🇨🇳 How Is China Preparing for Trump’s Return?

According to Bloomberg, China is launching its largest program to restructure hidden local government debts, allocating 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion).

However, there are no significant stimulus measures to boost consumption yet.

Beijing appears to be conserving resources for potential trade conflicts with the U.S. when Trump returns to the White House.

🇨🇳 Key Details of the Program

◽️ Debt Limit Increase: Local governments will be allowed to issue bonds worth 6 trillion yuan over three years to replace “hidden” debt.

◽️ Additional Quota: Another 4 trillion yuan will be allocated over five years, including 2024.

◽️ Interest Savings: The program aims to save 600 billion yuan in interest payments over five years.

🇨🇳 Why Does This Matter?

1️⃣ Hidden Debt: By the end of 2023, the hidden debt volume reached 14.3 trillion yuan, according to Chinese authorities, while the IMF estimates it at 60 trillion yuan.

2️⃣ Less Pressure on Regions: Reducing the debt burden will free up resources for investment and consumption stimulation.

🇨🇳 Market Reaction

Despite the scale of the program, the market’s reaction has been muted.

The yuan weakened, and investors are anticipating further fiscal steps in December when the Politburo and Central Economic Conference will refine their strategies.

🇨🇳 Long-Term Plans

China’s next steps include:

◽️ Expanding the issuance of special bonds
◽️ Increasing support for equipment modernization and recycling programs
◽️ Boosting transfers from the central budget

🇨🇳 Conclusion

China is taking strategic measures to shield its economy from potential impacts of a new Trump administration.

Satoshi Tweeted🔑

📊 What Happened Last Week?

Last week was eventful for the crypto market: from Donald Trump’s historic victory to record inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. All of this occurred against the backdrop of growing interest in DeFi.

Let’s break down the key events that impacted the market and what to expect next.

1️⃣ Trump Back in the White House: What Does This Mean for Crypto?

Donald Trump secured victory in the election with 312 electoral votes. The result? Bitcoin surged by 8%, reaching a new all-time high of $75,000.

📈 Why It Matters:

Trump has pledged to turn the U.S. into a global crypto hub and establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

This paves the way for a new DeFi boom — Sky founder Rune Christensen predicts DeFi could grow 10x due to reduced regulatory uncertainty in the U.S.

2️⃣ Robinhood Nears SEC Leadership

Trump’s team is considering Dan Gallagher, Robinhood’s Chief Legal Officer, for SEC Chair.

Gallagher is known for his lenient approach to crypto regulation and support for innovation. Other candidates include Paul Atkins and Robert Stebbins.

3️⃣ Fed Lowers Interest Rate to 4.75%

The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that inflation is slowing, but the economy remains stable.

4️⃣ Record Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs

On November 7, spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $1.376 billion in a single day.

◽️ BlackRock: $1.12 billion
◽️ Fidelity: $191 million
◽️ Grayscale: $27.7 million

The market is clearly on the rise.

5️⃣ Detroit: Taxes Payable in Crypto

Detroit will become the largest U.S. city to allow tax payments in cryptocurrency. The new service is set to launch by mid-2025.

6️⃣ Coinbase vs. Binance: Listing Scandal

Coinbase allegedly charges up to $300 million for token listings, while Binance claims it doesn’t charge listing fees if a project fails its due diligence.

7️⃣ Global Dollar Network

Kraken, Paxos, and Robinhood are launching the Global Dollar Network to promote stablecoins. The new USDG stablecoin will operate on Ethereum.

8️⃣ Circle Expands to Hong Kong

Circle plans to open an office in Hong Kong and is awaiting new stablecoin regulations to apply for a license.

9️⃣ Ethereum Foundation: Nearly $1 Billion in Reserves

The Ethereum Foundation revealed that 99.45% of its crypto reserves are in ETH, totaling $970 million. This ensures the foundation can continue supporting ecosystem development even during a bear market.

✅ Conclusion:

The crypto market continues to show strength: record Bitcoin highs, ETF inflows, and positive regulatory developments.

Stay tuned as we monitor the evolving economic and political landscape.

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📁 Arthur Hayes: Key Takeaways from His New Essay

In his latest essay, Arthur Hayes compares U.S. economic policy to Deng Xiaoping’s approach:

"It doesn’t matter whether a cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice."

According to Hayes, Trump is steering toward a model of “American Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics”,

where the primary goal is not ideology but maintaining power and stimulating growth.

📁 From Capitalism to Socialized Losses

The U.S. moved away from classic capitalism long ago.

Since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, the wealthy have avoided taking responsibility for their losses.

Roosevelt partially reduced the class divide with his New Deal policies.

In modern times, Trump and Biden have taken it further, distributing direct payments to citizens through “stimmie” checks.

📁 QE for the Wealthy and the Middle Class

Hayes identifies two types of Quantitative Easing (QE).

Between 2008 and 2020, money primarily flowed into the financial sector, driving up asset prices without stimulating real economic growth.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, starting in 2020, a new era began — QE for the middle class.

Funds were distributed directly to people, accelerating economic growth: every $1 of debt created more than $1 of economic activity.

📁 Inflation and the Bondholder Revolt

Economic stimulus through “stimmie” checks led to rising inflation, which displeased bondholders.

The Fed raised interest rates, but the Treasury mitigated their impact by issuing short-term bonds.

This created conditions for further asset price increases, including BTC.

📁 Bitcoin on Its Way to $1 Million?

According to Hayes, Trump’s new administration will continue increasing debt to reindustrialize the economy.

This will create ideal conditions for cryptocurrencies.

Hayes predicts that Bitcoin could reach $1 million, given its limited supply and the growing money supply.

Key Points from the Essay:

◽️ U.S. economic policy increasingly mirrors the Chinese model.

◽️ QE for the poor stimulates the real economy.

◽️ Inflation and rising rates won’t halt debt expansion.

◽️ Bitcoin is the primary asset as the dollar weakens.

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🖥 Crypto Investment Market: $1.98 Billion Inflows Post-US Election

Following the US elections, crypto funds recorded a massive $1.98 billion inflow, marking the fifth consecutive week of growth.

As a result, global assets under management (AuM) reached an all-time high of $116 billion.

📊 Key Facts:

◽️ Bitcoin was the main beneficiary, attracting $1.8 billion. Total BTC inflows since the Fed’s first rate cut in September have reached $9 billion.

◽️ Ethereum had its best week since July, with $157 million in inflows, signaling a recovery in investor confidence.

◽️ Among altcoins, Solana ($3.9 million), Uniswap ($1 million), and Tron ($0.5 million) led the way.

Blockchain equities also attracted substantial investments, with $61 million in inflows.

📊 Regional Focus

Most inflows were concentrated in the US ($1.95 billion).

But Europe also contributed, with Switzerland ($23 million) and Germany ($20 million) leading the charge.

📊 What’s Next?

With macroeconomic support and political shifts in the US, the crypto market continues to gain momentum.

Investors are eyeing new heights, and global demand for digital assets remains strong.

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