Last week brought headline news, record deals, and new strategic moves from global leaders, regulators, and major market players.
Here’s a brief overview of key events that could impact the future of the industry:
Donald Trump forecasts that BTC will reach $150,000 early in his presidency. His son, Eric Trump, went further by predicting Bitcoin’s value will rise to $1 million, calling it the “financial paradigm of the future.”
Argentine President Javier Milei announced the implementation of a free-floating currency policy starting in 2025, including Bitcoin. He also plans to cut taxes by 90%, reducing the financial burden on citizens.
The Vancouver City Council supported the initiative to make the city “Bitcoin-friendly,” exploring the potential of cryptocurrencies in municipal projects and the diversification of financial reserves.
A new law has been adopted, allowing cryptocurrency companies and investors to open bank accounts without obstacles. This creates favorable conditions for industry development and exempts assets held for more than three years from capital gains tax.
The government of Bhutan transferred 406 BTC (approximately $40 million) to QCP Capital. Bhutan already ranks fourth among countries in Bitcoin volume, mining them through national mining farms.
Cryptocurrency fund banners appeared on the main page of the Alipay app with a daily limit of 1,000 yuan per day. Many viewed this as a relaxation of cryptocurrency market regulations in China, but Alipay officially denied rumors about the possibility of direct cryptocurrency purchases through the platform.
The company purchased an additional 21,550 Bitcoin worth $2.1 billion. The average cost of the acquired assets is about $60,324 per coin, and the return on investment for the year reached 68.7%.
Only 0.55% of Microsoft shareholders voted in favor of purchasing Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. Despite this, the company stated the need to explore the potential of cryptocurrencies.
The founder of Bridgewater Associates sees high risks of a debt crisis and believes that “hard assets” like gold and Bitcoin will help preserve capital.
The former head of Binance forecasts that countries will begin to create strategic reserves of Bitcoin. According to him, smaller states may be the first to take this step.
Last week, Bitcoin was at the center of the global community’s attention: from Donald Trump’s growth forecast to $150,000 to promising initiatives by cities and countries.
Bitcoin continues to demonstrate its status not only as a financial instrument but also as a symbol of economic and technological changes.
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Last week marked the 10th consecutive week of positive inflow dynamics into crypto funds.
Total inflow since the beginning of the year reached a record $44.5 billion.
Polkadot: +$3.7 million
Litecoin: +$2.2 million
📊 Market Volumes:
Average Weekly ETP Trading Volume: $21 billion, accounting for 30% of all Bitcoin transactions on trusted exchanges.
Average Daily Bitcoin Volume: $8.3 billion — twice the figures of the FTSE 100.
Investors continue to build positions amidst positive signals and growing interest in ETFs.
The digital asset sector remains one of the most dynamic and liquid in the global market.
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The recent launch of Google’s quantum chip, Willow, has sparked debates in the crypto community:
"Can a quantum computer destroy Bitcoin?"
It’s a complex question, so let’s analyze the opinions of three experts.
Spoiler:
However, the threat exists, albeit in the long term. Here are the key takeaways:
Current technology, including the Willow chip, cannot crack Bitcoin’s hashing or digital signatures.
The early public key format (P2PK) used for one million bitcoins could become a target for quantum attacks.
Other formats, such as P2PKH or P2SH, are more resistant.
Implementing quantum-resistant cryptography (e.g., lattice-based solutions).
A potential hard fork to freeze vulnerable assets.
A hard fork involves significant changes to the blockchain’s code.
Quantum computers excel at specific tasks, such as factorization, but struggle to reverse one-way hash functions.
The vulnerable window for quantum attacks on transactions is very short: 5–30 minutes for Bitcoin and just 1 second for Avalanche.
Avalanche plans to adopt quantum-resistant cryptography based on lattices.
The technology is almost ready, though it requires larger signature sizes.
📊 Jeffrey Hu, Head of Investment Research at HashKey Group:
Only old signature formats are at risk.
Users can protect themselves by avoiding address reuse and switching to SegWit.
📚 Associate Professor Hu Yilin, Tsinghua University:
The threat to "forgotten" coins is real: the first owner of a quantum computer could seize them.
Drastic measures, such as freezing such assets via hard forks, are necessary.
Quantum computers are a challenge, but not a catastrophe.
Cryptocurrencies, including BTC, have time and options to adapt to the quantum era.
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The year 2024 marked a pivotal milestone for the crypto market, and here’s why:
The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs made it easier for institutional investors to access crypto assets.
Over the course of a year, net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs outpaced those of gold ETFs, emphasizing crypto’s move into the realm of key financial instruments.
The result? Bitcoin rallied amid substantial institutional interest, solidifying its role as a crucial part of the global financial system.
Data from CryptoQuant confirms a significant increase in average deposits on exchanges:
Binance stands out in this trend, emerging as a leader in attracting institutional capital.
