📊 Gold rises on demand for safe-haven assets
The gold (XAU) price rose by 0.77% on Wednesday amid growing concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook.
👉Possible effects for traders
Investor risk appetite diminished after a proposed U.S. federal budget was released, revealing a potential expansion of the already substantial fiscal deficit. This concern was intensified by Moody’s recent downgrade of the U.S. credit outlook. The agency explained the downgrade, citing escalating debt levels and growing macroeconomic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious tone regarding the U.S. economic outlook also added to investor unease, prompting a shift toward defensive assets.
At the same time, geopolitical instability—particularly the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and U.S. President Donald Trump's retreat from involvement in the Russia–Ukraine situation—further boosted the safe-haven appeal of gold. Meanwhile, Chinese customs data revealed that gold imports soared towards an 11-month high of 127.5 metric tonnes in April, a 73% increase from March. This spike was fuelled by heightened domestic demand and expanded import quotas issued by the People's Bank of China amid escalating U.S.–China trade tensions.
XAUUSD continued to rise during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, U.S. Jobless Claims at 12:30 p.m. UTC will shed light on the state of the U.S. labour market, potentially altering Fed monetary policy expectations. Moreover, traders should monitor news related to trade tariffs and developments in negotiations. Key levels to watch for XAUUSD are the support level at $3,260 and the resistance level at $3,340.
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The gold (XAU) price rose by 0.77% on Wednesday amid growing concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook.
👉Possible effects for traders
Investor risk appetite diminished after a proposed U.S. federal budget was released, revealing a potential expansion of the already substantial fiscal deficit. This concern was intensified by Moody’s recent downgrade of the U.S. credit outlook. The agency explained the downgrade, citing escalating debt levels and growing macroeconomic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious tone regarding the U.S. economic outlook also added to investor unease, prompting a shift toward defensive assets.
At the same time, geopolitical instability—particularly the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and U.S. President Donald Trump's retreat from involvement in the Russia–Ukraine situation—further boosted the safe-haven appeal of gold. Meanwhile, Chinese customs data revealed that gold imports soared towards an 11-month high of 127.5 metric tonnes in April, a 73% increase from March. This spike was fuelled by heightened domestic demand and expanded import quotas issued by the People's Bank of China amid escalating U.S.–China trade tensions.
XAUUSD continued to rise during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, U.S. Jobless Claims at 12:30 p.m. UTC will shed light on the state of the U.S. labour market, potentially altering Fed monetary policy expectations. Moreover, traders should monitor news related to trade tariffs and developments in negotiations. Key levels to watch for XAUUSD are the support level at $3,260 and the resistance level at $3,340.
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USDCAD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
USDCAD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.38700.
Set your stop loss at 1.38460 above the previous high ($1.73 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.38940 ($1.73 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
USDCAD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.38700.
Set your stop loss at 1.38460 above the previous high ($1.73 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.38940 ($1.73 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
BTCUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 110,650.00.
Set your stop loss at 109,400.00 above the previous high ($10.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 112,300.00 ($16.50 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.32.
👉Fundamental factors
The U.S. Jobless Claims report will be released in a few minutes and could affect this trade.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 110,650.00.
Set your stop loss at 109,400.00 above the previous high ($10.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 112,300.00 ($16.50 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.32.
👉Fundamental factors
The U.S. Jobless Claims report will be released in a few minutes and could affect this trade.
@octa_analytics
GBPJPY, 30-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
GBPJPY has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 192.400.
Set your stop loss at 193.000 above the previous high ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 191.800 ($6.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
GBPJPY has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 192.400.
Set your stop loss at 193.000 above the previous high ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 191.800 ($6.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
AUDUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
AUDUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 0.64154.
Set your stop loss at 0.63769 above the previous high ($3.84 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.64538 ($3.84 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
AUDUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 0.64154.
Set your stop loss at 0.63769 above the previous high ($3.84 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.64538 ($3.84 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day.
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#economic_calendar
These events will affect the market on 23 May.
🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!
These events will affect the market on 23 May.
🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!
ETHUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
ETHUSD has been trading in a bearish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 2,660.00.
Set your stop loss at 2,600.00 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,720.00 ($6.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
ETHUSD has been trading in a bearish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 2,660.00.
Set your stop loss at 2,600.00 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,720.00 ($6.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
@octa_analytics
📊 BTCUSD sets record high near $112,000
Bitcoin (BTC) strengthened, reaching a record high of nearly $112,000 on Thursday, driven by global liquidity flows.
👉Possible effects for traders
A key driver for the rise is the resurgence in global liquidity, with global M2, which includes the money supply from the U.S., eurozone, China, and Japan, rebounding by approximately 3–4% year-to-date. Historically, Bitcoin and other risk assets tend to respond to such shifts with a time lag of about three months, and the timing of the current crypto rally closely aligns with this historical pattern. This resurgence in liquidity is reinforcing risk-on sentiment across financial markets.
However, the macroeconomic signals remain mixed. U.S. labour data indicated a resilient job market, with initial jobless claims beating expectations at 227,000, although elevated continuing claims point to some underlying softness. 'Initial Jobless Claims came in cooler than expected. Continuing Claims came in hotter than expected', Blacknox, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, wrote on X. 'BTC is in price discovery, and the market wants to celebrate the good news and ignore the bad news'.
BTCUSD consolidated during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market awaits U.S. New Home Sales data at 2:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading may trigger a bearish correction in Bitcoin, while softer data may support the bullish trend in BTCUSD.
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Bitcoin (BTC) strengthened, reaching a record high of nearly $112,000 on Thursday, driven by global liquidity flows.
👉Possible effects for traders
A key driver for the rise is the resurgence in global liquidity, with global M2, which includes the money supply from the U.S., eurozone, China, and Japan, rebounding by approximately 3–4% year-to-date. Historically, Bitcoin and other risk assets tend to respond to such shifts with a time lag of about three months, and the timing of the current crypto rally closely aligns with this historical pattern. This resurgence in liquidity is reinforcing risk-on sentiment across financial markets.
However, the macroeconomic signals remain mixed. U.S. labour data indicated a resilient job market, with initial jobless claims beating expectations at 227,000, although elevated continuing claims point to some underlying softness. 'Initial Jobless Claims came in cooler than expected. Continuing Claims came in hotter than expected', Blacknox, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, wrote on X. 'BTC is in price discovery, and the market wants to celebrate the good news and ignore the bad news'.
BTCUSD consolidated during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market awaits U.S. New Home Sales data at 2:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading may trigger a bearish correction in Bitcoin, while softer data may support the bullish trend in BTCUSD.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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📊 Euro rebounds on rising uncertainty about U.S. fiscal policy
The euro (EUR) lost 0.46% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Thursday.
👉Possible effects for traders
U.S. President Donald Trump's newly proposed budget bill—featuring sweeping tax cuts and a ramp-up in defence spending—has intensified investor concerns over the long-term sustainability of U.S. public finances. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill could add nearly $4 trillion to the national debt, exacerbating fears of persistent fiscal imbalances.
These anxieties were further magnified by Moody's recent downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1. Moody's cited surging deficits and a growing debt-servicing burden as critical risks to the nation's financial credibility.
At the same time, limited progress in trade negotiations prompted a shift in capital flows away from U.S. assets and put pressure on the U.S. dollar. This erosion in sentiment underscores the broader investor unease surrounding Washington's fiscal trajectory and geopolitical positioning. Nonetheless, China's Foreign Ministry reported that high-level talks between Beijing and Washington remain ongoing. This effort aims to preserve communication channels following a recent call between Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu and U.S. Deputy Secretary Kurt Campbell.
EURUSD rose during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market will get more clues on the state of the U.S. economy from the latest New Home Sales data at 2:30 p.m. UTC. Better-than-expected results will likely trigger a sell-off in EURUSD, potentially pushing the pair towards a weekly low. Conversely, worse-than-expected results may pull EURUSD above the 1.13660 level.
