ECONOMIST: In the four days after Mr. Musk took the keys to Twitter, Republican members of Congress collectively gained around 470,000 followers, or an average of 1,800 each...Marjorie Taylor Greene gained the most of any Republican in the four days after the deal.
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WSJ: The GOP has seen a shift in its favor among several voter groups, including Latino voters and women, and particularly white suburban women. That group shifted 26 points away from Democrats since the Journal's August poll and now favors the GOP by 15%.
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BREAKING: Charlie Crist tells a crowd at a townhall he’s open to a mask mandate in Florida. https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587428137662644226?s=20&t=4YoT2TUbdgw0FPmG3lvQQQ
Twitter
BREAKING: Charlie Crist says he’s open to a mask mandate in Florida
https://t.co/BUBwgfSrV1
https://t.co/BUBwgfSrV1
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NEW: Pennsylvania court rules undated mail-in ballots CANNOT be counted in midterms
https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-pennsylvania-court-rules-undated-mail-in-ballots-cannot-be-counted-in-midterms?utm_campaign=64502
https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-pennsylvania-court-rules-undated-mail-in-ballots-cannot-be-counted-in-midterms?utm_campaign=64502
The Post Millennial
BREAKING: Pennsylvania court rules undated mail-in ballots CANNOT be counted in midterms
“The Pennsylvania county boards of elections are hereby ordered to refrain from counting any absentee and mail-in ballots received for the November 8, 2022 general election that are contained in undated or incorrectly dated outer envelopes.”
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Democrats are pushing trash polls in Oklahoma to make the Governor’s race appear tight. It’s not. Stitt is well-positioned to win all 77 countries, including Oklahoma County. Some of the polling is plain ludicrous, showing Biden massively over performing his 2020 margin in OK.
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WATCH: Demonstrations over the legitimacy of the presidential election continue in Brazil.
https://twitter.com/electionwiz/status/1587759871147008000?s=46&t=gXKSPnMudsLQY28rKDU94A
https://twitter.com/electionwiz/status/1587759871147008000?s=46&t=gXKSPnMudsLQY28rKDU94A
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WATCH: Large numbers of Brazilian military forces arrive in Rio De Janeiro following demonstrations over the legitimacy of country’s presidential election.
https://twitter.com/electionwiz/status/1587764038997577728?s=46&t=gXKSPnMudsLQY28rKDU94A
https://twitter.com/electionwiz/status/1587764038997577728?s=46&t=gXKSPnMudsLQY28rKDU94A
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Democrats are not hitting the numbers they need in the Early-in-Person and Vote-by-Mail to counteract a Red Wave on Election Day. We'd expect a turnout drop between a presidential election and a midterm, but the current decrease is jaw-dropping.
The best estimates I've seen show the total early vote has decreased by a whopping 60% compared to 2020, which appears much higher than we'd expect from a presidential to midterm cycle. Early voting in many states will close by this weekend.
Worse for Democrats, their share of the early vote has decreased too. At this point in 2020, Democrats held an estimated 15% advantage in the early vote. Right now, Democrats hold a national lead of about 12%.
In crucial battlegrounds, Democrats have seen significant tightening.
AZ
2020: D-44/R-34
2022: D-40/R-37
FL
2020: D-42/R-37
2022: D-38/R-43
NV
2020: D-43/R-35
2022: D-40/R-38
OR
2020: D-48/R-26
2022: D-42/R-34
Democrats are maintaining their 2020 % share in some states like IA, NM, and PA. But because the volume of early vote is considerably lower, it raises the specter that Democrats may not be able to withstand a large GOP turnout on ED, which appears likely at this point.
Last, there's reason to believe Democrats are struggling in some places to turn out their core consistency groups. For example, in Georgia, the Black early vote turnout has steadily declined. | Follow: @electionwizard
The best estimates I've seen show the total early vote has decreased by a whopping 60% compared to 2020, which appears much higher than we'd expect from a presidential to midterm cycle. Early voting in many states will close by this weekend.
