Make it rain!
Trader printing ~$964 per day just betting on weather.
But his strategy is the complete opposite of betting on tiny odds.
He is just stacking high-probability plays at 93¢ - 99¢ and letting them settle.
Position size scales with confidence:
$200 → $5,000 per trade.
Stats are wild:
- 244 bets
- 99.1% win rate
- $7,900 total profit
Trader printing ~$964 per day just betting on weather.
But his strategy is the complete opposite of betting on tiny odds.
He is just stacking high-probability plays at 93¢ - 99¢ and letting them settle.
Position size scales with confidence:
$200 → $5,000 per trade.
Stats are wild:
- 244 bets
- 99.1% win rate
- $7,900 total profit
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Trader loaded up $360K on a U.S. - Iran peace deal happening this month.
Right now, the position is bleeding - around -$142K.
But here’s the twist: this isn’t some random gambler.
His track record is stacked with massive geopolitical wins, including 10+ trades with 20,000%
When someone with that history sizes this big,
you start asking the obvious question:
What does he see that others don’t?
Total profit is $1.43M
Right now, the position is bleeding - around -$142K.
But here’s the twist: this isn’t some random gambler.
His track record is stacked with massive geopolitical wins, including 10+ trades with 20,000%
When someone with that history sizes this big,
you start asking the obvious question:
What does he see that others don’t?
Total profit is $1.43M
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New market that perfectly captures how weird this cycle has become:
Will Donald Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz to “Strait of Trump” by May 31?
In normal times this would be a meme with 0% probability. But right now, with escalating tensions even absurd scenarios start getting priced.
Current odds? Around 5% - basically “unlikely,” but definitely not zero.
Will Donald Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz to “Strait of Trump” by May 31?
In normal times this would be a meme with 0% probability. But right now, with escalating tensions even absurd scenarios start getting priced.
Current odds? Around 5% - basically “unlikely,” but definitely not zero.
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Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on...?
This isn’t even a wild prediction. Trump is known for speaking off-script. Trump is known for speaking off-script, going after opponents, journalists, even allies, and doing it publicly and directly. It's just behaviour pattern.
Markets are pricing 70-80% odds every single day until April 30.
And it feels mispriced, like selling a $1 for 80 cents.
This isn’t even a wild prediction. Trump is known for speaking off-script. Trump is known for speaking off-script, going after opponents, journalists, even allies, and doing it publicly and directly. It's just behaviour pattern.
Markets are pricing 70-80% odds every single day until April 30.
And it feels mispriced, like selling a $1 for 80 cents.
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What about UFO?
Donald Trump is talking about releasing UFO-related files, pushing the topic back into the spotlight. At the same time, Andy Ogles claims he’s seen extremely classified material...
And yet the market still leans heavily skeptical:
The odds of UFO files being released are 19% by April 30 and 87% by December 31
Donald Trump is talking about releasing UFO-related files, pushing the topic back into the spotlight. At the same time, Andy Ogles claims he’s seen extremely classified material...
And yet the market still leans heavily skeptical:
The odds of UFO files being released are 19% by April 30 and 87% by December 31
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US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Ishaq Dar is pushing hard to keep things from escalating. On Tuesday, he officially called on both the U.S. and Iran to extend the current truce, stressing that only dialogue and diplomacy can stabilize the region.
According to Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry, they want to prolong the 14-day ceasefire (agreed April 8) to create room for another round of direct negotiations.
Meanwhile, markets are actively pricing the outcome:
- April 21 - 22%
- April 22 - 44%
Ishaq Dar is pushing hard to keep things from escalating. On Tuesday, he officially called on both the U.S. and Iran to extend the current truce, stressing that only dialogue and diplomacy can stabilize the region.
According to Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry, they want to prolong the 14-day ceasefire (agreed April 8) to create room for another round of direct negotiations.
Meanwhile, markets are actively pricing the outcome:
- April 21 - 22%
- April 22 - 44%
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Could someone have manipulated weather data?
This case raises a wild question:
According to Météo-France, a complaint was filed after signs of unauthorized access to a temperature sensor at Charles de Gaulle Airport.
On April 6, the sensor suddenly showed an unexpected spike to 21°C - far outside normal conditions.
Right after that, a freshly created account reportedly made around $14,000 betting on that exact outcome.
This case raises a wild question:
According to Météo-France, a complaint was filed after signs of unauthorized access to a temperature sensor at Charles de Gaulle Airport.
On April 6, the sensor suddenly showed an unexpected spike to 21°C - far outside normal conditions.
Right after that, a freshly created account reportedly made around $14,000 betting on that exact outcome.
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$1M on Weather, Sports, Politics, Markets.
People are already printing on prediction markets - you see it every day:
- Some build complex strategies.
- Others burn time and money trying to copy them with bots.
But what if you don’t know how to do any of that?
We’ve already solved it for you. One of the cleanest copytrading experiences - no guesswork, no wasted time.
All you have to do is be ready when it drops.
Stay tuned. Follow.
People are already printing on prediction markets - you see it every day:
- Some build complex strategies.
- Others burn time and money trying to copy them with bots.
But what if you don’t know how to do any of that?
We’ve already solved it for you. One of the cleanest copytrading experiences - no guesswork, no wasted time.
All you have to do is be ready when it drops.
Stay tuned. Follow.
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When will traffic in the Strait of Hormuz finally return to normal?
It could take six months to fully clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines, the Pentagon has informed Congress.
US defence officials said lawmakers were told that Iran may have deployed 20 or more mines in and around the vital shipping route, which carries a significant share of global oil exports through the Persian Gulf.
The odds are now 52% by the end of May
It could take six months to fully clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines, the Pentagon has informed Congress.
US defence officials said lawmakers were told that Iran may have deployed 20 or more mines in and around the vital shipping route, which carries a significant share of global oil exports through the Persian Gulf.
The odds are now 52% by the end of May
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Media is too big
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Trump on prediction markets: "The whole world, unfortunately, has become somewhat of a casino"
Asked on Thursday if he was concerned about the potential for insider trading on prediction markets, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he was "never much in favor" of betting in financial markets.
Trump's comments came shortly after the Department of Justice indicted a US Army soldier who was involved in the planning of the US capture of Nicolás Maduro. Prosecutors say Gannon Ken Van Dyke used classified information to reap more than $400,000 in profit on prediction market.
Asked on Thursday if he was concerned about the potential for insider trading on prediction markets, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he was "never much in favor" of betting in financial markets.
Trump's comments came shortly after the Department of Justice indicted a US Army soldier who was involved in the planning of the US capture of Nicolás Maduro. Prosecutors say Gannon Ken Van Dyke used classified information to reap more than $400,000 in profit on prediction market.
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The Strait of Hormuz - our favorite
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said that the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports will remain in place "as long as it takes" and indicated that the Trump is in no hurry to reach a peace deal.
The odds for April 30 dropped by 28%
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said that the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports will remain in place "as long as it takes" and indicated that the Trump is in no hurry to reach a peace deal.
The odds for April 30 dropped by 28%
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