📈 Bitcoin Predicted to Surge on March 25 Amid Dollar Weakness

The bullish trend for BTC may activate in three weeks, when the global money supply hits a new historical high.

🪙 Global Liquidity Pushing BTC Upward

⚪️ The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to 104, marking a 4-month low.

⚪️ If the trend continues, the global money supply will reach a new peak, says Andre Dragosch (Bitwise).

⚪️ M2 money supply in the U.S. is also rising, historically driving BTC upward.

1️⃣ "The rally in stocks, Bitcoin, and crypto-assets will be epic," said analyst Colin Talks Crypto.

2️⃣ "The approximate date for BTC’s surge is March 25."

🪙 The Chances of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in the U.S. are Already 71%

⚪️ On March 7, Trump will hold the White House Crypto Summit, where, according to U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, a strategic Bitcoin reserve may be confirmed.

⚪️ Bitwise’s forecast: The reserve will consist entirely of BTC.

⚪️ Kalshi’s prediction platform gives a 71% chance of the U.S. adopting a Bitcoin reserve fund – the highest probability ever recorded.

💬 "A strategic Bitcoin reserve is inevitable," said Anthony Pompliano (Professional Capital Management).

🪙 What to Expect?

⚪️ Financial shift in favor of BTC – a weakened dollar and increased global liquidity provide strong support.

⚪️ Trump’s summit on March 7 – potential announcement of Bitcoin reserves in the U.S.

⚪️ March 25 – a potential start date for a new bullish rally.

Keep an eye on the market – March could be a key month for BTC!

Satoshi Tweeted🔑

📰 U.S. Bitcoin Reserve, Trump Crypto Summit, DeFi Tax Exemption, and Other Events

Key events from last week in the world of cryptocurrency and economics:

🟠 Trump Signs Executive Order on Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

The White House officially announced the creation of a strategic BTC reserve. It holds 200,000 BTC seized in criminal and civil cases. Sales are prohibited, and the Treasury Department can increase reserves without tax implications.

🟠 White House Hosts First Crypto Summit

On March 7, Trump meets with industry leaders. Among the invitees are Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy), Brian Armstrong (Coinbase), Sergey Nazarov (Chainlink), Vlad Tenev (Robinhood), Arjun Sethi (Kraken). The summit is expected to discuss regulation and the U.S. strategy for crypto assets.

🟠 U.S. Senate Votes to Exempt Taxes for DeFi

The Senate approved a resolution 70-28 aimed at removing tax requirements for DeFi brokers. If the bill passes through Congress, Trump may sign it, marking a victory for decentralized platforms.

🟠 EU Lowers Interest Rates

The European Central Bank reduced the rate by 25 basis points to 2.5%. This is the fifth consecutive rate cut, which may affect liquidity in the crypto market.

🟠 IMF Tightens Requirements for El Salvador's Bitcoin Policy

In a new $1.4 billion loan agreement, the IMF demands that El Salvador discontinue government funding of Chivo (Bitcoin wallet), liquidate the Fidebitcoin fund, and disclose information about state BTC reserves.

🟠 Australia Abandons Crypto Reserve

The Australian government does not plan to create a cryptocurrency reserve, focusing instead on regulating digital assets. Experts believe the idea is too complex and carries centralization risks.

🟠 Bybit Loses 499,000 ETH in Attack

$1.5 billion worth of funds were stolen and laundered through THORChain within 10 days. As a result, the platform saw $5.9 billion in trading volume and $5.5 million in fees.

🟠 Tether Freezes $27M USDT Tied to Garantex

Garantex, a Russian crypto exchange, was sanctioned by the EU, leading Tether to freeze $27 million USDT. The exchange suspended operations and warned users of the risk of losing funds.

🟠 SBF Claims Politics Influenced His Sentence

Sam Bankman-Fried stated that his 25-year sentence may have been politically motivated. He also criticized former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, accusing him of heavy-handed pressure on the crypto industry.

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📉 BTC/Gold Ratio Breaks 12-Year Support – Is Bitcoin Heading to $65K?

🤑 Gold Hits Record $3,000, $BTC Loses Ground

1️⃣ BTC/XAU broke a 12-year upward trend on March 14, which could signal the end of Bitcoin’s bull cycle, warns NorthStar.

