🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- Reuters reports Iran has detailed plans to target underwater internet cables in the Persian Gulf should war between Iran and the United States resume.
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🇫🇷⚡️- France holds its breath as it enters a potentially pivotal weekend. Tensions have remained high across the country despite the riots dying down Monday. Tomorrow, Marine Le Pen will hold the National Rally Congress in Orléans with 5,000 supporters, with a second event planned Sunday with around 10,000 expected supporters. Meanwhile, up to 30,000 individuals of African origins, radical leftists and antifas have made plans to go to Orléans and hold a violent counter-protest to silence her campaign. At least 3,000 police officers are expected to secure the event.
Media outlets, news channels and politicians have openly discussed whether the ongoing situation is a prelude to a civil war or not. Most agree tomorrow will be a turning point regarding the matter, one way or another.
Media outlets, news channels and politicians have openly discussed whether the ongoing situation is a prelude to a civil war or not. Most agree tomorrow will be a turning point regarding the matter, one way or another.
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🇺🇸🇮🇳⚡️- The Acton ad was created for the Ramaswamy campaign by The Strategy Group Company, run by Benjamin Yoho, who is the man former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem paid over $220 million for commercials featuring her riding on horseback during her time at DHS.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇫🇷⚡️- The Trappes attacker was identified by police sources to media outlets as Kevin Tertrais. On his Facebook account, he is seen interacting in a meeting group made for schizophrenic individuals. His grammar and grasp of the French language shows a lack…
🇫🇷⚡️- Journalists indicate Kevin Tertrais is NOT the attacker behind the shooting in Trappes. Commentators blame a severe problem within the local media as the image, profile and motivations of the attacker were wrongfully communicated across all French media.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇫🇷⚡️- A shooting occured in Trappes, France. Early informations indicating it was a racially motivated anti-African attack are unproven. The culprit "wandered aimlessly" in several areas before "blindly opening fire" according to the mayor. For now, five casualties…
🇫🇷⚡️- French President Emmanuel Macron slams the shooting, calls it a racially-motivated terror attack and a "turning point for the Republic". Emmanuel Macron is en route to Trappes.
Note: Emmanuel Macron has only visited 6 sites of the 24 places where terror attacks occured since 2017.
Note: Emmanuel Macron has only visited 6 sites of the 24 places where terror attacks occured since 2017.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇫🇷⚡️- Journalists indicate Kevin Tertrais is NOT the attacker behind the shooting in Trappes. Commentators blame a severe problem within the local media as the image, profile and motivations of the attacker were wrongfully communicated across all French media.
🇫🇷- The original media that ran with the initial profile was a local antenna of Ouest France, a reputed journal. Police authorities and other media sources took around five hours to correct the misinformation that had already spread across all of France.
Rerum Novarum communicated the profile after French news channel and verified media outlets online broke the news.
Rerum Novarum communicated the profile after French news channel and verified media outlets online broke the news.
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🇫🇷🇪🇸⚡️- BREAKING: The Spanish Ministry of the Interior has uncovered calls to carry out mass terror attacks against protesters and police alike in all of Europe, particularly in France, on a website linked to the Islamic State. The messages reportedly refer to the situation in France as a prime opportunity to strike.
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🇫🇷⚡️- "What happened today is a turning point. It is the first time that there has been a terrorist act planned to kill our compatriots, our children, because of the color of their skin or the religion that is given to them." - French President Emmanuel Macron in a statement to media.
Note: it is unsure if his statement refers to the entirety of French history, the Fifth Republic's history or his term's history. Regardless of what time period he refers to, people already have been targeted and killed in terror attacks because of the color of their skin or their religion.
Note: it is unsure if his statement refers to the entirety of French history, the Fifth Republic's history or his term's history. Regardless of what time period he refers to, people already have been targeted and killed in terror attacks because of the color of their skin or their religion.
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🇸🇻🇭🇹⚡- El Salvador has deployed almost 200 special forces to Haiti to rescue the four Salvadoran aviation technicians kidnapped by Haitian gangs almost a week ago.
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🇩🇪⚡️- Hitler's Kehlsteinhaus (Eagle's Nest) was lit on fire an hour ago by a suspected arsonist who was arrested while firefighters climbed up the Kehlstein Mountain to put out the flames.
No one was in the building when the fire began and no injuries have been reported.
No one was in the building when the fire began and no injuries have been reported.
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🇪🇺🇨🇳⚡️- European Union ministers are calling for agreements with Beijing to restrict Chinese imports in sectors including chemicals, machinery and pharmaceuticals, warning that China's growing trade surplus is damaging European manufacturing.
The EU's goods trade deficit with China exceeded €370 billion in 2025 and could surpass €400 billion this year. European officials have described the surge in Chinese exports as "China Shock 2.0," which is contributing to factory closures and industrial job losses across the continent.
The EU's goods trade deficit with China exceeded €370 billion in 2025 and could surpass €400 billion this year. European officials have described the surge in Chinese exports as "China Shock 2.0," which is contributing to factory closures and industrial job losses across the continent.
