on TON, now on Sol — another chance to catch the wave.

👉 Join here
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📱 DegenPhone Lands on Solana — Time to Call with Money After making a 2x on TON, the DegenPhone team has leveled up: phone numbers can now be created, used, and sold directly on Solana. 🚀 What’s happening: — Early TON participants already made big gains…
🔥🔥🔥 Hurry up and join! 🔥🔥🔥

The number of spots is limited
‼️

Don’t miss the chance to earn and grab a juicy piece 💰
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🟠 Bitcoin Heads to Close the CME Gap — Risk of Drop Toward $100K

BTC fell 2.5% to $107,460, attempting to close the futures gap on CME. Trading volumes remain low, sentiment is cautious — and the market is increasingly whispering about a possible “$100K test.”

📉 What’s happening:
— The CME gap at $107,390 is still not fully closed
— The larger gap near $110K (from late September) has already been filled
— Traders note weakness: each rebound comes with lower volume


🗣 Daan Crypto Trades:
“Bulls must hold $107K. If we revisit Friday’s wick, that’s a clear sign of weakness.”


🗣 Roman:
“Didn’t believe in a breakout without volume — and I was right. $100K–$98K is coming.”


🗣 Crypto Tony:
“If support breaks — prepare for $95K.”


💭 Bottom line:
Bitcoin is stuck between an unfilled gap and a fragile $107K level.

Without upward momentum, the road to $100K is wide open — and even $95K doesn’t look unrealistic.

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🟠 Brandt’s Soy Pattern: Bitcoin on the Edge of a Major Repeat

Veteran trader Peter Brandt spotted on the BTC chart the same formation that preceded the soybean crash of the 1970s. Back then, the market plunged by 50% — and Brandt hints history might be about to rhyme.

📊 What’s happening now:
— A “broadening top” pattern is forming — a structure that often ends bull cycles
— MSTR is already down 10%, showing pressure on corporate Bitcoin holdings
— The Fear Index dropped to 25 — panic across the market
— Yet gold is weakening, which could push capital back into crypto


🔥 Other analysts disagree: Q4 is historically Bitcoin’s strongest quarter, and many are still calling for a rally to $200K+.

Bottom line: some see a “soybean-style crash,” others — a “perfect accumulation zone.”

In a couple of weeks, we’ll find out whether this was the top… or the pause before another parabolic run.

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🟠 Bitcoin miners’ debt surges 500% — the hashrate race begins

Over the past year, public miners’ total debt has skyrocketed from $2.1 billion to $12.7 billion, according to VanEck. The reason: massive purchases of new ASIC rigs and the shift of some facilities toward AI and HPC hosting after the 2024 halving.

📊 Key facts:
— Bitfarms raised $588 million to build AI-focused data centers in North America
— TeraWulf issued $3.2 billion in debt to expand its Lake Mariner campus
— Miners previously relied on equity financing, but are now heavily leveraging debt to boost hashrate
— AI hosting provides long-term stable contracts, reducing exposure to BTC volatility


🔥 According to VanEck, the “AI + Bitcoin” trend strengthens network resilience — surplus energy from AI farms is redirected to mining, lowering Bitcoin’s production costs.

Bottom line: miners are rearming and restructuring.
The hashrate race is just beginning — and this time, artificial intelligence is in the game.

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