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— Keeping a close eye on crypto news so you don't miss the next 2009

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🪙 Reason for BTC's Drop: The Unfilled CME Gap

As of February 27, BTC is trading at $85,800, having lost 3% in a day and 10% in a week.

Bitcoin may continue to decline, particularly due to the unfilled CME gap below $80,000.


🪙 What Is an Unfilled CME Gap?

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) trades Bitcoin futures, but unlike the spot market, CME closes on weekends and holidays.

This results in gaps—sudden price breaks on the Bitcoin futures chart.

Historically, these gaps tend to get filled, driven by market psychology and institutional strategies.

One such unfilled gap remains at $77,930–$80,670, left after BTC surged above $90,000 in November 2024.


🪙 What Are Analysts Saying?

Analysts believe that if BTC fills the gap, it could set the stage for a new uptrend.

However, if BTC fails to hold above $77,000, further decline is likely.


💬 Analyst AlphaBTC shared on X:

⚪️ "Bitcoin is hanging on for dear life," having lost support at $85,000.

⚪️ BTC has already broken key support levels and corrected the liquidity imbalance from the "Trump pump."

⚪️ If BTC doesn’t hold above the CME gap at $77,000, the next target is $73,000.

💬 Analyst Michael van de Poppe (MN Capital) added:

⚪️ BTC lost liquidity below $85,500, significantly increasing the risk of further decline.

⚪️ Meanwhile, altcoins are aggressively gaining against BTC, which could add more selling pressure.

Conclusion: The market remains in a correction phase, and if BTC fails to hold $80,000, a drop to $73,000 is a realistic scenario.

However, historically, BTC has often rebounded after major liquidations, so panic may be premature.


Drop the reaction: what’s next for BTC?

❤️ — Bounce back above $85K soon

👍 — BTC will stay in the $78-85K range

🔥 — $73K or lower, bearish trend continues

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📊 Bitcoin Reserving Bill in the U.S.: Progress, Challenges, and Market Impact

The Bitcoin reserving bill is progressing at both the state and federal levels, but recent developments show mixed results.

While more than 25 states have already introduced bills to include BTC in reserves, significant obstacles remain.


🤑 Progress and Challenges at the State Level

25 U.S. states have proposed bills for reserving BTC, but the process is not easy.

4 states (Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Ohio) rejected the bills, questioning the prospects of their adoption.

Utah, Arizona, and Oklahoma are leading in pushing the bill forward: Utah has already passed key votes in the House of Representatives and Senate.

🤑 “Bitcoin is one of the best investments, but its volatility makes it unsuitable for government reserves,” — Patrick Fleming, Investment Director of the Ohio Treasury.


📉 Impact on the Federal Bitcoin Reserving Bill

State rejections may influence Congress legislators, slowing down the bill's passage at the national level.

Republican states contradict themselves by rejecting the bills, despite their pro-crypto stance.

Regulatory uncertainty prevents states from initiating large-scale BTC purchases.

📈 Fundamental Growth Drivers for Bitcoin in This Cycle

Launch of spot BTC ETFs — the fastest-growing ETF in history.

Institutional and sovereign funds — The Abu Dhabi Sovereign Wealth Fund officially holds BTC.

Simplified regulation — new accounting standards allow BTC to be recorded at market value.

Unlike the previous cycle, where GameFi, NFTs, and altcoins dominated, BTC remains the main asset, and its market share is steadily growing.


What’s next?

Utah's Senate vote in March could make it the first state in the U.S. to officially adopt Bitcoin reserving.

Votes are expected in Oklahoma and Arizona — their success could push other states to pass the bill.

Federal discussions continue, but success at the state level will be a key factor.

With increasing BTC market capitalization, historical data points to further potential growth.

Will this cycle meet Bitcoin's fundamental expectations? Stay tuned for developments.


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🚀 EVAA Protocol is Calling for Partners for DeFi Bootcamp!

Our team at EVAA Protocol is organizing the DeFi Bootcamp – a high-impact pitching event showcasing top-tier projects from Open League hackathons and bootcamps.


