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— Keeping a close eye on crypto news so you don't miss the next 2009

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🪙 Bitcoin continues to absorb liquidity: A big player has placed a bet on $200K

🚀 Where and how is BTC gaining strength?

🟡 Bitcoin cut orders at $115K, triggering $130M worth of position liquidations
🟡 A big player with $23.7M is betting on $200K by the end of the year
🟡 Expert forecasts: the correction will finish, and the bulls will reach new highs again

💰 What’s happening?

🟡 CoinGlass data shows that liquidity is recovering below the current levels
🟡 However, analysts are confident: this isn’t a drop, but a correction before a new rally
🟡 Forecasts for the end of the year — $200K for Bitcoin, traders are betting on a new all-time high

📊 What should you focus on?

🟡 The $115K support level — a key point for confidence in a bullish trend
🟡 Daan Crypto Trades forecasts: if $115K doesn’t hold, the next level is $113,500
🟡 The market is set for growth, and the correction is low risk — a buying opportunity

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🟠 Bitcoin Approaching $120K: Market Preparing for a Storm

Before the week closes, BTC sharply bounced off a two-week low, getting closer to the liquidation zone. Traders are awaiting a breakout above $120K — or a return to $113K. Volatility is rising, and market makers are preparing for sharp movements.

📈 Sunday Bounce: Bulls Are Back in the Arena

🟡 BTC surged from $114,500 to $119,000 — all in just a few days
🟡 The reason — easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China
🟡 The market is trying to settle above the 10-day moving average
🟡 Focus is on breaking the $119,500–$120,000 zone: this would open the path to $123,000

📉 But a pullback is also possible

🟡 The liquidation level around $113,800–$114,500 remains a magnet
🟡 Analysts warn: a retracement is possible before the next rally
🟡 Large sell orders create strong resistance in the $119K–$120K zone

⚠️ What’s next?

🟡 GEX+ shows: market makers are “in a short range” — this may increase volatility
🟡 If there’s an upward breakout — short liquidations worth $1.1 billion could occur
🟡 Sharp movements are expected in the coming days: the range is tightening, and momentum is building

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🪙 Galaxy Dumped $450M in Bitcoin — The Market Didn’t Even Blink

Yesterday, Galaxy Digital transferred 3,782 BTC ($450M) to exchanges. But the price went… up. Instead of panic, there was a bounce to $119K. Investors ignored the risk and closed the gap on CME.

📌 What’s happening?

🟡 Galaxy is helping someone sell BTC again — but the market didn’t react like it did with the 80K bitcoins last week
🟡 Last week, there was a drop to $114.5K, now — a calm rise after testing $117K
🟡 The gap on CME was closed again on Monday — the fifth consecutive week
🟡 Current support — 21-day moving average at $117,480

📉 Flash sale possible

🟡 Analysts expect volatility ahead of the month’s close
🟡 Material Indicators: a quick sell-off is possible if support doesn’t hold
🟡 Daan: everything is going according to plan — gap closed, moving forward
🟡 Roman: either consolidation in the $115K–$119K range, or a pullback to $108K

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🪙 $110K or $141K? Bitcoin caught in a gravity trap

Glassnode warns: the next BTC move will be sharp — either down by 7% or toward a new peak.

📌 Why is $110K a critical zone?

🟡 Short-term holders bought BTC around $117K–$122K — that's where current support is forming
🟡 But the $115K–$110K range is a void — almost no one bought during the pump
🟡 This “air pocket” acts like a magnet — the market may want to retest it
🟡 If a drop begins, $110K is the natural zone to restart demand

📈 And if it goes up?

🟡 According to Glassnode, the next ceiling is $141K
🟡 That’s where short-term players would see max profit and might start cashing out
🟡 It also aligns with the +2σ zone — historically where seller pressure kicks in

The market is now suspended between a vacuum and a ceiling. Any move from here will be violent.

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🪙 No rate cut: the bull market may slow down

The Fed kept the key interest rate unchanged, and the chances of a rate cut in September dropped from 63% to 40%.

🟡 Jerome Powell avoided a clear forecast: “no decisions on September have been made yet”
🟡 U.S. inflation is at 2.7% and has been rising for four straight months
🟡 With trade tariffs and stable unemployment, arguments for a cut are fading
🟡 This slows the bull trend, but liquidity remains — investors aren’t leaving the market

⚠️ Why does this matter for crypto?

