🔴47 Years of the Islamic Revolution: When “Allahu Akbar” Becomes Deterrence Under Siege

📄Introduction

💳On the 47th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, millions filled Iran’s streets—not as ceremony, but as strategy. This year’s commemoration arrives after a recent 12-day confrontation with Israel, amid sustained U.S. threats and regional mobilizations that are reshaping power. The message is unambiguous: this is a revolution that learned how to survive, deter, and negotiate without surrender.

🔴 Crowds as Policy

🔘Mass participation—alongside diplomatic presence—signals continuity under pressure. After decades of sanctions and hybrid warfare, public mobilization functions as political consent for sovereignty.

🔴 Negotiation Without Illusions

🔘Tehran signaled readiness to discuss enrichment levels and stockpile quantities—not the right to enrichment, not sovereign capabilities. Acknowledging deep distrust with Washington is realism, not weakness. Talks are conflict management, not capitulation.

🔴 Deterrence Reset

🔘Ali Larijani’s message was blunt: Israeli ambitions met Iranian deterrence and were forced back to reality. What changed is cost. Asymmetric deterrence works by making escalation unpredictable and expensive.

🔴 War Beyond Geography

🔘Ali Shamkhani framed the stakes: escalation won’t stay local. This region anchors global energy flows; shocks ripple worldwide. Pairing negotiations with threats is a known U.S. tactic—but missile capabilities are off the table.

🔴 “Allahu Akbar” as Action

🔘As articulated by Ayatollah Khamenei, the chant is not nostalgia—it’s a declaration against idols of power and money. Symbolic coffins carried in marches sent a political signal without a single shot: impunity has an expiry date.

📌Conclusion

🔘At 47, the Revolution isn’t remembering—it’s operating. Iran negotiates while fortified, celebrates while sanctioned, and deters while targeted. That is resistance as a system: military, political, and economic—surviving pressure and resetting balance.

Tags:
#IslamicRevolution #Iran #AxisOfResistance #Deterrence #Sovereignty #Sanctions #EnergyPolitics

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🔴The Crying Boy Has a Name Now

✍️By a Lebanese Mother
🤔For The Observer / Al-Muraqeb

💳For decades, many Lebanese households carried a silent witness on their walls: The Crying Boy by Giovanni Bragolin. A child frozen in grief, eyes heavy with sorrow older than his years. We grew up with that image without knowing why it unsettled us so deeply. Perhaps because, even then, we recognized ourselves in it.

✌Today, the Crying Boy has a name.

🔽Ali Hassan Jaber.

🫶Ali was from Yanouh, a town in southern Lebanon long familiar with the language of drones and funerals. Three days ago, an Israeli drone ended his life—alongside his father and another man—without warning, without accountability, without consequence. The news cycle moved on quickly. We did not.

✌This was not an isolated act. It was a continuation of a doctrine that treats Lebanese lives as expendable and childhood as negotiable. The same doctrine that has for decades violated our airspace, destroyed our villages, assassinated our leaders, and then demanded that we explain our grief politely to the world.

👌Ali’s face—circulated briefly on screens before being buried under the next headline—forces a confrontation the international community has long avoided: how many children must die before Israeli violence is named for what it is?

🫶As a Lebanese mother, I do not experience this loss as abstract geopolitics. I experience it viscerally. In my body. In the fear that tightens when planes pass overhead. In the memory of other boys, other names, other photographs that once looked just like Ali’s.

✌This grief arrives at a moment when Lebanon itself is absorbing profound political loss. The absence of figures like Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah is not merely strategic; it is symbolic. For many in the South, he represented continuity, deterrence, and the assurance that our dead were not forgotten, that their names carried weight beyond the grave.

👌Israel understands this. That is why its violence targets not only bodies, but symbols. Not only fighters, but fathers. Not only resistance figures, but children. The message is clear: break the chain of memory, and the future will fracture.

🔘But history tells a different story.

👍In Lebanon—and across this region—memory does not dissolve. It accumulates. It hardens into political consciousness. Ali’s death will not produce submission; it will produce questions. Awareness. Refusal. A generation that understands early who benefits from their silence and who fears their remembrance.

