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🔴American War Drums in the Region: Escalation or Desperation?

⚪️Introduction

The latest U.S. military deployments in West Asia—F‑15E Strike Eagles to Jordan, the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group to the Arabian Sea, and Pentagon aircraft landing in the UAE—are not routine maneuvers. They are calculated signals of escalation, wrapped in the language of deterrence but dripping with provocation. Israeli media amplifies these moves with open calls for an attack on Tehran, while Washington pretends to be reluctant. The reality is far more dangerous: this is psychological warfare, economic pressure, and military brinkmanship rolled into one.



⚪️ The Deployment Pattern

👌 Jordan: The arrival of F‑15E Strike Eagles at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base marks a significant escalation. These aircraft are designed for deep‑strike missions against hardened targets, not for “patrols.” Their presence signals preparation for offensive scenarios.

🙌 UAE: The landing of a C‑37A, used to transport senior Pentagon officials, suggests high‑level coordination and planning. This is not a symbolic gesture—it is a logistical step toward command and control in case of escalation.

Arabian Sea: The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group’s entry into the region is a classic show of force. Carriers are floating bases of war, capable of launching dozens of sorties per day. Their presence is meant to intimidate Iran and reassure Israel.




⚪️ Trump’s Calculated Threats

👋President Trump’s statements—boasting of “a massive fleet heading toward Iran” and “many ships on the way”—are not off‑the‑cuff remarks. They are deliberate signals, designed to create a sense of inevitability. This is the same playbook used before the Iraq invasion: deploy overwhelming force, talk of “options,” and let the media manufacture consent.



🎨 Consequences of Escalation

🔢 Regional Destabilization:
Any strike on Iran will not remain contained. Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and the Gulf will all be dragged into the fire. U.S. bases across the region will become legitimate targets for retaliation.

🔢 Axis of Resistance Response:
Iran has already raised air defense readiness. Hezbollah, Iraqi resistance factions, and Yemeni forces are prepared for asymmetric retaliation. The U.S. cannot assume immunity—its forces are exposed across multiple fronts.

🔢 Psychological Warfare:
Israeli media’s claim that “Tehran could be destroyed in days” is not a military assessment. It is propaganda, meant to sow fear and justify aggression. The reality is that Iran’s defense network and resistance allies make such fantasies impossible.

🔢 Economic Pressure:
Maintaining carriers and strike aircraft in the region costs millions per day. This is not sustainable. It signals desperation rather than strength, especially as America faces internal economic strain.




📌 Conclusion

🔘The deployment of F‑15Es to Jordan and the arrival of the Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea are not defensive moves—they are provocations. Washington and Tel Aviv want to project inevitability, but history shows that wars against Iran and the axis of resistance do not end in quick victories. They end in drawn‑out conflicts, regional chaos, and the erosion of U.S. credibility.

🔘The real question is not whether America can strike Iran—it is whether it can survive the consequences of such reckless escalation. For the axis of resistance, the task is clear: expose the propaganda, prepare for confrontation, and remind the world that the battlefield is not only military but also psychological and informational.

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🔴The Silk Road Suffocates the Dollar: Beijing’s $213 Billion Masterstroke for a Post-American Order


Categories:
Countries: China, Kazakhstan, Russia, Nigeria, Brazil, Iran (implied context).


Organizations:
Belt & Road Initiative (BRI), BRICS+, Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).


Themes:
Multipolarity, De-dollarization, Resource Sovereignty, Asymmetric Economic Warfare.


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(For immediate release on Al-Muraqeb Channel)



🚨 BREAKING: The West Slept, Beijing Just Bought the Future.


While Washington was distracted by domestic chaos and failed sanctions, China just rewrote the global economic map.

The 2025 BRI figures are out, and they are terrifying for the US Treasury: $213.5 billion in a single year. That’s not just "investment"—that is a hostile takeover of the Global South’s supply chains.

Key Takeaways for the Axis:

*The Surge: A 75% increase in deals. The "economic collapse" of China predicted by Western analysts was a mirage.

* The Pivot: Beijing is ignoring the West and pouring billions into Africa and Central Asia.

* The Energy Shield: They are building everything—solar farms to power the future, and oil refineries to fuel the resistance now.

They refused to bow to Western "climate hypocrisy."

* The Kill Switch: $32.6B in mining (mostly Kazakhstan).

China now owns the minerals needed for the US military's own missiles.

Why this matters to us:

This is the infrastructure of the multipolar world. These roads and pipes are the veins of a system that bypasses the US Dollar. The siege is breaking.

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🔽 Read the full strategic assessment below.
#China #BRI #Multipolarity #EndOfTheDollar
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🔴The Great Decoupling is Here

By The Observer (Al-Muraqeb)
January 23, 2026

The era of American economic coercion is facing its most significant challenge yet. The 2025 data from China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is not merely a financial report; it is a declaration of victory in the war for the "Global South." With a record-shattering $213.5 billion in new engagements—a 75% surge from 2024—Beijing has effectively walled off the resources of Africa and Central Asia from Western predation.