👀 We’re looking for partners to:

Repost our announcement on X/Telegram
Contribute to the startup competition prize pool

🤝 Why Join as a Partner?

Your logo featured in the partner section today
Exposure to builders, VCs, and DeFi leaders
Supporting early-stage projects in the TON ecosystem

📍 Where & When?
March 6 | Brmlab Hackerspace, Prague
A legendary venue where the first BTC ATMs and Trezor wallets were built.

🔥 Agenda Highlights
⚪️ Startup battle & pitch session
⚪️Keynote by Bilal (PyratzLabs & TON Battleground)
⚪️TON dev products talk by Rostislav (CBDO, Tonkeeper)
⚪️ Roundtable: Growth, fundraising, auditing, expansion in TON DeFi
⚪️ Community strategy session with Viktor (Global Community Lead, TON Society)
⚪️ Winner announcement

🎟 Free entry! Register now: lu.ma/z0m3zbnf

Want to support us with a repost or join as a contributor? DM us – and we’ll add your logo today!

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📰 SEC Closes Crypto Lawsuits, BTC Drops Below $80K, OKX Settles with U.S.

Important events of the past week in the world of cryptocurrency and economics:

🟠 BTC Drops Below $80K, ETH Falls Below $2,100

On Friday, BTC hit a low of $78,258 before rebounding to $80,514, marking a 7.22% decline in 24 hours. ETH also dipped below $2,100, with a low of $2,074, currently at $2,136 (-8.02%).

Total market liquidations reached $953m, with long positions accounting for $827m.


🟠 SEC Ends Investigations into Multiple Crypto Firms

The SEC has closed cases against Uniswap, Gemini, Coinbase, and MetaMask, signaling a shift away from aggressive enforcement. Commissioner Hester Peirce criticized the SEC's overreliance on enforcement rather than regulatory clarity.

🟠 SEC Receives Grayscale's Ethereum ETF Staking Application

The SEC acknowledged NYSE Arca’s 19b-4 filing for Grayscale’s Ethereum ETF staking feature, marking another step toward broader crypto integration.

🟠 SEC Clarifies Meme Coins Are Not Securities

The SEC issued guidance stating that meme coins are not securities, as their value is purely speculative. However, fraudulent meme coin schemes could still face regulatory action.

🟠 OKX Settles with U.S., Pays $505M in Penalties

OKX’s Seychelles subsidiary, Aux Cayes FinTech, reached a $505M settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice over unauthorized remittance operations. OKX pledged to strengthen KYC and AML systems.

🟠 Oklahoma’s Bitcoin Reserve Bill Advances

The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (HB 1203) passed the House Committee, allowing the state to invest up to 10% of public funds in BTC.

Meanwhile, Utah leads in Bitcoin reserve legislation, while Montana, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and Wyoming face setbacks.


🟠 U.S. House Votes to Repeal DeFi Broker Rules

A resolution to abolish the IRS DeFi Broker Rule passed in the House Ways and Means Committee (26-16 vote). If approved by Congress and President Trump, it would eliminate DeFi reporting requirements set for 2027.

🟠 SBF Breaks Silence from Jail

Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) tweeted for the first time in two years, discussing layoffs and FTX’s $950M bankruptcy legal fees—one of the most expensive Chapter 11 cases since Lehman Brothers.

🟠 PayPal Expands PYUSD Stablecoin Adoption

By end of 2025, PayPal aims to integrate PYUSD into global payments and enable crypto settlements for merchants. 20M+ businesses will soon accept PYUSD for vendor fees.

🟠 Cobo Warns of Cybersecurity Risks, Predicts Market Recovery in H2 2025

Cobo's CEO reflected on a 12,000 ETH hack and warned of state-level cyber threats in crypto. He predicts capital inflows into crypto between June and October, depending on U.S. Bitcoin reserve policy clarity.

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📊 February: Growth in Crypto Venture Deals and Investments

February 2025 saw growth in both the number of deals and investment volume.

According to RootData, 98 projects were announced, 14% more than in January (86), but 35.1% fewer than in February last year (151).


