Broken Clock
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Broken Clock
I'm now trying to automate the storing, synthesizing, linking all the content I am sent daily and create a fact checked round up linked with previous knowledge. The idea is to stop reading emails, listening to podcasts, visiting newswebsites and probably…
This turns out to be a fairly complex project. I have been spending over 8h a day on average on it since and while I'm making progress it's far from what I was expecting when starting out
I have restarted from scratch once with the learnings from V1 but there are still so many issues, details that matter immensely to have a valuable tool that I haven't yet cracked
Trump doesn't care one bit about Iran he wants this to stop, or have the power to stop it at will
So until he gets it (or lose) the war will go on
Between Trump - Xi meeting and the midterms coming up he is in a bit of bind in Iran but will feel a lot more free after the mid terms (again regardless of the results)
Firms getting squeezed from every angle to cut costs thanks to AI
We don't see AI in productivity numbers yet but we do see record profit margins
Feels like the uncertainty is too high until FOMC that the market is going to be stuck here, fade everything
Unless NFP or CPI is really completely out of the ballpark I feel like you can almost take 2 weeks holidays
I'm gonna sell upside and downside
waring is hard
Forwarded from Walter Bloomberg
RUSSIA CUTS OIL OUTPUT TO 17-YEAR LOW

Russia has slashed its 2026 oil production forecast to 494.2 million tons, the lowest since 2009, Reuters reports.

The downgrade reflects Ukrainian drone attacks, refinery disruptions and export constraints linked to the war.

Crude exports are forecast to rise to 244.7 million tons, while fuel exports are expected to plunge to 98.5 million tons.

Oil production through 2029 is now forecast below previous estimates.
(@WalterBloomberg)
They both are defenceless and going all in on offense, both countries are going to be ruined if this goes on for a lot longer
Broken Clock
I started a small position goog/igv
Should have just bought IGV puts sigh
lol gold, are we going sub 4k today
Broken Clock
I enterred small position smh/dram
gonna cut this at breakeven, I don't have a strorng enough conviction
Certainly an excellent idea with economic growth between 0 and 1% roughly everywhere in Europe
And Trump fell right in the Iran escalation trap that will most likely cost him the midterms
I bought some gold, invalidation below the current low; it's a hail marry attempt