Quant X Tribe (Next Level)
14.6K subscribers
1.61K photos
53 videos
50 files
2.04K links
A living lab where investors journey through QUANT via IBOT โ†’ Ideation, Backtest, Optimize, Trade.

We stand for:
Risk before reward | Data before opinions | Tribe before self

Disclaimer: Educational only, not financial advice.
Download Telegram
That's a wrap for tonight's session! Thank you everyone for attending ๐Ÿซถ
Recording and the resources for tonight's session will be uploaded soon~
Good Night Tribe๐ŸŒ™
Hey Tribe, Eri here ๐Ÿซถ

Last night Charmain Tan from QD Academy showed us how she actually uses AI for quant trading. Here's the technical shape of it ๐Ÿ‘‡

๐Ÿงฉ Three levels of AI: Chat, Skill, Agent. Chat is asking. Skill is the capability you give the AI. An Agent completes a task. Agentic AI completes the whole process toward an objective, like a target P&L.

โš™๏ธ IBOT is a chain of specialists, not one prompt: ideation โ†’ quality gate โ†’ data engineering โ†’ backtest โ†’ optimisation โ†’ trading. Each specialist has a personality and hands off to the next, and the quality gate only returns conditional, pass or fail.

๐Ÿงช Six-stage research framework: know your data โ†’ variance exploration โ†’ temporal structure โ†’ cross-sectional patterns โ†’ falsifiable hypothesis โ†’ pre-backtest validation.

๐Ÿ“ A hypothesis must specify five things: signal, universe, condition, prediction, horizon. Most hypotheses die at pre-backtest validation, before a backtest is ever run.

๐Ÿ”ฌ Backtest spec: in-sample to build, out-of-sample to validate, commissions and slippage accounted for, look-ahead bias-free. Vectorise first; use bar-by-bar loops only where the logic is genuinely stateful.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Optimisation: systematic grid search, visual heatmaps and overfitting guardrails. Robust shows a plateau of good performance across neighbouring parameters; fragile shows a single spike.

๐Ÿงพ Integrity report: every issue detected and fixed during the scan, documented before the strategy moves forward.

๐Ÿ“Š Performance: CAGR, max drawdown, Sharpe ratio, equity curve, win rate and trade count.

That's the session in one screen ๐Ÿซถ
๐Ÿ”ฅ4โค2๐Ÿ’ฏ1
Here is the recording for last night's session:
https://youtu.be/YKBZcyPlCM0
๐Ÿ”ฅ2
[3 red days in a row on SPYโ€ฆ the backtest says that's when to BUY ๐ŸŸฅ๐ŸŸฅ๐ŸŸฅโžก๏ธ๐ŸŸฉ]

๐Ÿ“Š 298 trades since 1993
โœ… About 74% of them closed as winners
โฑ๏ธ Average hold: just 1.6 days
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Worst drop: -11%, while SPY itself fell -55%

Most people panic after three down daysโ€ฆ this rule does the opposite ๐Ÿ‘€

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment STRATEGY on Instagram (not here) to get the full rules in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/Dev3e2wy5px/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more strategies like this? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

Backtested results. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”ฅ8โค2
[+671% in a crash year... with just 3 simple strategies ๐Ÿคฏ๐Ÿ“‰โžก๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ]

๐Ÿ† A four-time trading world champion, +671% in 2008
๐Ÿฅฃ Just 3 strategies: trend following, breakout, mean reversion
โฑ๏ธ Same gold bot: 1-minute bars lost money, 1-hour bars lost less
โœ… On 4-hour bars, it made money

Most people keep tweaking the strategy... the backtest says change the timeframe instead ๐Ÿ‘€

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment ROBUST on Instagram (not here) to get the free Just-Right Strategy Card in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/Dewa59jCihk/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more breakdowns like this? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

๐Ÿฆ† Explained by Prof Quack, our duck who turns quant lessons into bite-size reels.

Backtested results. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”ฅ5
[A 1970s indicator that still spots dips: 202 backtested trades, 79% winners ๐Ÿ“œ๐Ÿ“ˆ]

๐Ÿ“Š 202 trades on SPY since 1993
โœ… Roughly 4 out of every 5 closed as winners
โฑ๏ธ Average hold: just 3.7 days, in the market only about 9% of the time
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Worst drop: -8%, while SPY itself fell -55%

An indicator older than most tradersโ€ฆ and the backtest says it still works ๐Ÿ‘€

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment STRATEGY on Instagram (not here) to get the full rules in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/DeycC6PSV4-/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more strategies like this? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

Backtested results. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”ฅ6
[$2 trillion has to trade on the same days every month. Quants mark it on their calendar ๐Ÿ“…๐Ÿ‹]

๐Ÿฆ Pension funds must hold 60% stocks and 40% bonds, no matter what

๐Ÿ“… So every month end, they're forced to buy or sell, on schedule

๐Ÿ” Researchers told 16 of them: "We can see your trade coming."

