Capital is flowing out of gold and into Bitcoin—this is the key takeaway following Donald Trump’s election victory.
The correlation between these assets has hit an 11-month low.
A strong dollar and rising Treasury yields post-election have reduced gold’s appeal.
Analysts at QCP Capital suggest Bitcoin is solidifying its position as “digital gold.”
With a current market cap of $1.73 trillion, Bitcoin has already surpassed silver but remains far from gold’s $17.5 trillion.
Even a 1% shift of capital from gold to Bitcoin could push BTC’s price to $97,000, according to QCP Capital.
Trump’s policy plans, such as trade tariffs, could boost inflation and slow the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle.
As bond yields rise, so does the dollar, further diminishing gold’s demand.
In this context, the probability of a rate cut in December has dropped to 65% from 84% a month earlier (CME FedWatch data).
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari noted that tariff wars could heighten long-term inflation risks.
While markets rush to adapt, Bitcoin continues to gain momentum, marking a stark contrast to recent conditions.
This signals the beginning of a new chapter in the relationship between traditional and digital assets.
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The cryptocurrency market continues to surprise with new records and significant initiatives. Let’s take a look at what happened this week and what might influence future developments.
Bitcoin continues to gain popularity and is now referred to as "digital gold," but its market cap is still only one-tenth that of gold. This was covered in a separate post.
The Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, stated that the policy is gradually shifting to a more neutral position, but the economic situation does not require immediate rate cuts.
Powell noted that the labor market continues to cool down, and inflation is expected to keep decreasing.
US Senator Cynthia Lummis proposed the idea of selling part of the Federal Reserve's gold reserves and using the proceeds to buy Bitcoin.
This statement supports the development of cryptocurrencies as "digital gold," attracting investors due to their growth and security.
In November 2024, the official Twitter account "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE) was created, actively supported by Elon Musk.
Its goal is to streamline the operations of the US government, reduce unnecessary spending, and eliminate excess regulations.
Musk stated that this will be a crucial step towards a more efficient government and economy.
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange officially launched a virtual asset index, which includes Bitcoin and Ethereum.
This move strengthens Hong Kong’s position as a leading financial hub for cryptocurrencies and simplifies digital asset trading for investors.
Tether announced the launch of the Hadron platform, designed to simplify the tokenization of various assets, including stocks, bonds, stablecoins, and loyalty points.
The platform supports multiple blockchains and second-layer solutions for Bitcoin, expanding opportunities for market participants.
South Korean crypto exchange Upbit reported a trading volume of $1.56 billion, surpassing the combined trading volume of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets.
This highlights the growing interest in cryptocurrencies amidst stagnation in traditional markets.
MicroStrategy announced the purchase of 27,200 Bitcoin for $2.03 billion.
The company now owns over 279,000 BTC, solidifying its position as the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin.
Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake presented a proposal for a new consensus update called "Beam Chain," aimed at improving Ethereum’s performance, security, and scalability.
This update, expected in 2026, could be a key step in the development of Ethereum 3.0.
The cryptocurrency market continues to show dynamic development with new initiatives and increasing interest from institutional investors.
These events could become important catalysts for further growth and strengthen the position of cryptocurrencies in the global market.
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Last month, centralized exchanges (CEX) experienced significant growth in trading activity and web traffic, according to data from Coingecko and Similarweb.
Here are the key highlights:
Spot trading volumes increased by 17% in October. Top performers:
However, not all exchanges kept up: Bitfinex fell by -19%, and HTX and Bitget saw minimal changes.
Derivatives trading volumes grew by 25% compared to the previous month. Leaders in this category:
Meanwhile, HTX dropped by -4%, and Crypto.com and KuCoin showed only marginal growth.
Overall, exchange website traffic increased by 2%. Top gainers include:
On the downside, traffic for KuCoin, Gate, and Bitfinex declined, with KuCoin losing -29%.
Each exchange has its own core audience. Here are the key regions that fueled traffic growth in October:
Post-election market dynamics and macroeconomic shifts continue to reshape the digital trading landscape.
The increase in trading volumes and user base expansion indicates that competition among exchanges remains fierce.
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The economy of the future is rapidly turning into a battleground dominated by colossal corporations, where the pace of change is daunting even for the boldest futurists.
Technological singularity leaves little room for long-term forecasts: a horizon of 3-4 years is already shrouded in uncertainty.
Despite discussions about the "limits" of technology, data shortages, and energy constraints that could potentially collapse the AI market, industry leaders continue to expand their influence.
Even if the AI market faces a correction, the major players will remain at the top.
Small and medium-sized companies might fall by the wayside, but titans with massive reserves and a solid customer base will weather any storm.
These three titans — Nvidia, Microsoft, and OpenAI—are not just players but the very foundation supporting the entire market.
The market won’t collapse as long as such giants remain at the top.
On the contrary, they are solidifying their positions, turning AI into the main driving force of the new digital economy.
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MicroStrategy has once again surprised the market.
The company acquired 51,780 BTC for $4.6B, with an average purchase price of $88,627 per Bitcoin. This marks the largest BTC purchase in the company’s history.
To fund this acquisition, MicroStrategy sold 13.6 million shares, successfully raising capital.
Additionally, the company announced access to $42B over the next three years for further Bitcoin purchases.
The company’s phenomenon and its role in reshaping market dynamics can be traced across four key areas:
Instead of altcoins, retail investors increasingly choose MicroStrategy shares as a way to gain Bitcoin exposure.
This creates a massive liquidity multiplier. According to traders, $10B in MSTR shares is equivalent to $100B worth of altcoin purchases.
Altcoins, once favored for speculation, are losing their appeal.
Since September, investors have directed approximately $25B into MicroStrategy shares.
Had this capital flowed into altcoins, the market could have surged by 50%.
MicroStrategy’s purchases establish a transparent, regulated connection between the stock market and Bitcoin, creating a more stable growth source for BTC.
MicroStrategy could potentially match the current market capitalization of altcoins, estimated at $110B.
This is achievable thanks to institutional trust and the absence of extreme leverage, which is often associated with altcoins.
MicroStrategy demonstrates that Bitcoin is no longer just a crypto asset. It is now a Web2 corporate asset, deeply integrated with traditional finance.
2025 could become a pivotal year for the crypto market.
Bitcoin’s strength may increasingly rely on institutional tools like corporate shares and ETFs.
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New China Playbook by Keyu Jin offers a captivating perspective on China’s governance model, where Confucian philosophy meets Big Tech.
Propaganda or analysis? That’s for the reader to decide.
Key Ideas:
China has merged a monopoly on political power with a decentralized economy.
Urbanization has reached 65%, yet GDP per capita remains three times lower than in the US.
The US chip ban has become a catalyst for self-reliance.
China ranks third globally in automation, surpassing Japan and Germany.
City-level competitions, where mayors are granted significant autonomy, drive innovation and infrastructure development.
State-owned enterprises provide stability, while private companies drive growth.
Today, 60% of GDP and 80% of jobs come from the private sector.
Startup investments are not just a private venture but also a key focus for city governments.
Stability is maintained by five state-owned banks, but debt levels have reached 300% of GDP.
The real estate boom has created a bubble, but savings and government controls are likely to cushion the impact.
China excels in B2C sectors (e.g., TikTok, fintech, drones) but lags in high-tech fields like chip manufacturing.
While patents and scientific output are increasing, quality over quantity remains the ultimate goal.
China envisions itself as a global leader in areas ranging from technology to climate action.
The country is learning to reinvent itself while preserving its unique model, where democracy takes a backseat to paternalism and "capitalism with Chinese characteristics."
China is not just an economy—it’s an ideological experiment shaping the 21st century.
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The cryptocurrency market continues to surprise with record-breaking achievements, new initiatives, and high-profile announcements.
Let’s dive into the key events of the week that could influence future dynamics.
This week, Bitcoin set a new all-time high, surpassing $99,000. The current price is $98,696, reflecting a 1.44% increase over the past 24 hours.
SEC Chair Gary Gensler has announced his resignation, effective January 20, 2025. This move could impact the future of cryptocurrency regulation in the U.S.
Former director Yao Qian has been expelled from the Communist Party and removed from his position due to misconduct in the crypto sector. He is now under investigation.
SEC-approved options for iShares Bitcoin Trust are scheduled to hit the market on November 19. This development could attract more institutional investors to the space.
Trump’s team is discussing the creation of a role dedicated to cryptocurrency policy. A meeting with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is planned to address key regulatory issues.
The former U.S. presidential candidate revealed that the majority of his assets are in BTC, calling it a “currency of freedom.”
Changpeng Zhao predicted that countries will soon race to include Bitcoin in their strategic reserves, emphasizing that “no one wants to be the last.”
The company acquired 51,780 BTC for $4.6 billion, bringing its total holdings to 331,200 BTC.
Meme tokens are dominating the market. FLOKI was listed on Coinbase, and Upbit launched a trading market for BONK. Meanwhile, DWF Labs allocated $20 million to support meme projects, further fueling this trend.
The cryptocurrency market remains highly active, from record-breaking prices to significant institutional developments.
These events highlight the growing importance of crypto assets in the global economy.
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