🌕Bragolin’s Crying Boy once represented an unnamed sadness. Ali Hassan Jaber represents a documented crime. And between the two lies a truth Israel and its allies have never been able to erase: every child killed under occupation becomes an indictment that time does not absolve.

📄Today, children across Lebanon, Palestine, and beyond are crying for Ali. Not only in grief, but in recognition. And those tears—unseen by drones, ignored by diplomats—are shaping a future no missile can fully control.

🌕Ali’s life was short.
But his name has entered history.

📌And history, in this region, does not forget because between us and them lie mountains of corpses, rivers of hatred, and blood—and more blood—and more blood—and a long vengeance…
They raised hatred so that the virtue of vengeance might be revealed to us. Remember the faces, and exact vengeance well.

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🔴 The Great Satan Mobilizes: Resistance Prepares to Crush Aggression


The US occupation forces are desperately fortifying their positions across the region as the Axis of Resistance stands ready to respond to any Zionist-American folly. Satellite imagery confirms the heavy deployment of American hardware, signaling a failed attempt at intimidation.


🇺🇸 The American Aggressor: Panic in the Bases

The US has turned regional capitals into forward operating bases for imperialism. Their current deployments reveal a fear of Iranian retaliatory capabilities:

• Occupied Qatar: A massive concentration of KC-135 tankers and C-17s to facilitate long-range aggression, alongside 10 Patriot systems mounted on mobile trucks—a clear sign they fear their fixed positions are no longer safe from Resistance precision strikes.

• Jordan: Transformed into a launchpad for F-15E strike aircraft and A-10s, directly threatening regional sovereignty.

• Saudi Arabia, Oman, & Diego Garcia: Strategic airlifters and electronic warfare assets are being shuffled as the Pentagon realizes its presence is increasingly untenable.


🇮🇷 Islamic Republic of Iran: The Shield of the Oppressed

In contrast to the frantic movements of the occupiers, the Islamic Republic maintains a posture of disciplined, overwhelming strength:

• Impregnable Fortresses: Underground "Missile Cities" near Tehran, Kermanshah, and the Gulf coast are on maximum alert. Readiness levels now exceed those of previous confrontations with the Zionist entity.

• Replenished Arsenals: Following the summer battles, missile stocks have been fully restored. The IRGC and regular army units are prepared to rain fire on any source of aggression.

• Naval Dominance: The drone carrier IRIS Shahid Bagheri is patrolling the strategic waters of the Persian Gulf, asserting Islamic sovereignty over the maritime corridors.

• Technological Superiority: Iranian forces have reportedly deployed Tirada-2S electronic warfare systems. These are capable of blinding American satellite networks and neutralizing the Starlink infrastructure used by Western intelligence.

The era of "hit and run" is over. Any American or Zionist miscalculation will be met with a decisive, crushing response.

🚀 Victory to the Resistance.

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🔴 Field Developments: Ongoing Occupation Violations of the Ceasefire Agreement


Zionist enemy forces continue their daily and systematic violations of Lebanese sovereignty. The past few hours have recorded a series of blatant aggressions across the eastern, central, and western sectors:

• Kafr Kila: Enemy forces reached the "Al-Nouriyah neighborhood" in the center of the town at dawn, detonating a residential building.

• Odaisseh:
Occupation forces carried out an incursion on the outskirts of the town near Wadi Hunin, detonating two buildings and destroying them completely.

• Alma al-Shaab: The outskirts of the town were targeted by heavy machine-gun fire originating from a newly established enemy position inside Lebanese territory in the "Labbouneh" area.

• Ayta al-Shab: An enemy drone dropped two sound bombs over the town's neighborhoods to terrorize civilians.

These field movements prove that the enemy does not adhere to any understandings and is persisting in a scorched-earth policy and direct aggression against
border villages.

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🔴 Major Military Escalation: Russian Missiles Strike Kyiv as Ukrainian Drones Hit Deep Inside Russia


The early hours of Thursday, February 12, 2026, witnessed one of the most intense military escalations in months. Russian forces launched a massive ballistic missile strike targeting the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, and the city of Dnipro, while Ukraine retaliated with strikes on military facilities deep inside Russian territory.

