๐ซ๐ทโก๏ธ- Rioters of Arabic and African descent are multiplying their assaults on calm parts of France. This morning, they set fire to the entrance of the Roger Verlomme High School, located in the 15th Parisian District, a notably wealthy area.
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๐ซ๐ทโก๏ธ- A masked African youth lights a middle-aged woman's face on fire for opposing rioters in Marseilles.
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๐ซ๐ทโก๏ธ- Violence from rioters of African and Arabic origins keeps ramping up today against the police in France. In the video, a murder attempt is carried out on a police officer in Belfort.
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๐ซ๐ทโก๏ธ- A caricature of the civilizational traitor is seen impeding police work in France, losing her temper and visibly crying as the rioters "are too young, this is too much, they are kids, you have no right to do so".
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๐ซ๐ทโก๏ธ- At least 1000 arrests were made across France over the past 48 hours only. Few official reports mention the amount of wounded rioters, but they are estimated in the several hundreds, mostly from infighting or self-inflicted wounds, not police repression.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐ช๐นโก- Tigray Defense Forces, TDF, are in complete free fall, with the Ethiopian military, ENDF, capturing the cities of Korem and Moheni. Over the past hour, ENDF forces have begun probing Maychewโs defences, while the city comes under heavy Ethiopian shellingโฆ
๐ช๐นโก- The battle for Maychew, Tigray region, has begun, with the Ethiopian Armed Forces, ENDF, entering the southern outskirts of the city. Heavy street fighting ongoing.
Map key:
- Red: Ethiopian Armed Forces,
- Green: Tigray Defense Forces.
Map key:
- Red: Ethiopian Armed Forces,
- Green: Tigray Defense Forces.
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๐ช๐นโก- Debretsion Gebremichael, President of the Tigray region and Commander of the Tigray Defense Force, says Addis Ababa has waged a war aimed at seizing access to the Red Sea. He rejected characterisations of the current conflict as a civil war, arguing that it has instead evolved into a regional conflict.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐ฎ๐ฑ - Israeli Channel 12 opinion poll: โข Benjamin Netanyahu, Likud Party - 25 seats, โข Naftali Bennett (with Yair Lapid), Together - 23 seats, โข Gadi Eisenkot, Yashar - 16 seats, โข Yair Golan, Democrats Party - 10 seats, โข Aryeh Deri, Shas Party - 9 seatsโฆ
๐ฎ๐ฑ - Israeli Channel 13's latest prediction polls for the October 27th elections:
Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) - 23
Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) - 21
Bichad (Naftali Bennett + Yair Lapid) - 11
Democrats (Yair Golan) - 11
Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman) - 9
Joint List (Yousef Jabareen) - 9
Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) - 8
Yahadut HaTorah (Moshe Gafni) - 8
Shas (Aryeh Deri) - 7
Tkuma (Bezalel Smotrich) - 7
Ra'am (Mansour Abbas) - 5
Amach Yisrael (Ofer Winter) - 5
61 required for a majority.
โข Yashar, Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu are widely believed to join a bloc (43).
โข Likud and Tkuma are very likely to run together again (28).
โข Otzma Yehudit hasn't openly declared they would join the Likud-bloc again, but are expected to do so in any case. Ben-Gvir is demanding the post of Defense Minister.
โข Joint List and Ra'am are the two Arab parties (14).
โข No side has openly expressed interest in joining forces with the Arab parties, as all three blocs risk alienating their right-wing voters. But to gain victory, Yashar will likely need to cross that line.
โข Ultra-Orthodox Shas and Yahadut HaTorah (15): Shas are very possibly to align with Likud again. Although Yahadut HaTorah previously broke with Likudโs bloc, the departure of Yuli Edelstein from Likud, Moshe Gafniโs emergence as the partyโs new leader, and Netanyahuโs decision to delay the conscription law (likely just election talk) make it increasingly expected that Yahadut HaTorah will join Shas in the Likud-led bloc.
โข It's very unlikely for the ultra-Orthodox to join any of the other two blocs, as the other blocs heavily favor pushing the conscription law for the ultra-Orthodox community.
โข Amach Yisrael (5), a far-right party has not publicly stated which bloc it would join. Israeli media speculate they will probably join Likud's bloc.
Predicted blocs:
Likud-bloc, 51:
- Likud: 21,
- Otzma Yehudit: 8,
- Yahadut HaTorah: 8,
- Shas: 7,
- Tkuma: 7.
