Realized loss momentum is approaching historically significant levels.
Previous spikes into this zone have marked major local bottoms in Bitcoin.
When loss realization accelerates to extremes, it often signals capitulation — and potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
If history rhymes, this area deserves close attention. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
Previous spikes into this zone have marked major local bottoms in Bitcoin.
When loss realization accelerates to extremes, it often signals capitulation — and potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
If history rhymes, this area deserves close attention. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
BLACKROCK'S UNI PURCHASE AND OTHER DEFI DEVELOPMENTS, WITH LIDO AND CHAOS LABS: THE BLOCK ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
#jonathancarter
#XTZ Falling Wedge Bounce in Progress👀
Tezos is consolidating near the lower border of the falling wedge on the 2W chart🔍
✅ Price stabilizing at key support
✅ Wedge structure holding firm
✅ Recovery momentum building
Target levels: $0.60 → $0.95 → $1.50 → $2.10 → $4.25 → $7.60🎯
This support is being defended🚀 ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
#XTZ Falling Wedge Bounce in Progress👀
Tezos is consolidating near the lower border of the falling wedge on the 2W chart🔍
✅ Price stabilizing at key support
✅ Wedge structure holding firm
✅ Recovery momentum building
Target levels: $0.60 → $0.95 → $1.50 → $2.10 → $4.25 → $7.60🎯
This support is being defended🚀 ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
Whales don't chase. They accumulate. Then they stop.
That's what's happening now.
2020-2021: +500K BTC added in 12 months - front-running the bull run
2022 bear: -500K BTC - distribution complete
2023-2024: stealth re-accumulation, sub-30K, pre-ETF
2025: 1-year change rolling over hard
Whales are loaded before every major move. They're not loading now.
Price at 97K. Whale accumulation is decelerating. SMA(365) is turning down.
That's not a healthy setup. That's smart money stepping back while retail holds. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
That's what's happening now.
2020-2021: +500K BTC added in 12 months - front-running the bull run
2022 bear: -500K BTC - distribution complete
2023-2024: stealth re-accumulation, sub-30K, pre-ETF
2025: 1-year change rolling over hard
Whales are loaded before every major move. They're not loading now.
Price at 97K. Whale accumulation is decelerating. SMA(365) is turning down.
That's not a healthy setup. That's smart money stepping back while retail holds. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
Did President Trump just leak US GDP data?
President Trump posted about the miss in US GDP data 40 minutes before it was released this morning.
At 7:50 AM ET, Trump posted that the "Democrat shutdown cost the USA at least two points in GDP."
Exactly 40 minutes later, the US published Q4 2025 GDP data which massively missed expectations, falling from 4.4% to 1.4%, a 300 bps decline.
GDP growth is now at its lowest since Q1 2025. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
President Trump posted about the miss in US GDP data 40 minutes before it was released this morning.
At 7:50 AM ET, Trump posted that the "Democrat shutdown cost the USA at least two points in GDP."
Exactly 40 minutes later, the US published Q4 2025 GDP data which massively missed expectations, falling from 4.4% to 1.4%, a 300 bps decline.
GDP growth is now at its lowest since Q1 2025. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
TRUMP TARIFF REFUNDS NOW MARKET FAVORITE
The Kalshi market now puts the odds of a court-ordered Trump tariff refund before July 2026 at 66%, up sharply from the low 30s. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
The Kalshi market now puts the odds of a court-ordered Trump tariff refund before July 2026 at 66%, up sharply from the low 30s. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
🔥1
US SUPREME COURT ON TARIFF REFUNDS:
"The refund process is likely going to be a mess." ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
"The refund process is likely going to be a mess." ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
🔥2
Forwarded from Coin Listing
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#bitfinex
Bitcoin mining difficulty has risen by about 15%, one of the largest increases since 2021.
Mining competition just got tougher. If price does not follow, selling pressure can increase from higher-cost miners. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
Bitcoin mining difficulty has risen by about 15%, one of the largest increases since 2021.
Mining competition just got tougher. If price does not follow, selling pressure can increase from higher-cost miners. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
The US' goods trade deficit widened by -$17.3 billion in December, to -$70.3 billion, the highest deficit since July 2025.
This brings the full-year deficit to -$901.5 billion in 2025, the 3rd-largest in data going back to 1960.
This comes as exports declined -$5.0 billion last month, to $287.3 billion, the lowest since August.
At the same time, imports jumped +$12.3 billion, to $357.6 billion, the highest since March.
Adjusted for inflation, the merchandise trade deficit widened to -$97.1 billion in December, the largest since July.
Despite massive volatility, the trade deficit was little changed last year. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
This brings the full-year deficit to -$901.5 billion in 2025, the 3rd-largest in data going back to 1960.
This comes as exports declined -$5.0 billion last month, to $287.3 billion, the lowest since August.
At the same time, imports jumped +$12.3 billion, to $357.6 billion, the highest since March.
Adjusted for inflation, the merchandise trade deficit widened to -$97.1 billion in December, the largest since July.
Despite massive volatility, the trade deficit was little changed last year. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
On Feb. 20 (ET), total net inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs reached $88.04 million. The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest single-day net inflow was BlackRock's IBIT, which recorded $64.46 million in net inflows, bringing its cumulative historical net inflows to $61.303 billion. Ethereum spot ETFs saw total net inflows of $17,200. The Ethereum spot ETF with the largest single-day net inflow was BlackRock's ETHA, with $1.78 million in net inflows, raising its cumulative historical net inflows to $11.875 billion. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
#mdtrade
What forces are holding the #Crypto market back?
1/ Lack of strong fresh catalysts or narrative momentum
2/ Slow institutional inflows and regulatory uncertainty
3/ Macro risk-off sentiment and tighter liquidity
4/ Cautious investor psychology and profit taking
All together, these factors create a period of consolidation and muted prices, even while underlying infrastructure and innovation continue.
We have been through this many times before and its just part of the cycle - dont lose hope but wait for that capitulation moment - I dont think we are there yet imo. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]
What forces are holding the #Crypto market back?
1/ Lack of strong fresh catalysts or narrative momentum
2/ Slow institutional inflows and regulatory uncertainty
3/ Macro risk-off sentiment and tighter liquidity
4/ Cautious investor psychology and profit taking
All together, these factors create a period of consolidation and muted prices, even while underlying infrastructure and innovation continue.
We have been through this many times before and its just part of the cycle - dont lose hope but wait for that capitulation moment - I dont think we are there yet imo. ⨯ [ⵕⵕ ᴛʀᴀᴅᴇʀs]