📉 Field Report: Reciprocal Strikes and Fires in Volgograd
• The Capital, Kyiv: Subjected to a "massive" ballistic missile attack targeting infrastructure and residential areas. Mayor Vitali Klitschko announced that the assault continued into the early morning, urging residents to remain in shelters as air raid alerts persisted.

• Inside Russia: Moscow reported a large fire at a Ministry of Defense facility in the Volgograd region (near the village of Kotluban) following a Ukrainian drone attack. Nearby villages were evacuated due to the risk of explosions. Additionally, another attack targeted the "Progress" factory in the Tambov region.

🕊️ Political Track: Negotiations Under Fire

This escalation comes at a sensitive time during strained diplomatic efforts:

• Abu Dhabi Talks: A second round of US-mediated negotiations has begun in the UAE. Despite a successful prisoner swap last week, both sides are trading accusations of attempting to undermine peace prospects through military escalation.

• Zelenskyy’s Demands: The Ukrainian President has called for a definitive timeline for Ukraine's accession to the European Union as an integral part of any future peace agreement.

📊 Human Toll (UN Report)
The latest report from the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU) revealed staggering figures:

• 15,000 Ukrainian civilians killed since the invasion began in 2022.

• 2025 was the deadliest year of the conflict so far, with over 2,500 civilians killed in that year alone.

The situation remains critical over the Ukrainian capital as air raid sirens continue to sound.


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🔴 The Epstein Doctrine: Who Really Writes Israel’s National Security Policy?


The latest email leaks confirm a disturbing reality: Jeffrey Epstein, a convicted sex offender, was not just a socialite friend to the Zionist elite—he was a ghostwriter for their leadership. In 2012, Epstein was actively drafting political talking points for then-Defense Minister Ehud Barak.

The "transmission" was seamless: Epstein sent the messaging, Barak’s wife confirmed receipt, and Barak promptly appeared on CNN to parrot the script. This isn't just a scandal of personal association; it is a profound indictment of the Zionist security establishment. When the person responsible for "defense" is taking cues from a global predator, it exposes the moral rot and external dependencies that define the entity's foreign policy. The "only democracy in the Middle East" appears to be a playground where international criminals shape the narrative for a global audience.

🤡 Breaking: IDF’s New "Special Advisor" Unit Revealed

It turns out you don't need a military background to influence the "most moral army in the world"—you just need a private island and a contact list of billionaires! 🏝️
New leaks show that Ehud Barak didn't need a cabinet meeting to prep for CNN; he just needed a quick email from Jeffrey Epstein. While the world was told these "defense experts" were master strategists, they were actually just checking their inboxes for talking points from a convicted pedophile.

The standard operating procedure:

1. Epstein writes the script. ✍️
2. The wife "transmits" the message. 📲
3. The Defense Minister goes on TV to look "statesmanlike." 🎭

It gives a whole new meaning to "international cooperation." Next time you hear a Zionist official talking about "shared values" with the West, just remember who was drafting the speeches. Apparently, the "Iron Dome" doesn't protect against leaked emails!

#ZionistScandals #EpsteinFiles #EhudBarak #MoralRot


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🔴Turkey bares its teeth toward Mosul through the Sinjar gateway

In controversial remarks, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said that the PKK file in Iraq would be the “next stage” after Syria, claiming the group “occupies vast areas of Iraqi territory” and questioning the meaning of sovereignty under such conditions.

Fidan explicitly referred to Sinjar, Makhmour, and Qandil, stating that these areas would witness “changes in the not-too-distant future.” He urged Baghdad to “draw lessons from what happened in Syria” and to take “wiser decisions” to ease what he described as a transitional phase.

Latest updates:

. Increased Military Pressure:Turkey is actively constructing a new supply road through the Reshava Valley at the foot of Metin Mountain in Duhok province, enhancing its ability to move troops and equipment between military outposts in the region

.Shifting Security Strategy: While Turkey and Iraq signed a Memorandum of Understanding in 2024 to coordinate on security and the PKK, Turkey is now pressing for more concrete, immediate action from Baghdad to remove the PKK from areas like Sinjar, arguing that previous efforts have been largely rhetorical.

• Yesterday, the Iraqi Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned the Turkish ambassador in Baghdad over these statements.