Important: Not all investment rounds are disclosed at the time of their occurrence, so the figures may change.

📊 Investment Distribution by Sector

▪️ CeFi — 7.1%
▪️ DeFi — 31.6%
▪️ NFT/GameFi — 10.2%
▪️ L1/L2 — 7.1%
▪️ RWA/DePIN — 12.2%
▪️ Tools and Wallets — 10.2%
▪️ Artificial Intelligence — 18.4%

📊 Investment Growth

Total investments in February amounted to $951 million.

This is 14.4% more than in January ($831 million) and 24.3% more than in February 2024 ($765 million).


🔝 Top 3 Largest Deals of February


1️⃣ Figure & Sixth Street — $200 million. Investment in increasing liquidity for private lending.

2️⃣ Ethena — $100 million. Token launch for traditional financial institutions.

3️⃣ Bitwise — $70 million. Expansion of crypto fund capabilities.

📊 Conclusions

February showed that venture capital is returning to the crypto sector, especially with growing interest in DeFi, AI, and stablecoins.

However, despite the positive dynamics, the investment volume is still lower than in 2024, indicating selective interest from funds, with attention focused on strategic projects.


What’s next? Will crypto projects maintain the pace of capital raising in 2025, or will the market face another funding slowdown?

What do you think - React:

❤️ — Investments will continue to grow

👍 — Funds will be cautious

🔥 — The market expects a cooling down

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🇺🇸 $BTC or Altcoins: The U.S. to Introduce Strategic Reserve

U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnik, confirmed that on March 7, a strategy for Bitcoin reserve will be presented at a summit at the White House.

However, the key question is whether $BTC will be the only asset in the national crypto reserve.

Will Bitcoin Get Special Status?

There are two opinions:

1️⃣ "The President definitely believes there should be a strategic Bitcoin reserve," said Lutnik in an interview with The Pavlovic Today.

2️⃣ "Other crypto assets, such as $ETH, $SOL, $ADA, and $XRP, will also be in the reserve, but Bitcoin will likely have special status."

🪙 Criticism of Including Altcoins

Many believe the reserve should be only in BTC, as the only decentralized asset.

Even Peter Schiff, a well-known Bitcoin critic, stated that he understands the logic behind a BTC reserve but does not support the inclusion of altcoins.

Lutnik hinted that altcoins will not be excluded:

"Bitcoin is one thing, and other cryptocurrencies will be considered differently – positively, but differently," added the Commerce Secretary.


🪙 Why is the summit important?

⚪️ A historic shift in U.S. policy towards digital assets.

⚪️ Trump promised to make the U.S. the crypto and blockchain capital of the world.

⚪️ The SEC has formed a crypto group to develop sensible industry regulations.

🪙 What to expect?

It is likely we will see the confirmation of $BTC’s status as a strategic asset and a final decision on including altcoins.

New initiatives for regulating the crypto industry in the U.S. may also come soon.

Stay tuned – the summit may change the global crypto market.


Leave your reaction: What’s next for BTC after the summit?

🔥 — $BTC will skyrocket to record highs

❤️ — It will stay around $80-95k

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📈 Bitcoin Predicted to Surge on March 25 Amid Dollar Weakness

The bullish trend for BTC may activate in three weeks, when the global money supply hits a new historical high.

🪙 Global Liquidity Pushing BTC Upward

⚪️ The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to 104, marking a 4-month low.

⚪️ If the trend continues, the global money supply will reach a new peak, says Andre Dragosch (Bitwise).

⚪️ M2 money supply in the U.S. is also rising, historically driving BTC upward.

1️⃣ "The rally in stocks, Bitcoin, and crypto-assets will be epic," said analyst Colin Talks Crypto.

2️⃣ "The approximate date for BTC’s surge is March 25."

🪙 The Chances of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in the U.S. are Already 71%

⚪️ On March 7, Trump will hold the White House Crypto Summit, where, according to U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, a strategic Bitcoin reserve may be confirmed.

⚪️ Bitwise’s forecast: The reserve will consist entirely of BTC.