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The euro (EUR) lost 0.46% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Thursday.
👉Possible effects for traders
U.S. President Donald Trump's newly proposed budget bill—featuring sweeping tax cuts and a ramp-up in defence spending—has intensified investor concerns over the long-term sustainability of U.S. public finances. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill could add nearly $4 trillion to the national debt, exacerbating fears of persistent fiscal imbalances.
These anxieties were further magnified by Moody's recent downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1. Moody's cited surging deficits and a growing debt-servicing burden as critical risks to the nation's financial credibility.
At the same time, limited progress in trade negotiations prompted a shift in capital flows away from U.S. assets and put pressure on the U.S. dollar. This erosion in sentiment underscores the broader investor unease surrounding Washington's fiscal trajectory and geopolitical positioning. Nonetheless, China's Foreign Ministry reported that high-level talks between Beijing and Washington remain ongoing. This effort aims to preserve communication channels following a recent call between Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu and U.S. Deputy Secretary Kurt Campbell.
EURUSD rose during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market will get more clues on the state of the U.S. economy from the latest New Home Sales data at 2:30 p.m. UTC. Better-than-expected results will likely trigger a sell-off in EURUSD, potentially pushing the pair towards a weekly low. Conversely, worse-than-expected results may pull EURUSD above the 1.13660 level.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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📊 Gold recovers after Thursday's correction
The gold (XAU) price fell by 0.61% on Thursday. 'This pullback is primarily attributed to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar (USD), driven by a series of favourable economic data reaffirming the American economy's robustness', says Antonio Di Giacomo, Market Analyst Latam at XS.com in a note.
👉Possible effects for traders
Investor sentiment remains cautious amid persistent concerns over the trajectory of the U.S. budget deficit, which continues to support demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. On Thursday, the House of Representatives passed U.S. President Donald Trump's highly publicised tax reform—dubbed the 'big, beautiful bill'—paving the way for Senate deliberations. However, rather than generating market optimism, the legislation has heightened fiscal anxiety. The bill is now widely expected to expand the deficit by several trillion dollars over the coming years. A lack of progress on meaningful trade agreements has further dampened investor optimism.
According to projections from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the proposed tax plan could add nearly $4 trillion to the federal deficit, reinforcing fears of long-term fiscal instability. This outlook has deepened scepticism among global investors regarding the sustainability of the U.S. economy and contributed to growing risk aversion in financial markets. As a result, demand continues to shift towards traditionally defensive instruments, with gold renewing its bullish trend in the face of budgetary uncertainty and policy gridlock.
Gold climbed back above $3,300 during the Asian trading session after yesterday's significant drop. Today, traders should focus on the U.S. Existing Home Sales report, due at 2:30 p.m. UTC. The data could increase volatility in the market, especially in USD pairs. If the figures exceed market expectations, the U.S. dollar will strengthen, weighing down on gold. Conversely, weaker-than-expected data could support XAUUSD by boosting demand for safe-haven assets.
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The gold (XAU) price fell by 0.61% on Thursday. 'This pullback is primarily attributed to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar (USD), driven by a series of favourable economic data reaffirming the American economy's robustness', says Antonio Di Giacomo, Market Analyst Latam at XS.com in a note.
👉Possible effects for traders
Investor sentiment remains cautious amid persistent concerns over the trajectory of the U.S. budget deficit, which continues to support demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. On Thursday, the House of Representatives passed U.S. President Donald Trump's highly publicised tax reform—dubbed the 'big, beautiful bill'—paving the way for Senate deliberations. However, rather than generating market optimism, the legislation has heightened fiscal anxiety. The bill is now widely expected to expand the deficit by several trillion dollars over the coming years. A lack of progress on meaningful trade agreements has further dampened investor optimism.
According to projections from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the proposed tax plan could add nearly $4 trillion to the federal deficit, reinforcing fears of long-term fiscal instability. This outlook has deepened scepticism among global investors regarding the sustainability of the U.S. economy and contributed to growing risk aversion in financial markets. As a result, demand continues to shift towards traditionally defensive instruments, with gold renewing its bullish trend in the face of budgetary uncertainty and policy gridlock.