Yashar-bloc, 43:
- Yashar: 23,
- Democrats: 11,
- Yisrael Beiteinu: 9.
Other:
- Bachad, 11.
- Joint List + Ra'am (Arab coalition), 14.
- Amach Yisrael, 5.
For Eisenkotโs Yashar, the decisive factor is Naftali Bennett. If Bennett joins forces with Eisenkot, the bloc could potentially unseat Netanyahu on 27 October. However, Bennett has yet to publicly commit to joining Yashar, as he harbours ambitions of returning to the Prime Minister's office himself.
Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) - 23
Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) - 21
Bichad (Naftali Bennett + Yair Lapid) - 11
Democrats (Yair Golan) - 11
Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman) - 9
Joint List (Yousef Jabareen) - 9
Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) - 8
Yahadut HaTorah (Moshe Gafni) - 8
Shas (Aryeh Deri) - 7
Tkuma (Bezalel Smotrich) - 7
Ra'am (Mansour Abbas) - 5
Amach Yisrael (Ofer Winter) - 5
61 required for a majority.
โข Yashar, Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu are widely believed to join a bloc (43).
โข Likud and Tkuma are very likely to run together again (28).
โข Otzma Yehudit hasn't openly declared they would join the Likud-bloc again, but are expected to do so in any case. Ben-Gvir is demanding the post of Defense Minister.
โข Joint List and Ra'am are the two Arab parties (14).
โข No side has openly expressed interest in joining forces with the Arab parties, as all three blocs risk alienating their right-wing voters. But to gain victory, Yashar will likely need to cross that line.
โข Ultra-Orthodox Shas and Yahadut HaTorah (15): Shas are very possibly to align with Likud again. Although Yahadut HaTorah previously broke with Likudโs bloc, the departure of Yuli Edelstein from Likud, Moshe Gafniโs emergence as the partyโs new leader, and Netanyahuโs decision to delay the conscription law (likely just election talk) make it increasingly expected that Yahadut HaTorah will join Shas in the Likud-led bloc.
โข It's very unlikely for the ultra-Orthodox to join any of the other two blocs, as the other blocs heavily favor pushing the conscription law for the ultra-Orthodox community.
โข Amach Yisrael (5), a far-right party has not publicly stated which bloc it would join. Israeli media speculate they will probably join Likud's bloc.
Predicted blocs:
Likud-bloc, 51:
- Likud: 21,
- Otzma Yehudit: 8,
- Yahadut HaTorah: 8,
- Shas: 7,
- Tkuma: 7.
Yashar-bloc, 43:
- Yashar: 23,
- Democrats: 11,
- Yisrael Beiteinu: 9.
Other:
- Bachad, 11.
- Joint List + Ra'am (Arab coalition), 14.
- Amach Yisrael, 5.
For Eisenkotโs Yashar, the decisive factor is Naftali Bennett. If Bennett joins forces with Eisenkot, the bloc could potentially unseat Netanyahu on 27 October. However, Bennett has yet to publicly commit to joining Yashar, as he harbours ambitions of returning to the Prime Minister's office himself.
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๐ฎ๐ท๐ด๐ฒโก- Iranian projectiles struck a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, causing a small fire and a loss of power onboard, UKMTO reports.
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๐บ๐ธ๐ซ๐ทโก๏ธ- Following the G7 meeting led by French president Emmanuel Macron, the G7 have agreed to release "up to 100 million barrels of oil from their strategic reserves within the next four months".
U.S president Donald Trump precised there would be no limitations or bans on oil exports within the G7.
U.S president Donald Trump precised there would be no limitations or bans on oil exports within the G7.
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๐บ๐ธ๐ง๐ทโก๏ธ- "Consular Services in the U.S. Embassy and Consulates in Brazil will be suspended starting today, October 2 due to security concerns. U.S. citizens seeking emergency assistance during this time should not come to the Embassy, the Consulates, or other U.S. diplomatic facilities." - U.S. Embassy in Brazil on X.
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๐พ๐ช๐ธ๐ฆโก- "Saudi Arabia is preparing a new offensive against the Ansarullah, with the objective of retaking the Strait of Bab el-Mandeb and securing Red Sea shipping.
The offensive will include more than 100,000 mobilized PLC troops with Saudi air support. US will provide intelligence support. The offensive could either be a limited coastal assault or a large-scale multi-front campaign," - Reuters.
