🌅 OIData pre-open brief · Thu 16 Jul
GIFT NIFTY cue
Bullish — implies +0.20% (24,126 vs prior close 24,078)
OI structure going in (Wed 15 Jul close)
PCR 0.78
Max pain 24,100
Put wall (support) 23,000 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±308 pts (1.28%)
Cash flows (Wed 15 Jul)
FII -736 cr · DII +705 cr
FII index futures (Wed 15 Jul)
8% long (net -262,712 contracts)
AI read
Overnight news presents a mixed picture for NIFTY 50. While softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, with June CPI easing to 3.5% year-over-year and producer prices unexpectedly falling 0.3%, has reduced expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes and supported US stock futures, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven Brent crude prices above $86 a barrel. This rise in oil prices is weighing on the Indian Rupee, which weakened to 96.3640 against the USD. Additionally, China's economy reported a sluggish 4.3% growth in Q2, missing forecasts and marking one of its lowest quarterly rates in decades.
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GIFT NIFTY cue
Bullish — implies +0.20% (24,126 vs prior close 24,078)
OI structure going in (Wed 15 Jul close)
PCR 0.78
Max pain 24,100
Put wall (support) 23,000 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±308 pts (1.28%)
Cash flows (Wed 15 Jul)
FII -736 cr · DII +705 cr
FII index futures (Wed 15 Jul)
8% long (net -262,712 contracts)
AI read
Overnight news presents a mixed picture for NIFTY 50. While softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, with June CPI easing to 3.5% year-over-year and producer prices unexpectedly falling 0.3%, has reduced expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes and supported US stock futures, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven Brent crude prices above $86 a barrel. This rise in oil prices is weighing on the Indian Rupee, which weakened to 96.3640 against the USD. Additionally, China's economy reported a sluggish 4.3% growth in Q2, missing forecasts and marking one of its lowest quarterly rates in decades.
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🌆 OIData EOD digest · Thu 16 Jul
NIFTY tape
Last 24,081.10 (-0.25% vs open)
Session range
O 24,142.10 · H 24,186.50 · L 24,050.00
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NIFTY tape
Last 24,081.10 (-0.25% vs open)
Session range
O 24,142.10 · H 24,186.50 · L 24,050.00
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🌅 OIData pre-open brief · Fri 17 Jul
GIFT NIFTY cue
Flat — implies +0.09% (24,094 vs prior close 24,073)
OI structure going in (Thu 16 Jul close)
PCR 0.83
Max pain 24,100
Put wall (support) 23,000 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±261 pts (1.08%)
Cash flows (Thu 16 Jul)
FII -4,206 cr · DII +2,986 cr
FII index futures (Thu 16 Jul)
8% long (net -249,886 contracts)
AI read
Overnight global cues present a mixed to negative picture for the NIFTY 50 open, despite GIFT NIFTY implying a gap up. US equities closed lower on July 16th, with the S&P 500 down 0.5% and Nasdaq falling 1.5%, largely due to a tech sector sell-off. Brent crude remains elevated around $84-$85 per barrel, and the Indian Rupee weakened against the USD. Furthermore, China's Q2 GDP growth slowed significantly to 4.3%, missing forecasts. Domestically, expectations of the RBI holding rates and recent brokerage upgrades for Indian equities offer some counterbalancing positive sentiment.
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GIFT NIFTY cue
Flat — implies +0.09% (24,094 vs prior close 24,073)
OI structure going in (Thu 16 Jul close)
PCR 0.83
Max pain 24,100
Put wall (support) 23,000 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±261 pts (1.08%)
Cash flows (Thu 16 Jul)
FII -4,206 cr · DII +2,986 cr
FII index futures (Thu 16 Jul)
8% long (net -249,886 contracts)
AI read
Overnight global cues present a mixed to negative picture for the NIFTY 50 open, despite GIFT NIFTY implying a gap up. US equities closed lower on July 16th, with the S&P 500 down 0.5% and Nasdaq falling 1.5%, largely due to a tech sector sell-off. Brent crude remains elevated around $84-$85 per barrel, and the Indian Rupee weakened against the USD. Furthermore, China's Q2 GDP growth slowed significantly to 4.3%, missing forecasts. Domestically, expectations of the RBI holding rates and recent brokerage upgrades for Indian equities offer some counterbalancing positive sentiment.
