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— Keeping a close eye on crypto news so you don't miss the next 2009

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🪙 BTC crashed to $112K: is this the bottom or just the beginning?

The market is in panic: SEC investigations, AI disappointments, and new U.S. tariffs.

😱 Options are signaling extreme fear: “The 30-day skew spiked to 12% — above 10% is rare and a marker of panic.”

But history hints at the opposite:
“The last time this happened was in April, when BTC dropped below $74,500. Everyone expected a collapse, but a month later it was up +40%.”


💡 Takeaway: Fear is off the charts — and that’s exactly how new pumps are usually born.

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🤑 DegenPhone Launches Auction: 2,000 NFT Numbers for Sale

After the record-breaking launchpool, which sold out in 8 minutes and raised 160k TON, the project is back on the market. Today marks the start of the public auction of NFT numbers — and this could become the next big hype in TON.


📉 What to Know Right Now

— Total supply: 10,000 numbers, with 1,100 already sold during the pool.
— Today at 19:00 CET — 2,000 new NFTs go on sale.
— Price is dynamic: each new mint adds +0.035 TON. All coded in the smart contract — pure math and FOMO.
— After the last (2,000th) number is sold, a 7-day vesting period begins.

🔥 Why This Could Take Off

NFT numbers aren’t just pictures — they’re fully functional eSIMs with real use cases:
— Receive SMS for verification on exchanges, services, and social networks.
— Anonymous use and AI-agent integration via API.
— Voice calls on Telegram planned for Q3 2025.

Backed by the Nicegram team (3.5M MAU) and eSimPlus, supported by TON Foundation, and with secondary prices already trending up.

👀 Bonus for Holders

The team is teasing an upcoming airdrop of utility tokens linked to calls, SMS, and AI functions. Details will follow, but the insight is clear: early adopters will benefit more.

⚡️The launchpool was just the trailer. The real movie begins today. Exclusive and “beautiful” numbers will be taken first — the rest could look like the Fragment story, where early birds made x40.

👉 Don’t miss the start
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✉️ Gift News reports that Telegram has become a paid service in some countries

The cost of use will be $1. This may negatively affect the popularization of Telegram gifts.

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🟠 Saylor Back in Action: Strategy Buys BTC “Every Second”

The biggest corporate holder of Bitcoin — Michael Saylor’s company Strategy — keeps stacking sats, but insiders insist: “We don’t move the price.”

📉 How They Do It

Shirish Jajodia, Strategy’s corporate treasurer, said:
“We buy Bitcoin 24/7. Almost every day, every hour, every second. But we do it in a way that doesn’t move the price.”


According to him, the company structures purchases proportionally to market liquidity and heavily uses OTC channels. That’s why the market doesn’t always pump after huge buys.

📊 Facts & Examples

— Nov 2024: Strategy bought 55,000 BTC for $5.4B → 3 weeks later, BTC broke ATH at $106K.
— July 2025: 21,021 BTC for $2.46B → 4 days later, price dropped -4%.

So, Saylor’s buys aren’t a guaranteed pump, but every chart tweet from him still makes the market nervous.

🔥 The Core Strategy

Strategy already holds 629,376 BTC (~$70.8B) and isn’t slowing down. Jajodia admitted:
“If the price falls, we can speed up. But we’re always buying anyway.”


Saylor said last year he’d buy at any level — even at peaks. For him, it’s not about the price, it’s about the size of the stack.

👉 Conclusion: Even if $MSTR doesn’t move the price directly, their “buy & hold” approach has become the symbol of corporate Bitcoin maximalism.

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🟠 Bitcoin and the Bear Market: Who’s Right — Trump’s Advisor or Analysts?

💭Trump’s crypto advisor David Bailey is confident:
“Every bank, insurance company, corporation, and pension fund will own Bitcoin. We haven’t even captured 0.01% of the market. There won’t be a bear cycle in the coming years.”


He’s betting on institutions — funds, companies, and governments that have already poured more than $100B into BTC. But analysts are less optimistic.

