🇧🇷⚡️- At 17.2% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 51.2%
Lula: 40.7%

Bolsonaro's father had already started losing momentum by this point during the 2022 elections.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 25,4% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 50.7%
Lula: 41.3%

Bolsonaro's lead has begun shortening.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 28.8% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 50.87%
Lula: 41.07%

🇧🇷⚡️- At 31.5% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 50.67%
Lula: 41.2%

The north-east has started reporting more frequently alongside the southern cities. Vote updates are much more frequent. Bolsonaro's lead is shortening at a slower pace than his father's 2022.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 36.7% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 50.50%
Lula: 41.38%

🇧🇷⚡️- At 39.5% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 50.40%
Lula: 41.48%

Bolsonaro is losing less than 0.04pts per % of vote counted.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 46.9% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 50.17%
Lula: 41.69%

🇧🇷⚡️- At 51% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 50.09%
Lula: 41.74%

🇧🇷⚡️- At 54.2% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 49.96%
Lula: 41.88%

Bolsonaro has dropped below the 50% mark. As expected, there very likely will be a second round.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 60.8% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 49.72%
Lula: 41.12%

Bolsonaro maintains an impressive +7.6 lead with over 60% of votes counted.

🇧🇷- In comparison to 2022, at 60.3% counted, Jair Bolsonaro only had a +0.8 lead over Lula. At 70% counted, Lula had overtaken Jair Bolsonaro by +0.25.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 71.5% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 49.23%
Lula: 42.64%

🇧🇷⚡️- At 82.2% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 48.66%
Lula: 43.27%

🇧🇷⚡️- The Brazilian Chamber of Deputies is expected to be overwhelmingly right-wing according to current results. Compared to 2022, Bolsonaro's Liberal Party gained 22 seats while Lula's Workers' Party lost 12.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 89.1% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 48.14%
Lula: 43.86%

Most of the remaining votes are left-wing strongholds.

🇧🇷⚡️- Lula has dropped below 50% of the diaspora vote as the U.S. votes start coming in. Flavio Bolsonaro leads at 67% over Lula's 25% in the U.S. at 28.6% reporting.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 91.4% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 47.94%
Lula: 44.09%

It is becoming increasingly likely that Flavio Bolsonaro will end up with a lead of around +2pts, giving him an advantage over Lula for the second turn of the presidential elections.

🇧🇷⚡️- At 98.7% counted:

Flavio Bolsonaro: 47.24%
Lula: 44.91%

Flavio Bolsonaro is leading with +2.34pts as results are nearly complete.

Flavio Bolsonaro will face Lula during the second turn of the Brazilian presidential election on the 25th of October.

🇧🇷- In 2022, Lula had a 5.2pts lead over Jair Bolsonaro during the first turn. Lula's lead shrunk to 1.8pts in the second turn as he narrowly won with 50.9% of the votes.

Flavio Bolsonaro has strengthened his position in virtually all of the municipalities compared to 2022 and has flipped the vital region of Minas Gerais.

Lula is projected to lose against Flavio Bolsonaro later this month. Should Lula manage to come back from the sizeable setback of tonight, he is guaranteed to have diminished power as he will have no control over the Senate or the Chamber of Deputies.