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🌆 OIData EOD digest · Fri 17 Jul
NIFTY tape
Last 24,346.70 (+0.91% vs open)
Session range
O 24,127.60 · H 24,367.30 · L 24,099.05
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NIFTY tape
Last 24,346.70 (+0.91% vs open)
Session range
O 24,127.60 · H 24,367.30 · L 24,099.05
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🌅 OIData pre-open brief · Mon 20 Jul
GIFT NIFTY cue
Flat — implies -0.10% (24,311 vs prior close 24,334)
OI structure going in (Fri 17 Jul close)
PCR 1.61
Max pain 24,250
Put wall (support) 23,000 · Call wall (resistance) 25,000
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±252 pts (1.04%)
Cash flows (Fri 17 Jul)
FII -376 cr · DII +1,018 cr
FII index futures (Fri 17 Jul)
11% long (net -216,528 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 65.0 — Greed (+2.9 vs prev)
AI read
NIFTY 50 is likely to face headwinds at the open, primarily driven by a significant surge in Brent crude oil prices, which climbed above $90 per barrel due to escalating US-Iran hostilities and fears of supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. This geopolitical tension has also contributed to a weakening Indian Rupee, which saw its sharpest weekly drop since May. Adding to the bearish sentiment, US stock markets experienced a pullback on Friday, though US stock futures were flat to start the week. However, strong Q1 earnings from major Indian banks like ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank could provide some domestic support.
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GIFT NIFTY cue
Flat — implies -0.10% (24,311 vs prior close 24,334)
OI structure going in (Fri 17 Jul close)
PCR 1.61
Max pain 24,250
Put wall (support) 23,000 · Call wall (resistance) 25,000
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±252 pts (1.04%)
Cash flows (Fri 17 Jul)
FII -376 cr · DII +1,018 cr
FII index futures (Fri 17 Jul)
11% long (net -216,528 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 65.0 — Greed (+2.9 vs prev)
AI read
NIFTY 50 is likely to face headwinds at the open, primarily driven by a significant surge in Brent crude oil prices, which climbed above $90 per barrel due to escalating US-Iran hostilities and fears of supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. This geopolitical tension has also contributed to a weakening Indian Rupee, which saw its sharpest weekly drop since May. Adding to the bearish sentiment, US stock markets experienced a pullback on Friday, though US stock futures were flat to start the week. However, strong Q1 earnings from major Indian banks like ICICI Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank could provide some domestic support.
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🌆 OIData EOD digest · Mon 20 Jul
NIFTY tape
Last 24,239.50 (+0.20% vs open)
Session range
O 24,190.05 · H 24,266.10 · L 24,135.85
OI at the close
PCR 1.33
Max pain 24,200
Put wall 24,200 · Call wall 24,500
Cash flows (Fri 17 Jul)
FII -376 cr · DII +1,018 cr
Market mood
MMI 59.4 — Greed (-5.5 vs prev) · intraday read
AI read
The NIFTY 50 is currently experiencing downward pressure, primarily driven by a significant decline in banking stocks, especially HDFC Bank, after its Q1 FY27 earnings missed market expectations. This bearish sentiment is compounded by rising crude oil prices due to escalating geopolitical tensions. However, strong Q1 results from ICICI Bank and positive cues from US futures are providing some counter-balance to the market.
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NIFTY tape
Last 24,239.50 (+0.20% vs open)
Session range
O 24,190.05 · H 24,266.10 · L 24,135.85
OI at the close
PCR 1.33
Max pain 24,200
Put wall 24,200 · Call wall 24,500
Cash flows (Fri 17 Jul)
FII -376 cr · DII +1,018 cr
Market mood
MMI 59.4 — Greed (-5.5 vs prev) · intraday read
AI read
The NIFTY 50 is currently experiencing downward pressure, primarily driven by a significant decline in banking stocks, especially HDFC Bank, after its Q1 FY27 earnings missed market expectations. This bearish sentiment is compounded by rising crude oil prices due to escalating geopolitical tensions. However, strong Q1 results from ICICI Bank and positive cues from US futures are providing some counter-balance to the market.
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🌅 OIData pre-open brief · Tue 21 Jul
GIFT NIFTY cue
Bearish — implies -0.22% (24,186 vs prior close 24,238)
OI structure going in (Mon 20 Jul close)
PCR 1.33
Max pain 24,200
Put wall (support) 24,200 · Call wall (resistance) 24,500
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±145 pts (0.60%)
Cash flows (Mon 20 Jul)
FII -1,121 cr · DII +1,312 cr
FII index futures (Mon 20 Jul)
9% long (net -219,823 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 65.0 — Greed (+2.9 vs prev)
AI read
Global market sentiment is predominantly negative, driven by escalating US-Iran tensions that pushed Brent crude prices above $90 per barrel, leading to a weakening Indian Rupee which hit a two-month low of 96.53 against the USD. US Treasury yields are rising amid a hawkish Federal Reserve stance on persistent inflation, while China's Q2 GDP growth disappointed at 4.3%, missing expectations and contributing to a broad risk-off mood.