📉 What the market says

🟡 CK Zheng (ZX Squared): “Crypto is still tightly tied to the stock market. If equities enter a bear market — crypto will follow.”
🟡 Pav Hundal (Swyftx): “The path of least resistance for Bitcoin is up, but macro shocks come unexpectedly. I expect volatility to decline with each cycle.”
🟡 Ryan McMillin (Merkle Tree Capital): baseline scenario — peak in Q2 2026 and a soft bear market by mid-2026.

💭 But there’s another view:
“There may be no bear market at all — like gold after the launch of ETFs in the 2000s, when the asset went up for 8 straight years,” added McMillin.


The question remains open: either BTC faces the classic “four-year cycle,” or we’re entering a new mode where corrections exist but a true bear market never comes again.

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🪙 Altcoins — Beta Test for Bitcoin? Draper is Confident

Tim Draper is back at it again: altcoins make Bitcoin stronger.

“All these small cryptocurrencies are experimenting, and the best engineers later bring the findings into Bitcoin. This creates gravity around BTC,” he told CNBC.


📊 What he meant

🟡 BTC’s dominance in the crypto market is growing: 40% in the last bull run, 50% in the next, now already 61–62%.
🟡 The model is the same as Microsoft in the Web2 era: the ecosystem builds around the dominant platform.
🟡 Altcoins flare up and vanish, while Bitcoin keeps getting stronger.

💡 Draper also reminded:
“The only hedge against uncontrolled government spending is Bitcoin. Holding gold is like holding shells. That’s prehistoric thinking.”


🔥 And his $250,000 BTC prediction is still on the table:
“I’ve been saying $250K for a long time. I haven’t been right yet, but we’re halfway there. And that’s already very exciting.”


BTC recently hit $124,450 but pulled back 11.8% to $109,144. And now the big question: do altcoins really help Bitcoin, or are they still just a test sandbox for ideas?

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🟠 $160K by Christmas? Bitcoin sets up a “medium” comeback

BTC is dipping again, but economist Timothy Peterson’s research suggests there’s nothing to worry about — more upside is ahead.

📉 September is traditionally a weak month for Bitcoin. In its entire history, it has never closed above +8%. But this could just be a “frontrun” — the market pricing in the drop early.

💭 Peterson writes:
“Exactly 4 months until Christmas. In 70% of cases, Bitcoin rises during this period. The average gain is +44%.”


That puts a target at $160K by the last week of the year.

💭 Trader Donnie isn’t worried about the current dip either:
“The scale is different — but the result is the same. Much higher.”


He compared BTC’s chart to gold and the 2017 cycle — both hint at continued growth.

Yes, the “$250K” scenario sounds bold. But even the “medium” case of $160K by the end of 2025 would mark a new all-time high.

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🤑 TON on Robinhood: listing confirmed

U.S. platform Robinhood has added $TON to its list of tradable assets. Now the token can be purchased directly on one of the most popular American fintech platforms (Robinhood Markets, Inc.).

📈 On the news, TON jumped +3.5% to $3.29, but quickly began to pull back.

Listing on Robinhood is a step toward the mainstream: the token now has access to the massive audience of American retail investors.

The only question is whether this impulse will be enough to sustain the hype, or if we’ll see the classic “sell the news.”

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🪙 Bitcoin and the “Whale Games”: Market Under Pressure

BTC has once again dropped below $110K, and according to traders, the blame lies not with macro factors but with the old familiar “spoofy playbook.”

📉 In just one day, $350M in longs were wiped out as the price slid to $109,436. Trader Merlijn wrote:
“This isn’t noise. This is the whale playbook.”


He points to inflows into market maker Wintermute — for both BTC and ETH. The pattern looks familiar:
— consolidation → capitulation → breakout → rally.
According to BitBull, we are now in the capitulation phase, which could last “several weeks and provide good entry points.”

📊 Keith Alan from Material Indicators once again brought up the term “Spoofy The Whale” — when liquidity is deliberately moved around the order book to trap other participants.

🔥 But the bigger trigger ahead is the PCE index — the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.
Crypto host Kyle Doops writes:
“PCE could either add fuel to the dump… or trigger a rally.”


The market is literally “swaying” in anticipation of the data, with investors’ attention focused on the Fed’s September rate decision.

