Broken Clock
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Trump has the upper hands but he is not the one who decide what happens next
The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump is having private discussions with senior aides about potentially declaring the Iran War over, per WSJ. Aides are reportedly advising President Trump that an escalation of the war beyond recent strikes could cost Republicans the…
i hope he does it because it will the best chance to go very fat in oil, the situation is becoming increasingly dire and trump has not choice but to fully withdraw (which I won't think he will ever do) or come back harder later
Nice price action, only 12 more days of that
the more an asset pump or dump into FOMC the better the RR to take the opposite side
Broken Clock
I will double my size
I did and I will double the put spreads I sold again, not the calls
Signs of a short end to the war
I wouldn't discard the possibility of Trump being dumb enough to think he couldn't survive one week without his golden toilet and extanding the reasoning that Iranian will not tolerate living hands to mouth a lot longer
I'm so tilted by gold
I think if it revisits the lows it's not a buy and chasing here is madness
Maybe punting on btc instead?
Let's see what they do with ETFs
alright
Forwarded from Walter Bloomberg
U.S. SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATE FUTURES JUMP AFTER WALLER SAYS HE'D SUPPORT HOLDING POLICY RATE STEADY IF AUGUST INFLATION DATA EXTENDS RECENT PROGRESS
(@WalterBloomberg)
I was right all along
I'm buying btc
August print is going to *magically* come in line
Hiking would also nullify BOJ hike to limit the carry trade and thus bring USDJPY down so I don't think Bessent would be too happy with that
Did half btc and half Hood
Sol even lost the memes to robinhood lol