The offensive will include more than 100,000 mobilized PLC troops with Saudi air support. US will provide intelligence support. The offensive could either be a limited coastal assault or a large-scale multi-front campaign," - Reuters.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐ช๐น๐ช๐ทโก- Eritrean media report Eritrean forces destroyed three bridges along the Eritrea and Tigray (Ethiopia) border.
๐ฎ๐น๐ช๐น๐ช๐ทโก- Italy has issued a security warning advising its citizens against travelling to Eritrea and urging heightened caution.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐บ๐ธ๐น๐ผ๐จ๐ณโก๏ธ- Taiwan says its arms negotiations with the US are continuing and Washington has repeatedly assured Taipei that American policy toward the island has not changed following last week's Trump-Xi summit. Taiwan's Defense Minister said no ongoing weaponsโฆ
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๐บ๐ธ๐น๐ผ๐จ๐ณโก๏ธ- Taiwan has received the first two of 66 new F-16V Block 70 fighters ordered from the United States, marking the beginning of deliveries from the $8 billion program after years of delays.
The aircraft arrived at Chihhang Air Base after transiting through Hawaii and Guam, with additional fighters expected before the end of the year. Once complete, the order will push Taiwan's F-16 fleet above 200 aircraft and significantly expand its ability to contest Chinese airpower around the island.
The aircraft arrived at Chihhang Air Base after transiting through Hawaii and Guam, with additional fighters expected before the end of the year. Once complete, the order will push Taiwan's F-16 fleet above 200 aircraft and significantly expand its ability to contest Chinese airpower around the island.
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๐บ๐ธ๐โก๏ธ- Latin America has become heavily dependent on American diesel, with Ecuador, Chile, Mexico and Peru now receiving enough US fuel to account for more than half of their diesel consumption.
Goldman Sachs says the region would be the world's most exposed to any restriction on US diesel exports. The numbers also highlight the enormous strategic role American Gulf Coast refining now plays in the Western Hemisphere's energy security.
Goldman Sachs says the region would be the world's most exposed to any restriction on US diesel exports. The numbers also highlight the enormous strategic role American Gulf Coast refining now plays in the Western Hemisphere's energy security.
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๐บ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฝโก๏ธ- The US is deploying roughly 500 additional troops to the Rio Grande Valley after Coast Guard personnel exchanged fire with cartel members shooting from the Mexican side of the border.
The Coast Guard says its personnel returned fire during the September 26 incident near Garceรฑo, Texas. The troops are now being inserted by Chinook helicopters onto islands along the Rio Grande as federal forces reinforce the area. No US personnel were injured and no Coast Guard assets were damaged.
The Coast Guard says its personnel returned fire during the September 26 incident near Garceรฑo, Texas. The troops are now being inserted by Chinook helicopters onto islands along the Rio Grande as federal forces reinforce the area. No US personnel were injured and no Coast Guard assets were damaged.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐ช๐นโก- The battle for Maychew, Tigray region, has begun, with the Ethiopian Armed Forces, ENDF, entering the southern outskirts of the city. Heavy street fighting ongoing. Map key: - Red: Ethiopian Armed Forces, - Green: Tigray Defense Forces.
๐ช๐นโก- The Tigray Defense Forces have withdrawn from the entire southwestern Tigray region, retreating to the Samre highlands and Mekele, the regional capital.
Map key:
- Red: Ethiopian Armed Forces,
- Green: Tigray Defense Forces.
- Unmarked: Withdrawn territory / grey-zone.
Map key:
- Red: Ethiopian Armed Forces,
- Green: Tigray Defense Forces.
- Unmarked: Withdrawn territory / grey-zone.
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๐ฌ๐ง๐ฎ๐ทโก๏ธ- BREAKING: Two Iranians have been arrested by British authorities on charges of plotting a terrorist attack against Jewish communities in Manchester.
It is alleged that the suspects were in contact with a โthird party,โ which may be Iran.
It is alleged that the suspects were in contact with a โthird party,โ which may be Iran.
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๐พ๐ช๐ธ๐ฆโก- Explosions heard in Aseer, Najran, and Jizan, southwest Saudi Arabia. Ongoing Ansarullah missile and drone attack.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts ๐บ๐ธ
๐พ๐ชโก- Ansarullah have advanced along the west of Jabal Habashi, northwest Tai'zz direction, southern Yemen.
๐พ๐ชโก- PLC forces have launched successful localized counter attacks in western Jabal Habashi, northwest Ta'izz direction, southern Yemen.
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๐ฐ๐ตโก- North Korea tested a ballistic missile moments ago. The projectile landed in open waters.
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