👉 The question: is this just another whale manipulation, or the real start of a deep correction?

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🟠 MVRV sends a warning: “death cross” on the chart

Bitcoin is once again under analysts’ scrutiny. This time, the reason is the MVRV indicator — it recorded a “death cross” between the 30- and 365-day moving averages. The last time this happened was in 2021, and the outcome was grim: a 77% drop from $69K to $15.5K.

🗣 Analyst CryptoQuant Yonsei_dent writes:
“MVRV momentum shows clear signs of exhaustion… history doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes.”


📊 Ali Martinez adds:
“The death cross signals a macro shift from positive to negative.”
Forecasts in such a scenario sound harsh — from $105K down to $60K if the market enters a full bear cycle.


But it’s not all doom. The MVRV Z-score is far from the danger zone. Historically, peaks occurred at values of 7–9. Now — only 2.

🗣 Stockmoney Lizards remind:
“We’re nowhere near the overheating zone. People aren’t sitting on massive unrealized profits like in previous cycles. That means — there’s still room for growth.”


⚡️ Bottom line: the market is balancing between “death cross” fears and the cold facts of on-chain data. The ceiling may not be $124K but as high as $260K if the bullish scenario plays out fully.

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🟠 Bitcoin and the “Bottom at $107K” Signal

BTC has once again triggered a rare indicator that historically appears only during local reversals. This time, the focus is on short-term holders.

📉 STH Capitulation

Frank Fetter of Vibes Capital writes:
“We’ve officially got an Oversold print on short-term holders. This happened only twice this year — both times it coincided with a market bottom.”


The STH-MVRV broke below the lower Bollinger Band, pointing to oversold conditions. Similar cases include:
🟡 August 2024, during the yen carry trade unwind
🟡 April 2025, amid U.S. tariffs and BTC’s drop below $75K

📊 Current situation
🟡 Bitcoin has dropped to $107K, with the realized price of short-term holders matching spot
🟡 This zone usually becomes support in a bull cycle
🟡 Losing it increases the risk of prolonged weakness

⌨️ What the charts say

On lower timeframes, RSI is forming a bullish divergence, hinting at a rebound. But on the daily, MVRV has already shown a death cross — selling pressure is still strong.

The market is on edge. Either STH will once again save BTC, as before, or we’re going deeper to search for a true bottom.

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🪙 CIMG, Strategy, and Metaplanet: Corporate Bitcoin Hunt Continues

Big players are once again expanding their crypto reserves. This week, three companies showed that the trend of “corporations buying BTC” is not just alive — it’s accelerating.

📊 CIMG Inc

The company issued 220M shares and raised $55M to buy 500 BTC. CEO Wang Jianshuang said:
“We intend to continue building reserves and creating bridges between AI and the crypto ecosystem.”


🟡 Strategy (ex-MicroStrategy)
— Purchased 4,048 BTC for $449M at an average price of $110,981
— Total holdings: 636,505 BTC — the largest corporate wallet in the world

🟡 Metaplanet (Japan)
— Approved a capital restructuring for future billion-dollar rounds
— Already holds 20,000 BTC, ranking sixth among public companies

🔥 Against the backdrop of record U.S. debt and a weakening dollar, corporate balance sheets are increasingly turning into Bitcoin treasuries.

The only question: who will be next to follow in the footsteps of Saylor and Metaplanet?

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🟠 American Bitcoin: first day on Nasdaq with drama and profit

American Bitcoin (ABTC), linked to Eric and Donald Trump Jr., had wild swings on its debut: the stock soared +91%, crashed into the red, and still closed with a +16% gain.

📉 Trading and volatility

🟡 Start: $6.90 → peak $13.20 → drop to $6.72
🟡 Close: +16.5% at $8.45 in after-hours
🟡 Nasdaq halted trading five times due to overheating

📊 What’s behind the project

🟡 American Bitcoin emerged through a merger with Gryphon Digital Mining
🟡 The company holds 2,443 BTC ($273M), ranking 25th among public holders
🟡 Model: hybrid — mining and purchasing Bitcoin for treasury

🗣Eric Trump on the launch:
“This is an incredible day and the result of enormous work. The FOMO is only beginning.”