🟡 No rate cut means fresh money may flow in more slowly
🟡 Two dissenting votes in the FOMC — a rare sign of internal disagreement (first time in 30 years)
🟡 Markets still expect 1–2 rate cuts by year-end
🟡 Total crypto market cap stands at $3.94T — steady, but ready for a breakout

💬 “The market priced it in — no surprise, but don’t expect the rally to accelerate,” analysts say


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🪙 Bitcoin Falls Below $115K: Trump Sparks Tariff Panic

Trump signs a new tariff order — and the market tumbles in response.

🟡 BTC broke out of a three-week channel, sliding to $114,250
🟡 158,000 traders liquidated in 24 hours — $630M, mostly longs
🟡 $110B wiped from the market in 12 hours — mass investor exit
🟡 Next support zone is $111K if the drop continues

🌎 What is Trump doing?


🟡 Imposed new tariffs ranging from 19% to 39% on South Africa, Switzerland, Taiwan, and Thailand
🟡 Raised duties on Canada: from 25% to 35%
🟡 Struck trade deals with the EU, Japan, Korea, and the UK — but markets still tanked
🟡 Asian stock exchanges are deep in red — crypto is following

📊 A glimmer of hope

🟡 July’s BTC candle is the highest in history: closed at $115,784
🟡 All-time high this cycle: $122,800 (July 14)
🟡 Investors see this as a correction, not a crash
🟡 If a deal with China comes — the rebound could be quick

💬 “This isn’t a structural reversal, it’s an emotional flush triggered by geopolitics,” analysts say


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📲 DegenPhone — The Web3 Revolution of Identity

This isn’t about SIM cards. It’s about power
👑

You’re no longer just a user — you own a number that lives on-chain and does it all: registers accounts, receives SMS, integrates with AI agents, and flips for x10 on the secondary market 📈

The project kicks off with a pool of 1,000 NFT numbers. Season one features only Tier-1 countries: UK, U.S., Germany. Clean, fresh, premium numbers. Deposit 100 TON — get guaranteed allocation. Early birds get a +100% multiplier, then it drops. Fragment numbers were 600 TON and only worked for Telegram activation. Here — you get an API, parallel use of 10+ numbers, automation, privacy, and no KYC 🔥

Plus — a slick referral program and a contest for exclusive numbers. DegenPhone is Fragment 2.0 — smarter, cheaper, and with real utility 💸

Want that flip? Get in early. The rest will be watching you list +374888888 for the price of a car.
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🪙 Nexus Mutual pays out $250K after Arcadia hack

DeFi insurance finally proves its worth: users affected by the Arcadia Finance exploit have received compensation.

🟡 The hack happened in July — $3.5M in stablecoins was drained from Arcadia on Base
🟡 Some users submitted claims via OpenCover
🟡 Nexus Mutual has already paid out $250K
🟡 The funds came from an insurance pool with over $100M in active coverage
🟡 Payouts take up to 7 days — not like your old-school 90s insurance firm

🤔 Why it matters:

🟡 This is the first major payout case on Base
🟡 It proves on-chain insurance can be fast and functional
🟡 If DeFi can’t cover risks, no one will enter the space

Smart contracts don’t forgive mistakes. But now there's finally a mechanism that can protect not just code — but trust.

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🪙 BlackRock Pulls $292M from IBIT — Largest Outflow in 9 Weeks

The whales are trimming positions: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are seeing outflows for the third day in a row, despite a price rebound.

🟡 BlackRock saw a $292.5M outflow on Monday — its first since May
🟡 This ends a 37-day streak of consecutive inflows
🟡 BTC dropped to $112,300 over the weekend, then rebounded to $115K
🟡 IBIT brought in $5.2B in July alone, so this might just be noise

📉 How others are doing:

🟡 Fidelity — outflow of $40M
🟡 Grayscale — outflow of $10M
🟡 Bitwise — bucked the trend with $18.7M in inflows
🟡 Others — neutral

🔍 What it means:

🟡 Spot ETFs are cooling off — likely profit-taking after ATH and weak hands exiting
🟡 Still, the sector has seen $60B in inflows since January
🟡 IBIT’s volatility dropped below 40 — the lowest ever recorded
🟡 Less volatility attracts more institutional capital

ETFs have tamed Bitcoin — it's no longer a wild beast, but a well-trained gold-like asset for big funds.

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🎤 Tom Lee Is Back: $250K Bitcoin Target Still On for 2025

Stock market bull and longtime crypto optimist Tom Lee isn’t backing down. He’s still calling for Bitcoin to hit $250K by the end of next year — and sees $1M in the long run.

“Bitcoin needs to hold above $120K by year-end. $200K? Possible. $250K? Why not,” he said on the Coin Stories podcast.