⚪️ Kalshi’s prediction platform gives a 71% chance of the U.S. adopting a Bitcoin reserve fund – the highest probability ever recorded.

💬 "A strategic Bitcoin reserve is inevitable," said Anthony Pompliano (Professional Capital Management).

🪙 What to Expect?

⚪️ Financial shift in favor of BTC – a weakened dollar and increased global liquidity provide strong support.

⚪️ Trump’s summit on March 7 – potential announcement of Bitcoin reserves in the U.S.

⚪️ March 25 – a potential start date for a new bullish rally.

Keep an eye on the market – March could be a key month for BTC!


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🇺🇸 U.S. Confirms Ownership of 200,000 BTC in Strategic Reserve

The White House officially revealed that the U.S. holds 200,000 BTC, placed in the strategic reserve, according to a statement from a senior official ahead of the first White House Crypto Summit.

🪙 The U.S. Has Already Sold 200,000 BTC – Losses of $17 Billion

⚪️ The U.S. government has seized about 400,000 BTC in criminal and civil cases (including the Silk Road case).

⚪️ Half of the seized BTC was sold haphazardly over the last 10 years, costing taxpayers $17 billion, according to officials.

⚪️ Now, 200,000 BTC will remain in the strategic reserve for long-term storage.

💬 "We believe we have around 200,000 Bitcoins left, and we are placing them in the strategic reserve to maximize their value over the long term," said a White House representative.

what awaits bitcoin — follow on the channel of market maker Beaverson Trade 🦫


🪙 Trump Signed an Order to Create a Bitcoin Reserve

✍️ On March 6, Trump signed an executive order to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve, fulfilling his campaign promise.

⚪️ The government will no longer sell BTC.

⚪️ The Treasury and Commerce departments may increase reserves without putting pressure on the budget.

⚪️ A separate digital asset fund is being created in parallel, but its composition will not change.

💬 "If the ministers can find a way to increase BTC reserves without costing taxpayers, they are authorized to do so," said the official.

🪙 The U.S. Holds $18 Billion in Crypto Assets

According to Arkham Intelligence, the U.S. crypto portfolio includes:

⚪️ $17.6B in BTC

⚪️ $122M in ETH

⚪️ $122M in USDT

⚪️ $24M in BNB

🪙 Small amounts of DAI, TRX, LINK, UNI, and other tokens

Most of these assets were seized during criminal investigations (Silk Road, Bitfinex Hack, etc.).

Now the US is the largest institutional holder of BTC. The market is waiting for a reaction, and traders are looking for ways to make money


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📰 U.S. Bitcoin Reserve, Trump Crypto Summit, DeFi Tax Exemption, and Other Events

Key events from last week in the world of cryptocurrency and economics:

🟠 Trump Signs Executive Order on Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

The White House officially announced the creation of a strategic BTC reserve. It holds 200,000 BTC seized in criminal and civil cases. Sales are prohibited, and the Treasury Department can increase reserves without tax implications.

🟠 White House Hosts First Crypto Summit

On March 7, Trump meets with industry leaders. Among the invitees are Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy), Brian Armstrong (Coinbase), Sergey Nazarov (Chainlink), Vlad Tenev (Robinhood), Arjun Sethi (Kraken). The summit is expected to discuss regulation and the U.S. strategy for crypto assets.

🟠 U.S. Senate Votes to Exempt Taxes for DeFi

The Senate approved a resolution 70-28 aimed at removing tax requirements for DeFi brokers. If the bill passes through Congress, Trump may sign it, marking a victory for decentralized platforms.

🟠 EU Lowers Interest Rates

The European Central Bank reduced the rate by 25 basis points to 2.5%. This is the fifth consecutive rate cut, which may affect liquidity in the crypto market.

🟠 IMF Tightens Requirements for El Salvador's Bitcoin Policy

In a new $1.4 billion loan agreement, the IMF demands that El Salvador discontinue government funding of Chivo (Bitcoin wallet), liquidate the Fidebitcoin fund, and disclose information about state BTC reserves.