On criticism over his father’s politics:
“This is illegitimate. I myself was debanked in the US — that’s why I got into this business. My father has nothing to do with it.”


🔥 Context

🟡 This is the Trump family’s second crypto move in a week: their World Liberty Financial (WLFI) token just listed on exchanges (but already dropped -30%).
🟡 The company valued Eric Trump’s stake at ~$548M.

So now America has its own “Trump-coin,” only via shares. And turbulence is just getting started.

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🪙 Bitcoin and the U.S. labor market: all eyes on Friday

BTC is hanging on the edge — $112K not yet broken, with a key U.S. labor market report ahead.

📉 What’s happening now

On Wednesday, Bitcoin tried to break above $112,600, but the Asian session dragged the price back down to $109,329. Pressure increased after weak hiring data: ADP showed only +54K new jobs versus the expected 75K.

📊 Why it matters

The main labor market report comes out Friday. Economists expect +80K jobs, but there’s risk of a miss. Already today, official stats recorded more unemployed (7.24M) than employed (7.18M).

For Bitcoiners, this could be a trigger. A cooling labor market = reason for the Fed to cut rates. And the market is almost certain: probability of a September cut is 97.6% according to CME FedWatch.

🔥 What traders are doing

Despite the fear, Hyblock data shows both retail and institutions keep buying spot. Liquidations cluster around $109K–$111,200, where short sellers are locking in profits.

📈 If Friday’s report turns out weak, the Fed could speed up its pivot — giving BTC a chance to reclaim $112K and attempt a move back to $120K.

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🟠 You know, in Bitcoin it’s almost impossible to lose money.

Sounds funny, especially for those who just caught -20% on alts yesterday. But facts are stubborn things.

🟡 Intraday? You close at a loss 47% of the time.
🟡 Hold for a month? Down to 42%.
🟡 A year? Only 24%.
But if you’ve got the guts to sit for 3+ years — the chance of losing approaches zero.

Glassnode and Bitwise crunched the data from 2010 to 2025 and came to a simple conclusion: traders think they’re smarter than the market, but the market just laughs. In Bitcoin, the winners aren’t the ones yelling “long/short,” but the ones patient enough to endure cycles.

So yes, holders still look like boring nerds. But they’re the ones walking away with profits while the rest of us are drawing arrows and hunting for the “perfect entry.”

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🤑 TON promised integration with “one of the most reliable platforms in the world”

Sounds like Visa itself might pop up any minute and say: “Hey, we’re on TON too” 👋

No details yet, just the vague word “reliable.” Reads like a hint at a financial service or exchange. And then OpenSea suddenly showed up on ton-Twitter, with a promo clip flashing a logo suspiciously similar to Notcoin. Coincidence? Yeah, sure 😌

For holders, the signal is clear: integrations like this mean fresh blood and new on/off-ramps. Which means liquidity and attention will follow. But so will fake announcements — no surprise there.

So yeah, keep hammering F5 on TON’s official accounts and filter out the noise. Because every time TON teases a “big integration,” the market either shoots up or crashes on expectations.

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🟠 Bitcoin: market needs $104K for “capitulation”

Bitcoin is once again playing out the classic script: euphoria → correction → panic. Glassnode says it bluntly: for the market to “exhale,” BTC has to drop another $8K down to $104K. Yes, you heard that right — even after $112K, it’s still not enough.

Right now, we’re stuck in the $104K–$114K range 📈📉 Historically, this is the sideways zone after peaks, when the crowd thinks “that’s it, the bear market is here,” but in reality, the market is just resting 📊

Meanwhile, short-term holders (those holding up to six months) turned from geniuses to losers in just one day: at $108K their profit collapsed from 90% to 42%. A legendary moment when a trader with a Batman avatar suddenly writes: “Screw it, I’m selling.”

Glassnode calls this “post-euphoria consolidation.” Sounds fancy, but the simple translation is: the market is shaking nerves and flushing out weak hands. The only real question: are we sliding into a bear market, or is this just another spin on the carousel called the “bull cycle”?

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