Worse for Democrats, their share of the early vote has decreased too. At this point in 2020, Democrats held an estimated 15% advantage in the early vote. Right now, Democrats hold a national lead of about 12%.
In crucial battlegrounds, Democrats have seen significant tightening.
AZ
2020: D-44/R-34
2022: D-40/R-37
FL
2020: D-42/R-37
2022: D-38/R-43
NV
2020: D-43/R-35
2022: D-40/R-38
OR
2020: D-48/R-26
2022: D-42/R-34
Democrats are maintaining their 2020 % share in some states like IA, NM, and PA. But because the volume of early vote is considerably lower, it raises the specter that Democrats may not be able to withstand a large GOP turnout on ED, which appears likely at this point.
Last, there's reason to believe Democrats are struggling in some places to turn out their core consistency groups. For example, in Georgia, the Black early vote turnout has steadily declined. | Follow: @electionwizard
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Suburban women shift from supporting Democrats to GOP ahead of midterms: poll
https://thepostmillennial.com/suburban-women-shift-from-supporting-democrats-to-gop-ahead-of-midterms-poll?utm_campaign=64502
https://thepostmillennial.com/suburban-women-shift-from-supporting-democrats-to-gop-ahead-of-midterms-poll?utm_campaign=64502
The Post Millennial
Suburban women shift from supporting Democrats to GOP ahead of
midterms: poll
midterms: poll
Part of this push towards Republican support can be seen
amongst white suburban women, who according to pollsters make up
20 percent of the electorate.
amongst white suburban women, who according to pollsters make up
20 percent of the electorate.
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As my MAGA friend #BrickSuit points out, it's not in the bag for the GOP yet. Yes, Republicans are positioned to do well next week, but that ONLY happens if they get to the polls. If the GOP doesn't show on Nov. 8, they will get swamped by the Democrat's early vote advantage.
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It's been much harder (though not impossible) this time for Democrats to repeat their election "fortification" efforts of the early vote. The jig is up about the drop boxes, third-party funding, and ballot harvesters. The early vote numbers reflect this reality.
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BREAKING: In a historic move, Republicans have taken the lead in Florida's Miami-Dade County in the early + mail-in voting over Democrats.
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BREAKING: Thousands of protesters concerned about the legitimacy of the Brazilian Presidential Election swarm the military barracks in Rio de Janeiro. They pled military commanders to intervene.
https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587849956492197890?s=20&t=YPi3bP_pnrTqiA4-LqxEDg
https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587849956492197890?s=20&t=YPi3bP_pnrTqiA4-LqxEDg
Twitter
BREAKING: Thousands of protesters concerned about the legitimacy of the Brazilian Presidential Election swarm the military barracks in Rio de Janeiro. They pled military commanders to intervene.
https://t.co/ptA3I4STA5
https://t.co/ptA3I4STA5
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WATCH: Helicopter footage shows a massive crowd assembled at the Brazilian military command (Palácio Duque de Caxias) in Rio de Janeiro. Protestors claim the presidential election was rigged and ask the military to intervene.
https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587852543446904832?s=20&t=0U_IP8rGJhGavdXlTmVXig
https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587852543446904832?s=20&t=0U_IP8rGJhGavdXlTmVXig
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BREAKING: Fed chair Jerome Powell says 'there's no sense that inflation is coming down'
https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-fed-chair-jerome-powell-says-theres-no-sense-that-inflation-is-coming-down?utm_campaign=64502
https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-fed-chair-jerome-powell-says-theres-no-sense-that-inflation-is-coming-down?utm_campaign=64502
The Post Millennial
BREAKING: Fed Chair Jerome Powell says ‘there’s no sense that inflation is coming down’
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that the inflation numbers “do suggest to me that we may move to a higher level than we thought at the September meeting,” adding that “there’s no sense that inflation is coming down.”
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BREAKING: Elon Musk to eliminate 50% of all the Twitter jobs to save on costs, per Bloomberg.
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