📊 Gold hits all-time highs as expectations of tariff war escalate
On Monday, China cautioned other countries against entering broader economic agreements with the U.S. that might come at Beijing's expense. U.S. President Donald Trump is pursuing a negotiation strategy as he seeks tariff reductions or exemptions from various countries. Due to trade tensions, the U.S. dollar slipped towards a three-year low, boosting gold's (XAU) appeal to investors holding other currencies. At the same time, Trump harshly criticised Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell last Thursday as Trump's team seeks the possibility of removing Powell from his position.
👉Possible effects for traders
On the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine accused each other of thousands of violations of the one-day Easter ceasefire declared by President Vladimir Putin. The Kremlin stated there were no plans to extend the temporary halt in frontline combat. 'Fundamentally, markets are pricing in heightened geopolitical risks, driven by U.S. tariff tensions and stagflation concerns, while resilient central bank demand offers an added tailwind for prices as well', said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. 'The next potential milestone for gold could be around the $3,500 level, though positioning may appear crowded in the near term, and technical indicators suggest near-term overbought conditions', Rong added.
XAUUSD rose by 1.5% during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the calendar is relatively uneventful due to Easter Monday. Still, traders should continue to monitor any developments around global trade tariffs. If the Trump administration's rhetoric continues to threaten China, XAUUSD will continue to climb towards new highs. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,400 and support at $3,360.
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On Monday, China cautioned other countries against entering broader economic agreements with the U.S. that might come at Beijing's expense. U.S. President Donald Trump is pursuing a negotiation strategy as he seeks tariff reductions or exemptions from various countries. Due to trade tensions, the U.S. dollar slipped towards a three-year low, boosting gold's (XAU) appeal to investors holding other currencies. At the same time, Trump harshly criticised Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell last Thursday as Trump's team seeks the possibility of removing Powell from his position.
👉Possible effects for traders
On the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine accused each other of thousands of violations of the one-day Easter ceasefire declared by President Vladimir Putin. The Kremlin stated there were no plans to extend the temporary halt in frontline combat. 'Fundamentally, markets are pricing in heightened geopolitical risks, driven by U.S. tariff tensions and stagflation concerns, while resilient central bank demand offers an added tailwind for prices as well', said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. 'The next potential milestone for gold could be around the $3,500 level, though positioning may appear crowded in the near term, and technical indicators suggest near-term overbought conditions', Rong added.
XAUUSD rose by 1.5% during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the calendar is relatively uneventful due to Easter Monday. Still, traders should continue to monitor any developments around global trade tariffs. If the Trump administration's rhetoric continues to threaten China, XAUUSD will continue to climb towards new highs. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,400 and support at $3,360.
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EURUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.15100.
Set your stop loss at 1.15550 above the previous high ($4.50 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.14450 ($6.50 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.44.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.15100.
Set your stop loss at 1.15550 above the previous high ($4.50 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.14450 ($6.50 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.44.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
📈 What moved the market last week?
Our latest market movers round-up reveals the key shifts:
🚀 Top performers:
XAUUSD +2.82% — gold soared as risk sentiment pushed traders toward safe-haven assets.
NZDUSD +1.94% — the kiwi dollar bounced on improved market optimism.
GBPUSD +1.64% — sterling gained amid hawkish BoE expectations.
❌ Biggest laggards:
USDMXN –3.05% — the peso weakened on market risk rebalancing.
USDZAR –1.64% — the rand strengthened as local sentiment held firm.
USDJPY –0.94% — the yen gained with safe-haven demand increasing.
💬 The ongoing US–China trade tensions continue to drive market behaviour.
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
Our latest market movers round-up reveals the key shifts:
🚀 Top performers:
XAUUSD +2.82% — gold soared as risk sentiment pushed traders toward safe-haven assets.
NZDUSD +1.94% — the kiwi dollar bounced on improved market optimism.
GBPUSD +1.64% — sterling gained amid hawkish BoE expectations.
❌ Biggest laggards:
USDMXN –3.05% — the peso weakened on market risk rebalancing.
USDZAR –1.64% — the rand strengthened as local sentiment held firm.
USDJPY –0.94% — the yen gained with safe-haven demand increasing.
💬 The ongoing US–China trade tensions continue to drive market behaviour.
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
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#economic_calendar
These events may affect the market on 22 April.
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These events may affect the market on 22 April.
🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!
EURUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.15400.
Set your stop loss at 1.15188 below the previous low ($2.12 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.15612 ($2.12 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
EURUSD has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.15400.
Set your stop loss at 1.15188 below the previous low ($2.12 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.15612 ($2.12 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
GBPJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
GBPJPY has been trading in a bearish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 187.800.
Set your stop loss at 188.212 above the previous high ($2.94 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 187.388 ($2.94 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
GBPJPY has been trading in a bearish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 187.800.
