Here are insights from an experienced trader, Bobrovsky, who rose from junior analyst to senior in a well-known market-making team.
His background in mathematics provides a deep understanding of market mechanics, so it’s beneficial to learn how he arrived at his conclusions about liquidity:
Liquidity refers to the zones on a chart where orders accumulate, such as stop-losses and limit orders. These areas attract big players because they allow them to enter large positions with minimized risk.
❗️ Important to Understand: Liquidity is almost always taken out. The price often breaks obvious support or resistance levels to “collect” traders’ stop-losses, then reverses.
Avoid taking trades in areas of obvious liquidity. Wait for these orders to be cleared and look for entry points afterward.
For example, if the price breaks a level and quickly returns, it may be a signal of a reversal.
BTC recently broke through the $100,000 level — a zone with a large cluster of liquidity.
However, the price quickly came back, indicating that major players are “collecting” stop orders before the next impulse.
🔍 What Does This Mean for Traders?
Bobrovsky recommends using liquidity heatmaps to see where orders cluster.
By the way, his Telegram channel is full of interesting market insights: forecasts, signals, and the heatmaps themselves.
This approach can help you predict price movements and avoid market-maker traps.
Follow liquidity zones and how price reacts to them, and stay informed.
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This became possible thanks to a new presidential order outlining the creation of a strategic reserve in Bitcoin.
Year-to-date (YTD) total investments have reached $4.8 billion, and assets under management continue to grow.
Bitcoin: $1.6 billion inflow, bringing its total for the year to $4.4 billion. Bitcoin accounted for 92% of all digital asset investments.
Ethereum: +$205 million, showing a recovery after recent outflows.
XRP: +$18.5 million for the week.
Solana, Chainlink, Polkadot: $6.9 million, $6.6 million, and $2.6 million respectively.
USA: Leads with $1.9 billion, as positive news strengthened investor confidence.
Switzerland: +$35 million
Germany: +$23 million
Canada: +$31 million
Trading Volume: $25 billion over the week, accounting for 37% of all trading on verified crypto exchanges.
The inflow confirms growing interest in digital assets amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
📎 Conclusions:
The presidential order has boosted investor confidence, especially in Bitcoin, which continues to attract the lion’s share of capital inflows.
Altcoins are rebounding but remain overshadowed by the market’s main asset. Long-term prospects depend on further economic decisions and overall market sentiment.
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Cryptocurrency exchange KuCoin has pleaded guilty to illegal operations in the U.S.
Founded in 2017, KuCoin had over 30 million registered users across 207 countries and territories as of March 2024.
Prosecutors stated that Seychelles-based KuCoin was used to process billions of dollars in suspicious transactions, including potential illicit proceeds related to darknet markets, malware, ransomware, and fraud.
The exchange failed to comply with AML and KYC requirements and was not registered with the U.S. Department of Treasury’s FinCEN (Financial Crimes Enforcement Network).
In 2023, KuCoin already paid $22 million for regulatory violations in New York.
New CEO BC Wong stated that KuCoin will strengthen compliance and attempt to re-enter the U.S. market with a license.
Despite the scandal, KuCoin remains the eighth-largest cryptocurrency exchange globally, trailing behind Binance and Coinbase.
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The U.S. Federal Reserve kept the key interest rate unchanged at 4.25–4.5% following its January 29, 2025 meeting.
Key Takeaways from the Fed:
Jerome Powell’s Statement: The Fed is shifting toward a less restrictive policy, though rates remain above the neutral level.
Powell refrained from commenting on Trump’s statements, noting he has had no direct contact with the president.
The new administration creates uncertainty for economic forecasts, but the Fed sees no reason for drastic action.
Powell addressed crypto regulation, stating:
The Fed maintains a cautious approach, keeping rates steady while leaving room for potential cuts in the second half of the year.
Markets reacted mutedly, awaiting further macroeconomic signals.
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Bitcoin remains the most secure and decentralized network, but its functionality is limited:
◼ Throughput ≈7 transactions per second
◼ Confirmation time ≈10 minutes
◼ High fees during network congestion
◼ No built-in support for smart contracts
These limitations make mass adoption of Bitcoin in DeFi, NFTs, and other applications impossible, while Ethereum and other blockchains continue to evolve in these areas.