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GIFT NIFTY cue
Bearish — implies -0.22% (24,186 vs prior close 24,238)
OI structure going in (Mon 20 Jul close)
PCR 1.33
Max pain 24,200
Put wall (support) 24,200 · Call wall (resistance) 24,500
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±145 pts (0.60%)
Cash flows (Mon 20 Jul)
FII -1,121 cr · DII +1,312 cr
FII index futures (Mon 20 Jul)
9% long (net -219,823 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 65.0 — Greed (+2.9 vs prev)
AI read
Global market sentiment is predominantly negative, driven by escalating US-Iran tensions that pushed Brent crude prices above $90 per barrel, leading to a weakening Indian Rupee which hit a two-month low of 96.53 against the USD. US Treasury yields are rising amid a hawkish Federal Reserve stance on persistent inflation, while China's Q2 GDP growth disappointed at 4.3%, missing expectations and contributing to a broad risk-off mood.
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🌅 OIData pre-open brief · Wed 22 Jul
GIFT NIFTY cue
Bearish — implies -0.37% (24,098 vs prior close 24,188)
OI structure going in (Tue 21 Jul close)
PCR 0.82
Max pain 24,200
Put wall (support) 24,150 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±12 pts (0.05%)
Cash flows (Tue 21 Jul)
FII +1,650 cr · DII -657 cr
FII index futures (Tue 21 Jul)
9% long (net -228,847 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 63.1 — Greed (+3.7 vs prev)
AI read
The dominant overnight driver for NIFTY 50 is the escalating US-Iran military confrontation, which has pushed Brent crude oil prices above $92 per barrel, a two-month high. This geopolitical tension is also contributing to rising US Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield at 4.63%, and a weakening Indian Rupee, currently at 96.5227 against the US Dollar. While US equity markets saw a rebound in the technology sector and China pledged stronger policy support after weaker Q2 GDP, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks.
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GIFT NIFTY cue
Bearish — implies -0.37% (24,098 vs prior close 24,188)
OI structure going in (Tue 21 Jul close)
PCR 0.82
Max pain 24,200
Put wall (support) 24,150 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 21 Jul: ±12 pts (0.05%)
Cash flows (Tue 21 Jul)
FII +1,650 cr · DII -657 cr
FII index futures (Tue 21 Jul)
9% long (net -228,847 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 63.1 — Greed (+3.7 vs prev)
AI read
The dominant overnight driver for NIFTY 50 is the escalating US-Iran military confrontation, which has pushed Brent crude oil prices above $92 per barrel, a two-month high. This geopolitical tension is also contributing to rising US Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield at 4.63%, and a weakening Indian Rupee, currently at 96.5227 against the US Dollar. While US equity markets saw a rebound in the technology sector and China pledged stronger policy support after weaker Q2 GDP, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks.
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🌆 OIData EOD digest · Wed 22 Jul
NIFTY close
24,187.70 (-0.21%, -51 pts)
Session range
O 24,150.45 · H 24,166.30 · L 23,961.40
OI at the close
PCR 0.73
Max pain 24,100
Put wall 24,000 · Call wall 24,200
Cash flows (Tue 21 Jul)
FII +1,650 cr · DII -657 cr
Market mood
MMI 61.3 — Greed (-1.8 vs prev) · intraday read
AI read
Indian equity markets are experiencing broad-based selling, with the NIFTY 50 trading below 24,000, primarily driven by escalating US-Iran tensions pushing Brent crude oil prices above $93 per barrel. Sentiment is further dampened by US President Donald Trump's announcement of phased tariffs on imported generic medicines, severely impacting the Indian pharmaceutical sector. Banking, realty, and IT sectors are also under pressure, while the auto sector shows some resilience.
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NIFTY close
24,187.70 (-0.21%, -51 pts)
Session range
O 24,150.45 · H 24,166.30 · L 23,961.40
OI at the close
PCR 0.73
Max pain 24,100
Put wall 24,000 · Call wall 24,200
Cash flows (Tue 21 Jul)
FII +1,650 cr · DII -657 cr
Market mood
MMI 61.3 — Greed (-1.8 vs prev) · intraday read
AI read
Indian equity markets are experiencing broad-based selling, with the NIFTY 50 trading below 24,000, primarily driven by escalating US-Iran tensions pushing Brent crude oil prices above $93 per barrel. Sentiment is further dampened by US President Donald Trump's announcement of phased tariffs on imported generic medicines, severely impacting the Indian pharmaceutical sector. Banking, realty, and IT sectors are also under pressure, while the auto sector shows some resilience.
