🔴The Illusion of Calm: Gaza’s "Ceasefire" is a Slow-Motion Massacre

The Ministry of Health in Gaza has released a staggering update on the cost of the so-called "ceasefire" active since October 2025. While the international community congratulates itself on "de-escalation," the reality on the ground tells a story of systematic attrition.

The Figures of Betrayal:

• 586 Martyrs killed since the ceasefire began.
• 1,558 Wounded during the period of "calm."
• 717 Bodies retrieved from the rubble as search operations continue amidst the ruins.
• Total Genocide Toll: The cumulative number of martyrs since October 7, 2023, has now surpassed 72,037, with over 171,666 injured.
Strategic Insight:

This is not a ceasefire; it is a tactical reconfiguration of the aggression. By maintaining a steady trickle of blood—shooting farmers, targeting tents, and drone-striking individuals—the occupation seeks to normalize death without triggering a total regional explosion.

Washington provides the diplomatic cover, while the occupation forces continue to "mop up" the population they failed to break in open combat.

The Bottom Line:

History proves that the Zionist entity uses truces not to build peace, but to refine its targets. For the people of Gaza, there is no "post-war" reality; there is only a struggle for survival against a predator that never stopped firing.

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🔴The Illusion of Calm: Gaza’s "Ceasefire" is a Slow-Motion Massacre

The Ministry of Health in Gaza has released a staggering update on the cost of the so-called "ceasefire" active since October 2025. While the international community congratulates itself on "de-escalation," the reality on the ground tells a story of systematic attrition.

The Figures of Betrayal:

• 586 Martyrs killed since the ceasefire began.
• 1,558 Wounded during the period of "calm."
• 717 Bodies retrieved from the rubble as search operations continue amidst the ruins.
• Total Genocide Toll: The cumulative number of martyrs since October 7, 2023, has now surpassed 72,037, with over 171,666 injured.
Strategic Insight:

This is not a ceasefire; it is a tactical reconfiguration of the aggression. By maintaining a steady trickle of blood—shooting farmers, targeting tents, and drone-striking individuals—the occupation seeks to normalize death without triggering a total regional explosion.

Washington provides the diplomatic cover, while the occupation forces continue to "mop up" the population they failed to break in open combat.

The Bottom Line:

History proves that the Zionist entity uses truces not to build peace, but to refine its targets. For the people of Gaza, there is no "post-war" reality; there is only a struggle for survival against a predator that never stopped firing.


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🔴Exposed: China’s Satellites Peel Back the Pentagon’s "Ring of Steel" in Jordan

High-resolution satellite imagery released by Chinese intelligence-linked sources (MizarVision/Global Times) confirms that the United States has fully deployed Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) batteries at strategic locations in Jordan, specifically bolstering Muwaffaq Salti Air Base. This follows the arrival of dozens of F-15E Strike Eagles and significant logistics surges in the region.

Intelligence Perspective & Significance:

• The End of Ambiguity: By releasing these images, Beijing is sending a clear signal to Washington: Your "invisible" deployments are transparent. This is a display of China’s growing space-based intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities, proving they can track high-value US strategic assets in real-time.

• The Shield for the Strike: The THAAD is an exoatmospheric interceptor designed to stop intermediate-range ballistic missiles. Its presence in Jordan isn't "defensive"—it is the necessary precursor for a US-Israeli offensive. It is designed to catch the inevitable retaliatory strikes from the Axis of Resistance, acting as a shield for the "Strike Eagles" stationed nearby.

• A "Pawn" Re-confirmed: For the Arab audience, this confirms that Jordanian soil has been fully integrated into the CENTCOM war machine, serving as a frontline launchpad against regional sovereignty under the guise of "protection."

Why China is Showing This:

1. Strategic Deterrence: Beijing is demonstrating that US military movements are "open-source targets."

2. Supporting Allies: By exposing the exact locations of these batteries, China is indirectly providing the Axis of Resistance with the tactical data needed to calculate the "balance of terror."

3. The "Pandora's Box": China’s assessment suggests that Washington is preparing for a multi-front conflict, and Beijing intends to ensure the world knows exactly who is escalating.