While the US and its proxies remain bogged down in disruptive military adventures in West Asia, the East is building the physical infrastructure of a new world order.

The "Green and Dirty" Paradox: A Masterclass in Sovereignty

Western liberal media is clutching its pearls over the revelation that 2025 was the BRI’s "greenest and dirtiest" year. They lament that while Chinese renewable investments hit record highs, fossil fuel deals tripled to $71.5 billion.

From the perspective of the Resistance Axis, this is not hypocrisy; it is strategic sanity. The West uses "climate mandates" as a weapon to keep developing nations energy-starved and dependent on IMF loans. China has shattered this colonial trap. By financing oil and gas refineries in Nigeria and Iran, while simultaneously building solar grids in the Sahel, Beijing is ensuring the Global South has the energy security required to industrialize. They are funding the "Dirty" energy needed to build the "Green" future, bypassing Western technology transfers entirely.

The Fortress of Central Asia: Locking the Back Door

The most critical geopolitical shift of 2025 is the pivot to Kazakhstan. With $25.8 billion invested in this single nation, China has turned Central Asia into a fortress of critical minerals.
Kazakhstan sits on the chrome, uranium, and rare earth elements that run the modern world. By locking down 60% of its mining sector, China has preempted the US strategy to diversify its supply chains.

When Washington sanctioned Chinese tech in November 2025, they didn't realize China had already bought the raw materials needed to build that tech. The US military-industrial complex is now dependent on supply chains that begin in Beijing-controlled mines.

The Consequence: BRICS and the Death of SWIFT

This infrastructure blitz is the physical foundation for the financial coup de grâce coming later this year. You cannot trade in Yuan if you do not have goods to trade. The BRI creates the goods (oil, minerals, commodities), and the upcoming 2026 BRICS Summit in India will provide the rails.

Reports from New Delhi indicate that the Reserve Bank of India, in coordination with the People's Bank of China, is proposing a linked CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) network for the summit.

This system will allow BRICS nations to settle the trade generated by these $213 billion investments instantly, digitally, and—most importantly—without touching the US Dollar or the SWIFT system.

The "Debt Trap" narrative is dead. The "China Collapse" narrative is dead. The reality is stark: The US prints paper, while the East mines gold, pumps oil, and builds bridges. In 2026, we are witnessing the final consolidation of the Eurasian bloc.

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🔴 DECONSTRUCTING THE "PEACEFUL" NARRATIVE

🔽While Western media romanticizes the chaos, the numbers tell a story of calculated sabotage against the Iranian people themselves.
Official data confirms the destruction of civilian lifelines:

305 Ambulances & 253 Bus Stations (Public infrastructure targeting the working class)

👋 700 Grocery Stores & 24 Fuel Stations (Direct attack on food and energy security)

🫶 200 Schools & 15 Libraries (War on education and culture)

🤲 350 Mosques & 2 Armenian Churches (Incitement of sectarian violence)

🔽The Human Cost: 2,427 civilians and security personnel killed by "peaceful" rioters.

📌The Question: Who benefits when the Iranian economy bleeds? Follow the money. Two weeks prior, the Mossad targeted the riyal. Today, Trump and Netanyahu cheer the flames. This is not a revolution; it is a demolition funded by the CIA and separatist proxies.

➡️Do not confuse grievances with gladiator games orchestrated by your enemies.


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🔴The Anatomy of Chaos: Why Burning Libraries is Not a Civil Rights Movement



We are told a story. It is a story woven in Western newsrooms, polished by State Department press releases, and amplified by an army of bots on X (formerly Twitter). The story goes like this: The streets of Iran are filled with peaceful youths, yearning only for liberty, battling a monolithic, repressive state. It is a compelling narrative. It is also a lie.

A lie does not become truth through repetition; it crumbles under the weight of evidence. And the evidence emerging from the latest wave of unrest—figures officially confirmed by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi—paints a picture not of civil disobedience, but of orchestrated annihilation.

When a movement claims to fight for the people, we must ask: Which people? The people who need 305 ambulances to get to the hospital—ambulances that were torched? The people who rely on 700 grocery stores for their daily bread—stores that were looted and burned? Or the people whose history and culture reside in 15 libraries and 200 schools—now reduced to ash?

The Architecture of Sabotage
If this were a spontaneous outburst of anger, the damage would be symbolic. A broken window at a government office, a blocked road. But the statistics reveal a military-grade precision in target selection. 750 banks. 600 ATMs. 24 fuel stations. This is not the random rage of a crowd; it is an attack on the economic circulatory system of a nation.