๐Ÿคท Their answer: "We know. We're not changing."

Most traders chase the news. This trade is on the calendar ๐Ÿ˜

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment WHALE on Instagram (not here) to get the Whale Bot Prompt in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/DezArHmAHb6/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more trades the big funds can't hide? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

๐Ÿฆ† Prof Quack, our resident quant duck, digs up the research so you don't have to.

Backtested results. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”ฅ4
[That "genius" stock-picking edge? It might just be two hidden factors in disguise ๐ŸŽญ]

๐Ÿ“Š US stocks sorted into 25 portfolios by size and value, 1963 to 1991
๐Ÿท Cheap "value" stocks earned an extra 0.40% a month on average
๐ŸŽฏ With market, size and value combined, 21 of 25 portfolios had Rยฒ above 0.9
๐Ÿ˜ฎ With the market alone? Just 2 of 25

A mouse, a piggy bank, and the 1993 study that changed how quants spot real alpha ๐Ÿ‘€

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment PAPER on Instagram (not here) to get the full paper in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/De1AK1bS-iA/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more research breakdowns like this? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

Educational content. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”ฅ5โค1
[Buy low, sell high... but when is low LOW ENOUGH? ๐Ÿ“‰โžก๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ]

๐Ÿ“‰ Fast RSI falls 3 days in a row and closes below 30
๐Ÿ“ˆ Only while SPY is still above its 200-day average
๐ŸŽฏ 91 trades over 32 years, about 81% winners
โฑ๏ธ Median hold: about 6 days

Everyone says "buy the dip"... this one tells you exactly when ๐Ÿ‘€

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment DIP on Instagram (not here) to get the AI Prompt that builds the bot in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/De1kufQir18/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more strategies like this? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

๐Ÿฆ† Prof Quack, our resident quant duck, digs up the research so you don't have to.

Backtested results. Not financial advice.
โค3๐Ÿ”ฅ3
[This rule only fires about 3 times a yearโ€ฆ when Wall Street's fear gauge explodes ๐Ÿ˜ฑ]

๐Ÿ“Š 98 trades backtested since 1993
โœ… 78.6% of trades closed as winners
โฑ๏ธ Average hold: just 3.4 days
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ In the market only about 4% of the time, worst drop -13.2%

Most people freeze when fear spikesโ€ฆ this rule does the opposite. And the next episode asks: does the day of the week matter? ๐Ÿ‘€

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment STRATEGY on Instagram (not here) to get the full rules in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/De3lpOuyorU/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more strategies like this? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

Backtested results. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”ฅ4
[The calendar trade: in the market just 4 days a month, and it still made money ๐Ÿ“…๐Ÿ’ฐ]

๐Ÿ“Š 403 trades backtested since 1993
โœ… About 12 trades a year, 56% closed as winners
โฑ๏ธ Average hold: just 4 days
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Worst drop: -19%, while SPY itself fell -55%

Same few days, every single monthโ€ฆ is the calendar edge real? ๐Ÿ‘€

๐ŸŽฅ Watch the Reel and comment STRATEGY on Instagram (not here) to get the full rules in your DMs ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.instagram.com/reel/De6JrUtSPZJ/

๐Ÿ”ฅ Want more strategies like this? Hit ๐Ÿ”ฅ below!

Backtested results. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”ฅ6โค1
Hey Tribe, Eri here ๐Ÿซถ

Tomorrow we're going somewhere we've never gone before ๐Ÿ‘€

Forex and CFD trading.

And our speaker has a story. He lost US$50,000 in his first month of trading, then turned it around. Today he averages 2% monthly returns with just 30 minutes of trading a day.

10 years of trading experience, and 1,000+ students trained.

