Broken Clock
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"no more forever wars"
Nice
Between Bessent yday disapointing on the amount of bond purchase after talking a big game and Trump adding potentially 1.3tn$ deficit overnight they're not doing exactly what is needed to save the bond market
The team "they have no idea what they're doing" is scoring some points
I don't see anything in this PPI warranting a hike so I stay on no hike
Market seeing it clearly differently
Well, with oil doing +8% above 100$ this forces Warsh hand a lot more
Still playing the hold, my folio is gonna take a serious DD if i'm wrong but I'm fine with it
Risk bottomed for this week imo; but next week could get spicy if this doesn't work + hike
https://www.ft.com/content/f054f927-b512-452a-b494-ea53f5ac1079

Such a depressing read

If this is the best that even someone very smart like Draghi can come up with europe is really doomed for 100y+
I wonder how it took so long for the Yanbu pipeline to blow up.
How can it not have been a target of Iran before?
Broken Clock
Risk bottomed for this week imo; but next week could get spicy if this doesn't work + hike
Market was eager potentially too eager to push prices up before CPI.
Not a good idea to maximize chances of a nice reaction of the print, plenty of people that bought the good news can be zeroed now
Seem like you can cross Kimi from the list of Chinese SOTA...
We have Deepseek and Zhipu left basically
I didn't try it because my recent xp with 4flash wasn't so good but apparently this one is much better (doubt it is close to the frontier stil but they are moving in the right direction)
1) what
Broken Clock
I started a small position goog/igv
I kind of never want to let go of the IGV short; I think the market sold software too early but they're really a zero
The problem is that the zero could be another 10y away lol