Specifically, the destruction of 305 ambulances and 253 bus stations reveals a cruel irony: the very infrastructure that serves the working class—the poor, the sick, the commuter—is the primary target. How does burning a bus station advance human rights? How does torching 2 Armenian churches and 350 mosques promote secular liberty or religious freedom? It doesn't. It promotes sectarian strife and social collapse.
We must look at the timing. Two weeks before the first tire burned, reports surfaced that the Mossad had begun a concerted operation to destabilize the riyal. This was economic warfare preceding kinetic warfare. Following this, we saw open endorsements from Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump, championing the chaos. When the architects of the "Maximum Pressure" campaign and the genocide in Gaza cheer for your "movement," you are not a revolutionary; you are a foot soldier for the empire.

The Human Cost of "Freedom"
The West weeps crocodile tears for "human rights" while ignoring the body count of their intervention. The toll is staggering: 3,117 dead. Of these, 2,427 are civilians and security forces—ordinary men and women, conscripts, and fathers. The remaining 690 were armed elements.
Western NGOs and media outlets have erased these 2,427 victims. They do not fit the script. To acknowledge them would be to admit that what is happening is not a protest, but an insurgency funded by the CIA, Mossad, and separatist factions operating in border regions. These groups do not seek reform; they seek the Syrianization of Iran. They weaponize the grievances of the people to dismantle the state that protects them.

A Question of Sovereignty
We see the patterns of Caracas, Beirut, and Damascus repeated here. "Civil Society" is weaponized as a Trojan horse. Legitimate economic grievances—exacerbated by illegal sanctions—are hijacked to provide cover for paramilitary operations.
The destruction of 414 government buildings and 120 Basij centers is framed as "resistance." But when 300 private homes and 800 private vehicles are destroyed alongside them, the mask falls. This is collective punishment inflicted on the Iranian population by those claiming to liberate them.

Conclusion
This analysis is not a defense of state perfection; it is a defense of the truth. There is no version of "human rights" that includes the right to burn libraries, destroy ambulances, and murder civilians.
The Axis of Resistance must understand that this is Fourth Generation Warfare. The enemy does not just bomb from the sky; they poison the narrative from within.
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The Observer
🔴The Anatomy of Chaos: Why Burning Libraries is Not a Civil Rights Movement We are told a story. It is a story woven in Western newsrooms, polished by State Department press releases, and amplified by an army of bots on X (formerly Twitter). The story goes…
We must reject the propaganda that masquerades as morality. When they burn a school and call it freedom, we must call it what it is: terrorism.

Strategic Suggestions for the Axis of Resistance

1. Shift the Metric of Legitimacy:

Move away from discussing the causes of protests to highlighting the methods used. Constantly visuals of burnt libraries and ambulances. Frame the narrative as "Order vs. Chaos" rather than "State vs. People."

2. Highlight the "Double Victimization":

Emphasize that the victims of the riots are the working class (bus riders, small shop owners). Drive a wedge between the rioters and the general population by framing the rioters as anti-people elitists or foreign agents destroying public property.

3. Pre-bunking Economic Warfare:

Create dedicated analytical units to track and publicize currency manipulation attempts (like the Riyal attack) before they translate into street anger, labeling inflation as a "foreign weapon" rather than "domestic mismanagement."

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✍️ [Exclusive Analysis] Venezuela’s Oil: Did Caracas Sell Sovereignty to Survive US Strangulation?


⚠️Amidst a fierce economic war, Venezuela has made a fateful decision to alter the strict energy laws established by Chávez. Is this a smart survival tactic, or a soft coup against the Revolution's principles?

🔴 Key Insights:

🔢 The Real Architect: Through the "Anti-Blockade Law" and US "License 41," Washington imposed a harsh equation: Chevron returns to production to recoup debts, with zero dollars entering the Venezuelan treasury directly for now.

🔢 The Strategic Deception: Under the guise of "attracting investment," the state oil company (PDVSA) has shifted from an "operator and master" to a "silent partner." Foreigners now control operations, procurement, and even exports.

🔢 The "Iraqi Model" Risk: Moving from full equity partnerships to "service contracts" threatens to turn Venezuela into a mere pumping station for Western corporations, placing Caracas's allies (Russia, China, Iran) in unfair competition with returning Western giants.

🔽 The Verdict:
This is not reform; it is a forced survival tactic. The danger lies in these "temporary exceptions" becoming permanent rules, potentially reverting Venezuela to being a "gas station" for the US—but this time, signed by the Bolivarian Revolution itself.

🔴 The Lesson: Political steadfastness is not enough if your economic structure relies on your enemy's technology and currency.


#Venezuela #Oil #Geopolitics #Sanctions #Chevron #PDVSA #Economy

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Venezuela’s Oil Under the Guillotine: Did Caracas Sell Its Sovereignty to Survive American Strangulation?


In the heat of a fierce economic war, besieged regimes do not blink when taking fateful decisions that may touch the very core of their political dogma. The recent fundamental changes—both declared and implicit—in Venezuela's energy sector structure and hydrocarbon laws are not mere bureaucratic procedures; they are a dangerous dance on the edge of the abyss between "survival necessity" and "sovereign concession."
This investigation dismantles the Venezuelan energy landscape, far from the romanticism of absolute steadfastness and without illusions about the intentions of the "savior investor."


