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Real-time alerts for significant probability shifts on Polymarket — the world's largest prediction market platform
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MOVE — Geopolitical

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Probability: 88% → 83% (-5 pts) over ~1h

https://polymarket.com/market/will-russia-capture-all-of-huliaipole-by-september-30
FAST MOVE — Sports

Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Probability (Cameron Norrie): 52% → 80% (+27 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-norrie-kovacev-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Who will win: Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics?
Probability (Boston Red Sox): 48% → 92% (+44 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-bos-oak-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanch
Probability (Coleman Wong): 54% → 80% (+27 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-wong-blanc-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Who will win: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels?
Probability (Houston Astros): 6% → 85% (+78 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-hou-laa-2026-07-27

Context: ESPN: Astros vs. Angels (Jul 27, 2026) Live Odds, Player Props, and more
https://www.espn.com
MOVE — Geopolitical

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Probability: 11% → 5% (-6 pts) over ~1h

https://polymarket.com/market/0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-by-july-31-20260626172559970
FAST MOVE — Sports

Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Bax
Probability (Florent Bax): 60% → 84% (+24 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-kumasak-bax-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Liberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Probability (Frederico Ferreira Silva): 65% → 53% (-12 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-kasniko-sil-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
Probability (Johan Nikles): 62% → 20% (-41 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-nikles-barrena-2026-07-28
MOVE — Crypto

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?
Probability: 14% → 22% (+8 pts) over ~1h

https://polymarket.com/market/bitcoin-above-64k-on-july-28-2026
FAST MOVE — Sports

Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino
Probability (Lorenzo Giustino): 80% → 54% (-27 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-wallin-giustin-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet
Probability (Francesca Jones): 80% → 92% (+12 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-jones-paquet-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri Squire
Probability (Clement Tabur): 62% → 84% (+21 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-tabur-squire-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Crypto

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
Probability: 46% → 35% (-11 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/market/will-ethereum-dip-to-1800-in-july-2026-from-july-14
FAST MOVE — Sports

Targu Mures: Miriam Bulgaru vs Carole Monnet
Probability (Carole Monnet): 66% → 96% (+29 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-bulgaru-monnet-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayot
Probability (Kilian Feldbausch): 82% → 92% (+10 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-feldbau-mayot-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul
Probability (Tommy Paul): 86% → 38% (-48 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-majchrz-paul-2026-07-27
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova
Probability (Polina Kudermetova): 59% → 18% (-40 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-bucsa-kuderme-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wang
Probability (Xinyu Wang): 50% → 86% (+37 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-pareja-wa-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
Probability (Ekaterina Alexandrova): 28% → 68% (+40 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-alexand-liutova-2026-07-28
FAST MOVE — Sports

The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally
Probability (Xiyu Wang): 70% → 44% (-25 pts) over ~30 min

https://polymarket.com/sports/wta/wta-wan-mcnally-2026-07-26