📊 Bitcoin hits $100,000 for the first time in 3 months
Bitcoin (BTC) has increased by more than 6% against a backdrop of risk mitigation driven by concerns about the long-term economic impact of global tariffs.
👉Possible effects for traders
'If changing tariff policies continue to drive a move away from U.S. assets, Bitcoin could find its next leg higher', Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, wrote in a note. 'We expect a strategic asset reallocation away from U.S. assets to trigger the next sharp upswing in bitcoin in the coming months', Kendrick said, noting he sees bitcoin hitting a new record high of around $120,000 in Q2 of 2025.
BTCUSD traded sideways during the Asian and early European trading sessions. No major news is expected today that could significantly influence price dynamics. Analysts project the price to continue moving within the established trend.
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Bitcoin (BTC) has increased by more than 6% against a backdrop of risk mitigation driven by concerns about the long-term economic impact of global tariffs.
👉Possible effects for traders
'If changing tariff policies continue to drive a move away from U.S. assets, Bitcoin could find its next leg higher', Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, wrote in a note. 'We expect a strategic asset reallocation away from U.S. assets to trigger the next sharp upswing in bitcoin in the coming months', Kendrick said, noting he sees bitcoin hitting a new record high of around $120,000 in Q2 of 2025.
BTCUSD traded sideways during the Asian and early European trading sessions. No major news is expected today that could significantly influence price dynamics. Analysts project the price to continue moving within the established trend.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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Traders, ever feel like the market is speaking directly to you?
Some truths cut deep — these reminders will refuel your focus and reignite your drive.
🚀 Follow @Octa_analytics for more motivation and market insights
Some truths cut deep — these reminders will refuel your focus and reignite your drive.
🚀 Follow @Octa_analytics for more motivation and market insights
XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
XAUUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 3,340.91.
Set your stop loss at 3,312.95 above the previous high ($27.96 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 3,368.87 ($27.96 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
XAUUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 3,340.91.
Set your stop loss at 3,312.95 above the previous high ($27.96 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 3,368.87 ($27.96 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market.
@octa_analytics
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#webinars_schedule #education
📱 You can now watch our educational webinars in the Octa Trading App on your Android smartphone. Install the latest version, tap Webinars in the menu, and enjoy fast and easy access to all upcoming and past videos.
🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts.
👋 Join and learn more about trading:
🇬🇧 13/05, 9 p.m. MYT – ENGLISH – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Kar Yong Ang
🇬🇧 13/05, 1 p.m. UTC – ENGLISH – Webinar 'News trading. Inflation' with Vito Henjoto
🇮🇩 14/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Setyo Wibowo
🇬🇧 15/05, 6 p.m. WAT – ENGLISH – Live trading session with Ambrose Ebuka
🇲🇾 15/05, 9 p.m. MYT – MALAY – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie
📱 You can now watch our educational webinars in the Octa Trading App on your Android smartphone. Install the latest version, tap Webinars in the menu, and enjoy fast and easy access to all upcoming and past videos.
🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts.
👋 Join and learn more about trading:
🇬🇧 13/05, 9 p.m. MYT – ENGLISH – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Kar Yong Ang
🇬🇧 13/05, 1 p.m. UTC – ENGLISH – Webinar 'News trading. Inflation' with Vito Henjoto
🇮🇩 14/05, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Setyo Wibowo
🇬🇧 15/05, 6 p.m. WAT – ENGLISH – Live trading session with Ambrose Ebuka
🇲🇾 15/05, 9 p.m. MYT – MALAY – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie
EURUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.12260.
Set your stop loss at 1.12590 above the previous high ($3.30 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.11930 ($3.30 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.12260.
Set your stop loss at 1.12590 above the previous high ($3.30 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.11930 ($3.30 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
#weekly_outlook
🔎 Keeping up-to-date with the market helps you make better trading decisions
Here’s a Weekly Market Outlook for 12 – 16 May from Vito Henjoto.
Stay informed and trade wisely.
🔎 Keeping up-to-date with the market helps you make better trading decisions
Here’s a Weekly Market Outlook for 12 – 16 May from Vito Henjoto.
Stay informed and trade wisely.
YouTube
[ENGLISH] Market Analysis: 12 – 16 May | Octa Weekly
🔗 Start trading: https://octafx.onelink.me/9b1I/merketanalysisvitoENG
🎙️ Join live sessions with professional traders and experience real-time trading. Register for our webinars and get free trading education: http://bit.ly/3zYMjZr
Get signals and updates…
🎙️ Join live sessions with professional traders and experience real-time trading. Register for our webinars and get free trading education: http://bit.ly/3zYMjZr
Get signals and updates…
📊 USDJPY tries to renew highs amid U.S.–China trade talks
USDJPY hit a four-week high of 146.189 but failed to hold its gains, declining by 0.25% on Monday.
👉Possible effects for traders
Market sentiment improved after officials from the U.S. and China highlighted tangible progress in negotiations. U.S. representatives emphasised steps toward narrowing the trade deficit, while Chinese authorities referred to the discussions as reached an 'important consensus'. Despite this progress, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick noted that existing 10% tariffs on other nations would likely remain. Attention is now shifting to U.S.–Japan trade discussions, with Tokyo targeting a finalised agreement by June.