1. The Real Actor: Who Engineered the Soft Coup Against Hugo Chávez’s Legacy?

The change did not come from the pen of an isolated legislator; rather, it was the product of an "operations room" where maximum pressure intertwined with the pragmatism of the ruling elite:

The Government Alliance (Maduro and the National Assembly): The Executive is the prime mover, specifically through the passing of the "Anti-Blockade Constitutional Law" (October 2020). This granted the government exceptional powers to suspend previous laws and sign secret contracts. This law was the actual paver for hollowing out the strict "Hydrocarbons Law" (established by Chávez in 2001) of its substance without officially repealing it entirely.

Washington (The Executioner and Negotiator): The US Treasury (OFAC) is the "Hidden Legislator." By granting "License 41" to Chevron, Washington imposed audacious conditions: a return to production in exchange for corporate debt repayment, without a single dollar entering the Venezuelan state treasury directly. Caracas accepted this pattern, and local legislation began to morph to fit the American exception.

The Internal Energy Lobby: Currents within the state oil company (PDVSA) pushed for this option, convinced that the dilapidated, looted company, stripped of technical competence, would not rise again unless it handed the "keys" back to foreign companies.


2. Motives for Change: The Official Narrative vs. The Bitter Truth

Why go backwards? Why abandon the "Full Sovereignty" that was the slogan of the Bolivarian Revolution?

The Structural Motive (The Truth): Technical and financial bankruptcy. US sanctions did not just block exports; they blocked the import of "Diluents" needed to process heavy crude and cut off spare parts. The government found itself unable to extract its own oil. The change came to make foreign companies (Russian, Chinese, then American and European) responsible for procurement and operations, as they are relatively immune or possess exemptions.

The Strategic Deceptio: Promoting the amendments as "attracting investment" is only half the truth. The full truth is that the state is trading "ownership" for "cash flow." It is a disguised privatization aimed at breaking financial isolation, even if the price is transforming PDVSA from an "operator" into a mere "tax collector" or silent partner.
3. The Consequences: The Venezuelan Harvest
The repercussions here go beyond the price of a barrel to touch the structure of the state and the future of the "Axis of Resistance" in the Caribbean:
Sovereignty (Erosion of Control): The Chávez model demanded PDVSA control over 50% of shares and operational control. The new model (via service contracts and joint ventures) grants the foreign partner control over operations, procurement, and even exports. Venezuela owns the oil "under the ground," but the stranger is the one extracting and selling it.
Geopolitically (Return of the American Eagle): The return of Chevron and European companies (like Repsol and Eni) means Washington has successfully engineered the return of its energy influence without militarily toppling the regime. This creates a thorny situation for Caracas's allies (Russia, China, and Iran) who supported it in its darkest hours, only to find themselves now competing with Western companies returning under a new legal cover.
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The Observer
Venezuela’s Oil Under the Guillotine: Did Caracas Sell Its Sovereignty to Survive American Strangulation? In the heat of a fierce economic war, besieged regimes do not blink when taking fateful decisions that may touch the very core of their political dogma.…
Socially (Forced Austerity): The revenues resulting from this opening go first to pay off corporate debts (as in Chevron’s case), meaning the direct impact on the Venezuelan citizen, service levels, and wages remains extremely limited.

4. Comparative Anatomy: Before and After "Anti-Blockade"

The transition from the Hydrocarbons Law of 2001 (Chávez’s legacy) to the reality of the "Anti-Blockade Law" (2020) was not merely a procedural adjustment; it was a quiet demolition of the pillars of sovereignty.
While the old law enshrined absolute "state hegemony"—making PDVSA the exclusive operator and owner of no less than 50% of any project, with a strict ban on ceding operational control—the new reality has flipped the equation. Today, although the state "theoretically" retains a majority shareholding, it has hollowed out this ownership of its authoritative substance. New "service contracts" grant the foreign partner (such as Chevron) the actual steering wheel to manage fields, control procurement, and appoint executives, transforming the state company from a "master" into a "silent partner" that merely watches.
This erosion extends to the financial nerve. Whereas the marketing and export of oil used to be a sacred monopoly of the Venezuelan state ensuring the flow of hard currency to the Central Bank, the new arrangements have opened the doors for foreign companies to export their shares directly to collect their debts, without a single dollar passing through Caracas’s treasury in the foreseeable future. The picture of this coup is completed by dropping the wall of transparency; instead of the mandatory parliamentary ratification and publication of contracts in the Official Gazette as previously required, the "Anti-Blockade Law" provided legal cover for total secrecy. It justifies the withholding of deal details and profit ratios under the guise of "national security" and protecting partners from Washington's sanctions, placing the country’s wealth in a "black box" far from any popular or institutional oversight.

