Probably seen it already, but this is looking like an inevitable next move.

Two ranges, both broken to the downside. Each one acting as a lower high within a clean descending structure.

With price broken the ascending channel on the 4H and sitting around 66K with nothing but stacked liquidation clusters below - dense pockets at 64K, 62K, and all the way down to 54K.

The structure doesn't lie. Lower highs, lower lows.
Until that changes, this is still a downtrend.

Price is still trading below the broken channel structure, with a slight overnight push up toward the 67K area—but nothing meaningful enough to shift the broader outlook.

The same pattern persists: gradual downside pressure with brief, weak relief bounces. Price continues to struggle reclaiming higher structure, while the larger liquidity zones below—around 64K and lower—remain untouched.

As long as those downside levels aren’t swept, any move into the 68–70K supply zone is more likely to face selling pressure than continuation.

📥 #GPS | Open Long
Current price: 0.008032
Settings: BYBIT. Timeframe: 45 min
Strategy score: 17.05

TP 1: 0.0081171 - Probability 100% (PNL 270%)
TP 2: 0.0081955 - Probability 96% (PNL 440%)
TP 3: 0.0082782 - Probability 89% (PNL 480%)
TP 4: 0.0083606 - Probability 81% (PNL 480%)
TP 5: 0.0086762 - Probability 70% (PNL 880%)
TP 6: 0.0096456 - Probability 59% (PNL 2379%)
DCA: 1. 0.0074698 2. 0.0068272 3. 0.006024

ID: #Long_GPS_31_03_2026_03_00

TP 1 ✅
Profit: +10.4%

Not much has changed from yesterday - still sitting under broken structure and now just ranging after the move lower. Price poked into the 67–68k area again but couldn’t build acceptance, just another weak rotation into supply.

The key difference now is how clean the reaction has been. No strong bounce, no reclaim attempt… just sideways under resistance. That usually leans continuation rather than reversal.

Liquidity still hasn’t shifted - the heavier clusters remain below, with 62–64k continuing to stand out as the next obvious draw when this range gives way.

Above, supply is layered into the 70k region but every push up is capped. Until that changes, upside is just relief.

Overall, still looks like the same dynamic playing out - chop here, small bounces into supply, and then continuation lower into the larger liquidity pockets.

TP 2 ✅
Profit: +20.8%

TP 3 ✅
Profit: +30.3%

TP 4 ✅
Profit: +40.9%

TP 5 ✅
Surgical precision

Profit: +80.6%
1000 bucks in = $1806

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The world is at war and news telling us Bitcoin will break from Quantum attacks in 2029…

And BTC is printing a higher low?

We might see a rally first before going lower. Let's see the monthly close today.

Price is still consolidating in the lower part of the range. We’ve seen a minor bounce off the lows, but there’s no real impulsive strength behind it.

This looks more like positioning than an actual reversal.

A move into 69K today seems likely, but that level is expected to run into supply, setting up for continuation lower toward the thicker liquidity sitting in the mid-to-low 60s.

On the upside, supply continues to build around 72K. Every test of that area has been sold so far, and until that behavior changes, any rallies look more like fuel for downside continuation rather than a shift in trend.

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Bitcoin 69k 🎯

BTC Update & MMT Heatmap

Following yesterday’s script perfectly, price pushed up into 69K and immediately got sold - still no strength on these bounces, just reaction into supply.

We’re currently heading down towards the 64k liquidity now which we will hit before the weekend, especially with the new bids showing above which supports the move lower.

Below that, liquidity is still heavy into low 60s and even high 50s - still being the main draw on HT.

Upside hasn’t changed much either. Supply sitting 69–72K continues to cap every move. Until we see acceptance above 70k, any bounce is just a relief.

Markets didn't like Trump's speech yesterday.

It was supposed to signal de-escalation. It did the opposite:

Markets had been pricing in a swift resolution, but we'll see another 2-3 weeks of heavy strikes. The Strait of Hormuz still closed.

The fallout: oil surged 6%, bond yields rose globally. Gold and silver sold off as liquidity tightened. Bitcoin dropped 2.2% to $66,600.

Everything repriced simultaneously - exactly what happens when uncertainty extends beyond what markets had already priced in.

Expectations:
$OIL - higher
$GOLD $SILVER - higher
Risk assets like $SPX $BTC - lower

BTC Update & MMT Heatmap

Still no real shift in behaviour, had a brief drop to the 65.5k low and then back up to 67k after NY open.

Now we’re consolidating right on that 66–67K area again, which has been tested many times. Each revisit weakens it, and you can see on the heatmap there’s still more meaningful liquidity resting below than above - that imbalance hasn’t changed.

Above, 67k–69K continues to act as a ceiling. Every move into that zone gets absorbed quickly, so upside remains limited.

In short mid–low 60s remains the magnet. When this level gives, I’d expect price to move there fairly quickly.

Nothing changed structurally, price is still chopping at 66k. We’re seeing less reaction on the upside now - pushes are getting weaker and shorter, which usually comes before expansion.

Liquidity below hasn’t gone anywhere - the more time price spends just above without fully clearing it makes it more likely to be drawn into.

Upside still looks possible, but it’s not even being tested. That tells you more than anything - market isn’t even trying to push higher, just slowly giving up ground.

If this continues, it’s less about a sharp move and more about a drift lower into those deeper pockets.