BTC and altcoins once again look like poor relatives: gold and the stock market are setting records, while crypto is stuck in a sideways trend. CryptoQuant points to four reasons why the “rocket” isn’t taking off:
After rate cuts, capital first flows into liquid assets — gold and stocks. Crypto is always at the end of this pipeline.
Yes, stablecoin supply is at a record $308B. But they’re not flowing to exchanges: liquidity is parked in bridges and private markets. Result: there’s simply no fuel to buy BTC/ETH.
⚖️ 3. Leverage and hedging
Traders prefer to hedge through derivatives rather than accumulate. Classic flat behavior: everyone waits for someone else to move the market.
Bitcoin always lags behind stocks and gold. But then it catches up: +12% within 30 days and +35% within 90 days after an equity ATH.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤47👍32🥰28🤩25🔥22🎉21❤🔥21😍20💯17
Bitcoin spooked the crowd again — the Fear & Greed Index dropped to 28/100, the lowest since April. Back then BTC was $83K, today it’s under $109K, but sentiment feels like the bottom.
— Index fell 16 points in a day
— In April, at the same level, the market reversed after $75K
— Now the price is $25K higher, but fear is the same
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤62💯39❤🔥28🥰27👍23🔥21😍17🤩16🎉14😁3
Michael Saylor sticks to his plan: while the market panicked below $110K, Strategy added another 196 BTC. The deal totaled $22.1M at an average price of $113,048.
— 640,031 BTC
— Total cost basis: $47.35B
— Average price: $73,983 per coin
Yes, this is one of Strategy’s smallest weekly buys lately — a clear slowdown in pace. But Saylor remains calm: “After the current resistance and macro pressure, BTC will climb smartly again by year’s end.”
So while retail shivers in fear, Saylor keeps stacking.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤40👍17😍15🎉12🔥8❤🔥7🤩5🥰4💯4
BTC bounced from $109K, but it’s too early for the bulls to celebrate. The price is currently squeezed between three daily SMAs — 21, 50, and 100 days. Keith Alan from Material Indicators calls this a “key zone” ahead of the monthly and quarterly close.
— On Monday, BTC closed above all three SMAs
— Now it’s holding above the 50-day but still below the others
— “The main thing isn’t how we start the day, but how we close,” writes Alan
— U.S. labor market reports
— Shutdown threat from October 1
— Monthly and quarterly candle close
If BTC manages to break above the 21-day SMA and hold the level after the new month opens, that would be a true signal of strength.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤69❤🔥31👍25🔥25😍25💯23🥰22🎉21🤩18👏3
Lex Fridman’s interview turned out deeply personal. Pavel opened up again — and at times, in unexpected ways.
For freedom of speech, he left Russia and created Telegram. He’s ready to risk even his life if censorship is at stake. He doesn’t rule out Telegram being blocked in Russia. He still codes himself and selects engineers through contests. The team has just 40 people — and zero bureaucracy.
Telegram became profitable only in 2024: 15M Premium users bring in $500M a year. Durov’s salary is just $0.3. But what keeps him afloat personally isn’t Telegram — it’s Bitcoin: “It’s what allowed me to survive.”
Maximum asceticism: 300 push-ups and 300 squats a day, no alcohol, no coffee, no pills.
TON lives its own life inside Telegram. After the SEC hit, the community drives the project. Gifts proved the monetization model, with celebrity collaborations on the way.
🗣 And the finale: “Bitcoin will be worth $1 million.”
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤34👍15💯15🔥12🎉8🤩8😍8❤🔥8🥰6👏5😁1
BTC kicked off October with +4%, trading at $119,450 — a 7-week high. It broke above the $117.5K resistance and is now testing $120K. If that level breaks, the path to new highs opens.
— Crypto market cap +3.5%, now $4.16T
— BTC dominance = $2.37T, surpassing Amazon
— October is historically the best month: gains in 10 of the last 12 years
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤60👍19😍16🤩11🥰10💯10🎉9❤🔥9🔥7👎3🤬3
Michael Saylor is back in the headlines. Bitcoin has returned to $120K, and Strategy’s treasury valuation has soared to a record $77.4B. To put it in perspective — that’s more than the market cap of BNY Mellon, Barclays, or Deutsche Bank, and on par with the GDP of Uruguay, Sri Lanka, and Slovenia.
— 640,031 BTC (3.2% of circulation)
— +11,085 BTC in the past 7 weeks
— Latest purchase: 196 BTC on Monday
— 48% of all BTC held by companies (1.32M BTC across 266 firms)
Let’s not forget: they started in 2020 with $250M — and an immediate $40M unrealized loss. Today the portfolio is worth $77.4B. Saylor didn’t just “hodl” — he built a private digital central bank.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤57👍21🔥15💯13🤩9😍8🥰7🎉5❤🔥4
BTC has broken a new all-time high at $125,700, and the market is now gearing up for the next leg of the rally. “The next move to $150K+ has already begun,” writes CrediBULL Crypto.
— The $108K–$118K range is a “blessing zone” for re-entries
— Above $125K, Bitcoin enters price discovery mode
— The next technical target sits at $150K
— The U.S. government shutdown is pushing investors away from the dollar into BTC
— The DXY index has dropped 12% YTD, its worst performance in decades
— Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $3.2B inflows this week — the second-highest in history
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤75👍40💯20❤🔥15🎉14🥰13🔥12😍12🤩7🍾6😁4
VanEck ran the numbers: if gold trades at $4,000 per ounce, the “equivalent price” of Bitcoin should be $644K. Half of gold’s market cap — that’s the target for the next halving cycle (2028).