2️⃣ Gold has increased by 12.8% YTD, while Bitcoin has fallen by 11%.

3️⃣ Inflows into gold ETFs reached $23.18 billion, while Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. saw outflows of $1.46 billion.

"If BTC/XAU stays below the trendline for more than a week, it will reinforce the bearish scenario," says NorthStar.

🤑 Historical Analogy: Will 2021-2022 Repeat?

⚪️ Last time BTC/XAU dropped before a 68% crash in BTC/USD.

⚪️ RSI indicates bearish divergence, which could intensify pressure on the price.

⚪️ The next target is $65K if BTC/XAU breaks support at the 50-2W EMA (~26 XAU).

💬 "A correction to $65K is possible, but it remains within a bullish market," says Nansen.

💬 "If BTC drops below the 50-2W EMA, the market risks entering a bearish phase."

🤑 What's Next?

⚪️ BTC must stay above $65K to maintain a bullish trend.

⚪️ A break below this level targets $34,850 (200-2W EMA) if BTC/Gold repeats the 2021-2022 pattern.

⚪️ Investors are watching central banks and flows into gold/ETFs.

BTC remains under pressure, but a bullish scenario is possible if it holds above the EMA. Stay tuned for market updates!

Satoshi Tweeted🔑

📰 Trump-Binance Deal, MGX Investment in Binance, and US Crypto Regulations

Key events of the week in the world of cryptocurrency and economy:

🟠 Trump Family in Talks to Buy a Stake in Binance US, CZ Denies Pardon Negotiations

The Wall Street Journal reports that representatives of the Trump family were in discussions to acquire a stake in Binance US. According to media sources, CZ allegedly sought a presidential pardon.

However, he denied these claims, stating that he never discussed a deal with the Trump family and believes that the WSJ article may be intended as an attack on the crypto industry.

🟠 Binance Secures $2 Billion Investment from Abu Dhabi’s MGX

This deal marks the largest institutional investment in a crypto company. The investor is the UAE government, and the transaction was completed entirely in stablecoins.

Binance co-founder He Yi noted that the exchange prefers investors with sovereign capital.

🟠 Binance Delists Market Makers GPS and SHELL for Manipulation

The exchange identified violations in the market-making activities of GoPlus Security (GPS) and MyShell (SHELL), freezing the market maker’s revenues to compensate affected users.

Animoca Brands stated that it has no involvement in these processes and is unaware of who was behind the scheme.

🟠 US Inflation Declines: Core CPI for February Drops to 3.1%

This is the lowest figure since April 2021. The data came in below expectations, strengthening the US stock market.

🟠 Trump Prepares Order to Lift Banking Restrictions on the Crypto Industry

The document aims to repeal the Operation Chokepoint 2.0 policy, which restricted crypto companies’ access to banking services.

The White House confirmed that work on the order is underway, and it may include stablecoin regulations.

🟠 SEC Delays Approval of Multiple Spot Crypto ETFs

The review of ETFs for Solana, $XRP, $DOGE, and $LTC has been postponed. Bloomberg previously predicted that the regulator would not make any decisions until a new chairman is appointed.

🟠 US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve to Launch Sooner Than Expected

The head of Bitcoin Magazine stated that implementing the executive order on the Bitcoin reserve will take weeks rather than months or years.

🟠 BBVA Receives Approval to Trade $BTC and $ETH in Spain

The country’s second-largest bank has obtained regulatory approval to offer cryptocurrency trading services.

🟠 MicroStrategy Plans to Issue $21 Billion in Preferred Stock

The company intends to use the raised funds to continue its Bitcoin strategy, though the document does not specify exact plans for purchasing $BTC.

🟠 Vitalik Buterin: Ethereum Must Attract Mass Adoption

At the Based Rollup Summit, Vitalik stated that Ethereum's main goal is scaling to 10,000 TPS and developing the DAO, ICO, and social platform ecosystem.

Satoshi Tweeted🔑

🖥 Fifth Consecutive Capital Outflow: A Record $6.4 Billion in 5 Weeks

The digital asset market is experiencing the largest wave of outflows in history—totaling $6.4 billion over the past five weeks.

In just the last week alone, outflows reached $1.7 billion, while the negative trend has now continued for 17 consecutive days.

