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State of Emergency:
Israel has declared a nationwide state of emergency, closing schools and workspaces. Jordan, Iraq, and Iran have also closed their airspaces.
Global Markets: Global oil prices have spiked, with Brent crude reaching its highest levels since July 2025 due to fears of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.
Diplomatic Collapse: These strikes signal the total collapse of Omani-mediated nuclear negotiations that were reportedly making progress in Switzerland earlier this week.
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The News:
The U.S. and Israel have initiated a massive joint offensive, dubbed "Operation Epic Fury" and "Operation Roaring Lion." Strategic strikes hit Tehran, Isfahan, and Qom, specifically targeting high-level leadership compounds. Israeli Channel 14 has confirmed the failure of assassination attempts against Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian. Iran retaliated immediately with over 100 ballistic missiles and Shahed drones striking Israeli territory and U.S. assets in the Gulf, triggering a regional state of emergency and airspace closures.
Strategic Analysis:
This escalation marks the definitive end of "strategic patience" and the "gray zone" conflict. By attempting to decapitate the Iranian leadership, the U.S.-Israeli alliance has committed a terminal escalatory move. Historically, such "shock and awe" tactics against institutionalized revolutionary states fail to achieve collapse; instead, they consolidate internal resolve and expand the theater of operations. The failure to eliminate the political core of the Islamic Republic, despite utilizing peak Western intelligence assets, reveals a significant gap between Western tactical ambition and the reality of Iranian defensive capabilities.
The Position:
The rhetoric of "liberating" the Iranian people while bombing their cities is a discredited neo-conservative trope. This is not a surgical strike on a nuclear program; it is an existential war against a regional power. Iranβs decision to strike U.S. assets in Bahrain, Qatar, and the UAE signals the death of the "neutral host" concept. From a strategic standpoint, any state providing geography for American aggression is now an active combatant in a war that threatens to dismantle the global energy architecture.
Future Geopolitical Outlook:
1. Total Regional Mobilization: The official entry of the Iraqi Hezbollah Brigades and other Axis components suggests a multi-front attrition war designed to overstretch U.S. naval and air assets.
2. Economic Shockwaves: Brent crude will continue its vertical climb as the threat to the Strait of Hormuz transitions from theoretical to operational, likely forcing a global inflationary crisis.
3. The Death of Dialogue: The collapse of Omani-mediated talks signifies that the era of JCPOA-style diplomacy is over. The new regional order will be written in the theater of combat, not the halls of Switzerland.
#Iran #AxisOfResistance #Geopolitics #MiddleEastConflict #USForeignPolicy
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The Israeli army spokesperson, Avichay Adraee, posted a video on his "X" platform account stating: "With the start of Operation Roaring Lion, IDF forces remain deployed along the northern front with large, reinforced military forces to ensure the protection of our citizens first and always."
He added: "To those watching from across the border, we are taking into account the possibility of Hezbollah's involvement in this fighting, and our message here is clear: If you make this fatal mistake, our response will be powerful."
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A very violent explosion shakes the UAE now.
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Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has announced a major strike on a US early warning radar system stationed in Qatar.
The AN/FPS-132 (UEWR) radar β which has a range of 5,000 kilometers and is used for tracking ballistic missiles β was "completely destroyed," according to the IRGC.
π₯Iranian Shahed-136 drone appears to destroy US missile defense radar system in Bahrain, according to a social media video
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Hezbollah condemns the treacherous American-Israeli aggression that targeted the Islamic Republic of Iran after months of Zionist and American threats aimed at subjugating the Islamic Republic, forcing it to surrender, and stripping it of its natural and legitimate right to possess peaceful nuclear power and develop its defensive missile capabilities, like all other countries in the world.
This new aggression, which constitutes a flagrant violation of international law and the UN Charter, is a continuation of the approach of arrogance and hegemony practiced by the U.S. administration and the criminal Zionist entity in our region, in a desperate attempt to destabilize it, subjugate its peoples, and force them to accept projects of dominance and occupation.
What is happening today, following the failure of the twelve-day war launched by the Israeli enemy with direct American participation, confirms that the issue was never the nuclear program. Rather, it is the refusal to accept a strong state in the region that relies on itself, upholds its sovereignty and independent national decision-makingβa capable state that protects its resources, develops its capabilities, refuses to join the system of American dependency, supports free and oppressed peoples in the world, and stands as a formidable barrier against Zionist-American schemes in the region. Instead, they want weak, depleted entities that are easy to control and isolate in preparation for implementing their occupation and colonial plans.
This aggression will only increase the strength, resilience, steadfastness, and adherence of the Islamic Republic of Iran and its people to their legitimate rights. Over decades of blockade, threats, and attacks, Iran has proven to be a strong, established state resistant to surrender, backed by a proud people standing as one in defense of their dignity and sovereignty.
As Hezbollah declares its full solidarity with the leadership and people of the Islamic Republic of Iran, it calls upon the countries and peoples of the region to stand against this aggressive scheme and recognize its danger, as its dire consequences will affect everyone without exception if left without firm confrontation. We are confident that the American and Israeli enemy will receive a major blow and will reap nothing but failure from their tyrannical and criminal aggression.