5. Critical Inquiry: The Unspoken Questions

From a strategic and resistance perspective, we must put our finger on the wound:

Transparency Under the Cloak of War: The pretext of "protecting partners from sanctions" allowed the passing of secret contracts whose details are unknown to the people. What is the real percentage of profits the state is conceding? Are these concessions temporary, or are they long-term contracts shackling future generations?

The Danger of the "Iraqi Model": Is Venezuela slowly drifting toward "technical service contracts" that turned Iraq into a mere pumping station for major corporations without genuine localization of technology or sovereignty?

The Allies' Dilemma: Iran assisted Venezuela in repairing refineries and supplying condensates at the height of the blockade. Will the new law, which flirts with the West, lead to the marginalization of the Iranian and Russian roles in favor of Chevron?

Conclusion: The Dangerous Wager

What is happening in Venezuela is not reform; it is a forced survival tactic imposed by the brutality of American imperialism and the failure of local economic management.

From a realistic angle, this retreat might be necessary to prevent total collapse and provide liquidity. But from a principled angle, it is a painful retreat from "Energy Sovereignty." The real danger does not lie in the entry of foreign companies today, but in these "temporary exceptions" transforming into permanent rules that return Venezuela to its pre-1999 status: a cheap gas station for the United States, but this time, signed and stamped by the Bolivarian Revolution itself.

The lesson here for every state in the Axis: Political steadfastness is not enough if your economic structure is fragile and relies on your enemy's technology and currency. True sovereignty begins with "Technical Independence"; anything less is merely a maneuver to buy time.


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🔴URGENT ANALYSIS: The Missile Shield – Iran’s Necessary Answer to Imperial Encirclement


The rhetoric from Washington and Tel Aviv is reaching a fever pitch. They paint Iran as the aggressor, convenient amnesia for decades of invasions, coups, and crippling sanctions.
Let’s be militarily precise and morally clear: Iran’s missile program is not a tool of conquest. It is the architecture of survival in the most dangerous neighborhood on earth.

Here is the reality the West won’t admit:

🔥 The Doctrine is Defense: Surrounded by US military bases in the Gulf, Iraq, and Jordan, and facing a nuclear-armed Zionist entity, Iran has built the only deterrent that works against superior air power: massive asymmetric missile capability.

🚀 The Arsenal: From precision short-range Fateh missiles to the regional reach of the Emad and Sejjil ballistic systems, and the Soumar cruise missile—these weapons exist to make the cost of attacking Iran unbearably high.

🎯 The "Glass House" Targets: If the US or Israel strikes first, their forward bases across the region are not safe harbors; they are prime targets. Airbases in the UAE and Qatar, logistical hubs in Kuwait, and naval assets in the Persian Gulf will face saturating retaliatory barrages. You cannot build launchpads around a sovereign nation and expect them not to target those pads in self-defense. 

🌍 Global Fallout: This will not be a "limited strike." An attack on Iran triggers the Unity of Fields across the Resistance Axis. It means closing the Strait of Hormuz, shattering global energy markets, and igniting a war that the West cannot afford to fight.

The Bottom Line: The threat to global security isn't Iran's missiles. It is the imperial hubris that believes it can bomb a proud nation into submission without consequence.
Read the full in-depth analysis on our website.

#Iran #Resistance #Deterrence #USImperialism #MiddleEast


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The Architecture of Survival: Why Iran Built Its Missile Shield Against an Empire of Threats



The war drums in Washington and Tel Aviv are beating with a familiar, dangerous rhythm. We hear the recycled rhetoric of "existential threats" and "mullahs with bombs," language designed to sell another catastrophic intervention to a weary global public. But let us be clear: the current obsession with Iran’s missile program by Western powers and the Zionist entity is not about non-proliferation. It is about stripping a sovereign nation of its only viable defense in the most militarized neighborhood on earth.

To understand Iran’s missile doctrine, one must forget CNN headlines and look at a map of the Middle East since 1980. It is a map of invasion, occupation, and encirclement. Iran’s military strategy is not born of imperial ambition, but of a searing historical trauma: the Western-backed devastation of the Iran-Iraq War, followed by decades where US military bases multiplied around its borders like a tightening noose.
In this context, Iran’s missiles are not offensive luxuries; they are an existential necessity. They are the architecture of survival against powers that have proven, repeatedly, their willingness to decimate nations that defy them.

The Arsenal of Asymmetry: A Strategic Overview

Iran cannot match the conventional air power of the United States, nor does it possess the nuclear impunity granted to Israel. Therefore, Tehran has masterminded the region's most sophisticated asymmetric deterrent: a massive, indigenous missile arsenal designed to inflict unacceptable costs on any aggressor. 

This arsenal is tiered for strategic depth.

• For immediate regional threats and precision strikes, Iran utilizes the Fateh and Zolfaghar solid-fuel families. These are highly accurate, mobile systems capable of hitting specific military infrastructure across the Persian Gulf. 