• Baghdad viewed the remarks as interference in Iraq’s internal affairs and a violation of its sovereignty.

• The statements have raised political and security tensions, with expectations of a firmer Iraqi response in the coming hours.

📌 Context of Regional Instability:The push is unfolding against a backdrop of wider regional instability, including the fallout from the Israel-Gaza conflict and changing power dynamics in Syria. 

The situation points toward potential diplomatic escalation and increased Turkish security pressure in northern Iraq.

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🔴Breaking | UNRWA Chief in Doha: Targeting the Agency Is an Assault on the Right of Return

Philippe Lazzarini, Commissioner-General of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA), stated that there is a deliberate effort to eliminate any serious international discussion on the Palestinian refugees’ right of return, warning that the agency is facing unprecedented political pressure translated into a suffocating financial crisis.

Speaking to the media during his visit to Doha, Lazzarini said the trip is focused on securing urgent political and financial support to ensure UNRWA’s continued operations amid escalating attacks on its mandate.

He stressed that UNRWA will continue to draw global attention to the crimes and violations committed in Gaza, warning that abandoning the agency would create a massive humanitarian vacuum, especially given the absence of effective Palestinian institutions capable of replacing its role.

Lazzarini also warned of a “silent war” unfolding in the West Bank, marked by systematic impunity, and revealed that Israeli measures are actively obstructing UNRWA’s ability to function effectively in the occupied Palestinian territory.

Remark:
Once again, this situation exposes the United Nations’ chronic inability to enforce justice or uphold international law—documenting violations without accountability, while humanitarian institutions are left vulnerable to political coercion and occupied populations remain unprotected.


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🤔No Deal, No Direction: Washington Hesitates Before Tehran


News:
The meeting between US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Washington ended without any agreement or clear strategy on Iran. Trump limited his remarks to saying that he “insisted on continuing negotiations” with Tehran, describing a deal as the “preferred option,” without offering commitments or a timetable.

The closed-door meeting, which lasted more than two and a half hours, followed indirect US–Iran talks in Oman that were described as “constructive.” Yet it exposed a deep rift between Washington’s hesitant posture and Israel’s escalatory demands, which seek to expand any agreement to include Iran’s ballistic missile program and its support for resistance forces in the region.

At the same time, the United States continues a major military buildup across the region—deploying aircraft carriers, destroyers, and air reinforcements—in a clear attempt at political and military coercion at the negotiating table.

How the Axis of Resistance Reads the Scene:

What unfolded is not a minor negotiating setback, but a strategic American–Israeli impasse. Washington knows Netanyahu’s conditions are unattainable and understands that today’s Iran is not the Iran of the past: entrenched regional influence, accumulated deterrent capabilities, and allies prepared to respond to any reckless escalation.

The renewed threat of force no longer functions as leverage; it has become evidence of weakness. The US negotiates out of fear of a regional explosion, not from a position of dominance. Meanwhile, the Axis of Resistance once again affirms that sovereign files—nuclear and missile capabilities—are non-negotiable red lines.


Geopolitical Forecasts:
• Continued performative negotiations with no real breakthrough, alongside calibrated military and media escalation.
• US military deployments will serve as deterrence theater, not genuine preparation for a full-scale war, due to the high cost of confrontation.
• Israeli pressure on Washington will intensify, while America’s ability to impose terms continues to erode.
• If diplomacy collapses, the region will remain on the edge of a controlled confrontation, where the Axis of Resistance holds the initiative in deterrence—not provocation.

Bottom line:

No deal can be imposed on Iran by force, and no war can be launched without consequence. This meeting confirms that the era of diktats is over, and that the regional balance of deterrence is now an inescapable reality.


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🔴info|#OnThisDay in 2008, Imad Mughniyeh 🇱🇧

🔘was assassinated in Damascus in a joint CIA–Mossad operation.

🤔For more than twenty years, he remained a shadow figure of the resistance—one Washington and Tel Aviv repeatedly failed to neutralize, despite relentless pursuit.