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🇺🇸🇨🇳⚡️- The US Treasury Department has proposed expanding restrictions on American investments in sensitive Chinese technologies, including artificial intelligence, supercomputing, biotechnology and hypersonic weapons.
The regulations would also apply to Russia, Iran and North Korea, targeting investments exceeding $50,000 while exempting many conventional financial transactions.
The regulations would also apply to Russia, Iran and North Korea, targeting investments exceeding $50,000 while exempting many conventional financial transactions.
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🇾🇪🇸🇦⚡️- Ansarullah missile attack against Riyadh, Najran, and Wadi ad-Duwasir, Saudi Arabia. Explosions were heard in Riyadh, including two interceptions.
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🇺🇸🇨🇳⚡️- The Pentagon is reportedly developing a new deep-cover espionage program targeting China and other American competitors as part of a broader economic warfare strategy, according to The Washington Post.
The initiative would place American intelligence operatives undercover as businesspeople and private-sector employees without visible government ties, known as nonofficial cover officers. The effort is reportedly being overseen by Tom Rakusan, a 39-year CIA veteran and former deputy director of operations, who now advises Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg. The program remains in the planning stages, although the Pentagon denies its existence.
The initiative would place American intelligence operatives undercover as businesspeople and private-sector employees without visible government ties, known as nonofficial cover officers. The effort is reportedly being overseen by Tom Rakusan, a 39-year CIA veteran and former deputy director of operations, who now advises Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg. The program remains in the planning stages, although the Pentagon denies its existence.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- BREAKING: Iran has "substantially increased" its efforts to target American diplomats and political officials in the Middle East and beyond.
Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton and CIA Director John Ratcliffe say Iranian plots have reached "advanced stages" in an unclassified memo to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The memo has been confirmed by U.S. officials speaking to CNN and Axios.
Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton and CIA Director John Ratcliffe say Iranian plots have reached "advanced stages" in an unclassified memo to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The memo has been confirmed by U.S. officials speaking to CNN and Axios.
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🇺🇸🗳⚡️- RN's Midterm Forecast With A Week And A Half To Go 1/3:
Currently Rerum Novarum is forecasting the Midterm results as follows:
House: 240 D - 195 R
Senate: 50 D - 50 R
Governor Races: 26 D - 24 R
As election day rapidly approaches the GOP chances for a comeback quickly are fading to zero. We have expanded our house forecast to Democrats winning 240 seats, however we are now predicting that Susan Collins re-election in Maine will save the GOP majority in the Senate, so long as Vivek Ramaswamy doesn't destroy the entire GOP ticket in Ohio and Iowa splits its vote.
We have also switched the Governors race in Georgia to the GOP as Rick Jackson looks like he will defeat the former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Bottoms. The Democrats however will control the majority of Governorships for the first time in over 16 years.
When analyzing the trends and behavior of both parties we are seeing the GOP deep on defense heavily spending on GOTV efforts in Republican territory in order to stave off a total collapse. Trump himself is also campaigning mainly in red states like Iowa and Mississippi only visiting North Carolina and Michigan once.
Despite the GOP in clear retreat, campaigns in swing states and even blue states fending for themselves are finding some life in a heavily negative environment. Many pollsters and commentators are saying that the GOP will not fare nearly as poorly in blue states as expected while being given a huge wakeup call in red territory.
We agree with this analysis, voter enthusiasm in red America is in the toilet and GOP politicians return home to angry residents everyday complaining about corruption, gas prices, and the Iran War. However local anger at Democrat leadership and the continued deterioration of blue states are giving the GOP a little leg to stand on in enemy territory.
An NBC survey which polled respondents based on if they would vote this year or not found that the large group of Americans who will not vote this November lean heavily Republican.
This NBC survey also found that 71% of Americans say the country is on the wrong track, 82% say their finances are worse than last year, and show Trump's approval below 35% on every top issue including cost of living, the economy, corruption, AI, and the Iran War.
The only high point in polling on Trump in any survey is on the border and immigration, where he has an approval rating anywhere between 44%-50% depending on the survey.
What must be mentioned however is that in every single election during the Trump era, the GOP as a party have outran Trump's approval ratings. This happened in 2016 when the GOP House won the popular vote while he lost it, in 2020 when the GOP was only 40,000 votes in a few districts away from winning the majority, and in 2022 when the GOP won the House popular vote by 3 points while Trump remained a pariah.
Whether this trend holds up this year is up for debate, but an argument for why it may happen again is that Trumpism is clearly in its twilight days, we will expand on this in another post.
The GOP's closing message for the campaign is nonexistent with Trump's promise of a $5000 check to all adults being denounced by virtually all GOP candidates. Major missteps from the Admin including the planned then cancelled live execution of the Fort Hood terrorist and Trump/Vance's defense of the Ramaswamy ad attacking Amy Acton for being raped as a pre-teen have put GOP candidates on the backfoot in almost every case.