Ethereum has already gone through the L2 expansion phase (Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync), but in Bitcoin's case:
Bitcoin Layer 2 development faces key obstacles:
Unlike Ethereum, where Layer 1 and Layer 2 evolve simultaneously, Bitcoin's innovations can only be implemented at the L2 level.
With the rise of projects like Cobo and Babylon and the advancement of custodial and staking solutions, Bitcoin L2 could become a key component of the next-generation financial infrastructure.
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KeyRock analyzed over 16,000 token unlocks and reached some interesting conclusions:
However, there’s a nuance: Unlocks for the ecosystem sometimes strengthen a token’s price (+1.18%) if demand remains steady.
An unlock is not just the release of new coins; it is a market trigger that can change the balance of supply and demand.
To understand how an event will affect the price, you need to consider:
Less than 1% of the supply → minimal pressure.
5–10% of the supply → volatility and drawdowns.
10%+ → the effect can be prolonged.
Team: –25% and strong pressure.
Investors: There is an impact, but their strategies tend to smooth out the effect.
Ecosystem: May even strengthen the price.
📊 KeyRock Strategy:
🧮 Current Situation:
In February, token unlocks totaling $2.9 billion are expected, which could bring significant corrections.
In a separate post, you can find market research from a leading crypto trader. He has identified which tokens will be unlocked in February and what percentage of the circulating supply they represent.
He also provided recommendations based on the current situation.
Unlocks are not a death sentence; they are a natural market process that helps maintain supply.
The key is to know which tokens are being unlocked and how to use them properly👍
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Key events that have impacted the global economy:
The company announced the launch of TruthFi and allocated up to $250 million for investments in crypto assets, including Bitcoin and ETFs.
The Arizona Senate approved a bill for a strategic Bitcoin reserve, which will allow up to 10% of state funds to be invested in crypto. A similar bill has been proposed in Illinois.
The company purchased 10,107 BTC for $1.1 billion, increasing its total holdings to 471,107 BTC.
Following a settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice, the exchange will pay $297.5 million and exit the U.S. market for two years.
The head of the bank proposed investing 5% of its €140 billion reserves in Bitcoin to diversify its assets.
99% of participants in an informal vote supported Danny Ryan as the new head of the Ethereum Foundation.
The top 5 include: CME Group, Coinbase, Bitstamp, Binance, and Robinhood, with total assets under management of $1.2 trillion.
David Balland suffered physical injuries in an attempt to collect a 10 million euro ransom in crypto. The police rescued him and arrested 10 criminals.
"Bitcoin Jesus" may face 109 years in prison for tax evasion. He reached out to Trump, but Elon Musk reminded everyone that Ver has already renounced his citizenship.
According to MIT, the former SEC Chairman will engage in teaching and research in the fields of AI, finance, fintech, and public policy.
The crypto industry is balancing between regulation and mass adoption, and Bitcoin is increasingly attracting institutional investors.
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In light of the recent drop in $BTC's price, many analysts have spotted signs of a so-called "bear trap" on the charts.
It is a situation where there is a temporary price decline that leads traders to believe a much larger drop is imminent. In such cases, the market may rebound sharply, trapping those who have shorted.
Donald Trump’s trade wars, with the imposition of tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico, led to Bitcoin falling from $100K to below $93K. Major altcoins also lost tens of percent of their value.
The market is now beginning to recover due to a temporary pause in tariff implementations during negotiations with these countries.
Interestingly, 74% of Polymarket users expect Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high by March 31.
*Polymarket is a prediction market, so the optimism might be somewhat exaggerated.
Bitcoin's rise or fall will increasingly depend on developments in the political arena.
Support for its price might come from a recently signed executive order related to the creation of a sovereign wealth fund. Cynthia Lummis has even hinted that this order could signal the start of state-backed BTC purchases.
Bitcoin may respond with another drop if the trade war escalates further. However, Bitwise strategist Jeff Park holds a different view:
"Trump's trade war could, on the contrary, lead to a sharp long-term increase in Bitcoin, as the cryptocurrency would be chosen as a means to safeguard savings against inflation caused by trade wars".
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Remember that scene from The Matrix where Neo is offered a choice—stay in his familiar world or uncover the truth?
Trading is no different: you can seek new knowledge, analyze the market, and understand processes—or just sit back and watch.
Knowledge creates opportunities. That’s why today, alongside trader Bobrovsky, we’re diving deeper into "Dumps in Crypto Trading" to separate risks from opportunities.