This marks the longest period of net outflows since 2015.

📊 Where Is Capital Draining From?

U.S. – The epicenter of sell-offs: $1.16 billion in outflows, accounting for 93% of all losses.

Switzerland – $528 million outflow, driven by the exit of a key investor.

Germany – The only country with inflows: +$8 million.

🪙 Bitcoin at the Center of Sell-Offs

🔻 $BTC lost another $978 million, bringing the total 5-week outflow to $5.4 billion.

🔻 Ethereum and Solana are also under pressure: $ETH -$175M, $SOL -$2.2M.

🔻 Binance’s assets under management have nearly been wiped out—only $15M remains after a seed investor exited.

However, not all crypto assets are declining:

$XRP +$1.8M – continues to defy the trend, attracting institutional capital.

📉 What’s Next?

The total assets under management (AUM) of crypto funds have shrunk by $48 billion following this correction wave.

Despite the ongoing downtrend, the year-to-date investment balance in digital assets remains positive at $912M.

Does this signal an approaching market reversal, or is another wave of correction ahead?

Drop a reaction:

❤️ – This is temporary, the market will recover

👍 – Capital outflows will continue, but BTC will hold

🔥 – The sell-off isn’t over yet

Satoshi Tweeted🔑

🇺🇸 $BTC Targets $86K After Fed Signals Rate Cuts in 2025

Bitcoin surged immediately following the Federal Reserve meeting and Jerome Powell’s speech.

The Fed announced the possibility of two rate cuts in 2025. More details below.

👤 What Did Powell Say?

The Fed maintained interest rates at 4.25%-4.5%.

In its 2025 forecast, the central bank signaled the likelihood of two rate cuts.

The Fed also plans to reduce the monthly limit on Treasury bond purchases from $25 billion to $5 billion, which became a key driver of market growth.

Powell emphasized that controlling inflation remains a priority. During the meeting, he maintained a neutral stance and refrained from making negative comments.

Much of this outcome is linked to Trump’s new trade policy, as he recently stated:

"It would be much better if the Fed lowered rates, as U.S. tariffs are beginning to weaken the economy."

🪙 How Did It Impact $BTC?

As long as the Fed keeps interest rates high, Bitcoin will remain under pressure.

For $BTC to break through the next resistance level, a significant macroeconomic improvement is needed:

⚪️ A sustained decline in interest rates.

⚪️ Increased institutional investments in cryptocurrencies.

⚪️ Positive developments in crypto regulation.

If rate cuts begin in 2025, the crypto market could gain fresh momentum for growth.

Drop a reaction—where do you think BTC is headed?

❤️ — Bitcoin to $100K is possible

👍 — BTC will trade between $85K-$95K

🔥 — A market correction could be coming

Satoshi Tweeted🔑

🐋 BTC is being held, whales are buying: what’s really going on?

At the start of the week, Bitcoin dropped to $76,600 — the lowest level in 4 months. Then the price rebounded following the Fed meeting.

But during the dip, long-term holders didn’t panic — and here’s why.

📉 LTHs are holding, not selling

According to Glassnode, long-term holder activity (coins held for 155+ days) remains low.

The Binary Spending indicator is falling — sell pressure has almost disappeared.

“There’s a behavioral shift. Holders are no longer rushing to take profits,” analysts say.

In previous cycles, sharp pullbacks triggered mass exits. This time — we’re seeing calm and confidence.

📈 New whales are entering the market

CryptoQuant data shows that wallets with 1,000+ BTC (acquired within the last 6 months) have accumulated over 1 million BTC since November. Just in March — more than 200,000 BTC.

“This isn’t retail. These are institutions. They’re here for the long game,” analysts note.

📊 What does this mean for the market?

Old players aren’t exiting. New ones are entering aggressively.
This doesn’t look like a typical end-of-cycle phase.

🪙 What’s next?

Some analysts say it’s a normal correction. But CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju warns:

“The bull cycle is over. Expect 6–12 months of sideways or bearish price action.”

Drop the reaction: What do you think is next?

❤️ — BTC still has room to grow

👍 — Sideways movement through the rest of the year

🔥 — This is the start of a bear phase

Satoshi Tweeted🔑