Domestically, Japan reported a current account surplus of ¥3.45 trillion in March, moderating slightly from a record ¥4.06 trillion surplus in February. While the strong external balance underscores the country's resilient export performance, this has done little to support the Japanese yen (JPY) amid the prevailing risk-on sentiment. Investors appear more focused on global trade developments and interest rate differentials, which continue to drive the currency lower.
USDJPY moved sideways during the Asian and early European hours. Two key economic releases this week could impact the pair. First is the U.S. Inflation Rate report, due at 3:30 p.m. UTC tomorrow. Stronger-than-expected figures may trigger a correction in USDJPY, while weaker data could support the pair. Second is the Japan's Gross Domestic Product report, which will come out on Thursday at 11:50 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected number could push USDJPY to new highs, while softer data could trigger a downward correction. Key levels to watch for USDJPY are support at 145.000 and resistance at 146.200.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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USDJPY hit a four-week high of 146.189 but failed to hold its gains, declining by 0.25% on Monday.
👉Possible effects for traders
Market sentiment improved after officials from the U.S. and China highlighted tangible progress in negotiations. U.S. representatives emphasised steps toward narrowing the trade deficit, while Chinese authorities referred to the discussions as reached an 'important consensus'. Despite this progress, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick noted that existing 10% tariffs on other nations would likely remain. Attention is now shifting to U.S.–Japan trade discussions, with Tokyo targeting a finalised agreement by June.
Domestically, Japan reported a current account surplus of ¥3.45 trillion in March, moderating slightly from a record ¥4.06 trillion surplus in February. While the strong external balance underscores the country's resilient export performance, this has done little to support the Japanese yen (JPY) amid the prevailing risk-on sentiment. Investors appear more focused on global trade developments and interest rate differentials, which continue to drive the currency lower.
USDJPY moved sideways during the Asian and early European hours. Two key economic releases this week could impact the pair. First is the U.S. Inflation Rate report, due at 3:30 p.m. UTC tomorrow. Stronger-than-expected figures may trigger a correction in USDJPY, while weaker data could support the pair. Second is the Japan's Gross Domestic Product report, which will come out on Thursday at 11:50 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected number could push USDJPY to new highs, while softer data could trigger a downward correction. Key levels to watch for USDJPY are support at 145.000 and resistance at 146.200.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
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Trade online and manage all your assets with the OctaBroker.
📊 Euro hits new lows
On Friday, the euro (EUR) rose by 0.19% on prospects of a trade deal.
👉Possible effects for traders
The U.S. dollar (USD) faced sustained downward pressure in recent weeks due to U.S. President Donald Trump's unpredictable trade policies. However, the dollar stabilised last week after the Federal Reserve (Fed) indicated it doesn't plan further rate cuts in the near term. Investors are now closely watching the upcoming April's consumer price data for signs of tariff-driven inflation. Meanwhile, flat retail sales are anticipated in April, following a surge in March, hinting potential signals of trade-related headwinds in the broader economy.
'What we seem to have here, then, is a broad framework under which the two nations can conduct further talks, with the aim of reaching a broader trade agreement,' said Michael Brown, a senior research strategist at Pepperstone. 'Not the worst-case outcome that was possible from this weekend's talks, far from it, but not a concrete deal either', he added. 'Does this progress allow for any tariffs to be paused, reduced, or rolled back, and if so, for how long?'
EURUSD declined slightly in the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the formal macroeconomic calendar is rather light, so volatility will likely remain low. Technically, EURUSD will probably remain under bearish pressure as long as the price remains below the key 1.13000 level.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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On Friday, the euro (EUR) rose by 0.19% on prospects of a trade deal.
👉Possible effects for traders
The U.S. dollar (USD) faced sustained downward pressure in recent weeks due to U.S. President Donald Trump's unpredictable trade policies. However, the dollar stabilised last week after the Federal Reserve (Fed) indicated it doesn't plan further rate cuts in the near term. Investors are now closely watching the upcoming April's consumer price data for signs of tariff-driven inflation. Meanwhile, flat retail sales are anticipated in April, following a surge in March, hinting potential signals of trade-related headwinds in the broader economy.
'What we seem to have here, then, is a broad framework under which the two nations can conduct further talks, with the aim of reaching a broader trade agreement,' said Michael Brown, a senior research strategist at Pepperstone. 'Not the worst-case outcome that was possible from this weekend's talks, far from it, but not a concrete deal either', he added. 'Does this progress allow for any tariffs to be paused, reduced, or rolled back, and if so, for how long?'
EURUSD declined slightly in the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the formal macroeconomic calendar is rather light, so volatility will likely remain low. Technically, EURUSD will probably remain under bearish pressure as long as the price remains below the key 1.13000 level.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
📊 Gold slides on U.S.–China trade talks
Gold (XAU) declined by over 3% on Monday, falling below $3,280 towards a one-week low.