🟠 Australia Abandons Crypto Reserve

The Australian government does not plan to create a cryptocurrency reserve, focusing instead on regulating digital assets. Experts believe the idea is too complex and carries centralization risks.

🟠 Bybit Loses 499,000 ETH in Attack

$1.5 billion worth of funds were stolen and laundered through THORChain within 10 days. As a result, the platform saw $5.9 billion in trading volume and $5.5 million in fees.

🟠 Tether Freezes $27M USDT Tied to Garantex

Garantex, a Russian crypto exchange, was sanctioned by the EU, leading Tether to freeze $27 million USDT. The exchange suspended operations and warned users of the risk of losing funds.

🟠 SBF Claims Politics Influenced His Sentence

Sam Bankman-Fried stated that his 25-year sentence may have been politically motivated. He also criticized former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, accusing him of heavy-handed pressure on the crypto industry.

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📉 Is Bitcoin Going Below $70K?

🤑 $BTC could drop to $70K – a 36% decline from the $110K ATH is normal for a bull market, according to Arthur Hayes (BitMEX).

🤑 Financial Crisis as a Trigger for Growth

💬 "The real growth of $BTC will begin when stock markets (SPX, NDX) collapse and one of the big TradFi players goes bankrupt."

💬 This will prompt central banks (Fed, ECB, BOJ, NCB) to start printing money again, leading to liquidity inflows into BTC.

🤑 How to Act?

⚪️ Aggressive entry – buy $BTC during the market crash.

⚪️ Conservative entry – wait for official monetary easing by central banks.

$BTC below $70K could be an opportunity before the next bullish impulse.


React: What’s next for
$BTC?

👍🏻 — It will drop to $60K

🔥 — Hold the price and buy

❤️ — It will skyrocket to +$150K after the drop

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📉 EU Introduces Retaliatory Tariffs: Bitcoin Could Fall to $75K

Former market maker Beaverson Trade 🦫 shared his opinion:

🤑 EU Imposes $28 Billion in Tariffs Against the US

📆 Starting in April, the European Union will introduce retaliatory tariffs worth $28 billion in response to Trump's 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum.

🤑 BTC May Correct to $75K

1️⃣ Marcin Kazmierczak (RedStone): Bitcoin could revisit the $75K level, but stablecoins and real-world assets (RWA) at historical highs support the potential for recovery.

2️⃣ Some analysts expect a correction to $72K before BTC continues its upward trend.

🤑 Markets May Remain Under Pressure Until April 2

💬 "Tariff noise will last until early April and will dampen risk appetite," said Aureli Barter (Nansen).

💬 "Funds, institutional adoption, and regulation make BTC more resilient than traditional assets," said Ryan Lee (Bitget Research).

The market is monitoring the negotiations. Pressure on BTC remains, but the long-term outlook remains bullish.


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📉 US Inflation Drop Fuels Trade War Fears – $BTC Loses 2%

🪙 Bitcoin Drops 2% Due to Market Uncertainty

$BTC has dropped to $81,500, losing 2.3% in a day, as previously mentioned by Beaverson Trade 🦫 who even released a video.

The PPI index in February came in lower than expected, just like the CPI the day before.

💬 "The market is barely reacting to inflation data, which previously would have pushed the S&P 500 higher," – Kobeissi Letter.

💬 "This gives Trump grounds to continue his current trade policy."

🪙 Investors Fear Escalation of Trade War

⚪️ The US may continue escalating tariffs, limiting appetite for risk assets.

⚪️ The Fed is not planning to cut rates in March, with a 28% chance of a rate cut in May/June.

⚪️ The next target for $BTC is $85K, but the asset is facing resistance at the 200-day SMA.

💬 "$BTC is facing strong resistance at the 200-day MA for the fourth consecutive day," – Keith Alan (Material Indicators).

$BTC remains under pressure due to the Fed’s uncertainty and US trade policy, but moving above $85K would open the door for growth.


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📉 BTC/Gold Ratio Breaks 12-Year Support – Is Bitcoin Heading to $65K?