Gold climbed back above $3,300 during the Asian trading session after yesterday's significant drop. Today, traders should focus on the U.S. Existing Home Sales report, due at 2:30 p.m. UTC. The data could increase volatility in the market, especially in USD pairs. If the figures exceed market expectations, the U.S. dollar will strengthen, weighing down on gold. Conversely, weaker-than-expected data could support XAUUSD by boosting demand for safe-haven assets.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
AUDUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 0.64620.
Set your stop loss at 0.64777 above the previous high ($1.57 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.64440 ($1.80 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.15.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
AUDUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 0.64620.
Set your stop loss at 0.64777 above the previous high ($1.57 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.64440 ($1.80 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.15.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
@octa_analytics
‼️ Join Octa Analytics VIP
Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success.
To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps:
1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account.
2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot.
3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day.
Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community!
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Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success.
To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps:
1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account.
2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot.
3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day.
Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community!
💯 Limited-time offer 💯 Don’t miss the opportunity to use the BONUSVIP100 promo code for a 100% deposit bonus!
#webinars_schedule #education
💫 Webinars are now right within the Octa Trading App on your Android device. Download the latest update and master your trading even more conveniently.
🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts.
👋 Join and learn more about trading:
🇮🇩 27/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Vito Henjoto
🇬🇧 27/05, 9 p.m. MYT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Kar Yong Ang
🇬🇧 27/05, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa
🇮🇩 28/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Setyo Wibowo
🇲🇾 28/05, 9 p.m. MYT – [MALAY] – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie
🇬🇧 29/05, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa
🇮🇩 30/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Q&A session with Vito Henjoto
💫 Webinars are now right within the Octa Trading App on your Android device. Download the latest update and master your trading even more conveniently.
🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts.
👋 Join and learn more about trading:
🇮🇩 27/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Vito Henjoto
🇬🇧 27/05, 9 p.m. MYT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Kar Yong Ang
🇬🇧 27/05, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa
🇮🇩 28/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Setyo Wibowo
🇲🇾 28/05, 9 p.m. MYT – [MALAY] – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie
🇬🇧 29/05, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa
🇮🇩 30/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Q&A session with Vito Henjoto
#weekly_outlook
🔎 Keeping up-to-date with the market helps you make better trading decisions
Here’s a Weekly Market Outlook for 19 – 23 May from Vito Henjoto.
Stay informed and trade wisely.
🔎 Keeping up-to-date with the market helps you make better trading decisions
Here’s a Weekly Market Outlook for 19 – 23 May from Vito Henjoto.
Stay informed and trade wisely.
YouTube
[ENGLISH] Market Analysis: 26 – 30 May | Octa Weekly
🔗 Start trading: https://octafx.onelink.me/9b1I/merketanalysisvitoENG
🎙️ Join live sessions with professional traders and experience real-time trading. Register for our webinars and get free trading education: http://bit.ly/3zYMjZr
Get signals and updates…
🎙️ Join live sessions with professional traders and experience real-time trading. Register for our webinars and get free trading education: http://bit.ly/3zYMjZr
Get signals and updates…
XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
XAUUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 3,335.00.
Set your stop loss at 3,359.00 above the previous high ($24.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 3,311.00 ($24.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
XAUUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 3,335.00.
Set your stop loss at 3,359.00 above the previous high ($24.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 3,311.00 ($24.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
📊 USDJPY continues to decline amid uncertainty over Trump's policies
USDJPY fell by 1% on Friday as investors continued to buy safe-haven currencies, fearing that rising tariffs could hurt the economy and the U.S. dollar (USD).
👉 Possible effects for traders
Meanwhile, the Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened after data showed core inflation in April rose at its fastest annual pace in over two years. This unexpected surge in inflation has heightened market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may consider another interest rate hike by the end of the year. This scenario is gaining credibility as policymakers balance persistent food price inflation against broader risks from global trade tensions, particularly tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump.