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An urgent warning to those present in the Jey Industrial Estate in Isfahan, as shown on the map:
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During the past two months, a secret quartet met to plan "Operation Roaring Lion," and disclosure of the preparations was prohibited at that time.
The quartet included: the Prime Minister, the Minister of Defense, the Chief of Staff, and the Head of the Mossad; they were later joined by the heads of Aman (Military Intelligence) and Amats (Operations Directorate).
β’ Netanyahu was responsible for communication with the United States.
β’ Katz was responsible for accelerating readiness within the Israeli security apparatus.
β’ The American negotiations with Iran were considered a deception operation.
β’ The timing of the attack was moved forward for operational reasons.
β’ The primary goal in Israel: Overthrowing the Mullahs' regime.
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Joint US-Israel Offensive:
Israel and the United States launched a massive campaign codenamed "Operation Epic Fury" (U.S.) and "Operation Roaring Lion" (Israel). The operation is described by the Israeli military as being on a "completely different scale" than previous conflicts.
High-Intensity Strikes:
Over 200 fighter jets conducted extensive raids on roughly 500 objectives across 24 Iranian provinces. Targets included missile production arrays, air defense systems, and the Evin Prison.
Civilian Casualties:
Reports indicate significant loss of life, including a strike on a girls' school in Minab that killed at least 85 people. The Iranian Red Crescent reported a total of at least 201 people killed and 747 wounded in the initial waves.
Leadership Targeted:
Strikes hit high-profile locations in Tehran, including the compound of the Supreme Leader. Unconfirmed reports also suggest several senior figures and nuclear scientists were killed in the operations.
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The Brazilian government has condemned the recent military strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran, expressing grave concern regarding the heightening conflict.
Official statements emphasize that these attacks disrupt ongoing negotiations, which Brazil maintains is the only viable route to regional peace. The government urged all involved parties to exercise maximum restraint and adhere to international law to protect civilian lives.
Additionally, Brazilian diplomatic missions are monitoring the situation to ensure the safety of Brazilian citizens residing in the affected areas.
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βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: We extend our highest condolences and congratulations on the martyrdom of the lofty, God-centered scholar, the leader of the martyrs of the Islamic Revolution, Imam Ali Khamenei.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: We have lost a leader of immense stature, and we sit in mourning for a commander who was unique in his era in purity of spirit, strength of faith, sound judgment, and courage.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: His martyrdom at the hands of the most wretched terrorists and executioners of humanity is proof of the righteousness of this great leader and the acceptance of his sincere services.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Martyrdom in the path of Islam and beloved Iran is a sign of victory and closeness to the goal; however, the martyrdom of Imam Khamenei will not halt his path or legacy.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: This martyrdom will increase our peopleβs determination to continue the luminous path of the beloved Imam Khamenei.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: The terrorist crime committed by the malicious governments of the United States and the Zionist entity represents a violation of all standards.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: We have lost a leader of immense stature, and we sit in mourning for a commander who was unique in his era in purity of spirit, strength of faith, sound judgment, and courage.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: His martyrdom at the hands of the most wretched terrorists and executioners of humanity is proof of the righteousness of this great leader and the acceptance of his sincere services.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Martyrdom in the path of Islam and beloved Iran is a sign of victory and closeness to the goal; however, the martyrdom of Imam Khamenei will not halt his path or legacy.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: This martyrdom will increase our peopleβs determination to continue the luminous path of the beloved Imam Khamenei.
βοΈ Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: The terrorist crime committed by the malicious governments of the United States and the Zionist entity represents a violation of all standards.
π βKhamenei, one of the most evil figures in history, is dead.β
π βThis is not only justice for the Iranian people, but for all great Americans, and for all of Khameneiβs victims.β
π βHe was unable to escape our intelligence services and highly advanced tracking systems.β
π βIn close cooperation with Israel, there was nothing he β or the other leaders who were killed with him β could do.β
π βThis is the greatest opportunity for the Iranian people to reclaim their homeland.β
π βWe are hearing that many members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army, security forces, and other police forces no longer wish to fight and are seeking immunity from us.β
π βThey can receive immunity now; later, they will receive nothing but death.β
π βWe hope the Revolutionary Guard and the police will peacefully merge with Iranian patriots and work together as one team to restore the country to the greatness it deserves.β
π This process should begin soon, as it is not only Khamenei who has died; the country has been severely devastated β nearly annihilated β in just one day.
π βIntensive and precise bombing will continue uninterrupted throughout the week, or as long as necessary to achieve our goal of establishing peace across the Middle East β and indeed the entire world.β
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According to Principle 111 of the Constitution, In the event of the demise, resignation, or dismissal of the Leader, the Assembly of Experts is obliged to take action as soon as possible to appoint and introduce a new Leader.
Until the introduction of the Leader, a council consisting of the President, the Head of the Judiciary, and one of the jurists of the Guardian Council, selected by the Expediency Discernment Council, shall temporarily assume all duties of the Leader.
If, during this period, any one of them is unable to carry out their duties for any reason, another person shall be appointed in their place to the council by the selection of the Assembly of Experts, maintaining the majority of jurists.
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