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🔴 Dangerous Provocation: Settlement Ambitions Breach the Lebanese Border

The extremist agenda of the Israeli settlement movement is no longer confined to the West Bank; it is now eyeing South Lebanon. In a calculated breach, activists from the "Awaken the North" movement crossed the border near Yaroun, entering Lebanese territory to plant trees—a symbolic and hostile act of "claiming" land.

While the IDF claims to have intervened and detained the individuals, the incident reveals a growing, unchecked radicalism that seeks to "renew Jewish settlement in Lebanon." These actions are not merely "civilian stunts"; they are direct violations of sovereignty designed to ignite an already volatile frontier.

The silence or inability of the Israeli state to suppress these movements from the start suggests a dangerous expansionist trajectory that risks dragging the entire region into a total conflagration.

#Lebanon #SouthLebanon #Sovereignty #Settlements #Provocation #IDF #Hezbollah #MiddleEast

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🔴 Brinkmanship or Bluster? Trump Signals New Naval Escalation

The Trump administration is doubling down on its "maximum pressure" tactics, moving from verbal threats to concrete military posturing. By resharing the Wall Street Journal report on the potential deployment of a second aircraft carrier strike group, Trump is intentionally signaling that a military strike is a live option if negotiations fail.

The Pentagon is reportedly readying the USS George H.W. Bush to join the USS Abraham Lincoln already stationed near Iran. This "armada" strategy is a transparent attempt to leverage military intimidation during active diplomacy.

However, critics argue this repetitive saber-rattling risks a miscalculation—reminding the region of "Operation Midnight Hammer" while pushing Tehran toward a corner where escalation becomes the only perceived defense.

#USA #Iran #Trump #Pentagon #MilitaryBuildUp #CarrierStrikeGroup #MiddleEast #Geopolitics

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🔴 The Crumbling Order – Munich’s Warning

President Trump’s headline-grabbing attacks on allies are just noise compared to the deeper tremors shaking the global order. At the Munich Security Conference, Germany’s Chancellor bluntly declared: “The international order no longer exists.”

The shift is unmistakable: the world is edging back toward China, not out of WTO optimism like in 2001, but out of disillusionment with the United States. Public opinion reflects this rupture—71% of Germans now see Washington as an adversary.

The empire isn’t just losing friends; it’s losing the narrative.

#MunichSecurityConference #Geopolitics #USDecline #ChinaRise #Observer #AlMuraqeb

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🔴Two Carriers, One Message – War on the Horizon


📢 News: The U.S. has deployed a second aircraft carrier, the USS Gerald R. Ford, to the Middle East, joining the USS Abraham Lincoln. President Trump is ramping up pressure on Iran to finalize a nuclear deal, amid growing fears of regional war.

⚡ Analysis: This is not “diplomacy”—it is intimidation by steel and firepower. Each carrier carries more than 70 warplanes, turning the Gulf into a launchpad for escalation. Washington’s playbook is familiar: threaten, provoke, and gamble with the lives of millions.

History remembers Iraq and Afghanistan as graveyards of empire. Now, with two carriers parked off Iran’s shores, the question is not whether the U.S. wants war—it is whether it can survive another one.

#MiddleEast #USWarMachine #Iran #AxisOfResistance #TheObserver #AlMuraqeb

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🔴From Syria to Iraq – Chains of Custody, Chains of Empire


📢 News: The U.S. military has completed the transfer of over 5,700 ISIS detainees from Syria to Iraqi custody. Washington frames this as “reducing its footprint” in Syria while preventing a resurgence of the group.

⚡ Analysis: Let’s be clear—this is not about justice, it’s about control. By shifting thousands of detainees into Iraq’s prisons, the U.S. exports instability while pretending to exit. These prisons have already been breeding grounds for ISIS in the past—Camp Bucca gave birth to Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

History repeats: Washington creates monsters, then claims to fight them, while Arab lands pay the price. The “transfer” is less about ending ISIS than about keeping the region chained to American security logic.

The empire doesn’t leave; it rearranges its cages.

#ISIS #USWarMachine #Iraq #Syria #AxisOfResistance #TheObserver #AlMuraqeb

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🔻 Politics & Diplomacy


📢 News Roundup:

• Reports suggest President Trump is preparing a reconstruction fund and stabilization force for Gaza.
• At the Munich Security Conference, debates on the collapsing global order continue.
• In Bangladesh, the Nationalist Party claims victory in recent elections.
• A UK High Court ruling declared the classification of Palestine Action as a terror group unlawful.


⚡ Analysis:
The empire dresses its interventions in the language of “reconstruction” and “stabilization,” but Gaza knows too well that funds tied to Washington come with chains. Munich’s debates confirm what leaders admit quietly: the “international order” is fractured, and the U.S. grip is slipping.

Meanwhile, Bangladesh’s contested elections remind us how fragile democracy becomes under external pressure. And in London, the High Court’s ruling exposes the hypocrisy of labeling resistance as “terrorism” while shielding arms dealers.

Politics and diplomacy today are not about peace—they are about who controls the narrative, and who refuses to be silenced.

#PoliticsAndDiplomacy #Gaza #MunichSecurityConference #Bangladesh #PalestineAction #TheObserver #AlMuraqeb

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🔴 Fire Over Ukraine

📢 News: Russia has unleashed one of its largest renewed barrages against Ukraine this February. According to Ukraine’s Air Force, Moscow fired 11 ballistic missiles and 149 drones overnight, striking cities from Odesa in the south to Chernihiv in the north. At least 4 civilians were killed, including a woman and her 10-year-old son in Bohodukhiv (Kharkiv region), and a 71-year-old man in Chernihiv. Energy facilities in Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Donetsk were also hit, deepening nationwide blackouts.

⚡ Analysis: Washington talks of “peace talks” while Moscow spends $325 million in a single night of destruction. Strategic bombers—Tu-95MS, Tu-160, Tu-22M3—and cruise missiles like Kalibr and Kh-101 were used to cripple Ukraine’s power grid. This is not negotiation; it is coercion through fire.

Munich’s conference debates “global order,” but the order is already visible: empires bomb, civilians die, and courts in London rule that resistance groups like Palestine Action cannot be silenced by terror labels. The hypocrisy is global, the violence local.

#PoliticsAndDiplomacy #UkraineWar #Russia #USPeaceTalks #MunichSecurityConference #PalestineAction #TheObserver #AlMuraqeb

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🔴Epstein’s Shadow in Dubai

📢 News: Dubai’s global logistics giant DP World has replaced its longtime chief, Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, after revelations of his ties to Jeffrey Epstein. On Friday, the Dubai government announced Essa Kazim as the new chair and Yuvraj Narayan as chief executive—both roles previously held by Sulayem. The statement notably avoided mentioning Sulayem’s name, while investigative reports detail his history of connections with Epstein.

⚡ Analysis: This is not just a corporate reshuffle—it is damage control. DP World, which manages ports from Jebel Ali in Dubai to terminals across Europe, Asia, and Africa, is a pillar of the UAE’s global influence. The quiet removal of Sulayem, without acknowledgment, signals how deeply reputational risk is feared when Epstein’s name surfaces.

History teaches us: empires fall not only by wars but by scandals. The logistics empire that moves global trade now finds itself entangled in the same web of corruption and exploitation that Epstein represented. The silence in the official statement speaks louder than words—power protects itself, but shadows remain.

#PoliticsAndDiplomacy #DPWorld #Dubai #EpsteinTies #GlobalTrade #TheObserver #AlMuraqeb

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🔴 Vision in Darkness

📢 News: Kasim Khan, son of former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan, revealed that his father has lost most of the vision in his right eye—only 15% remains—after 922 days in solitary confinement. He blamed Pakistan’s ruling authorities and the army chief for the condition, noting that family members are being denied visas to visit. Kasim called on international bodies to intervene. Pakistani authorities have not publicly responded.

⚡ Analysis: This is not just about one man’s health—it is about the deliberate breaking of political opposition through isolation. 922 days is not confinement, it is slow-motion torture. Denying medical care and family access is a calculated strategy to erase a leader who mobilized millions.

History remembers how regimes silence opponents: from Zulfikar Ali Bhutto’s execution to Nawaz Sharif’s exile. Today, Imran Khan’s fading vision is a metaphor for a system that fears scrutiny. The silence of authorities is not neutrality—it is complicity.