He'll be covering:

๐Ÿ’ฑ What Forex and CFD actually is, and yes, we're doing it
๐Ÿ“Š Beyond stocks and property: understanding Forex and CFD trading
๐ŸŒ What moves the markets, and how global events affect your money

๐Ÿ“Œ From US$50K Lost to 2% Monthly Returns: Forex Trading
๐Ÿ“… Tomorrow, Tuesday 27 October 2026
๐Ÿ•’ 7:30PM SGT
๐Ÿ’ป Zoom
๐Ÿ”— Register here: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/k35Dp1GKRpu51RQ0d1LSXA

His name stays a secret for now. You'll meet him tomorrow night ๐Ÿค

See you then, Tribe ๐Ÿซถ
โค8
Hey Tribe ๐Ÿ‘€

Psst. That mystery speaker from yesterday?

His name is Roys Chen.

Forex trader. 10 years in. 1,000+ students trained.

First month of trading, he lost US$50,000. Then he turned it around โ€” he averages 2% monthly returns with just 30 minutes of trading a day.

TONIGHT's the ONLY CHANCE to sit with him and hear what changed.

๐Ÿ’ฑ What Forex and CFD actually is, and yes, we're doing it
๐Ÿ“Š Beyond stocks and property
๐ŸŒ What moves the markets, and how global events hit your money

๐Ÿ“Œ From US$50K Lost to 2% Monthly Returns: Forex Trading
๐Ÿ“… Tonight, Tuesday 27 October 2026
๐Ÿ•’ 7:30PM SGT
๐Ÿ’ป Zoom
๐Ÿ”— https://zoom.us/meeting/register/k35Dp1GKRpu51RQ0d1LSXA

Want to meet Roys? Register and show up tonight โ€” once we start, you miss him ๐Ÿซถ

See you on Zoom, Tribe ๐Ÿ‘‡
โค3๐Ÿ‘1
Who's locking in for Roys Chen tonight at 7:30PM SGT?
Anonymous Poll
57%
I'm registered โ€” see you there ๐Ÿ”ฅ
9%
Registering now
34%
Can't make tonight
Hey Tribe โฐ

One hour to go.

Quick heads up: there's a possibility tonight's session with Roys may not be recorded.

If you want it live, be on Zoom at 7:30PM SGT.

๐Ÿ“Œ From US$50K Lost to 2% Monthly Returns: Forex Trading
๐Ÿ”— https://zoom.us/meeting/register/k35Dp1GKRpu51RQ0d1LSXA

See you there ๐Ÿ‘‡
Hey Tribe โฐ

We begin in 10 minutes.

Roys Chen is going live at 7:30PM SGT.
๐Ÿ”— https://zoom.us/meeting/register/k35Dp1GKRpu51RQ0d1LSXA

See you on Zoom ๐Ÿ‘‡
Hey Tribe ๐Ÿ”ด LIVE NOW

Roys is already on Zoom โ€” and this is what's on the board tonight:

1๏ธโƒฃ What is Forex/CFD?
2๏ธโƒฃ Beyond Stocks and Property
3๏ธโƒฃ What Moves the Markets?
4๏ธโƒฃ Stories of George Soros

Still time to jump in if you haven't.

๐Ÿ”— https://zoom.us/meeting/register/k35Dp1GKRpu51RQ0d1LSXA

Come through, Tribe ๐Ÿ‘‡
Hey Tribe Eri here ๐Ÿซถ

Just wrapped tonight's session with Roys Chen. Sharing the value for everyone, who were on Zoom or missed the session.

๐Ÿ’ฑ Forex: global FX market, about $9.6 trillion a day. Moves in pips on currency pairs.

๐Ÿ“„ CFDs: trade the price difference without owning the asset (currencies, indices, gold, oil, shares). Long or short.

โš ๏ธ Leverage cuts both ways. Example: 1:20 means $1k can control $20k, but a small wrong move can mean a margin call. Risk rule he shared: about 1% of current capital per trade. He said only an estimated 5-10% of retail traders stay consistently profitable.

๐ŸŒ What moves markets (his big four): interest rates, inflation, job data, and GDP. Gold and the USD often move inversely.

๐Ÿ“– Macro case study: George Soros, 1992 British Pound / ERM, and 1997 Thai Baht.

๐Ÿงญ His path (what he shared): lost US$50k in month one, then years of figuring it out. He said he now averages around 2% a month manually, roughly ~8 trades a month, pairing fundamentals with technicals on a higher timeframe like the 4-hour.

Proud of you for showing up and learning, Tribe. Keep going, your growth compounds ๐Ÿซถ
โค5
If you want the recording of tonight's session released, react to this message with a โค๏ธ.

Hit 100 โค๏ธ and we'll drop the recording.

LETS GO!
โค111