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πŸ“Š Prediction Market Pulse Β· 11 Aug

πŸ’΅ Total 24h volume: $1.37B (πŸŸ₯ -3% w/w)

🟒 Kalshi $1.07B (πŸŸ₯ -3% w/w)
πŸ”΅ Polymarket $197M (πŸŸ₯ -10% w/w)
🟀 Nadex $36M (πŸŸ₯ -5% w/w)
🩡 Rothera $34M (🟩 +180% w/w)
🟠 Opinion $19M (🟩 +1% w/w)
🟣 Predict.fun $9M (πŸŸ₯ -5% w/w)
🟑 Limitless $4M (🟩 +13% w/w)
πŸ”΄ Hip4 $488k (πŸŸ₯ -49% w/w)

πŸ“ˆ Total open interest: $1.16B (🟩 +5% w/w)

🟒 Kalshi $677M (🟩 +5% w/w)
πŸ”΅ Polymarket $430M (🟩 +5% w/w)
🩡 Rothera $19M (🟩 +65% w/w)
🟀 Nadex $14M (πŸŸ₯ -11% w/w)
🟣 Predict.fun $11M (🟩 +4% w/w)
🟠 Opinion $4M (🟩 +1% w/w)
🟑 Limitless $374k (🟩 +2% w/w)

Combined 7-day volume: $10.50B

Data: Artemis
βš–οΈ REGULATORY
'Really difficult path' to legislation on prediction markets, Johnson says - SDPB

'Really difficult path' to legislation on prediction markets, Johnson says SDPB
βš–οΈ REGULATORY
White House to Senate: Pass Clarity Act by Sept. 15 or Never

The White House says the Senate has until September 15 to advance the Clarity Act after Democrats blocked a procedural vote before the August recess, with prediction markets now pricing roughly a one in four chance the bill becomes law in 2026. A Hard Deadline From the White House Patrick Witt, executive director of the […]
βš–οΈ REGULATORY
Connecticut Judge Finds Kalshi Sports Contracts Are Not Swaps, Rejects Preemption Bid

The federal court decides that Kalshi is unlikely to prevail on either of its central legal arguments, while noting that sports generated up to 90% of the prediction market’s revenue. A Connecticut federal judge has denied Kalshi’s request to block the state from enforcing its gambling laws against the prediction market, finding that its…
πŸ—ž NEWS
Knicks on Christmas? Kalshi Market For New York's Opponent on X-Mas

Event contract markets are open on Kalshi for the New York Knicks opponent on Christmas Day.
βš–οΈ REGULATORY
Polymarket makes moves to get house in order before expected boom times for prediction markets this fall

The marketing changes come amid an investigation by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission into the company's promotional practices.
βš–οΈ REGULATORY
Kalshi Parlay Bettors Lose More Than Headline Numbers Show β€” Money Betting Against Them is Masking it

Bloomberg reports Kalshi parlay players losing as much as $294 million since the start of the year, but the actual number is probably a lot more. Gambling Insider investigates.