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🌅 OIData pre-open brief · Thu 23 Jul
GIFT NIFTY cue
Gap Down — implies -0.56% (23,863 vs prior close 23,996)
OI structure going in (Wed 22 Jul close)
PCR 0.73
Max pain 24,100
Put wall (support) 24,000 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 28 Jul: ±309 pts (1.29%)
Cash flows (Wed 22 Jul)
FII -819 cr · DII -418 cr
FII index futures (Wed 22 Jul)
8% long (net -251,704 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 57.1 — Greed (-6.0 vs prev)
AI read
Global markets are facing significant headwinds, primarily driven by a sharp surge in Brent crude oil prices, which climbed over 3% to near $95 per barrel due to escalating US-Iran geopolitical tensions and threats to key shipping routes. This has led to a notable depreciation of the Indian Rupee, with USD/INR rising to 96.59, and pushed US 10-year Treasury yields to a two-month high of 4.64-4.67%, reigniting inflation concerns and increasing the likelihood of higher interest rates. US equities closed mixed to lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.1% and Nasdaq falling 0.6%, further contributing to a cautious global sentiment.
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GIFT NIFTY cue
Gap Down — implies -0.56% (23,863 vs prior close 23,996)
OI structure going in (Wed 22 Jul close)
PCR 0.73
Max pain 24,100
Put wall (support) 24,000 · Call wall (resistance) 24,200
Expected move by Tue 28 Jul: ±309 pts (1.29%)
Cash flows (Wed 22 Jul)
FII -819 cr · DII -418 cr
FII index futures (Wed 22 Jul)
8% long (net -251,704 contracts)
Market mood
MMI 57.1 — Greed (-6.0 vs prev)
AI read
Global markets are facing significant headwinds, primarily driven by a sharp surge in Brent crude oil prices, which climbed over 3% to near $95 per barrel due to escalating US-Iran geopolitical tensions and threats to key shipping routes. This has led to a notable depreciation of the Indian Rupee, with USD/INR rising to 96.59, and pushed US 10-year Treasury yields to a two-month high of 4.64-4.67%, reigniting inflation concerns and increasing the likelihood of higher interest rates. US equities closed mixed to lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.1% and Nasdaq falling 0.6%, further contributing to a cautious global sentiment.
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🌆 OIData EOD digest · Thu 23 Jul
NIFTY close
23,996.25 (-0.79%, -191 pts)
Session range
O 23,904.80 · H 23,990.75 · L 23,807.20
OI at the close
PCR 0.68
Max pain 24,000
Put wall 23,000 · Call wall 25,000
Cash flows (Wed 22 Jul)
FII -819 cr · DII -418 cr
Dealer positioning at the close (NIFTY)
Gamma Partially Positive · Net GEX +11,330 cr · near the flip (unstable)
Call wall 24,000 · Put wall 23,800 · Flip 23,804 · Pin 24,000 (risk 31/100)
Market mood
MMI 48.8 — Fear (-8.3 vs prev) · intraday read
AI read
NIFTY 50 is currently being weighed down by a significant surge in Brent crude oil prices and continued weakness in banking majors like HDFC Bank. Additionally, Infosys shares are trading lower ahead of its Q1 FY27 earnings announcement, with market participants anticipating a potential guidance cut, which is impacting the broader IT sector. Mixed global cues, with positive Asian markets but slightly negative US futures, are also influencing the sentiment.
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NIFTY close
23,996.25 (-0.79%, -191 pts)
Session range
O 23,904.80 · H 23,990.75 · L 23,807.20
OI at the close
PCR 0.68
Max pain 24,000
Put wall 23,000 · Call wall 25,000
Cash flows (Wed 22 Jul)
FII -819 cr · DII -418 cr
Dealer positioning at the close (NIFTY)
Gamma Partially Positive · Net GEX +11,330 cr · near the flip (unstable)
Call wall 24,000 · Put wall 23,800 · Flip 23,804 · Pin 24,000 (risk 31/100)
Market mood
MMI 48.8 — Fear (-8.3 vs prev) · intraday read
AI read
NIFTY 50 is currently being weighed down by a significant surge in Brent crude oil prices and continued weakness in banking majors like HDFC Bank. Additionally, Infosys shares are trading lower ahead of its Q1 FY27 earnings announcement, with market participants anticipating a potential guidance cut, which is impacting the broader IT sector. Mixed global cues, with positive Asian markets but slightly negative US futures, are also influencing the sentiment.
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