👉Possible effects for traders
Market appetite for safe-haven assets weakened amid renewed optimism surrounding U.S.–China trade relations. Over the weekend, officials from both sides concluded preliminary discussions and gave positive signals. Beijing announced its intention to begin formal negotiations, while the U.S. emphasised tangible progress towards a potential trade agreement. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed that details on negotiations would be disclosed in a briefing later on Monday. The developments eased investor concerns and exerted downward pressure on gold.
On the geopolitical front, the India–Pakistan ceasefire agreement held steady overnight into Sunday, despite early accusations of violations by both sides. The lack of immediate escalation further reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold, reinforcing the broader sell-off in precious metals at the beginning of the trading week.
Today, the economic calendar is relatively uneventful, but traders should monitor any developments in U.S. trade tariffs. 'There's strong optimism across the market of progress in U.S.–China trade talks in particular and more broadly more trade deals', said Matthew Weller, head of market research at StoneX. Key levels to watch for XAUUSD are support at $3,195 and resistance at $3,360.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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Gold (XAU) declined by over 3% on Monday, falling below $3,280 towards a one-week low.
👉Possible effects for traders
Market appetite for safe-haven assets weakened amid renewed optimism surrounding U.S.–China trade relations. Over the weekend, officials from both sides concluded preliminary discussions and gave positive signals. Beijing announced its intention to begin formal negotiations, while the U.S. emphasised tangible progress towards a potential trade agreement. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed that details on negotiations would be disclosed in a briefing later on Monday. The developments eased investor concerns and exerted downward pressure on gold.
On the geopolitical front, the India–Pakistan ceasefire agreement held steady overnight into Sunday, despite early accusations of violations by both sides. The lack of immediate escalation further reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold, reinforcing the broader sell-off in precious metals at the beginning of the trading week.
Today, the economic calendar is relatively uneventful, but traders should monitor any developments in U.S. trade tariffs. 'There's strong optimism across the market of progress in U.S.–China trade talks in particular and more broadly more trade deals', said Matthew Weller, head of market research at StoneX. Key levels to watch for XAUUSD are support at $3,195 and resistance at $3,360.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
BTCUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 104,372.10.
Set your stop loss at 106,456.69 above the previous high ($20.87 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 102,285.58 ($20.87 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 104,372.10.
Set your stop loss at 106,456.69 above the previous high ($20.87 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 102,285.58 ($20.87 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
📈 What moved the market last week?
Our latest market movers round-up reveals the key shifts:
🚀 Top Performers
🔹 XAUUSD (Gold) +2.60% — Despite losing some momentum late in the week, gold surged over 2.5% due to strong safe-haven demand and structural buying by China’s central bank (PBoC). Hopes for a U.S.–China trade deal briefly tempered the rally.
🔹 USDCAD +0.85% — The Canadian dollar held firm amid steady commodity prices.
🔹 USDCHF +0.53% — The Swiss franc edged lower as risk sentiment improved.
🔴 Biggest Laggards
🔹 EURUSD −0.42% — The euro dipped as the U.S. dollar showed mixed performance.
🔹 AUDUSD −0.48% — The Aussie dollar softened despite broader market optimism.
🔹 USDMXN −0.68% — The Mexican peso gained as risk appetite improved.
💡 Key Takeaways
- Gold (XAU) led the pack, while the rand (ZAR) lagged behind.
- The U.S. dollar was mixed: it strengthened against some majors (CAD, CHF, JPY) but weakened against EM currencies (MXN, ZAR) and the euro.
- Risk appetite improved late in the week, pressuring safe havens like gold but boosting higher-yielding assets.
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
Our latest market movers round-up reveals the key shifts:
🚀 Top Performers
🔹 XAUUSD (Gold) +2.60% — Despite losing some momentum late in the week, gold surged over 2.5% due to strong safe-haven demand and structural buying by China’s central bank (PBoC). Hopes for a U.S.–China trade deal briefly tempered the rally.
🔹 USDCAD +0.85% — The Canadian dollar held firm amid steady commodity prices.
🔹 USDCHF +0.53% — The Swiss franc edged lower as risk sentiment improved.
🔴 Biggest Laggards
🔹 EURUSD −0.42% — The euro dipped as the U.S. dollar showed mixed performance.
🔹 AUDUSD −0.48% — The Aussie dollar softened despite broader market optimism.
🔹 USDMXN −0.68% — The Mexican peso gained as risk appetite improved.
💡 Key Takeaways
- Gold (XAU) led the pack, while the rand (ZAR) lagged behind.
- The U.S. dollar was mixed: it strengthened against some majors (CAD, CHF, JPY) but weakened against EM currencies (MXN, ZAR) and the euro.
- Risk appetite improved late in the week, pressuring safe havens like gold but boosting higher-yielding assets.
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
‼️ Join Octa Analytics VIP
Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success.
To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps:
1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account.
2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot.
3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day.
Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community!
💯 Limited-time offer 💯 Don’t miss the opportunity to use the BONUSVIP100 promo code for a 100% deposit bonus!
Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success.
To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps:
1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account.
2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot.
3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day.
Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community!
💯 Limited-time offer 💯 Don’t miss the opportunity to use the BONUSVIP100 promo code for a 100% deposit bonus!