• The backbone of regional deterrence rests on medium-range ballistic missiles like the ubiquitous Shahab-3 variants and the more advanced, precision-guided Emad and Ghadr. These bring the entire Zionist entity and all US bases in the region within striking distance.

• The long arm of the doctrine includes systems like the Sejjil, a two-stage solid-propellant missile designed for rapid launch and high survivability, and the heavier Khorramshahr

• Crucially, Iran has diversified into cruise missiles like the Soumar and Hoveyzeh, land-attack systems that fly low to evade radar, complicating any US or Israeli air defense calculus. 
This is not a first-strike toolkit. It is a "porcupine" strategy—making the cost of swallowing Iran too painful to contemplate.

Mapping the "Glass House": The Targets of Retaliation

The great deception of Western narratives is the pretense that US forces in the region are benign peacekeepers. In reality, the US military footprint surrounding Iran is a vast array of offensive launchpads. If Washington or Tel Aviv initiate hostilities, they must understand that these forward-deployed assets are living in a glass house.
A US attack—whether naval strikes from the Gulf or air campaigns—would almost certainly trigger massive retaliatory salvoes against the infrastructure sustaining that aggression. We are not talking about hitting cities; we are talking about the nervous system of American power in the Middle East.

Strategic logic dictates that priority targets would include major airbases hosting US strike aircraft in the UAE (like Al-Dhafra) and Qatar (Al-Udeid). The logistical hubs and army camps in Kuwait (like Camp Arifjan or Ali Al-Salem) would be under immediate threat. US troop concentrations in Iraq, already under pressure from Resistance factions, would face devastating barrages. Furthermore, as the "Tower 22" incident in Jordan proved, the US presence bordering Syria is highly vulnerable.
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The Observer
The Architecture of Survival: Why Iran Built Its Missile Shield Against an Empire of Threats The war drums in Washington and Tel Aviv are beating with a familiar, dangerous rhythm. We hear the recycled rhetoric of "existential threats" and "mullahs with…
Furthermore, the US Navy’s Fifth Fleet, often patrolling the Persian Gulf with imperial arrogance, would find itself operating in a saturating environment of anti-ship ballistic and cruise missiles, turning narrow waterways into potential kill zones.

The Theater of Threat: Netanyahu and Trump

The escalation we see today is driven less by actual changes in Iran’s posture and more by the desperate political needs of Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump.
Netanyahu, drowning in domestic failure and the strategic quagmire of Gaza, needs a "existential war" to remain in power. He is willing to burn the entire region to save his political skin, constantly pushing for an American strike on Iran that Israel cannot execute alone.
Donald Trump’s rhetoric, meanwhile, oscillates between isolationist transactionalism and hyper-aggressive "maximum pressure." His previous administration assassinated both General Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi al Muhandis —an act of war—and tore up the JCPOA. His return to power threatens a policy driven by ego and retribution, lacking any brakes. For both men, threatening Iran is cheap electoral theater; the actual war they risk would be wildly expensive in blood and treasure. 

The Global Cost of Hubris

The West conveniently ignores that an attack on Iran will not remain a localized duel. The Axis of Resistance holds the concept of the "Unity of Fields." An existential attack on the center (Iran) will trigger responses from Lebanon to Yemen, engulfing the Zionist entity in multi-front fire.

The global consequences would be immediate and catastrophic. The Persian Gulf remains the jugular vein of the world's energy supply. A major conflict would spike oil prices to levels that would shatter Western economies already teetering on recession. The Strait of Hormuz could be closed, paralyzing global shipping.
Furthermore, China and Russia, who rely on Iranian stability for energy and connectivity (like the North-South Corridor), will not sit idly by while Washington blows up the Eurasian heartland.

Conclusion: The Mirror

The question is not whether Iran’s missiles are a threat to the world. The question is why the world accepts a status quo where the US and Israel can invade, bomb, and sanction the Middle East with impunity, yet demand total disarmament from those who refuse to submit.

Iran’s missile program is a mirror. When Washington looks at it, they do not see aggression; they see a reflection of decades of their own relentless pressure, coup attempts, and military encirclement. Until the West dismantles its empire of bases around Iran, Iran will keep sharpening the only shield it has.


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🔴Argentina’s Fires: More Than Flames

⚠️They are not just environmental disasters.
They reopen uncomfortable questions about:

Patagonia’s contested future
👌 Israeli security presence
👋 The ISAAC Accords
🫶 Political alignment in Latin America


🔄 From Milei’s post-election conversion to Judaism, to Argentina’s embrace of Israeli security doctrine—the message is clear:
Latin America is being folded, quietly, into the same architecture that militarized the Middle East.

🔹 This is not about religion.
It is about power, loyalty, and control—over land, narrative, and silence.

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🔴Argentina on Fire: Patagonia, Israel’s Long Shadow, and the Quiet Architecture of Alignment

🔘When Argentina burned, the story was told as climate, negligence, and misfortune. What was not explored—at least not seriously—was power, alignment, and history. Yet Patagonia has never been just land, and Argentina has not been geopolitically neutral for a long time. The fires reopened a question many prefer to avoid: who benefits, who operates, and who is being protected by silence?