🟡 His original $250K prediction was made in November 2024 with a 12-month deadline
🟡 Long term, Lee views $1M as a realistic target

🤔 What others are saying:

🟡 BitMEX and Unchained also eye $250K
🟡 Bernstein and Standard Chartered suggest a cautious $200K
🟡 Markus Thielen (10x Research) predicts a modest $160K
🟡 Matt Hougan of Bitwise says the halving cycle is “dead,” and real growth may come in 2026

📉 Market sentiment:

🟡 BTC fell from $123K to $112K
🟡 Fear & Greed Index dipped from 60 (greed) to 54 (neutral)
🟡 But Lee remains confident: “Skepticism is healthy. It creates room for surprise.”

When all the bulls turn into bears, the market may be ready for its next pump.

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🪙 Profit-Taking Slows Down: Bitcoin Cools Off — But the Bull Trend Is Alive

BTC still hasn’t reclaimed $120K, but there’s no panic: short-term holders are no longer selling at a profit — the market has entered a phase of balance.

💰 Glassnode:
🟡 STH profit-taking dropped to 45% — below the neutral zone
🟡 70% of STH coins are still in profit
🟡 The balance between profit and loss realization is “normal for the middle of a bull phase”

📉 Checkonchain:
🟡 “Weak hands” from the $123K top are exiting at breakeven
🟡 SOPR shows loss-taking is more active than profit-taking
🟡 “We expect a brief dip into the red zone and a bounce — a signal the bull run is still on”

Optimism remains: Tom Lee is still calling for $250K in 2025.

While some are exiting at breakeven, others are accumulating ahead of the next wave.

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📲 DegenPhone — not just a SIM, but blockchain power

Forget “just a Telegram number.” Here, you're not a user — you're the owner. Your number lives on TON as an NFT and does everything you need:
📩 Receives SMS
🤖 Works with AI bots via API
💸 Trades on secondary markets for up to x10

🚀 The first pool is now live: 1,000 numbers from top locations — UK, U.S., Germany.

🟡 Deposit 100 TON — get guaranteed access
🟡 +100% multiplier in the first hours
🟡 Clean, premium numbers with no KYC

On Fragment, you paid 600 TON just for a “checkmark number.” Here — it's Web3 identity, automation, multi-use, referral rewards, and custom numbers like +374888888. It’s sleek, and it works.

🔗 Get in before Season 1 ends
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🪙 Bitcoin “should” be worth $167K — energy doesn’t lie

Capriole Investments calculated that with the current record BTC hashrate, Bitcoin is trading at a 31% discount to its “fair” value.

💰 What the metrics say

🟡 Energy Value — $167,800 (current price $116K)
🟡 Hashrate — 1,031 ZH/s, new ATH on August 4
🟡 Discount deeper than in 2020, when BTC was $10K

📈 Why it matters

Miner energy = fundamental price floor. Rising hashrate and record network power signal network strength, even with a 10% drop from the peak.

Hash Ribbons flashed a fresh “buy” signal in late July. If BTC catches up to its Energy Value, we could see +45% upside.

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🪙 Strategy Marks 5 Years in BTC — +155 Coins Added

Michael Saylor keeps the tradition alive: on the fifth anniversary of the Bitcoin strategy, the company bought 155 BTC for $18M.

💰 Numbers & Facts

🟡 Total — 628,946 BTC ($46.1B), average price $73,288
🟡 First purchase: 21,454 BTC for $250M in August 2020
🟡 Since then — 74 purchases without a single pause

📈 Context

Since its first entry into BTC (+960% growth), Strategy hasn’t sold a single satoshi. Even at $120K, Saylor promises to keep buying “until 21M BTC in price in 21 years.”

Yes, 155 BTC is nearly the smallest buy in 5 years. But the “always buy” tradition is more alive than ever.

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🪙 Trump’s Adviser Plans $762M BTC “Smash Buy”

David Bailey, CEO of Nakamoto Inc. and crypto adviser to the U.S. President, announced plans to purchase ~6,400 BTC this week using a VWAP strategy to avoid moving the market.

🟡 Deal value — $762M, goal — enter the top BTC holders
🟡 Bailey is a key architect of Trump’s Bitcoin pivot and the author of a $200M PAC idea to lobby for BTC in the U.S.
🟡 Nakamoto’s new symbol is a bullish frog: “a treasure hunter and predator that eats everything growing BTC per share”

📈 Bitcoin corporate treasuries keep growing: 221 companies now hold 1.24M BTC.