Set your stop loss at 188.212 above the previous high ($2.94 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 187.388 ($2.94 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
📊 Australian dollar hits four-month high
The Australian dollar (AUD) rose by 0.27% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday. Increased safe-haven demand for the Aussie after U.S. President Donald Trump called for an interest rate cut supported the rise.
👉Possible effects for traders
By Thursday, the Aussie had eased slightly towards around 0.64300. AUDUSD continued a rally that began last week following the release of weaker-than-expected Australian labour market data. Although the unemployment rate remained steady at a low 4.1%, employment growth for March fell short of forecasts. This has strengthened expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will lower interest rates at its May meeting. A 25-basis-point (bps) cut is widely anticipated. Still, some market participants are beginning to price in a more aggressive 50-bps reduction amid growing fears of a global economic slowdown driven by trade tensions.
During the Asian and early European trading sessions, AUDUSD maintained upward momentum. Traders should follow upcoming speeches from European Central Bank and Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Key technical levels to watch are resistance at 0.64500 and support at 0.64000.
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The Australian dollar (AUD) rose by 0.27% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday. Increased safe-haven demand for the Aussie after U.S. President Donald Trump called for an interest rate cut supported the rise.
👉Possible effects for traders
By Thursday, the Aussie had eased slightly towards around 0.64300. AUDUSD continued a rally that began last week following the release of weaker-than-expected Australian labour market data. Although the unemployment rate remained steady at a low 4.1%, employment growth for March fell short of forecasts. This has strengthened expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will lower interest rates at its May meeting. A 25-basis-point (bps) cut is widely anticipated. Still, some market participants are beginning to price in a more aggressive 50-bps reduction amid growing fears of a global economic slowdown driven by trade tensions.
During the Asian and early European trading sessions, AUDUSD maintained upward momentum. Traders should follow upcoming speeches from European Central Bank and Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Key technical levels to watch are resistance at 0.64500 and support at 0.64000.
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📊 Euro continues to strengthen due to weak U.S. dollar
Markets will likely expect further interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) as they believe a trade war with the U.S. will hit the eurozone economy. The ECB emphasised the worsening economic growth outlook due to trade tensions, which have caused 'exceptional uncertainty'. The regulator also removed a reference to interest rates as being 'restrictive' from its policy statement.
👉Possible effects for traders
Over the past week, we've seen a group of clients push their hedges out to the maximum available tenor as they look to lock in protection and ride out near-term instability,' said Eric Huttman, CEO of MillTechFX. The euro (EUR), which neared parity with the dollar in February, has now risen by over 10% since early March and reached 1.15400. The currency's strengthening is expected to reduce the cost of imports and ease inflationary pressures. A key measure of long-term inflation expectations—closely monitored by the ECB—now aligns with the bank's 2% target, down from 2.2% in March. The data suggests that inflation could dip below the target, potentially opening the door for further interest rate cuts.
EURUSD rose during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on the E.U. consumer confidence report at 2:00 p.m. UTC. Traders should also pay attention to the speeches of the ECB and Federal Reserve officials. Key levels for EURUSD to watch are resistance at 1.16000 and support at 1.14000.
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Markets will likely expect further interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) as they believe a trade war with the U.S. will hit the eurozone economy. The ECB emphasised the worsening economic growth outlook due to trade tensions, which have caused 'exceptional uncertainty'. The regulator also removed a reference to interest rates as being 'restrictive' from its policy statement.
👉Possible effects for traders
Over the past week, we've seen a group of clients push their hedges out to the maximum available tenor as they look to lock in protection and ride out near-term instability,' said Eric Huttman, CEO of MillTechFX. The euro (EUR), which neared parity with the dollar in February, has now risen by over 10% since early March and reached 1.15400. The currency's strengthening is expected to reduce the cost of imports and ease inflationary pressures. A key measure of long-term inflation expectations—closely monitored by the ECB—now aligns with the bank's 2% target, down from 2.2% in March. The data suggests that inflation could dip below the target, potentially opening the door for further interest rate cuts.
EURUSD rose during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on the E.U. consumer confidence report at 2:00 p.m. UTC. Traders should also pay attention to the speeches of the ECB and Federal Reserve officials. Key levels for EURUSD to watch are resistance at 1.16000 and support at 1.14000.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
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📊 The record gold rally continues
With these costs trending so nicely downward, just what I predicted they would do, there can almost be no inflation, but there can be a SLOWING of the economy unless Mr Too Late, a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW', U.S. President Donald Trump wrote about Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell on his social media platform, Truth. Trump's main goal is now to force a quick cut in interest rates to soften the effect of his tariff policies and reduce the negative impact on the economy and job market. Imposing import taxes on major trading partners has led to a drop in economic activity. After trade tariffs were introduced, the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators fell by 0.7% in March, signalling a slowing economy.