🤑 Gold Hits Record $3,000, $BTC Loses Ground

1️⃣ BTC/XAU broke a 12-year upward trend on March 14, which could signal the end of Bitcoin’s bull cycle, warns NorthStar.

2️⃣ Gold has increased by 12.8% YTD, while Bitcoin has fallen by 11%.

3️⃣ Inflows into gold ETFs reached $23.18 billion, while Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. saw outflows of $1.46 billion.

"If BTC/XAU stays below the trendline for more than a week, it will reinforce the bearish scenario," says NorthStar.


🤑 Historical Analogy: Will 2021-2022 Repeat?

⚪️ Last time BTC/XAU dropped before a 68% crash in BTC/USD.

⚪️ RSI indicates bearish divergence, which could intensify pressure on the price.

⚪️ The next target is $65K if BTC/XAU breaks support at the 50-2W EMA (~26 XAU).

💬 "A correction to $65K is possible, but it remains within a bullish market," says Nansen.

💬 "If BTC drops below the 50-2W EMA, the market risks entering a bearish phase."

🤑 What's Next?

⚪️ BTC must stay above $65K to maintain a bullish trend.

⚪️ A break below this level targets $34,850 (200-2W EMA) if BTC/Gold repeats the 2021-2022 pattern.

⚪️ Investors are watching central banks and flows into gold/ETFs.

BTC remains under pressure, but a bullish scenario is possible if it holds above the EMA. Stay tuned for market updates!


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📰 Trump-Binance Deal, MGX Investment in Binance, and US Crypto Regulations

Key events of the week in the world of cryptocurrency and economy:

🟠 Trump Family in Talks to Buy a Stake in Binance US, CZ Denies Pardon Negotiations

The Wall Street Journal reports that representatives of the Trump family were in discussions to acquire a stake in Binance US. According to media sources, CZ allegedly sought a presidential pardon.

However, he denied these claims, stating that he never discussed a deal with the Trump family and believes that the WSJ article may be intended as an attack on the crypto industry.


🟠 Binance Secures $2 Billion Investment from Abu Dhabi’s MGX

This deal marks the largest institutional investment in a crypto company. The investor is the UAE government, and the transaction was completed entirely in stablecoins.

Binance co-founder He Yi noted that the exchange prefers investors with sovereign capital.

🟠 Binance Delists Market Makers GPS and SHELL for Manipulation

The exchange identified violations in the market-making activities of GoPlus Security (GPS) and MyShell (SHELL), freezing the market maker’s revenues to compensate affected users.

Animoca Brands stated that it has no involvement in these processes and is unaware of who was behind the scheme.


🟠 US Inflation Declines: Core CPI for February Drops to 3.1%

This is the lowest figure since April 2021. The data came in below expectations, strengthening the US stock market.

🟠 Trump Prepares Order to Lift Banking Restrictions on the Crypto Industry

The document aims to repeal the Operation Chokepoint 2.0 policy, which restricted crypto companies’ access to banking services.

The White House confirmed that work on the order is underway, and it may include stablecoin regulations.


🟠 SEC Delays Approval of Multiple Spot Crypto ETFs

The review of ETFs for Solana, $XRP, $DOGE, and $LTC has been postponed. Bloomberg previously predicted that the regulator would not make any decisions until a new chairman is appointed.

🟠 US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve to Launch Sooner Than Expected

The head of Bitcoin Magazine stated that implementing the executive order on the Bitcoin reserve will take weeks rather than months or years.

🟠 BBVA Receives Approval to Trade $BTC and $ETH in Spain

The country’s second-largest bank has obtained regulatory approval to offer cryptocurrency trading services.

🟠 MicroStrategy Plans to Issue $21 Billion in Preferred Stock

The company intends to use the raised funds to continue its Bitcoin strategy, though the document does not specify exact plans for purchasing $BTC.

🟠 Vitalik Buterin: Ethereum Must Attract Mass Adoption

At the Based Rollup Summit, Vitalik stated that Ethereum's main goal is scaling to 10,000 TPS and developing the DAO, ICO, and social platform ecosystem.

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