🇱🇧🇮🇱 - WHY THE CEASEFIRE IS A DEFEAT FOR HEZBOLLAH / AXIS OF RESISTANCE:

One cannot begin to unravel the timeline of the Third Lebanon War without going back further than October 8th, when Hezbollah began attacking northern Israel in support of Hamas. This began years ago, when Mossad implanted explosive devices inside pagers and walkie-talkies for Hezbollah operatives.

What has been clear since October 7th is that Israel (more specifically, Netanyahu and his far-right coalition) knew that October 7th was actively being planned years in advance. They knew Hamas was going to attempt a large-scale incursion into Israel in an attempt to inflict as much damage as possible and, more importantly, court sympathy and intervention from the rest of the Middle East.

Supporters / sympathizers of the Axis of Resistance (what we like to call "resistards") like to frame the entirety of the Israel issue as one of Zionism, rather than the instinctual nature of the Jews to subvert and deceive their enemy until total victory is obtained. Anti-Zionism does not adequately explain the behaviors of Israel, but true recognition of the Jewish problem explains the behavior of Israel as well as the behavior of Jews.

As Israel knew Hamas was planning October 7th, the pager explosions and the evidence that has emerged surrounding that event prove that Israel knew Hezbollah would get involved on Hamas' behalf. There is no other explanation for this intricate level of planning and execution other than preknowledge. Israel - more specifically, the Mossad - is the kingpin of preknowledge, and it doesn't just apply to Israel's proximate wars in the Middle East.

An organization as dangerous and threatening as Hezbollah, in the eyes of Israel, is not to be left unscrutinised. It's plausible, if not definite, that Hezbollah has been, for many years, infiltrated through-and-through by Israeli spies, who may not tamper with the activities of Hezbollah, but feed knowledge to Tel Aviv on circumstantial and topical threats to Israeli security.

If Israel knew Hamas was going to attack Israel on October 7th, which they did, then Israel most certainly knew Hezbollah would get involved as well. There is no debate.

The only thing up for debate is how much worse it will get for the Axis of Resistance. Netanyahu made it clear in his speech today that Iran is the next target. The incoming Trump administration will give Netanyahu whatever he wants with regards to bringing Iran to its knees.

The ceasefire being put into place today ends the Lebanon front for good. It's highly unlikely that Hezbollah will start shooting again. It's leadership has been decapitated, and while it's military strength has been tested, it hasn't been destroyed. In short- Hezbollah is still functional as an organization, and it hasn't lost its ability to threaten Israel, but the ceasefire being put in place makes Hezbollah a non-threat, at least for the time being. Israel has achieved its objective- they haven't destroyed Hezbollah, but pacification via a ceasefire arrangement is a victory for Israel nonetheless. Any statements to the contrary from "resistards" is a coping mechanism.

It's hard to tell what else Israel has planned in terms of detailed strategy, but Iran is next on the chopping block. Trump will give Netanyahu whatever resources he needs to confront Iran. Iran had its chance to prevent this from happening, but it seems that Iran's existence will be put to the test in the coming months.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Ballistic missile fired by Hezbollah towards Hadera and Caesara.

Both sides are engaging in the last round of fighting before the ceasefire is introduced.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- The ceasefire agreement between Hezbollah and Israel will be implemented in the next 12 hours.

The next 12 hours will likely see fierce clashes and exchanges on both sides.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Intense interceptions above Hadera, northern Israel.

The IDF says three projectiles, likely ballistic missiles, were intercepted.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Biden has begun speaking.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "I'm pleased to announce that both Hezbollah and Israel have agreed to a ceasefire." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Israel did not launch this war. The Lebanese people did not seek this war, neither did the United States." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Over 70,000 Israelis have been forced to live as refugees in their own country, as their homes and business were bombed. Over 300,000 Lebanese people have been forced to live as refugees in their own countries. The war imposed by Hezbollah has been the deadliest conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in decades." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Under the deal reached today, effective at 4AM tomorrow local time, the fighting on the Israel-Lebanon border will end. This is designed to be a permanent cessation of hostilities. Hezbollah will not be allowed to threaten the security of Israel again." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Over the next 60 days, Israel will gradually withdraw its remaining forces. Civilians on both sides will be able to safely return to their communities and rebuild their lives. We're determined to make sure this conflict will not end in another cycle of violence." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "I am committed to not put US troops in combat in this conflict." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "If Hezbollah or anyone else breaks the deal, Israel has the right to respond." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Just as the Lebanese people deserve a future of stability and progress, so do the people of Gaza. The people of Gaza have been through hell." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇵🇸🇮🇱⚡️- "Hamas has refused to negotiate, in good will, a hostage deal. Their only way out is to release all the hostages, and in the process, bring an end to the fighting which will result in a surge of humanitarian relief." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇸🇦🇮🇱⚡️- "The United States remains prepared to conclude a set of historic deals with Saudi Arabia, to include a pact of security assurances and economic deals. I believe this agenda remains possible." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- "Israel must be bold, and turn tactical gains against Iran and Hezbollah into long-term safety and broader peace and prosperity in the region. Today's announcement is a critical move in that direction." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Peace is possible." - Biden.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Biden's remarks have ended.

🇺🇸 - Biden was clearly off the sauce. He wasn't speaking coherently at all. It was hard to transcribe what he was saying!

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡- Israeli airstrikes reported on Beirut, Lebanon.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡- A Hezbollah arrival reported in Kiryat Shmona, northern Israel.