👉Possible effects for traders
Investors have been giving a wide berth to U.S. assets amid tariff worries and Trump-Powell dramas, which has kept gold in prime position to capitalise on the dollar's woes', said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. 'There remains a chance of a pullback given the rapid rate of gains on display so far this month. But there is reason to believe that buyers will be keen on gold should a pullback occur given that high economic uncertainty remains a prevailing market theme', he added.
XAUUSD rose by 2.00% during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Investors await more Powell's statements to get clues on the U.S. interest rate path and Fed plans. However, any news around trade tariffs will likely have a stronger effect than inflation statistics. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,500 and support at $3,460.
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With these costs trending so nicely downward, just what I predicted they would do, there can almost be no inflation, but there can be a SLOWING of the economy unless Mr Too Late, a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW', U.S. President Donald Trump wrote about Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell on his social media platform, Truth. Trump's main goal is now to force a quick cut in interest rates to soften the effect of his tariff policies and reduce the negative impact on the economy and job market. Imposing import taxes on major trading partners has led to a drop in economic activity. After trade tariffs were introduced, the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators fell by 0.7% in March, signalling a slowing economy.
👉Possible effects for traders
Investors have been giving a wide berth to U.S. assets amid tariff worries and Trump-Powell dramas, which has kept gold in prime position to capitalise on the dollar's woes', said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. 'There remains a chance of a pullback given the rapid rate of gains on display so far this month. But there is reason to believe that buyers will be keen on gold should a pullback occur given that high economic uncertainty remains a prevailing market theme', he added.
XAUUSD rose by 2.00% during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Investors await more Powell's statements to get clues on the U.S. interest rate path and Fed plans. However, any news around trade tariffs will likely have a stronger effect than inflation statistics. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,500 and support at $3,460.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day.
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2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot.
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📅 Reading the economic calendar is easy. Interpreting it like a pro? That’s where the edge is
If you want to turn news into opportunity, you need to do more than just check the numbers. This guide will show you:
🧠 how to anticipate market reactions
📊 what data really moves the charts
⚙️ how to structure your strategy for news days.
Swipe through to level up your fundamental game and plan smarter trades.
Save & share this information with beginner traders. Stay tuned with @octa_analytics updates 🚀
If you want to turn news into opportunity, you need to do more than just check the numbers. This guide will show you:
🧠 how to anticipate market reactions
📊 what data really moves the charts
⚙️ how to structure your strategy for news days.
Swipe through to level up your fundamental game and plan smarter trades.
Save & share this information with beginner traders. Stay tuned with @octa_analytics updates 🚀
#economic_calendar
These events may affect the market on 23 April.
🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!
These events may affect the market on 23 April.
🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!
ETHUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
ETHUSD has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1,810.00.
Set your stop loss at 1,750.00 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1,870.00 ($6.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
ETHUSD has been trading in a bullish trend for the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1,810.00.
Set your stop loss at 1,750.00 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1,870.00 ($6.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
📊 Japanese economy showed signs of growth
On Tuesday, the Japanese yen (JPY) lost more than 1% against the U.S. dollar (USD) as investors received signals of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
👉Possible effects for traders
'Even if Japan and the U.S. were to discuss currency rates, there's really not much the two sides can do. It doesn't make sense to conduct currency intervention. Rate hikes are also out of the question,' said Hiroyuki Machida, director of Japan FX and commodities sales at ANZ. Meanwhile, new data from Japan revealed that private sector activity rebounded in April following a decline in March. The Japan Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose from 50 in March towards 52.2 in April. Overall, the services sector's performance in April signalled a cautious return to economic growth.
USDJPY rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, apart from tariff-related news, traders should focus on the U.S. S&P Manufacturing and Services PMI report at 1:45 p.m. UTC. It may shed light on the state of the U.S. labour market, potentially altering investors' rate-cut expectations and triggering volatility in all USD pairs. Key levels to watch are resistance at 143.200 and support at 140.000
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🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
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On Tuesday, the Japanese yen (JPY) lost more than 1% against the U.S. dollar (USD) as investors received signals of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
👉Possible effects for traders
'Even if Japan and the U.S. were to discuss currency rates, there's really not much the two sides can do. It doesn't make sense to conduct currency intervention. Rate hikes are also out of the question,' said Hiroyuki Machida, director of Japan FX and commodities sales at ANZ. Meanwhile, new data from Japan revealed that private sector activity rebounded in April following a decline in March. The Japan Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose from 50 in March towards 52.2 in April. Overall, the services sector's performance in April signalled a cautious return to economic growth.
USDJPY rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, apart from tariff-related news, traders should focus on the U.S. S&P Manufacturing and Services PMI report at 1:45 p.m. UTC. It may shed light on the state of the U.S. labour market, potentially altering investors' rate-cut expectations and triggering volatility in all USD pairs. Key levels to watch are resistance at 143.200 and support at 140.000
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information
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