Open Source Intel
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Official TG of OSINT613

Monitoring Real Time News & Open Source Intelligence

Middle East — US — Global Geopolitics

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WATCH: The IDF blasted Britney Spears’ “Oops!… I Did It Again” over the loudspeakers of the pro-Hamas Turkish flotilla moments before boarding the vessel.
IDF Spokesperson: 'Following the alerts that were activated a short time ago in Metula and Kiryat Shmona, several launches were detected towards IDF forces operating in the southern Lebanon area. Some crossed into the country and were intercepted, and some fell in open areas according to policy, with no casualties. In addition, a short time ago, an explosive drone launched by the terrorist organization Hezbollah fell in Israeli territory, near the Lebanese border. As a result of the fall, shrapnel was detected in the settlement of Shomra.'
Polymarket now has Gallrein at 58% to beat Massie in KY-04. Primary is TOMORROW.

A lot can change until then.
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Russian military channels claims Ukraine is now deploying FPV drones with AI guidance that locks onto heat signatures to strike Russian infantry.
Do you ever see my posts in the ‘For you’ feed?
Prime Minister of Pakistan:

I am optimistic about Iran-US talks
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Southern Tehran, today.
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Ukraine unveiled a homegrown glide bomb. 250 kg warhead, tens of kilometers range, 17 months from development to Ministry of Defense order. Cuts reliance on Western precision munitions.
Sen. Lindsey Graham:

I have every confidence that President Trump fully understands the situation with Iran and will not continue to tolerate a refusal to negotiate in good faith along with Iran’s defiant aggression in the Strait of Hormuz and throughout the region. 

It is abundantly clear to me that Iran has been very weakened militarily and economically. But at the same time, they have become more emboldened and aggressive.  

A short but forceful response now would reset the conflict in all the right ways. 

When it comes to Iran, it is imperative that we negotiate from a position of strength and dominance. We must finish what we started. I fear continuing negotiations without a forceful response prolongs the conflict, gives our allies doubt and will further embolden the Iranian terrorist regime.
Iran’s revised proposal reportedly calls for a permanent end to the war, full sanctions relief, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran’s nuclear program would be addressed only in later stages of the negotiations.

In short, nothing changed. President Trump will not be happy.
Fars claims that an Iranian vessel has successfully transited through the U.S. naval blockade.

We will see.
Satellite imagery from yesterday appears to show the Iranian drone carrier IRIS Shahid Bagheri listing and possibly sinking just west of Hormuz Island, with a visible oil slick trailing from the vessel.

Vessel ID by Tom Bike
Tasnim: Iran says it will not back down from what it calls its “firm and principled positions,” insisting that any deal must bring a definitive end to the war and the full return of Iran’s frozen assets.

Tehran says vague assurances are meaningless and that key disagreements remain over how and when those funds would be released.
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Satellite imagery from yesterday appears to show an Iranian ship sinking west of Hormuz Island while releasing what looks to be a visible oil slick.

According to @GEOIMINT the ship is ID’d as the IRIS Shahid Mahdavi.

H/t @tom_bike
IRGC Quds Force chief Qaani issued condolences over the kiIIng of Hamas main military commander Ezz al-Din al-Haddad, vowing his death would inspire Palestinian fighters.
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An American source told Al Jazeera that Trump's patience is wearing thin due to the lack of progress with Iran, adding that Iran has only days remaining.
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German Foreign Minister Wadephul:

Turkey has the potential to exert considerable influence on both the Ukraine war and the Iran war.
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Israel's security cabinet convening tonight. - Israel Hayom
Muhammad Odeh has been appointed commander of Hamas's military wing, replacing Izz al-Din al-Haddad, who was eliminated last weekend, Hamas sources told the London-based Asharq Al-Awsat.

Odeh served as Hamas's military intelligence chief on October 7. He was previously offered the role after Muhammad Sinwar was killed but declined at the time.

@ItayBlumental
Trump:

If Iran surrenders, admits their Navy is gone and resting at the bottom of the sea, and their Air Force is no longer with us, and if their entire Military walks out of Tehran, weapons dropped and hands held high, each shouting “I surrender, I surrender” while wildly waving the representative White Flag, and if their entire remaining Leadership signs all necessary “Documents of Surrender,” and admit their defeat to the great power and force of the magnificent U.S.A., The Failing New York Times, The China Street Journal (WSJ!), Corrupt and now Irrelevant CNN, and all other members of the Fake News Media, will headline that Iran had a Masterful and Brilliant Victory over The United States of America, it wasn’t even close. The Dumacrats and Media have totally lost their way. They have gone absolutely CRAZY!!! President DJT
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Hamas sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that Mohammed Oudeh has been appointed commander of Hamas’s military wing, replacing Ezz al-Din al-Haddad, who was eliminated over the weekend.

Oudeh served as Hamas’s military intelligence chief during the October 7 attack.

Pictured on the right, Oudeh appears alongside Raafa Salameh, Abu Obeida, and Mohammed Deif.

All of the them have been eliminated, besides Oudeh.