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Real-time alerts for significant probability shifts on Polymarket — the world's largest prediction market platform
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FAST MOVE — Sports

Targu Mures: Miriam Bulgaru vs Carole Monnet
Probability (Carole Monnet): 66% → 96% (+29 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-bulgaru-monnet-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayot
Probability (Kilian Feldbausch): 82% → 92% (+10 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-feldbau-mayot-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul
Probability (Tommy Paul): 86% → 38% (-48 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-majchrz-paul-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova
Probability (Polina Kudermetova): 59% → 18% (-40 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-bucsa-kuderme-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang
Probability (Xinyu Wang): 50% → 86% (+37 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-pareja-wa-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
Probability (Ekaterina Alexandrova): 28% → 68% (+40 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-alexand-liutova-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally
Probability (Xiyu Wang): 70% → 44% (-25 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-wan-mcnally-2026-07-26
FAST MOVE — Sports

Who will win: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds?
Probability (Cincinnati Reds): 60% → 20% (-39 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-cle-cin-2026-07-27

Context: ESPN: Guardians vs. Reds (Jul 28, 2026) Live Score
https://www.espn.com
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien
Probability (Learner Tien): 82% → 48% (-34 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-mannari-tien-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar
Probability (Arthur Fils): 42% → 14% (-29 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-fils-jodar-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng
Probability (Qinwen Zheng): 42% → 68% (+26 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-eala-zhen-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants
Probability (Sunrisers Leeds): 22% → 93% (+72 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/market/crichundred-sun-man-2026-07-28

Context: BBC: The Hundred 2026 LIVE: Sunrisers Leeds v Manchester Super Giants - cricket score & radio commentary
https://www.bbc.com
MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverry
Probability (Brandon Nakashima): 70% → 84% (+15 pts) over ~1h

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-nakashi-etcheve-2026-07-27
MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Kalinskaya
Probability (Anna Kalinskaya): 66% → 94% (+28 pts) over ~1h

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-kasatki-kalinsk-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton
Probability (Ben Shelton): 72% → 92% (+19 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-damm-shelton-2026-07-27
MOVE — Finance

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
Probability: 12% → 18% (+6 pts) over ~1h

https://polymarket.com/market/will-xauusd-dip-to-3900-in-july-2026
FAST MOVE — Sports

Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama
Probability (Kayla Day): 40% → 66% (+26 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-day-hontama-2026-07-26
FAST MOVE — Sports

Vancouver: Madison Brengle vs Alexandra Vagramov
Probability (Madison Brengle): 80% → 98% (+18 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-brengle-vagramo-2026-07-26
FAST MOVE — Sports

Who will win: Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers?
Probability (Detroit Tigers): 57% → 78% (+21 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-bal-det-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Who will win: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins?
Probability (Miami Marlins): 56% → 74% (+18 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-phi-mia-2026-07-28

Context: ESPN: Phillies' Kyle Schwarber expected to miss game in Miami (illness)
https://www.espn.com
MOVE — Geopolitical

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Probability: 12% → 6% (-6 pts) over ~1h

https://polymarket.com/market/iran-full-airspace-closure-by-july-31-20260625195254150-838