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🔴The "Scraping of the Barrel": Israel Forces its Teachers into the Trenches

For the first time since the 1970s, the IOF has announced the formation of a new "maneuver division"—Division 38. Unlike traditional divisions, this unit is being cannibalized from the Ground Forces' entire training apparatus. It will be commanded by Brig. Gen. Sharon Altit and will integrate the officer school (Bahad 1), infantry, armor, artillery, and engineering schools into a single combat structure.

Intelligence & Military Perspective:

• A Crisis of Manpower: The creation of Division 38 is an admission of exhaustion. For decades, training schools were the "holy of holies," kept separate to ensure the next generation of soldiers. By turning these schools into a maneuver division, the IOF is effectively consuming its seed corn to plug holes in its depleted ranks.

• The Return to "Mass": Since the 1970s, Israel focused on "Regional Divisions" (static defense) and tech-superiority. The shift back to "Maneuver Divisions" indicates that the Axis of Resistance has forced the enemy back into a high-attrition, large-scale ground war—a scenario the IOF spent 40 years trying to avoid.

• Structural Fragility: Deploying training instructors and cadets as a frontline division is a high-risk gamble. If Division 38 takes heavy casualties, the IOF loses not just soldiers, but its entire pedagogical backbone. This is "Total War" logic, usually reserved for regimes facing existential collapse.

Why the Media Blitz Now?

• Domestic Reassurance: The Israeli public is reeling from a massive "personnel deficit" and the failure of reserve calls. The announcement is a PR move to signal that the army is "expanding" and "adapting," when in reality, it is merely reorganizing existing, overstretched assets.

• Psychological Signaling: By invoking the number "38"—Ariel Sharon’s historic division—they are attempting to manufacture a narrative of "offensive spirit" to mask the reality of a military that is structurally fatigued.


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🔴Epstein was not a “lone predator.” He was a junction.

Newly released Epstein emails (2026) expose direct links to UAE-connected elites and diplomats — after his 2008 conviction.

What the files show:

▪️ Aziza Al-Ahmadi — UAE-based businesswoman — coordinated the 2017 shipment of three pieces of the Kaaba’s Kiswah to Epstein’s Florida residence, falsely labeled as “artwork.”

▪️ Abdullah Al-Maari — UAE-linked contact — handled logistics for the Kiswah transfer.

▪️ Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, CEO of DP World — maintained correspondence with Epstein, including discussions about “sampling a fresh 100% female Russian,” and was photographed with Epstein examining a Kiswah piece.

▪️ Hind Al-Owais, UAE diplomat — exchanged emails with Epstein in 2011–2012 about arranging meetings with underaged girls and her sister .

This wasn’t charity.
This wasn’t coincidence.
This was access, silence, and leverage.

A convicted sex offender was gifted Islamic sacred cloth, courted by port czars, and engaged by diplomats to traffic girls — while the West called him “reformed.”

Epstein was infrastructure.
Compromise was the currency.
Power was the client.

History isn’t asking who flew the plane.
It’s asking who protected the runway.


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🔴Sheikh Naim Qassem: Lebanon Will Never Be a Gateway for Zionist Ambitions or Hegemony

During the memorial service for the veteran Jihadist leader Hajj Ali Hassan Salhab (Hajj Malik) in Brital, the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Sheikh Naim Qassem, delivered a definitive speech addressing the Resistance's status and the regional struggle.

Key Highlights:

* The Resilience of the Resistance: Sheikh Qassem emphasized that the blows dealt to the Resistance—from the pager attacks to the martyrdom of the Great Leaders (Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and Sayyed Abbas al-Musawi)—were enough to topple entire states. Yet, the Resistance remains steadfast and "heads held high."

* A Message to the Domestic Front & the West:

* Lebanon’s strength lies in the Army-People-Resistance equation.

* The Resistance is a legitimate pillar of national defense, explicitly supported by the spirit of the Taif Agreement regarding the liberation of Lebanese land.

* Attempts to disarm the Resistance are a primary Zionist-American objective; Lebanon will not be weakened to serve foreign interests.

* The Decline of the "Cancerous Gland":

The "Israeli" entity is currently at its weakest point. Despite unlimited U.S. support, it has failed to achieve its goals in Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, and against Iran. It has lost its independent decision-making power, effectively becoming a tool managed by Washington.

* Commitment to the People:

* Hezbollah has committed to providing three months of housing support (February, March, April) for those whose homes were destroyed or made uninhabitable by the aggression.

* Call for holding parliamentary elections on time to let the people's will be heard.

* Urging the government to prioritize the economic recovery plan, public sector salaries, and the return of depositors' funds.

We are concerned with keeping 'Israel' without borders and without stability. Our very survival and steadfastness are what prevent the enemy from achieving its goals.

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🔴Scorched Earth: The Zionist Environmental War on Lebanon

🤔The provided image reveals the systematic destruction of Tellat al-Raheb, facing the border town of Ayta al-Shab. The "before and after" comparison serves as definitive evidence of a deliberate Zionist policy:

🔘 Total Desolation: The lush greenery and forests that once defined the southern landscape have been replaced by barren, grey wasteland.

🔘 Tactics of Terror: The occupation forces have employed bulldozing, burning, and the spraying of chemical pesticides to intentionally kill the soil and agricultural life.

🔘 The "Buffer" Fallacy:

👌Under the guise of "security," the enemy is committing an environmental genocide to deny the Resistance any natural cover and to break the economic link between the Lebanese farmer and his land.

🫶This is not just military aggression; it is a desperate attempt to erase the identity of the land. They burn the trees because they fear the shadows within them. They poison the soil because they know they can never take root in it.


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🔴Tehran: 47 Years of Defying Imperialism

🤔Millions march today with a unified message to the world:

🔢 Sovereignty: Our missile program is a red line and is NOT up for negotiation.

🔢 Deterrence: The Zionist entity was put in its place during the 12-day war; any further aggression will be met with a decisive response.

🔢 Global Impact: Any US-led escalation will set the region ablaze and disrupt global energy markets.

👌The "idols of arrogance" are falling. Iran remains the steadfast core of the Resistance.

#Iran #IslamicRevolution #AxisOfResistance #AlMuraqeb

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🔴47 Years of the Islamic Revolution: When “Allahu Akbar” Becomes Deterrence Under Siege

📄Introduction

💳On the 47th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, millions filled Iran’s streets—not as ceremony, but as strategy. This year’s commemoration arrives after a recent 12-day confrontation with Israel, amid sustained U.S. threats and regional mobilizations that are reshaping power. The message is unambiguous: this is a revolution that learned how to survive, deter, and negotiate without surrender.

🔴 Crowds as Policy

🔘Mass participation—alongside diplomatic presence—signals continuity under pressure. After decades of sanctions and hybrid warfare, public mobilization functions as political consent for sovereignty.

🔴 Negotiation Without Illusions

🔘Tehran signaled readiness to discuss enrichment levels and stockpile quantities—not the right to enrichment, not sovereign capabilities. Acknowledging deep distrust with Washington is realism, not weakness. Talks are conflict management, not capitulation.

🔴 Deterrence Reset

🔘Ali Larijani’s message was blunt: Israeli ambitions met Iranian deterrence and were forced back to reality. What changed is cost. Asymmetric deterrence works by making escalation unpredictable and expensive.

🔴 War Beyond Geography

🔘Ali Shamkhani framed the stakes: escalation won’t stay local. This region anchors global energy flows; shocks ripple worldwide. Pairing negotiations with threats is a known U.S. tactic—but missile capabilities are off the table.

🔴 “Allahu Akbar” as Action

🔘As articulated by Ayatollah Khamenei, the chant is not nostalgia—it’s a declaration against idols of power and money. Symbolic coffins carried in marches sent a political signal without a single shot: impunity has an expiry date.

📌Conclusion

🔘At 47, the Revolution isn’t remembering—it’s operating. Iran negotiates while fortified, celebrates while sanctioned, and deters while targeted. That is resistance as a system: military, political, and economic—surviving pressure and resetting balance.

Tags:
#IslamicRevolution #Iran #AxisOfResistance #Deterrence #Sovereignty #Sanctions #EnergyPolitics

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🔴The Crying Boy Has a Name Now

✍️By a Lebanese Mother
🤔For The Observer / Al-Muraqeb

💳For decades, many Lebanese households carried a silent witness on their walls: The Crying Boy by Giovanni Bragolin. A child frozen in grief, eyes heavy with sorrow older than his years. We grew up with that image without knowing why it unsettled us so deeply. Perhaps because, even then, we recognized ourselves in it.

✌Today, the Crying Boy has a name.

🔽Ali Hassan Jaber.

🫶Ali was from Yanouh, a town in southern Lebanon long familiar with the language of drones and funerals. Three days ago, an Israeli drone ended his life—alongside his father and another man—without warning, without accountability, without consequence. The news cycle moved on quickly. We did not.

✌This was not an isolated act. It was a continuation of a doctrine that treats Lebanese lives as expendable and childhood as negotiable. The same doctrine that has for decades violated our airspace, destroyed our villages, assassinated our leaders, and then demanded that we explain our grief politely to the world.

👌Ali’s face—circulated briefly on screens before being buried under the next headline—forces a confrontation the international community has long avoided: how many children must die before Israeli violence is named for what it is?

🫶As a Lebanese mother, I do not experience this loss as abstract geopolitics. I experience it viscerally. In my body. In the fear that tightens when planes pass overhead. In the memory of other boys, other names, other photographs that once looked just like Ali’s.

✌This grief arrives at a moment when Lebanon itself is absorbing profound political loss. The absence of figures like Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah is not merely strategic; it is symbolic. For many in the South, he represented continuity, deterrence, and the assurance that our dead were not forgotten, that their names carried weight beyond the grave.

👌Israel understands this. That is why its violence targets not only bodies, but symbols. Not only fighters, but fathers. Not only resistance figures, but children. The message is clear: break the chain of memory, and the future will fracture.

🔘But history tells a different story.

👍In Lebanon—and across this region—memory does not dissolve. It accumulates. It hardens into political consciousness. Ali’s death will not produce submission; it will produce questions. Awareness. Refusal. A generation that understands early who benefits from their silence and who fears their remembrance.

🌕Bragolin’s Crying Boy once represented an unnamed sadness. Ali Hassan Jaber represents a documented crime. And between the two lies a truth Israel and its allies have never been able to erase: every child killed under occupation becomes an indictment that time does not absolve.

📄Today, children across Lebanon, Palestine, and beyond are crying for Ali. Not only in grief, but in recognition. And those tears—unseen by drones, ignored by diplomats—are shaping a future no missile can fully control.

🌕Ali’s life was short.
But his name has entered history.

📌And history, in this region, does not forget because between us and them lie mountains of corpses, rivers of hatred, and blood—and more blood—and more blood—and a long vengeance…
They raised hatred so that the virtue of vengeance might be revealed to us. Remember the faces, and exact vengeance well.

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🔴 The Great Satan Mobilizes: Resistance Prepares to Crush Aggression


The US occupation forces are desperately fortifying their positions across the region as the Axis of Resistance stands ready to respond to any Zionist-American folly. Satellite imagery confirms the heavy deployment of American hardware, signaling a failed attempt at intimidation.


🇺🇸 The American Aggressor: Panic in the Bases

The US has turned regional capitals into forward operating bases for imperialism. Their current deployments reveal a fear of Iranian retaliatory capabilities:

• Occupied Qatar: A massive concentration of KC-135 tankers and C-17s to facilitate long-range aggression, alongside 10 Patriot systems mounted on mobile trucks—a clear sign they fear their fixed positions are no longer safe from Resistance precision strikes.

• Jordan: Transformed into a launchpad for F-15E strike aircraft and A-10s, directly threatening regional sovereignty.

• Saudi Arabia, Oman, & Diego Garcia: Strategic airlifters and electronic warfare assets are being shuffled as the Pentagon realizes its presence is increasingly untenable.


🇮🇷 Islamic Republic of Iran: The Shield of the Oppressed

In contrast to the frantic movements of the occupiers, the Islamic Republic maintains a posture of disciplined, overwhelming strength:

• Impregnable Fortresses: Underground "Missile Cities" near Tehran, Kermanshah, and the Gulf coast are on maximum alert. Readiness levels now exceed those of previous confrontations with the Zionist entity.

• Replenished Arsenals: Following the summer battles, missile stocks have been fully restored. The IRGC and regular army units are prepared to rain fire on any source of aggression.

• Naval Dominance: The drone carrier IRIS Shahid Bagheri is patrolling the strategic waters of the Persian Gulf, asserting Islamic sovereignty over the maritime corridors.

• Technological Superiority: Iranian forces have reportedly deployed Tirada-2S electronic warfare systems. These are capable of blinding American satellite networks and neutralizing the Starlink infrastructure used by Western intelligence.

The era of "hit and run" is over. Any American or Zionist miscalculation will be met with a decisive, crushing response.

🚀 Victory to the Resistance.

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🔴 Field Developments: Ongoing Occupation Violations of the Ceasefire Agreement


Zionist enemy forces continue their daily and systematic violations of Lebanese sovereignty. The past few hours have recorded a series of blatant aggressions across the eastern, central, and western sectors:

• Kafr Kila: Enemy forces reached the "Al-Nouriyah neighborhood" in the center of the town at dawn, detonating a residential building.

• Odaisseh:
Occupation forces carried out an incursion on the outskirts of the town near Wadi Hunin, detonating two buildings and destroying them completely.

• Alma al-Shaab: The outskirts of the town were targeted by heavy machine-gun fire originating from a newly established enemy position inside Lebanese territory in the "Labbouneh" area.

• Ayta al-Shab: An enemy drone dropped two sound bombs over the town's neighborhoods to terrorize civilians.

These field movements prove that the enemy does not adhere to any understandings and is persisting in a scorched-earth policy and direct aggression against
border villages.

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🔴 Major Military Escalation: Russian Missiles Strike Kyiv as Ukrainian Drones Hit Deep Inside Russia


The early hours of Thursday, February 12, 2026, witnessed one of the most intense military escalations in months. Russian forces launched a massive ballistic missile strike targeting the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, and the city of Dnipro, while Ukraine retaliated with strikes on military facilities deep inside Russian territory.

📉 Field Report: Reciprocal Strikes and Fires in Volgograd
• The Capital, Kyiv: Subjected to a "massive" ballistic missile attack targeting infrastructure and residential areas. Mayor Vitali Klitschko announced that the assault continued into the early morning, urging residents to remain in shelters as air raid alerts persisted.

• Inside Russia: Moscow reported a large fire at a Ministry of Defense facility in the Volgograd region (near the village of Kotluban) following a Ukrainian drone attack. Nearby villages were evacuated due to the risk of explosions. Additionally, another attack targeted the "Progress" factory in the Tambov region.

🕊️ Political Track: Negotiations Under Fire

This escalation comes at a sensitive time during strained diplomatic efforts:

• Abu Dhabi Talks: A second round of US-mediated negotiations has begun in the UAE. Despite a successful prisoner swap last week, both sides are trading accusations of attempting to undermine peace prospects through military escalation.

• Zelenskyy’s Demands: The Ukrainian President has called for a definitive timeline for Ukraine's accession to the European Union as an integral part of any future peace agreement.

📊 Human Toll (UN Report)
The latest report from the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU) revealed staggering figures:

• 15,000 Ukrainian civilians killed since the invasion began in 2022.

• 2025 was the deadliest year of the conflict so far, with over 2,500 civilians killed in that year alone.

The situation remains critical over the Ukrainian capital as air raid sirens continue to sound.


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🔴 The Epstein Doctrine: Who Really Writes Israel’s National Security Policy?


The latest email leaks confirm a disturbing reality: Jeffrey Epstein, a convicted sex offender, was not just a socialite friend to the Zionist elite—he was a ghostwriter for their leadership. In 2012, Epstein was actively drafting political talking points for then-Defense Minister Ehud Barak.

The "transmission" was seamless: Epstein sent the messaging, Barak’s wife confirmed receipt, and Barak promptly appeared on CNN to parrot the script. This isn't just a scandal of personal association; it is a profound indictment of the Zionist security establishment. When the person responsible for "defense" is taking cues from a global predator, it exposes the moral rot and external dependencies that define the entity's foreign policy. The "only democracy in the Middle East" appears to be a playground where international criminals shape the narrative for a global audience.

🤡 Breaking: IDF’s New "Special Advisor" Unit Revealed

It turns out you don't need a military background to influence the "most moral army in the world"—you just need a private island and a contact list of billionaires! 🏝️
New leaks show that Ehud Barak didn't need a cabinet meeting to prep for CNN; he just needed a quick email from Jeffrey Epstein. While the world was told these "defense experts" were master strategists, they were actually just checking their inboxes for talking points from a convicted pedophile.

The standard operating procedure:

1. Epstein writes the script. ✍️
2. The wife "transmits" the message. 📲
3. The Defense Minister goes on TV to look "statesmanlike." 🎭

It gives a whole new meaning to "international cooperation." Next time you hear a Zionist official talking about "shared values" with the West, just remember who was drafting the speeches. Apparently, the "Iron Dome" doesn't protect against leaked emails!

#ZionistScandals #EpsteinFiles #EhudBarak #MoralRot


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🔴Turkey bares its teeth toward Mosul through the Sinjar gateway

In controversial remarks, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said that the PKK file in Iraq would be the “next stage” after Syria, claiming the group “occupies vast areas of Iraqi territory” and questioning the meaning of sovereignty under such conditions.

Fidan explicitly referred to Sinjar, Makhmour, and Qandil, stating that these areas would witness “changes in the not-too-distant future.” He urged Baghdad to “draw lessons from what happened in Syria” and to take “wiser decisions” to ease what he described as a transitional phase.

Latest updates:

. Increased Military Pressure:Turkey is actively constructing a new supply road through the Reshava Valley at the foot of Metin Mountain in Duhok province, enhancing its ability to move troops and equipment between military outposts in the region

.Shifting Security Strategy: While Turkey and Iraq signed a Memorandum of Understanding in 2024 to coordinate on security and the PKK, Turkey is now pressing for more concrete, immediate action from Baghdad to remove the PKK from areas like Sinjar, arguing that previous efforts have been largely rhetorical.

• Yesterday, the Iraqi Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned the Turkish ambassador in Baghdad over these statements.

• Baghdad viewed the remarks as interference in Iraq’s internal affairs and a violation of its sovereignty.

• The statements have raised political and security tensions, with expectations of a firmer Iraqi response in the coming hours.

📌 Context of Regional Instability:The push is unfolding against a backdrop of wider regional instability, including the fallout from the Israel-Gaza conflict and changing power dynamics in Syria. 

The situation points toward potential diplomatic escalation and increased Turkish security pressure in northern Iraq.

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🔴Breaking | UNRWA Chief in Doha: Targeting the Agency Is an Assault on the Right of Return

Philippe Lazzarini, Commissioner-General of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA), stated that there is a deliberate effort to eliminate any serious international discussion on the Palestinian refugees’ right of return, warning that the agency is facing unprecedented political pressure translated into a suffocating financial crisis.

Speaking to the media during his visit to Doha, Lazzarini said the trip is focused on securing urgent political and financial support to ensure UNRWA’s continued operations amid escalating attacks on its mandate.

He stressed that UNRWA will continue to draw global attention to the crimes and violations committed in Gaza, warning that abandoning the agency would create a massive humanitarian vacuum, especially given the absence of effective Palestinian institutions capable of replacing its role.

Lazzarini also warned of a “silent war” unfolding in the West Bank, marked by systematic impunity, and revealed that Israeli measures are actively obstructing UNRWA’s ability to function effectively in the occupied Palestinian territory.

Remark:
Once again, this situation exposes the United Nations’ chronic inability to enforce justice or uphold international law—documenting violations without accountability, while humanitarian institutions are left vulnerable to political coercion and occupied populations remain unprotected.


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🤔No Deal, No Direction: Washington Hesitates Before Tehran


News:
The meeting between US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Washington ended without any agreement or clear strategy on Iran. Trump limited his remarks to saying that he “insisted on continuing negotiations” with Tehran, describing a deal as the “preferred option,” without offering commitments or a timetable.

The closed-door meeting, which lasted more than two and a half hours, followed indirect US–Iran talks in Oman that were described as “constructive.” Yet it exposed a deep rift between Washington’s hesitant posture and Israel’s escalatory demands, which seek to expand any agreement to include Iran’s ballistic missile program and its support for resistance forces in the region.

At the same time, the United States continues a major military buildup across the region—deploying aircraft carriers, destroyers, and air reinforcements—in a clear attempt at political and military coercion at the negotiating table.

How the Axis of Resistance Reads the Scene:

What unfolded is not a minor negotiating setback, but a strategic American–Israeli impasse. Washington knows Netanyahu’s conditions are unattainable and understands that today’s Iran is not the Iran of the past: entrenched regional influence, accumulated deterrent capabilities, and allies prepared to respond to any reckless escalation.

The renewed threat of force no longer functions as leverage; it has become evidence of weakness. The US negotiates out of fear of a regional explosion, not from a position of dominance. Meanwhile, the Axis of Resistance once again affirms that sovereign files—nuclear and missile capabilities—are non-negotiable red lines.


Geopolitical Forecasts:
• Continued performative negotiations with no real breakthrough, alongside calibrated military and media escalation.
• US military deployments will serve as deterrence theater, not genuine preparation for a full-scale war, due to the high cost of confrontation.
• Israeli pressure on Washington will intensify, while America’s ability to impose terms continues to erode.
• If diplomacy collapses, the region will remain on the edge of a controlled confrontation, where the Axis of Resistance holds the initiative in deterrence—not provocation.

Bottom line:

No deal can be imposed on Iran by force, and no war can be launched without consequence. This meeting confirms that the era of diktats is over, and that the regional balance of deterrence is now an inescapable reality.


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🔴info|#OnThisDay in 2008, Imad Mughniyeh 🇱🇧

🔘was assassinated in Damascus in a joint CIA–Mossad operation.

🤔For more than twenty years, he remained a shadow figure of the resistance—one Washington and Tel Aviv repeatedly failed to neutralize, despite relentless pursuit.

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🔴 Dangerous Provocation: Settlement Ambitions Breach the Lebanese Border

The extremist agenda of the Israeli settlement movement is no longer confined to the West Bank; it is now eyeing South Lebanon. In a calculated breach, activists from the "Awaken the North" movement crossed the border near Yaroun, entering Lebanese territory to plant trees—a symbolic and hostile act of "claiming" land.

While the IDF claims to have intervened and detained the individuals, the incident reveals a growing, unchecked radicalism that seeks to "renew Jewish settlement in Lebanon." These actions are not merely "civilian stunts"; they are direct violations of sovereignty designed to ignite an already volatile frontier.

The silence or inability of the Israeli state to suppress these movements from the start suggests a dangerous expansionist trajectory that risks dragging the entire region into a total conflagration.

#Lebanon #SouthLebanon #Sovereignty #Settlements #Provocation #IDF #Hezbollah #MiddleEast

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🔴 Brinkmanship or Bluster? Trump Signals New Naval Escalation

The Trump administration is doubling down on its "maximum pressure" tactics, moving from verbal threats to concrete military posturing. By resharing the Wall Street Journal report on the potential deployment of a second aircraft carrier strike group, Trump is intentionally signaling that a military strike is a live option if negotiations fail.

The Pentagon is reportedly readying the USS George H.W. Bush to join the USS Abraham Lincoln already stationed near Iran. This "armada" strategy is a transparent attempt to leverage military intimidation during active diplomacy.

However, critics argue this repetitive saber-rattling risks a miscalculation—reminding the region of "Operation Midnight Hammer" while pushing Tehran toward a corner where escalation becomes the only perceived defense.

#USA #Iran #Trump #Pentagon #MilitaryBuildUp #CarrierStrikeGroup #MiddleEast #Geopolitics

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🔴 The Crumbling Order – Munich’s Warning

President Trump’s headline-grabbing attacks on allies are just noise compared to the deeper tremors shaking the global order. At the Munich Security Conference, Germany’s Chancellor bluntly declared: “The international order no longer exists.”

The shift is unmistakable: the world is edging back toward China, not out of WTO optimism like in 2001, but out of disillusionment with the United States. Public opinion reflects this rupture—71% of Germans now see Washington as an adversary.

The empire isn’t just losing friends; it’s losing the narrative.

#MunichSecurityConference #Geopolitics #USDecline #ChinaRise #Observer #AlMuraqeb

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