Memecoins lead the pack among HODL tokens (16.1%),
Bitcoin ranks second (14.44%),
BNB takes third place with 14.23%, surpassing even Ethereum (10.95%).
45% of respondents entered the crypto industry in 2024.
24.52% joined in the past six months.
43.97% of users invest less than 10% of their capital in crypto assets.
Over 27,000 Binance users from six continents participated in a survey, sharing their thoughts on the future of the crypto industry.
According to the survey, 23.89% of users believe that AI tokens will take the lead in 2025.
19.39% of respondents predict increased regulation.
16.1% expect greater involvement from traditional financial institutions.
16.51% foresee real-world blockchain applications coming to the forefront.
In short, 2024 was the year when crypto assets firmly established themselves as an integral part of the global economy.
We can congratulate everyone involved in cryptocurrency on this 🥇
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The 6th annual @ElectricCapital Developer Report has just been published!
Here are the most interesting facts and insights:
The share of developers has shifted from 82% in the U.S. and Europe to other regions.
Asia now ranks first in developer share, with 1 in 3 crypto developers located in the region.
Europe ranks second, while North America has dropped from first to third since 2015.
🇺🇸 Top Countries by Number of Developers:
The U.S. remains the leader, though its share has declined since 2015.
India has risen to second place, climbing from the top ten.
The U.K., China, and Canada also rank among the top countries for crypto developers.
Shows steady development and consistency.
In 2024, there are 1,200 monthly active developers, maintaining stability throughout the year.
The crypto industry has grown at an annual rate of 39% since 2015.
Restaking increased TVL by $29 billion over the past year.
LRTs have grown to over 3.5M ETH, with 46% used in DeFi.
The crypto industry continues to grow rapidly, showcasing global developer distribution and strengthening the positions of leading ecosystems.
The steady growth of Bitcoin and the active participation of major banks point to the integration of digital assets into the traditional financial system.
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The crypto market continues its rapid expansion, offering a wide array of interesting events and initiatives.
Below is a brief overview of key news that could influence the development of the industry:
The Fed lowered the upper limit of its rate from 4.75% to 4.50%, noting steady economic growth and a cooling labor market. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized caution in future rate changes and lowered the forecasted rates for the coming year.
U.S. President Donald Trump pledged to support the development of the blockchain industry in the country, aiming to keep businesses on U.S. soil and strengthen global leadership in this area.
The Bitcoin Policy Institute proposed to the Trump administration that Bitcoin be included in the U.S. strategic reserves, calling it “digital gold” for bolstering the country’s economic security and financial dominance.
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes suggested that the Trump administration could implement “money printing” by ending the conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, devaluing the dollar, and introducing exceptions to the Supplementary Leverage Ratio.
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood stated that a Trump victory could spark a wave of private-company mergers and acquisitions, and that Bitcoin’s scarcity would surpass gold by 2030 thanks to its fixed supply.
Bloomberg analysts predict approval for Litecoin and HBAR ETFs ahead of Solana and XRP. Combined BTC + ETH ETFs are expected to roll out first, followed by Litecoin, HBAR, and XRP/Solana.
FTX unveiled a Chapter 11 reorganization plan that includes customer payouts and collaboration with BitGo and Kraken to distribute funds. FTX also filed a lawsuit against Gate to recover crypto assets.
Deutsche Bank is working on an Ethereum Layer 2 blockchain called “Project Dama 2,” leveraging ZKsync technology to enhance scalability and regulatory compliance. The MVP is planned for 2025.
MicroStrategy has joined the Nasdaq-100 and purchased an additional 15,350 BTC worth about $1.5 billion, bringing its total holdings to 439,000 BTC.
According to a Binance survey, meme coins have become the most popular tokens among users (16.1%), surpassing Bitcoin (14.44%). About 45% of respondents began investing in crypto in 2024.
From changes in interest rates and regulatory initiatives to major corporate moves and surging meme coin popularity—all these factors are shaping the future of digital assets.
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Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes anticipates a significant downturn in the crypto market on January 20, 2025, the day of Donald Trump's inauguration.
Hayes believes Trump acts as a catalyst, exposing global economic imbalances. He expects the new U.S. president to initiate a large-scale dollar devaluation to support the American economy.
Hayes thinks investors are overestimating how quickly Trump can implement his plans. Disappointment will lead to a sharp decline in crypto asset prices and Trump-related stocks.
Hayes predicts the dollar will be devalued against gold within Trump's first 100 days in office, triggering economic changes that favor U.S. reindustrialization.
Hayes warns of a potential correction but remains optimistic in the long term. He sees growth potential for Bitcoin and other assets due to structural changes in the global economy.
Hayes plans to reduce his positions before the inauguration to buy assets at a lower price in the first half of 2025.
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