At the same time, Japanese government bonds—particularly those in the super-long segment—reached record highs, though yields edged lower on Friday amid cautious sentiment. Meanwhile, investor focus continues to shift toward the U.S., with mounting concerns over fiscal sustainability. Moody's recent downgrade of the U.S. credit rating has drawn renewed scrutiny to the country's ballooning $36 trillion debt burden. Due to Trump's proposed tax bill, the deficit could worsen further—adding trillions over the coming decade. These developments fuel a broader reassessment of sovereign risk and interest rate trajectories in major economies.
USDJPY remained relatively unchanged during Asian and early European trading sessions. Investors are closely monitoring the Bank of Japan's monetary policy trajectory as inflationary pressures fuel speculation over further rate hikes. Key levels to watch are resistance at 143.100 and support at 142.000.
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USDJPY fell by 1% on Friday as investors continued to buy safe-haven currencies, fearing that rising tariffs could hurt the economy and the U.S. dollar (USD).
👉 Possible effects for traders
Meanwhile, the Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened after data showed core inflation in April rose at its fastest annual pace in over two years. This unexpected surge in inflation has heightened market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may consider another interest rate hike by the end of the year. This scenario is gaining credibility as policymakers balance persistent food price inflation against broader risks from global trade tensions, particularly tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump.
At the same time, Japanese government bonds—particularly those in the super-long segment—reached record highs, though yields edged lower on Friday amid cautious sentiment. Meanwhile, investor focus continues to shift toward the U.S., with mounting concerns over fiscal sustainability. Moody's recent downgrade of the U.S. credit rating has drawn renewed scrutiny to the country's ballooning $36 trillion debt burden. Due to Trump's proposed tax bill, the deficit could worsen further—adding trillions over the coming decade. These developments fuel a broader reassessment of sovereign risk and interest rate trajectories in major economies.
USDJPY remained relatively unchanged during Asian and early European trading sessions. Investors are closely monitoring the Bank of Japan's monetary policy trajectory as inflationary pressures fuel speculation over further rate hikes. Key levels to watch are resistance at 143.100 and support at 142.000.
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📊 Euro rises after U.S. delays tariffs on EU imports by 90 days
The euro (EUR) gained 0.75% after U.S. President Donald Trump set a 9 July deadline for a trade deal with the EU. 'Markets have probably taken the view—and probably rightly so—that where we land eventually on a tariff situation between the U.S. and the EU is not going to be at 50%, but how we get there is frankly anybody's guess at the moment', said Ray Attrill, Head of FX Research at National Australia Bank.
👉 Possible effects for traders
U.S. President Donald Trump stepped back from his earlier threat to impose a 50% tariff on European Union imports, now setting a 9 July deadline to finalise a trade agreement. This move happened after a phone conversation between Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who requested more time to negotiate a deal. Now, 9 July marks the expiration of the 90-day grace period tied to 'Liberation Day' tariffs, offering temporary relief to global markets and signalling a potential for a possible diplomatic resolution.
This swift de-escalation—just two days after the initial tariff threat—highlights the unpredictable nature of U.S. trade policy under Trump. While the sudden changes may unsettle long-term planning, they also reassured investors that negotiations remain possible, tempering fears of a near-term global economic slowdown. Markets responded with cautious optimism, as the new deadline revived hopes for progress in trade talks and reduced immediate pressure on risk assets.
EURUSD continued to rise during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful. Also, traders should note that several European Central Bank policymakers, including President Christine Lagarde, will give speeches later today. Their remarks, particularly regarding the current economic outlook and potential policy adjustments, might offer clues about the central bank's upcoming decisions and affect EURUSD.
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The euro (EUR) gained 0.75% after U.S. President Donald Trump set a 9 July deadline for a trade deal with the EU. 'Markets have probably taken the view—and probably rightly so—that where we land eventually on a tariff situation between the U.S. and the EU is not going to be at 50%, but how we get there is frankly anybody's guess at the moment', said Ray Attrill, Head of FX Research at National Australia Bank.