📄 Context:
— Gold is up 50% YTD, driven by the weakening dollar and ongoing trade wars
— Bitcoin is “lagging,” but historically gold rallies first
— Younger investors increasingly prefer BTC as a digital store of value instead of gold bars
💬 Matthew Sigel from VanEck: “We expect Bitcoin to reach half of gold’s market capitalization after the next halving.”
💬 Peter Schiff, as usual, grumbles: “Bitcoin is still 15% below its peak in gold terms.”
But according to Theya, the “fair value floor” is already $1.34M.
Irony: gold is back in fashion for the boomers — while the youth are mining their own gold, block by block.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤26🥰9👍6😁5
Bitcoin broke $126,200 amid record inflows into digital ETPs ($5.67B).
The market is once again embracing the old mantra: the “debasement trade” — flight from fiat into hard assets.
— $3.49B flowed into spot Bitcoin ETFs (BlackRock and Bitwise leading)
— $1.49B into Ethereum, $685M into altcoins
— DXY -10% YTD, gold +50%, Bitcoin +27% — but BTC’s upside remains larger
— Whales withdrew 49K BTC from exchanges — a sign of long-term holding, not speculation
💬 Bitwise: “Investors on both sides — gold or crypto — are converging on one truth: capital is flowing back into digital assets.”
Macro factor: with a U.S. deficit above $1T, rising debt costs, and a weakening dollar, Bitcoin is becoming a hedge against financial erosion.
Paul Tudor Jones put it bluntly: “We’re back in the ’90s — same debt, same stimulus, but now we have BTC.”
Ironically, retail isn’t participating. Small transaction activity has been declining since spring — institutions are driving the rally.
A rally without euphoria — rare, but historically, these are the ones that end with another explosive move up.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤32👍24⚡12🫡7
The market is holding its breath. Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart are now the tightest in Bitcoin’s history — meaning one thing: a volatility explosion is inevitable.
— Tony “The Bull” Severino: “Bitcoin is on the edge — either a parabola or the end of the bull run.”
— Historically, such compressions resolve within 70–100 days
— A breakout upward = a new phase of price discovery
— A breakdown = the start of a mature bear phase
Right now, BTC is hovering near the upper band (~$126K) but lacks a decisive push.
Severino warns of potential “head fakes” — false breakouts that shake out both bulls and bears.
“If the peak were already in, it would be the shortest bull run in history — which means it’s not,” he writes.
Bottom line: the market is wound like a spring. 100 days to decide — will the parabola begin… or is another crypto winter ahead?
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤57👍26🎉24🥰14💯14😍13🤩9❤🔥9🔥8
Bitcoin is trading at $120K, yet according to the Mayer Multiple, it’s still closer to oversold than overbought.
To reach the “overbought” zone (2.4×200W MA), BTC would need to climb to $180K.
— Current Mayer Multiple = 1.16 (0.8 = “bottom”, 2.4 = “peak”)
— In the previous cycle, the max was 1.84, when BTC was around $72K
— Now the price is 1.6× higher, but the metric has barely moved
“Bitcoin is at an ATH, but the Mayer Multiple is ice cold. That’s fuel for the next breakout.”
Rekt Capital and Axel Adler Jr. agree: as long as the MM stays this low, the upside potential remains strong.
If BTC doesn’t break out by year-end, the cycle may “cool off.” But if it does — the path to $180K is wide open.
Even at $120K, Bitcoin doesn’t look overheated — it’s just warming up for the next run.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤102👍45💯35🔥33😍23🥰22🎉20🤩17❤🔥14😁6
After Friday’s $20B liquidation “flush,” BTC bounced 8% and is once again trading above the key $115K level.
That means one thing: the correction is over, and the bull market structure remains intact.
— Price is back above the short-term holder cost basis ($114K) — where short-term holders turn profitable
— Glassnode reports rising demand from new investors — capital is flowing back in
— The 20-week MA ($113.3K) is holding — a strong confirmation of trend continuation
🗣 Frank Fetter: “BTC is back above the STH cost basis. The show goes on.”
🗣 Michael van de Poppe: “The drop gave a perfect entry. As long as 20W MA holds, trend remains bullish.”
🗣 Daan Crypto Trades: “My cycle base stands at $120K–$150K.”
Some are calling this a “2017-style washout” before the next parabolic run.
Bottom line: the market shook off the panic, and the $150K scenario is still alive.
If history rhymes even a little — the next wave is already heating up.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤46🎉37😍27❤🔥25🔥22👍20🤩18💯18🥰16
Every time the crowd panics — smart traders accumulate.
Santiment proved it again last week when the market crashed after Trump announced 100% tariffs against China.
The crowd panics — “smart money” steps in.
“Retail always reacts emotionally. And almost every time, the market does the opposite.”
Santiment highlights four dates in 2025 when fear peaked:
— April — first global tariffs
— June — Middle East tensions
— August — fears that the Fed wouldn’t cut rates
— October — Trump’s tariff announcement
Every time, the same pattern: panic → sell-off → rebound. While the crowd shouted “it’s over,” traders were quietly buying assets at a discount.
🤔 Interesting fact: 81% of investors admit they buy out of fear, and 63% say emotions have damaged their portfolios.
The Fear & Greed Index is now 38, after falling to 24 on Sunday — the lowest since April.
The market is scared, which means… it’s time to act.
Satoshi Tweeted🔑
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
👍51❤36🔥30❤🔥27💯23🎉18🤩18😍18🥰17