New market that perfectly captures how weird this cycle has become:

Will Donald Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz to “Strait of Trump” by May 31?

In normal times this would be a meme with 0% probability. But right now, with escalating tensions even absurd scenarios start getting priced.

Current odds? Around 5% - basically “unlikely,” but definitely not zero.

Someone is printing money on IPL Cricket

Since April 1: +$62,500 profit.

Аccount trades ONLY Indian Premier League Cricket.
Even stranger - a huge chunk of his bets are on <10% odds. And yet… they keep hitting.

Narrow niche, high accuracy.
Pure genius or insider knowledge?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on...?

This isn’t even a wild prediction. Trump is known for speaking off-script. Trump is known for speaking off-script, going after opponents, journalists, even allies, and doing it publicly and directly. It's just behaviour pattern.

Markets are pricing 70-80% odds every single day until April 30.
And it feels mispriced, like selling a $1 for 80 cents.

What about UFO?

Donald Trump is talking about releasing UFO-related files, pushing the topic back into the spotlight. At the same time, Andy Ogles claims he’s seen extremely classified material...

And yet the market still leans heavily skeptical:
The odds of UFO files being released are 19% by April 30 and 87% by December 31

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

Ishaq Dar is pushing hard to keep things from escalating. On Tuesday, he officially called on both the U.S. and Iran to extend the current truce, stressing that only dialogue and diplomacy can stabilize the region.

According to Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry, they want to prolong the 14-day ceasefire (agreed April 8) to create room for another round of direct negotiations.

Meanwhile, markets are actively pricing the outcome:
- April 21 - 22%
- April 22 - 44%

Could someone have manipulated weather data?

This case raises a wild question:
According to Météo-France, a complaint was filed after signs of unauthorized access to a temperature sensor at Charles de Gaulle Airport.

On April 6, the sensor suddenly showed an unexpected spike to 21°C - far outside normal conditions.

Right after that, a freshly created account reportedly made around $14,000 betting on that exact outcome.

$1M on Weather, Sports, Politics, Markets.

People are already printing on prediction markets - you see it every day:
- Some build complex strategies.
- Others burn time and money trying to copy them with bots.

But what if you don’t know how to do any of that?
We’ve already solved it for you. One of the cleanest copytrading experiences - no guesswork, no wasted time.

All you have to do is be ready when it drops.
Stay tuned. Follow.

When will traffic in the Strait of Hormuz finally return to normal?

It could take six months to fully clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines, the Pentagon has informed Congress.

US defence officials said lawmakers were told that Iran may have deployed 20 or more mines in and around the vital shipping route, which carries a significant share of global oil exports through the Persian Gulf.

The odds are now 52% by the end of May

There’s a place for everyone in predictions. Whether you’re into sports, music, or politics - it doesn’t matter.

New market: Will ICEMAN debut at #1 on Billboard 200?

Traders are already pricing in a confident 93%, even though the release is set for May 15.

What’s your take?

A French man reportedly made $34,000 by heating an airport thermometer with a hairdryer.

On April 15, the forecast was 18°C, but he pushed the reading to 22°C and profited.

Afterward, markets switched to another airport’s data and placed guards by the thermometer.

Trump on prediction markets: "The whole world, unfortunately, has become somewhat of a casino"

Asked on Thursday if he was concerned about the potential for insider trading on prediction markets, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he was "never much in favor" of betting in financial markets.

Trump's comments came shortly after the Department of Justice indicted a US Army soldier who was involved in the planning of the US capture of Nicolás Maduro. Prosecutors say Gannon Ken Van Dyke used classified information to reap more than $400,000 in profit on prediction market.

The Strait of Hormuz - our favorite

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said that the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports will remain in place "as long as it takes" and indicated that the Trump is in no hurry to reach a peace deal.

The odds for April 30 dropped by 28%

Trump? No - this time it’s a different president: Putin.

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

With tensions rising in the Middle East and negotiations between the U.S. and Iran stalling, Russia is stepping in more actively as a potential mediator.

In one day: 20%→50%

18 wins in a row on Fed markets.

Trader nailed every decision from 2024 to 2026 - no misses.

His strategy is simple:
- Price below your conviction → Small size
- Price near 98-99¢ → Go big
- Uncertain? - Hedge both sides

Result:
- 18/18 wins
- $2.8M volume
- $150K profit

Will Donald Trump launch a coin by…?

Still remember his first memecoin $TRUMP?

Launched Jan 17, 2025 → went vertical to ~$73-75 ATH → then nuked -95% → now sitting around ~$2-3.

But will he launch another token this year?
Traders predict a 29% chance.

New market just dropped:
What will Donald Trump post this week?

If you’ve followed his posts before, this isn’t surprising. Trump doesn’t stay quiet - he posts fast, reacts to news instantly, and isn’t afraid to go all caps, call people out, or drop statements that move markets.

Politics, media attacks, election talk, foreign policy - it’s all on the table.
And the key part - he says it publicly, directly, and without filters.

The odds are already high - most outcomes are sitting above 50%, with some pushing 80%+.

A trader risked just $11, buying YES at 0.1¢ and walked away with $9,000.

Fresh wallet, lost 11 bets in a row… then hit one:
"Will Trump dance today?"
And he did - his famous YMCA dance.

$11 turned into $9,000, almost 80,000%.

And this is just one example…

$150K Bitcoin by the end of the year?

Billionaire entrepreneur Jack Dorsey has once again made a bold statement about future of finance, declaring that “Bitcoin is money”.

And you don’t have to trade - it’s easier to predict the move.

10% chance, that $BTC hits $150K in 2026

$287,000 on LoL predictions in 2026

While you’re just playing games… someone else is printing money on them.
2,700 predictions, nearly all focused on League of Legends.

While most still watch traditional sports,
Money has already flooded esports, and now it’s reaching prediction markets.

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

President Trump told he's going to keep Iran under a naval blockade until the regime agrees to a deal that addresses U.S. concerns about its nuclear program.

Trump is rejecting an Iranian proposal to first open the Strait of Hormuz and lift the blockade, while postponing nuclear talks to a later stage.

Just a 19% chance

Trump as a fish taking over the Strait of Hormuz: