The euro (EUR) rose slightly by 0.22% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The rebound was supported by investor confidence that a diplomatic breakthrough between Washington and Beijing—particularly in areas such as rare-earth minerals and advanced technologies—could help ease global economic uncertainty and improve risk sentiment. Comments from U.S. officials confirmed that the negotiations were fruitful and that both countries made significant progress toward de-escalation.
On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent 25-basis-point rate cut was an effort to support growth by lowering borrowing costs to their weakest level since November 2022. While the central bank revised its inflation forecasts downward for 2025 and 2026, it also hinted that the current easing cycle may soon come to an end. This shift in tone tempered expectations of further aggressive cuts, creating a more cautious outlook and contributing to the euro's resilience as traders reassessed the future path of European monetary policy.
EURUSD declined during Asian and early European trading sessions. The macroeconomic calendar is rather light today, so the established trend will likely continue. Traders should also monitor speeches from ECB officials. Key levels for EURUSD to watch are resistance at 1.14000 and support at 1.13800.
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On Monday, the British pound (GBP) rose by 0.16% against the U.S. dollar (USD).
👉 Possible effects for traders
U.K. unemployment edged up towards 4.6% in the three months to April 2025, aligning with market expectations and marking the highest rate since the three months to August 2021. The uptick from 4.5% reflects growing labour market slack, primarily due to increases in both short-term unemployment (up to six months) and long-term joblessness (over one year).
The data highlights underlying structural pressures in the labour market, suggesting a slower pace of reabsorption for displaced workers amid persistent economic headwinds. Although the overall unemployment rate didn't surprise the market, the rise in long-term joblessness may lead policymakers to reconsider how they balance job support with controlling inflation, especially as the Bank of England plans its next policy move.
GBPUSD fell during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Although markets remained relatively quiet, traders should stay vigilant for any updates related to global trade tariffs. If the U.S. and China adopt a more conciliatory stance on tariffs, GBPUSD could correct sharply lower as improving risk sentiment reduces demand for safe-haven currencies. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.35000 and support at 1.36000.
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GBPUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
GBPUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.35178.
Set your stop loss at 1.35315 above the previous high ($1.37 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.34900 ($2.78 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:2.03.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
GBPUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.35178.
Set your stop loss at 1.35315 above the previous high ($1.37 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.34900 ($2.78 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:2.03.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
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USDJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
USDJPY has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 145.170.
Set your stop loss at 144.800 below the previous low ($2.55 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 145.540 ($2.55 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
USDJPY has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 145.170.
Set your stop loss at 144.800 below the previous low ($2.55 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 145.540 ($2.55 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
📊 AUD holds near its highs
The Australian dollar (AUD) remained near its multi-month high on Tuesday. AAUDUSD was supported by optimism surrounding the second day of U.S.–China trade talks in London.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Top economic officials from the U.S. and China met in London to discuss the trade dispute, which has escalated from tariffs to restrictions on rare earth minerals. Beijing recently issued licenses for the supply of rare earth materials to major U.S. automobile manufacturers. According to Tony Sycamore from IG, AUDUSD has been consolidating its rebound from April lows over the past month, oscillating between 0.63500 and 0.65400. After this consolidation is over, we may see the Australian dollar rise towards 0.67500 in the medium term.
The current economic climate in Australia remains challenging for business growth. According to recent data, economic activity slowed in May despite a decrease in interest rates. Consumer confidence has risen only slightly due to concerns about a possible economic slowdown. This follows last week's disappointing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report, which has raised questions about the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) monetary policy. Markets are pricing in a 75% chance of a rate cut by the RBA in July, with a total easing of 87 basis points expected by mid-2026.
AUDUSD declined during the Asian trading session but rebounded by the start of European trading, bouncing off the 0.65000 support level. The pair is now trading within the 0.65000–0.65300 range. Today's most significant global event is the release of the May U.S. Consumer Price Index at 12:30 p.m. UTC. If the reading is higher than expected, it could exert downward pressure on the Australian dollar. Conversely, a lower-than-expected figure could provide support for AUDUSD.
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The Australian dollar (AUD) remained near its multi-month high on Tuesday. AAUDUSD was supported by optimism surrounding the second day of U.S.–China trade talks in London.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Top economic officials from the U.S. and China met in London to discuss the trade dispute, which has escalated from tariffs to restrictions on rare earth minerals. Beijing recently issued licenses for the supply of rare earth materials to major U.S. automobile manufacturers. According to Tony Sycamore from IG, AUDUSD has been consolidating its rebound from April lows over the past month, oscillating between 0.63500 and 0.65400. After this consolidation is over, we may see the Australian dollar rise towards 0.67500 in the medium term.
The current economic climate in Australia remains challenging for business growth. According to recent data, economic activity slowed in May despite a decrease in interest rates. Consumer confidence has risen only slightly due to concerns about a possible economic slowdown. This follows last week's disappointing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report, which has raised questions about the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) monetary policy. Markets are pricing in a 75% chance of a rate cut by the RBA in July, with a total easing of 87 basis points expected by mid-2026.
AUDUSD declined during the Asian trading session but rebounded by the start of European trading, bouncing off the 0.65000 support level. The pair is now trading within the 0.65000–0.65300 range. Today's most significant global event is the release of the May U.S. Consumer Price Index at 12:30 p.m. UTC. If the reading is higher than expected, it could exert downward pressure on the Australian dollar. Conversely, a lower-than-expected figure could provide support for AUDUSD.
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📊 Euro expects U.S. inflation today
The euro (EUR) gained 0.04% during Tuesday's trading session.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Since the beginning of June, the euro has traded within a sideways range of 1.13500–1.14500. EURUSD failed to break above the 1.14500 resistance level in April. Currently, the pair is driven more by external developments than by eurozone-specific factors. Recently, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced that the U.S. and China have agreed on a framework for implementing the Geneva Consensus. Markets are now anticipating easing tariff tensions between the two countries, which could support the U.S. dollar (USD).
Today, the most significant economic event of the day and the week is the release of the U.S. inflation report at 12:30 p.m. UTC, which could significantly alter market conditions and introduce additional volatility. Analysts project that the inflation data is likely to be disappointing. The market anticipates an increase in inflation of up to 0.2 percentage points compared to the prior report. Given the current stance of the Federal Reserve (Fed), higher inflation could pressure the dollar. Additionally, with U.S. President Donald Trump continuing to push for lower interest rates, the U.S. dollar could face more pressure, potentially supporting the euro. Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Olli Rehn stated on Tuesday that 'we will make decisions on a meeting-by-meeting basis'. As Rehn emphasised, it's essential to avoid complacency regarding inflation forecasts and focus on maintaining inflation expectations at the target level of 2%.
EURUSD remained flat at the beginning of the Asian trading session. Increased volatility is expected today due to the U.S. inflation report. EURUSD may break out of its current trading range and move in either direction. Based on expert expectations, the pair may break above the 1.14500 resistance level, followed by a move up to 1.15000.
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The euro (EUR) gained 0.04% during Tuesday's trading session.
👉 Possible effects for traders
Since the beginning of June, the euro has traded within a sideways range of 1.13500–1.14500. EURUSD failed to break above the 1.14500 resistance level in April. Currently, the pair is driven more by external developments than by eurozone-specific factors. Recently, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced that the U.S. and China have agreed on a framework for implementing the Geneva Consensus. Markets are now anticipating easing tariff tensions between the two countries, which could support the U.S. dollar (USD).
Today, the most significant economic event of the day and the week is the release of the U.S. inflation report at 12:30 p.m. UTC, which could significantly alter market conditions and introduce additional volatility. Analysts project that the inflation data is likely to be disappointing. The market anticipates an increase in inflation of up to 0.2 percentage points compared to the prior report. Given the current stance of the Federal Reserve (Fed), higher inflation could pressure the dollar. Additionally, with U.S. President Donald Trump continuing to push for lower interest rates, the U.S. dollar could face more pressure, potentially supporting the euro. Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Olli Rehn stated on Tuesday that 'we will make decisions on a meeting-by-meeting basis'. As Rehn emphasised, it's essential to avoid complacency regarding inflation forecasts and focus on maintaining inflation expectations at the target level of 2%.