The only positives for the GOP is candidate quality in certain key races on the Democrat side in Michigan, and Maine. Although we expect Abdul El-Sayed to win it is still very possible for Mike Rogers to pull out a majority saving victory for the GOP. Susan Collins democrat opponent in Maine has failed to put up a successful offense.
Currently Rerum Novarum is forecasting the Midterm results as follows:
House: 240 D - 195 R
Senate: 50 D - 50 R
Governor Races: 26 D - 24 R
As election day rapidly approaches the GOP chances for a comeback quickly are fading to zero. We have expanded our house forecast to Democrats winning 240 seats, however we are now predicting that Susan Collins re-election in Maine will save the GOP majority in the Senate, so long as Vivek Ramaswamy doesn't destroy the entire GOP ticket in Ohio and Iowa splits its vote.
We have also switched the Governors race in Georgia to the GOP as Rick Jackson looks like he will defeat the former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Bottoms. The Democrats however will control the majority of Governorships for the first time in over 16 years.
When analyzing the trends and behavior of both parties we are seeing the GOP deep on defense heavily spending on GOTV efforts in Republican territory in order to stave off a total collapse. Trump himself is also campaigning mainly in red states like Iowa and Mississippi only visiting North Carolina and Michigan once.
Despite the GOP in clear retreat, campaigns in swing states and even blue states fending for themselves are finding some life in a heavily negative environment. Many pollsters and commentators are saying that the GOP will not fare nearly as poorly in blue states as expected while being given a huge wakeup call in red territory.
We agree with this analysis, voter enthusiasm in red America is in the toilet and GOP politicians return home to angry residents everyday complaining about corruption, gas prices, and the Iran War. However local anger at Democrat leadership and the continued deterioration of blue states are giving the GOP a little leg to stand on in enemy territory.
An NBC survey which polled respondents based on if they would vote this year or not found that the large group of Americans who will not vote this November lean heavily Republican.
This NBC survey also found that 71% of Americans say the country is on the wrong track, 82% say their finances are worse than last year, and show Trump's approval below 35% on every top issue including cost of living, the economy, corruption, AI, and the Iran War.
The only high point in polling on Trump in any survey is on the border and immigration, where he has an approval rating anywhere between 44%-50% depending on the survey.
What must be mentioned however is that in every single election during the Trump era, the GOP as a party have outran Trump's approval ratings. This happened in 2016 when the GOP House won the popular vote while he lost it, in 2020 when the GOP was only 40,000 votes in a few districts away from winning the majority, and in 2022 when the GOP won the House popular vote by 3 points while Trump remained a pariah.
Whether this trend holds up this year is up for debate, but an argument for why it may happen again is that Trumpism is clearly in its twilight days, we will expand on this in another post.
The GOP's closing message for the campaign is nonexistent with Trump's promise of a $5000 check to all adults being denounced by virtually all GOP candidates. Major missteps from the Admin including the planned then cancelled live execution of the Fort Hood terrorist and Trump/Vance's defense of the Ramaswamy ad attacking Amy Acton for being raped as a pre-teen have put GOP candidates on the backfoot in almost every case.
The only positives for the GOP is candidate quality in certain key races on the Democrat side in Michigan, and Maine. Although we expect Abdul El-Sayed to win it is still very possible for Mike Rogers to pull out a majority saving victory for the GOP. Susan Collins democrat opponent in Maine has failed to put up a successful offense.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇺🇸🗳⚡️- RN's Midterm Forecast With A Week And A Half To Go 1/3: Currently Rerum Novarum is forecasting the Midterm results as follows: House: 240 D - 195 R Senate: 50 D - 50 R Governor Races: 26 D - 24 R As election day rapidly approaches the GOP chances…
🇺🇸🗳⚡️- RN's Midterm Forecast With A Week And A Half To Go 2/3:
Although we have James Talarico winning in Texas it is still entirely possible that Ken Paxton can win, the early voting numbers have been getting better for the GOP in the state however surveys are showing that a sizable chunk of Republicans in Texas will be voting for Talarico.
Anecdotally on the ground however there are not nearly as many Talarico signs or bumper stickers seen around as there were for Beto O’ Rourke in 2018 which saw the closest a Democrat has come to winning in years.
Even though Trump’s campaign arms and Elon Musk have pumped hundreds of millions of dollars into the election at the 11th hour this spending seems to have not moved the needle in any meaningful way.
However as said before this money going into Get Out The Vote efforts will help the GOP come election day.
Although we have James Talarico winning in Texas it is still entirely possible that Ken Paxton can win, the early voting numbers have been getting better for the GOP in the state however surveys are showing that a sizable chunk of Republicans in Texas will be voting for Talarico.
Anecdotally on the ground however there are not nearly as many Talarico signs or bumper stickers seen around as there were for Beto O’ Rourke in 2018 which saw the closest a Democrat has come to winning in years.
Even though Trump’s campaign arms and Elon Musk have pumped hundreds of millions of dollars into the election at the 11th hour this spending seems to have not moved the needle in any meaningful way.
However as said before this money going into Get Out The Vote efforts will help the GOP come election day.
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