🔴 The Fires and the Allegations

🔘Reports and testimonies circulated in Argentine alternative media and regional investigative circles alleging the presence of Israeli military-linked personnel in zones affected by suspicious fires in Patagonia. These claims have not been judicially resolved, but neither have they been meaningfully investigated by a state apparatus increasingly aligned with Tel Aviv and Washington.

🔘The pattern matters. Strategic territories, weak oversight, foreign “security cooperation,” and environmental destruction are not random companions. They travel together—especially in the Global South.

🔴 Patagonia and the Israeli Connection: A Historical Glance

🙌Patagonia has long attracted foreign interest under the language of development, conservation, and security. Israeli presence in southern Argentina is not a conspiracy theory; it is a documented reality—tourism, agricultural projects, land acquisition, intelligence cooperation, and military exchange programs.

🫶Former Israeli soldiers traveling en masse in Patagonia after service is well known. What is less discussed is how security doctrines, surveillance models, and territorial control logics migrate with them, often normalized as “experience” or “expertise.”

👌Patagonia is valuable: water, land, isolation, and strategic depth. In an era of climate stress and resource wars, this matters.

🔴 The ISAAC Accords: Latin America Enters the Security Web

The so-called ISAAC Accords represent a new phase of Israeli expansion beyond the Middle East. Framed as cooperation on innovation and security, they function as alignment mechanisms, binding signatory states into Israeli military, intelligence, and technological ecosystems.

🔽Argentina’s participation signals a shift:
🤔 From non-alignment to bloc discipline
🤔 From sovereignty to interoperability
🤔 From regional autonomy to imported threat perceptions

🔴 This is not diplomacy; it is strategic subordination.

🌕 Milei, Conversion, and Power Signaling

👋President Javier Milei’s public conversion to Judaism after his election is not a private spiritual matter once it is politically performed, internationally leveraged, and institutionally rewarded.

🔽It coincided with:
🫶 Unconditional political alignment with Israel
🫶Adoption of Israeli security narratives
🫶 A foreign policy that openly breaks with Latin American consensus

👌The reported familial link—however distant—to Benjamin Netanyahu is symbolically powerful even if genealogically contested. Politics is not only about bloodlines; it is about signals of belonging. Milei’s conversion functioned as one.

👌Furthermore, Milei revealed in 2024 that his grandfather, a great influence in his life, discovered that he was Jewishfrom matrilineal descent shortly before his death. He also expressed that his grandfather's maternal grandfather may have been a rabbi.

🔴 From Local Fires to Global War

👍To dismiss Argentina’s fires as isolated events is to misunderstand the current moment. We are not in peacetime geopolitics; we are in pre-fracture global alignment.

👍Environmental destabilization, military normalization, ideological loyalty tests, and security treaties are all components of what many now call the long road to a Third World War—not announced, but assembled.

👍Latin America is no longer peripheral. It is being integrated—quietly—into the same architecture that militarized the Middle East.
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The Observer
🔴Argentina on Fire: Patagonia, Israel’s Long Shadow, and the Quiet Architecture of Alignment 🔘When Argentina burned, the story was told as climate, negligence, and misfortune. What was not explored—at least not seriously—was power, alignment, and history.…
🔴Final Question

📄When land burns and silence follows, the question is not “what happened?”
It is who decided this was acceptable—and who ensured it would not be investigated?

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🔴Managing Collapse from Within

🤔What’s happening in Iran today is not a passing crisis nor the result of sanctions alone. It is a deliberate trajectory driven by a corrupt domestic oligarchy that profits from livelihood collapse and steers the country toward a managed disintegration.

🔽In this article, Reza Fani Yazdi exposes the alliance of corruption, political paralysis, and the dangerous overlap between internal interests and scenarios serving U.S. and Israeli agendas. He places Iran before a decisive choice:
Either break the power of the oligarchy, or slide into a collapse already planned by others.

🔗 Read the full article

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🔴Managing Collapse from Within

Oligarchy, Livelihood Breakdown, and the Dangerous Game with the Country’s Fate

Jeffrey Sachs’s recent speech at the United Nations Security Council—though formally addressing violations of the UN Charter and the intervention of major powers in countries like Venezuela—carries, for us in Iran these days, a deeper and more alarming meaning. What Sachs called “coercion, sanctions, and economic strangulation” can be seen in Iran as a mix of the same phenomena, but in a form that has made the crisis more complex and dangerous. A crisis that I believe is best described by the phrase: managing collapse from within by a corrupt local oligarchy.

In Iran today, the economic crisis and the explosion of prices can no longer be reduced to external sanctions alone. The unprecedented rise in the dollar exchange rate, the runaway inflation of basic goods, and the collapse of people’s livelihoods are the result of external pressure coinciding with the active role of a domestic network of spies and vested interests—those who profit from instability, care nothing for people’s lives or the country’s political future, and are even prepared to surrender national sovereignty, compromise territorial integrity, and then flee.

