Open Source Intel
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Official TG of OSINT613

Monitoring Real Time News & Open Source Intelligence

Middle East — US — Global Geopolitics

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Hugh Hewitt: “Communists or Muslim Brotherhood, which is more dangerous?”

President Trump: “Right now, I think the Muslim Brotherhood might be more dangerous….”
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Hugh Hewitt: What about a return to full-scale combat operations against Iran.

President Trump: It could happen… It could happen
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Trump says that leaving Iran’s current leadership in power when his presidency ends would be a failure.

“Yes, that would be a failure. I would say that’s a failure.”
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Hezbollah's parents are fighting
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The U.S. strangulation of the regime is working, every day they feel it more and more

(I monitor regime channels, and it’s getting tough out there)
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WATCH: During a cabinet meeting this week, Iran’s Interior Minister switched off the lights while President Pezeshkian was speaking to address the country’s electricity shortages.

This is real,
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Iran’s state shipping company is moving the oil tanker ‘NESA’, which has been sitting unused for a very long time, toward Kharg Island.

The tanker will be used to store oil rather than transport it.

Iran is struggling to export its oil, forcing it to use old tankers as floating storage for oil it cannot ship abroad.
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Al Jazeera: Iran Is Preparing for a Budget With Zero Oil Revenue.

Iranian officials have been instructed to prepare for a scenario in which oil revenues fall to zero in 2027 as the U.S. blockade continues.

Oil accounts for roughly 1/3 of government funding. Iran is now examining alternative ways to pay salaries, pensions and other essential expenses.

The Iranian government is officially planning for the possibility of a prolonged oil revenue crisis.
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A follower asked me how the Islamic regime is doing with the U.S. strangulation. I said it’s bad,
the regime is taking a lot of pain these days.

Some of these posts I’m posting are some news nuggets about the regime situation.
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Iran’s oil exports have nearly collapsed under the U.S. blockade, according to tracking data from Kpler, UANI and Windward.

No Iranian crude loadings have been observed since August 25.
Iran’s floating oil stocks outside the blockade zone have fallen from nearly 90 million barrels in July to effectively zero.

Iranian oil production has dropped from roughly 3.5 million to below 2 million barrels per day.

CENTCOM estimates the blockade has denied Iran at least $25 billion in oil revenue.

With payments from previous oil sales expected to dry up by December, Tehran is now preparing a 2027 budget scenario with zero oil revenue.
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Iran is struggling to pay its security forces as economic pressure from the U.S. blockade mounts.

CENTCOM says the IRGC is failing to pay its troops, while salaries and pensions are being withheld across major industries, including oil, manufacturing and construction.

The Algemeiner reported that IRGC and Basij personnel are owed months of back pay, citing cash shortages at Iranian banks.

Iranian authorities deny the economy is nearing collapse, although President Pezeshkian has acknowledged ‘serious economic difficulties.’
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“Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. Under the Trump administration, Iran will not have a nuclear weapon. Remember that.”

On April 27, 2016, Trump outlined his foreign policy strategy during a speech at the Mayflower Hotel in Washington, D.C.

“We must as a nation be more unpredictable. We are totally predictable. We tell everything.”

“We have to be unpredictable. And we have to be unpredictable starting now.”

If you’re wondering why Trump keeps shifting between war and negotiations with Iran, this may explain his strategy.

10 years later, President Trump continues to follow his foreign policy strategy of unpredictability.

That’s why yesterday he said, no need for a war, and today he hints for renewed strikes on Iran.
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Microsoft:

"We’re seeing positive results with our efforts to restart affected infrastructure and recover server availability in an isolated manner. We’re actively monitoring the performance of these portions of infrastructure to verify stability, which we suspect will support improved availability as these actions are subsequently expanded more broadly."
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U.S. Senator Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) announced that he will run against Chuck Schumer for Senate Majority Leader.
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