👉 Possible effects for traders
U.S. President Donald Trump stepped back from his earlier threat to impose a 50% tariff on European Union imports, now setting a 9 July deadline to finalise a trade agreement. This move happened after a phone conversation between Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who requested more time to negotiate a deal. Now, 9 July marks the expiration of the 90-day grace period tied to 'Liberation Day' tariffs, offering temporary relief to global markets and signalling a potential for a possible diplomatic resolution.
This swift de-escalation—just two days after the initial tariff threat—highlights the unpredictable nature of U.S. trade policy under Trump. While the sudden changes may unsettle long-term planning, they also reassured investors that negotiations remain possible, tempering fears of a near-term global economic slowdown. Markets responded with cautious optimism, as the new deadline revived hopes for progress in trade talks and reduced immediate pressure on risk assets.
EURUSD continued to rise during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful. Also, traders should note that several European Central Bank policymakers, including President Christine Lagarde, will give speeches later today. Their remarks, particularly regarding the current economic outlook and potential policy adjustments, might offer clues about the central bank's upcoming decisions and affect EURUSD.
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🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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📊 Gold rises after Trump threatens 50% Tariffs on European Imports
The gold (XAU) price rose sharply by 1.91% on Friday after global trade tensions escalated. 'Gold is heading for its best week in a month on raised U.S. fiscal debt concerns following a jump in U.S. long-end yields in response to Trump's tax bill, which will swell an already elevated US debt pile', Saxo Bank analysts noted.
👉 Possible effects for traders
U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to impose 50% tariffs on imports from the EU starting 1 June. This aggressive trade stance has intensified volatility in financial markets, with investors shifting capital into safe-haven assets such as gold. Trump's warning to Apple Inc. added further uncertainty, stating that the company could face a 25% tariff on iPhones if manufacturing remains outside the U.S. As a result, bullion prices surged nearly 5% last week, reflecting heightened investor anxiety over the worsening trade environment and broader economic implications.
At the same time, the House of Representatives recently passed Trump's new tax bill, which now heads to the Senate, with a vote anticipated by August. According to current projections, the legislation would expand the federal budget deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next 10 years. Such a substantial rise in deficit spending raises concerns about the long-term stability of the U.S. economy, undermining confidence and contributing to further market volatility.
XAUUSD fell slightly during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful, but traders should monitor any developments around trade tariffs. Additionally, the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will give a speech, which could add volatility to USD pairs. Key levels to watch for XAUUSD are support at $3,340 and resistance at $3,370.
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The gold (XAU) price rose sharply by 1.91% on Friday after global trade tensions escalated. 'Gold is heading for its best week in a month on raised U.S. fiscal debt concerns following a jump in U.S. long-end yields in response to Trump's tax bill, which will swell an already elevated US debt pile', Saxo Bank analysts noted.
👉 Possible effects for traders
U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to impose 50% tariffs on imports from the EU starting 1 June. This aggressive trade stance has intensified volatility in financial markets, with investors shifting capital into safe-haven assets such as gold. Trump's warning to Apple Inc. added further uncertainty, stating that the company could face a 25% tariff on iPhones if manufacturing remains outside the U.S. As a result, bullion prices surged nearly 5% last week, reflecting heightened investor anxiety over the worsening trade environment and broader economic implications.
At the same time, the House of Representatives recently passed Trump's new tax bill, which now heads to the Senate, with a vote anticipated by August. According to current projections, the legislation would expand the federal budget deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next 10 years. Such a substantial rise in deficit spending raises concerns about the long-term stability of the U.S. economy, undermining confidence and contributing to further market volatility.
XAUUSD fell slightly during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful, but traders should monitor any developments around trade tariffs. Additionally, the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will give a speech, which could add volatility to USD pairs. Key levels to watch for XAUUSD are support at $3,340 and resistance at $3,370.
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EURUSD, 1-hour timeframe chart
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.13791.
Set your stop loss at 1.14210 above the previous high ($4.19 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.13371 ($4.20 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.13791.
Set your stop loss at 1.14210 above the previous high ($4.19 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.13371 ($4.20 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics