Broken Clock
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Broken Clock
Now we wait for Bessent to buy all the 30Y on the auction
Woops I got confused, today is about the 10y and 20y
I'm willing to bet heavily scenario Extreme is not going to happen, and we're at best going to be at the high mark for Substantial; and we better be above modest to justify the buble and refund the debt
Broken Clock
Woops I got confused, today is about the 10y and 20y
in line, nothing burger, I think market was expecting / hoping for slightly more
Nothing is off limit
And you think that the FED is independently making decisions?
I'm debatting putting on a fed rate trade or just longing more stocks
Not a bad place to try gold/oil
I think I will be waiting for the decision with the finger on the market buy a gazillions gold contract if they hold rates
The first day this week we don't hear (yet) of major attacks in the strait and oil is immediately weak.
I don't expect the peace to continue necessarily but it's noticeable that at those prices it has baked in a lot of uncertainty
Broken Clock
And you think that the FED is independently making decisions?
I went long Sept. fed rate, small size.
The road to no hike comes to tampering with CPI data tmr so I should position now and if CPI comes in hot then i exit (at a loss but smaller than waiting FOMC)
Bessent boat is seriously taking on water
He will have to do (a lot) more printing
Astra shows about 0% improvment on ressource allocation vs 5.6.
He burnt through 30% of my weekly allowance just doing an endless loop of testing on a an evolutionary phase of my project.
It didn't happen once with Fable as the orchestrator.