The resistance lens is clear: when rulers blind their opponents, they reveal their own fear of being seen.

#PoliticsAndDiplomacy #ImranKhan #Pakistan #SolitaryConfinement #AxisOfResistance #TheObserver #AlMuraqeb

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🔴The Global Legion: Dual Citizens as the IDF’s Backbone

News :

Yedioth Ahronoth has disclosed unprecedented data from the Israeli military regarding the international composition of its forces. According to the report, 50,632 soldiers currently serving in the IDF hold dual or multiple citizenships. This data, released following transparency petitions, provides a surgical look at how a "national" army is increasingly reliant on a globalized manpower pool.

Information & Data

The figures confirm that the IDF is effectively a "Global Legion," drawing from dozens of nations:
• Total Dual/Multi-Nationals: 50,632 (Approx. 47,107 enlisted during the current conflict).
• Top Contributors:
1. USA: 13,342 soldiers.
2. France: 6,464 soldiers.
3. Russia: 5,169 soldiers.
4. Germany: 4,193 soldiers.
5. UK: 2,069 soldiers.
• Critical Shortage:

The disclosure comes as the IDF faces a deficit of 10,000 soldiers and a 37% drop in officer retention rates compared to 2018.

Analysis:

1. Sovereignty for Sale: The inclusion of over 50,000 foreign nationals complicates the "sovereign defense" narrative. It frames the conflict not as a regional dispute, but as a project supported by a global mercenary-style diaspora.

2. Legal Liability: These numbers are a ticking time bomb for Western capitals. Countries like South Africa have already threatened to arrest dual nationals returning from service. Under the UK’s Foreign Enlistment Act of 1870, service in a foreign war can lead to prosecution—a threshold many legal experts believe has now been met.

3. Strategic Fragility: Relying on dual nationals exposes the IDF to the domestic politics of other nations. If France or the US face internal pressure to recall or restrict their citizens' service, Israel’s frontline stability would face an immediate manpower collapse.

#TheObserver #Geopolitics #IDF #DualCitizenship #WarCrimes #ManpowerCrisis

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🔴The Briefing: Global Brinkmanship and Power Shifts


US-Iran: The Drums of War

Trump is no longer just talking "maximum pressure"; he is positioning for a kinetic climax. With two aircraft carriers now stalking the Persian Gulf and the Pentagon drafting plans for a "weeks-long" sustained bombardment, the narrative has shifted from deterrence to active regime change. Tehran’s threats of retaliation are the only thing keeping the regional powder keg from exploding today.


Munich: The Rubio Doctrine

At the MSC, Secretary Marco Rubio isn't just asking for European cooperation; he’s demanding it. The "new Western agenda" is a polite term for American-led hawkishness. While Starmer talks "High North" patrols, the reality is clear: the U.S. is testing whether its allies have the stomach for a multi-front confrontation with Russia, China, and Iran simultaneously.


China-Taiwan: Red Lines in Munich

Wang Yi’s warning to Washington wasn't a diplomatic suggestion—it was an ultimatum. By framing U.S. support for Taiwan as "plotting," Beijing is signaling that the era of "strategic ambiguity" is over. The risk of a direct military confrontation in the Pacific is at its highest in decades as Beijing refuses to tolerate Western interference in what it deems domestic sovereignty.


Russia-Ukraine: NATO’s Arctic Pivot

Zelenskyy’s desperate plea for speed is meeting a NATO that is increasingly focused on its own borders. The UK’s deployment of the HMS Prince of Wales to the North Atlantic isn't just about Ukraine; it’s about protecting the "High North" from Russian expansionism. The message: Europe is finally waking up to the fact that the Russian threat isn't confined to Donbas.


Bangladesh: The Return of the BNP

A landslide victory for the BNP marks the end of the Hasina era and the start of the Tarique Rahman premiership. With 212 seats, Rahman has a mandate for radical reform, but he inherits a nation on edge. The high turnout suggests a public hungry for change, but the real test will be whether this "new chapter" can avoid the cycle of political vengeance that has defined Dhaka for decades.


#GlobalSecurity #Trump #IranEscalation #MunichSecurityConference #ChinaTaiwan #UkraineWar #BangladeshElection #TariqueRahman

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