EURUSD remained flat at the beginning of the Asian trading session. Increased volatility is expected today due to the U.S. inflation report. EURUSD may break out of its current trading range and move in either direction. Based on expert expectations, the pair may break above the 1.14500 resistance level, followed by a move up to 1.15000.
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📊 Progressing U.S.–China negotiations weakens demand for gold
The gold price (XAU) declined on Tuesday afternoon as markets awaited the outcome of the second day of U.S.–China trade negotiations.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The U.S.–China negotiations in London continue today, with expectations of a potential trade deal between the world's two largest economies. The easing tensions followed the disruptions to global trade after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on most of the country's trading partners in April. The talks focus on easing export controls, according to the Wall Street Journal, with the U.S. seeking China to ease restrictions on the export of rare earth metals, while China hopes to secure assess advanced computer chips. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Tuesday that the negotiations are progressing well.
Investors seem to be taking profits after gold prices rose last week, driven by U.S. trade and tariff rhetorics, according to Benjamin Hoff, an analyst at Societe Generale. The pause in gold's rally is also attributed to stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data and the U.S. dollar's (USD) appreciation. These factors have weakened demand for the safe-haven asset, Hoff explains. Despite this, central banks will likely continue to purchase gold, as diversifying away from the U.S. dollar remains a priority for many countries. On the other hand, exchange-traded funds are far more sensitive to policy, trade, and geopolitical uncertainty, making gold flows more unpredictable, Hoff adds.
XAUUSD traded higher during Asian and early European trading hours, with the pair approaching the $3,345 resistance level. Today, May's U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released at 12:30 p.m. UTC. It is considered the most important economic release of the week. A higher-than-expected reading may pressure XAUUSD, while a softer print could support the metal and push it toward the $3,360–$3,390 range.
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🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
The gold price (XAU) declined on Tuesday afternoon as markets awaited the outcome of the second day of U.S.–China trade negotiations.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The U.S.–China negotiations in London continue today, with expectations of a potential trade deal between the world's two largest economies. The easing tensions followed the disruptions to global trade after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on most of the country's trading partners in April. The talks focus on easing export controls, according to the Wall Street Journal, with the U.S. seeking China to ease restrictions on the export of rare earth metals, while China hopes to secure assess advanced computer chips. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Tuesday that the negotiations are progressing well.
Investors seem to be taking profits after gold prices rose last week, driven by U.S. trade and tariff rhetorics, according to Benjamin Hoff, an analyst at Societe Generale. The pause in gold's rally is also attributed to stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data and the U.S. dollar's (USD) appreciation. These factors have weakened demand for the safe-haven asset, Hoff explains. Despite this, central banks will likely continue to purchase gold, as diversifying away from the U.S. dollar remains a priority for many countries. On the other hand, exchange-traded funds are far more sensitive to policy, trade, and geopolitical uncertainty, making gold flows more unpredictable, Hoff adds.
XAUUSD traded higher during Asian and early European trading hours, with the pair approaching the $3,345 resistance level. Today, May's U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released at 12:30 p.m. UTC. It is considered the most important economic release of the week. A higher-than-expected reading may pressure XAUUSD, while a softer print could support the metal and push it toward the $3,360–$3,390 range.
📲 More trading opportunities in our app
If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country:
🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH
BTCUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 109,627.01.
Set your stop loss at 109,041.89 below the previous low ($5.85 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 110,212.13 ($5.85 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
👉General outlook
BTCUSD has been trading in a sideways market within the last day.
👉Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 109,627.01.
Set your stop loss at 109,041.89 below the previous low ($5.85 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 110,212.13 ($5.85 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.
@octa_analytics
Most traders don't fail due to lack of strategy
They fail due to lack of psychological control.
Discipline, patience, and emotional regulation are what separate consistent performers from short-term survivors.
Keep your emotions under control and start your trading journey with @octa_analytics
They fail due to lack of psychological control.
Discipline, patience, and emotional regulation are what separate consistent performers from short-term survivors.
Keep your emotions under control and start your trading journey with @octa_analytics