A market dump happens when the price of a cryptocurrency drops sharply. The reasons vary:
Bobrovsky’s advice: use dumps wisely:
The choice of strategy and tools depends on the situation. Bobrovsky recommends deep analysis and avoiding emotional decisions.
On his Telegram channel, he monitors market movements and predicts further trends. His insights are backed by a mathematical background and experience as a senior analyst at a major market maker.
The key is to control emotions, stick to risk management, and choose knowledge—because knowledge opens new perspectives.
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In his latest essay, BitMEX co-founder and former CEO Arthur Hayes explores the concept of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (BSR). Each subheading corresponds to a section of his essay:
🧞 "The Orange Genie"
Hayes paints a scenario where people wish for a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The desire is strong, but the consequences are unpredictable.
Governments accumulate assets for political gain rather than financial benefits.
Bitcoin itself is just a financial asset. Even if the U.S. buys 1 million BTC, the price surge would eventually stabilize.
A future administration could easily reverse such policies, making the reserve strategy uncertain.
Granting the wish for a Bitcoin reserve would lead to centralization and strict crypto regulations.
Crypto startups chasing the "American Dream" would be swallowed by monopolies hoarding digital assets.
🧞 "Make a Wish": The Evolution of U.S. Reserves
Hayes traces the evolution of U.S. reserves, showing how attitudes toward assets changed over time:
But what would it really take for Bitcoin to become an American asset?
All of this would be integrated with social networks like Facebook and X.
If the U.S. enacts the necessary laws, it could dominate the issuance of a new neutral reserve asset.
Hayes argues that if this "wish comes true," Bitcoin’s price could drop to $70-75K, ushering in a new financial era without central banks—centered around decentralized technologies.
This would create a new financial architecture where traditional banks become obsolete, and blockchain forms the foundation of the global economy.
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The race to establish a crypto reserve, Trump's tariff policies, and other major events from last week:
Trump signed an executive order imposing 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, and 10% tariffs on imports from China.
🔻 The cryptocurrency market reacted with a sharp drop, and Bitcoin fell by 8%, reaching $92,798.34.
On Tuesday, Trump announced a delay in implementing tariffs for Mexico and Canada. Following this, Bitcoin rebounded to $102,500, and Ethereum climbed to $2,920.
The State Council of China approved new tariffs on U.S. imports starting February 10, 2025:
15% tariff on coal and liquefied natural gas.
10% tariff on crude oil, agricultural machinery, large-engine vehicles, and pickup trucks.
Bessent, who attended the signing at the White House, stated that the fund could be established within 12 months. Bitcoin was not explicitly mentioned in the order.
The document has been forwarded to the Senate for review.
The unit previously had over 50 attorneys and staff members.
This move is a significant step by the Trump administration in reshaping digital asset regulation.
A member of Hong Kong's Legislative Council proposed allowing stablecoin companies to operate within a "regulatory sandbox" to speed up the issuance and adoption of stablecoins for international trade.
He also called for the creation of a Digital Asset Office to oversee the development of AI and virtual assets.
Alexey Pertsev, a Tornado Cash developer, announced on X (Twitter) that a Dutch court approved the temporary suspension of his pretrial detention, requiring him to wear an electronic monitoring bracelet.
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin later reposted the news, expressing his support.
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Gold has hit a new all-time high, outperforming Bitcoin since the beginning of the year as central banks continue aggressive purchases.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin has gained around 5% year-to-date, but its growth has been accompanied by high volatility.
Let’s break down the macroeconomic factors influencing BTC and gold price movements.
Gold reached a record high of $2,902 per ounce on Monday, marking a 17.5% increase since the start of the year.
Key drivers behind the rally:
According to a World Gold Council report, global gold reserves increased by 694 tons in the first 10 months of 2024, continuing the record accumulation trend.
Top gold buyers in 2024:
🇵🇱 Poland – 89.5 tons
🇮🇳 India – 72.6 tons
🇹🇷 Turkey – 74.8 tons
🇨🇳 China – 44.2 tons
Additional insights: 69% of central banks plan to continue purchasing gold.
83% of central banks in developed countries see gold as a hedge against inflation and financial instability.
Gold continues to serve as a traditional safe-haven asset during inflationary and trade disruptions.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is considered a high-risk asset in most countries, making it more vulnerable to market sentiment shifts.
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