Trump to Japan PM: "Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Harbor?"

Trump, in a meeting with PM Sanae Takaichi, spoke to reporters about why he did not notify allies before the US and Israel attacked Iran on February 28.

"We didn't tell anybody about it because we wanted surprise".

100 seconds for 86X on a single headline.

*IRAN MISSILE TARGETED HAIFA OIL REFINERIES, IRAN'S MEHR SAYS*

- The crowd see headline and buys YES.
- Smarts buy NO - "MEHR" is Iranian state propaganda.

Result: 1¢ → 86¢ in peak
the signal > the background noise

The only way for traders to avoid liquidation these days.

Predict events, not their consequences. Join predictore

It is 68% chance President Trump signs crypto market structure legislation into law this year.

- Bullish: it would reduce legal uncertainty, attract institutional capital, and legitimize the industry in the US.
- Bearish: stricter rules, compliance costs, and limits.

🐻 or 🐮?

Huge porfit just on weather. Again.

Fresh account with 94% WR and $14k PnL

- Wellington temperature
$150 → Profit: $2,589 ROI: +1718%
- Tokyo temperature
$140 → Profit: $610 ROI: +437%
- Buenos Aires temperature
$167 → Profit: $493 ROI: +294%

Potential $300K inprofit

A new trader named "Kharg" placed a $33k bet on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control".

If he is right, he's looking at 900% return

Such moves make you wonder if they know something... But sometimes such "insider" style bets are just noise.

Crude oil to the moon?

Sri Lanka, the Philippines, and Pakistan have reduced workdays to cut fuel use, commuting, and electricity demand.

Other countries are considering similar steps as energy costs rise.

Traders predict a 22% chance crude oil will hit $150 per barrel by June

$3M+ in 20 days betting on NCAA.

This is clearly not a coincidence.

The craziest wins:
- Horned Frogs vs Duke Blue (3.3¢) → +$825K
- Saint Louis Billikens vs Michigan (2.6¢) → +$425K
- Texas Aggies vs Houston (0.1¢) → +$420K

Total: $3M+ realized. Who are you, bro?

Almost +$2M in one month and +$4,5M all time

4,500 bets, 51% win rate only, but printing like 99%.

Trader's biggest wins:
- Real Madrid YES (36.7¢) → +$1,1M
- PSG NO (36¢) → +$1,5M
- Bills (46¢) → +$1,3M

No insider info, no massive odds.
Only math, skill, and analysis.

Trump about the war with Iran: "We have won this war. The only one that likes to keep it going is the fake news".

Traders predict a 16% chance the U.S. and Iran will agree to a ceasefire by March 31.

Simple math in predictions

Focus on expected value, not win rate.
A good trade is one where the probability of winning is higher than what the price implies.

- Don’t chase high win rate
- Look for positive risk/reward
- Only take trades with positive EV

Start winning now.

5 Skills you need to start making money in prediction markets:

- The Lawyer’s Edge
- Information Triage
- Mispricing Radar
- Emotional Detachment
- Survival Instinct

Success isn’t about predicting the future, but about navigating uncertainty.

Trader made over 149 predictions and earned $279,000

What is he actually doing?
A simple, interesting, and effective strategy:
- only "NO" shares
- only at 80-99¢
- large position sizes

He enters only when the market is already almost certain about the outcome.

Are prediction markets the best way to make a profit now?

While stocks like the S&P 500 are under pressure and crypto is even more volatile, interest and volume on prediction markets are only growing.

Any events: weather, sports, politics, culture. Any amount. Join in.

The most profitable prediction niche

All analysis tools are completely free.
You just need to spot mismatches between the real forecast and the odds

Example:
- Toronto 10°C →9.8¢ →80¢ →+718%
- Chicago 66°F →12.3¢ →99.5¢ →+708%
- Sao Paulo 30°C →8¢ → 78.5¢ →+881%

While everyone else is working and earning pennies, one guy has secured himself a comfortable life

- Profit: +$511K
- WR: 95.5%

Some of his trades:

- US gov shutdown at 0.3¢ → +$140K (9,100%)
- Fed rate cut at 16.7¢ → +$125K (500%)

Zero to half a million. 1 year of focus

A single mistake made people millionaires

Bruce Buffer announced Tybura as the winner at UFC Seattle, result: 1¢ to 99¢ in seconds.
After that, UFC changed the decision in favor of Fortune, issuing an apology.

Traders made up to 1000%.
This is how prediction market rules work.

Elon Musk's Tweets = Money

Trader making 20% per day on any deposit

Why does it work?
It’s not random - you can model it using:
- Average tweet frequency
- Major events (launches, scandals, appearances)
- Social media sentiment

Another proof that you can make money on anything

Trump out as president before 2027?

Millions of people took to the streets across all 50 states under the banner of “No Kings,” marking one of the largest coordinated protest movements in recent U.S. history.

Traders predict an 16% chance.

Trader dropped $42K on US forces entering Iran at 10¢ odds - high risk, huge upside.

Less than 24 hours later he closed position and walked away with $91,684.

Same wallet already nailed the Iran strike back in summer 2025 and pulled $150K.

Two trades. Two wars. Zero misses.

Market orders = you losing money.

Smart money uses limit orders - sets price, waits.

Why? Thin liquidity → market buys move price against you. They get filled on panic/mispricing → no slippage, no fees.

Scale in, scale out → smooth PnL.

You chase. They farm.