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💰 $37T U.S. National Debt Pushes BTC Toward $132K

The U.S. federal debt has surpassed $37T for the first time — potentially fueling Bitcoin’s next surge. Rising M2 and possible quantitative easing (QE) could set the stage for a move to $132K by the end of 2025.

🟡 Debt grows faster than the economy: since 2020 — up 38% (from $26.7T to $37T). Over the same period, BTC gained 925%
🟡 Market sees a direct link. Ryan Lee (Bitget): “The higher the debt grows, the more likely BTC is to hit new all-time highs”
🟡 QE as a catalyst. Jamie Coutts (Real Vision): “The rise in M2 money supply could be the next major growth driver”
🟡 Rates above forecasts. Arthur Hayes: “If the Fed pivots back to QE, BTC could reach $250K”

Rising inflation and money supply are once again highlighting Bitcoin’s scarcity. One way or another, it seems time is on the hodlers’ side.

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🪙 Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High

BTC broke the $123,500 mark on Wednesday, surpassing the July record of $123,205. On Thursday morning in Singapore, it traded at $124,000, following the rise of the S&P 500, which also set a new record.

💰 Key growth factors:

🟡 Crypto-friendly political climate in Washington under Trump
🟡 Active BTC purchases by public companies, led by Michael Saylor’s Strategy
🟡 Expansion of this strategy to Ethereum and other assets
🟡 Capital inflows driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September

📊 Bitcoin’s market cap rose to $2.5tn, Ethereum’s to $575bn. Together, the two assets account for about 70% of the crypto market’s trading volume.

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📉 U.S. Treasury slows down Bitcoin — market cools

BTC failed to hold $120K, dropping to $118.7K after Scott Bessent said: “We will not buy Bitcoin, and will replenish reserves only with confiscated assets.”


Still, there’s one big positive — the U.S. has no plans to sell. The reserve is already worth $15–20B, and the White House calls it a “digital Fort Knox.”

🔥 On the horizon — a record $37T national debt and the good old QE, which could push Bitcoin to new highs.

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🪙 Solo Miner Hits the Jackpot Again

Over the weekend, a lone miner solved block #910,440 through the Solo CK pool and earned a reward of 3.137 BTC — about $371,000.

The block included 4,913 transactions, generating an additional $1,455 in fees.

💰 And this isn’t the first time this year: in February, July 4, and July 27, similar “solo players” also found blocks, each time taking home around ~$350K+.

💭 But the odds remain minimal. Samuel Lee, CTO of ASICKey, says:
“Solo mining is still a lottery. With one petahash, your chance is 1 in 650,000 to solve a block in 10 minutes.”


And while new hardware has become more powerful and energy-efficient, competition keeps growing: network difficulty stays around 129T, near its ATH.

Even major mining companies can’t handle the pressure — some are shifting into AI and HPC to offset declining margins.

But for solo players, this remains a crypto lottery where sometimes luck really strikes.

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🪙 Bitcoin and the Fed Chair: The Game Is Just Beginning

BTC is once again under macroeconomic pressure. Economist Alex Krüger believes the market is underestimating the main trigger — the change of the Federal Reserve Chair.

📉 While everyone is waiting for a September rate cut, Krüger writes:
“I am highly confident the cycle isn’t over, because a leadership change at the Fed will bring a much looser monetary policy. This will start to be priced in once Trump announces his candidate to replace Powell.”


📊 Right now, the market almost unanimously expects a rate cut on September 17 — with an 83.9% probability according to CME FedWatch. But Krüger hints: the real bull run will only kick off after news of Powell’s successor.

📰 According to CNBC, the shortlist for the Fed chair includes:
— David Zervos (Jefferies)
— Rick Rieder (BlackRock)
— Larry Lindsey (former Fed governor)

Other sources say the list has already narrowed to 3–4 names, and an announcement could come sooner.

🔥 Trump has made no secret of his hostility toward Powell. Back in April, he wrote:
“Powell’s firing can’t come soon enough!”


Now, all eyes are on the White House: the next Fed Chair could become the key catalyst driving BTC to new highs.

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📲 DegenPhone: Mint Starts Today

The previous pool sold out in 8 minutes and raised 160,000 TON (~$530K). That was just a teaser. Today the main show begins.

Schedule

15:00 CET — mint for pool participants
17:00 CET — NFT number auction

📈 Secondary market trades are already above the starting price, and tomorrow the public sale opens. This means only one thing — FOMO is officially on.

💎 Exclusive and “premium” numbers will go first. After that, it’ll be déjà vu of Fragment, where early birds made x40 out of nowhere.

Don’t miss the train — it won’t wait for you.

👉 Jump in at the start
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