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The Oligarchy: Crisis Speculator and Engineer of Inflation

The oligarchy dominating Iran’s economy is a tangled network of rent-seekers, currency brokers, monopolistic importers, semi-government contractors, and parts of the political bureaucracy. They are not merely victims of sanctions, but direct beneficiaries of their continuation.

For this network:

• The dollar’s surge is an opportunity, not a threat.
• Inflation is a tool to transfer wealth from below to above.
• The collapse of people’s purchasing power is the price of preserving monopoly and rent.


In such a structure, corruption is not a “deviation” but the systemic logic itself. The existing order can only persist in this exact form. Even the rise in exchange rates is no longer the result of random decisions or pure external pressure, but largely the product of deliberate manipulation of the currency market, dual policies, and intentional refusal to enact structural reforms.



Managed Collapse: A Project Aligned with External Interests

More dangerously, this same oligarchy has, at a deeper level, practically converged with scenarios of regime collapse that serve U.S. and Israeli interests. This convergence is not ideological but dictated by economic interests.

This managed collapse:

• Devalues assets.
• Facilitates capital flight.
• Opens the way for redistribution of power in favor of networks already tied to global centers of strength.


Thus, many of the anti-American and anti-Israeli slogans are little more than rhetorical cover for policies that lead precisely to the outcome Washington and Tel Aviv desire: a weak, unstable, isolated Iran drowning in internal crises.



Absence of Will at the Top; Strategic Paralysis

In this situation, the absence of genuine will at the top of the political and security system plays a decisive role. Neither the supreme leadership nor the military-security establishment has shown serious intent to:

• Break the oligarchy’s influence.
• Contain structural corruption.
• Rebuild economic policy in favor of society.
• Or enact real change in foreign policy to secure sustainable security.


Global experiences—including those Sachs referenced—show that sustainable security comes through smart de-escalation and reliance on global power balances. Yet Iran remains dangerously suspended.



Deliberate Sabotage of Relations with China and Russia

The oligarchy has also played a major role in sabotaging strategic relations with China and Russia. At different times:

• Agreements were drafted vaguely and ineffectively.
• Economic and structural cooperation was deliberately obstructed or emptied of substance.
• Media narratives portrayed these relations as “dependency” or “selling out the country.”
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The Observer
🔴Managing Collapse from Within Oligarchy, Livelihood Breakdown, and the Dangerous Game with the Country’s Fate Jeffrey Sachs’s recent speech at the United Nations Security Council—though formally addressing violations of the UN Charter and the intervention…
The result was not independence but deeper isolation for Iran—an isolation that served both the domestic oligarchy and Iran’s external adversaries.

Without an active, transparent, and balanced foreign policy, Iran has neither truly aligned with the East nor reached sustainable understanding with the West. Instead, it remains stuck in a costly, exhausting middle ground—exactly what internal compromise-seeking currents, including a significant part of the reformist camp, aim for, ultimately pushing the country toward a negotiation table that leads to complete surrender.



Protests: Society’s Response to the Alliance of Corruption and Political Paralysis

The recent protests in Iran are society’s direct response to this undeclared alliance between internal corruption, political deadlock, and external pressure. A people growing poorer by the day rightly ask:
Who is responsible? Who benefits from this situation? Why is no one held accountable?

These protests—though exploited by Iran’s enemies abroad and steered by their paid media—are not a foreign project nor an internal conspiracy. They are the natural result of decades of destructive domestic policies that sacrificed the people, weakened the country, and made it more fragile.

What brought Iran to this point is the coexistence of sanctions and a corrupt oligarchy, combined with the absence of political will for change.

If this path continues, there will be no independence, no security, and not even a reformable system.

We have reached the end of the road.
Iran stands before a historic choice:
Either break the power of the corrupt oligarchy and return politics to serving society,
Or slide gradually into a collapse planned by others.

There is no third way.

Reza Fani Yazdi
January 16, 2026

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🔴When the Empire Whispers


🔽Mark Carney’s Davos 2026 speech was meant to reassure the global elite. Instead, it exposed the depth of Western anxiety. Here is the strategic readout from the perspective of the Resistance:

🔢 Managerial Panic: Carney spoke of "coordination" because "command" is no longer an option. The failure to deter the Axis of Resistance in West Asia has forced the West to switch from military diktats to bureaucratic pleading.

🔢 Admission of Rupture: The West admits the old order is dead. They call it a "fracture"; we call it the end of the narrative monopoly. Sanctions and "international law" are no longer universal weapons—they are broken tools.

🔢 Selective Sovereignty: Sovereignty remains a colonial privilege in Carney’s worldview. Sacred for Ukraine, non-existent for Palestine or Lebanon. This isn't inconsistency; it's the design.

🔢 The "Powerless" are Winning: Carney explicitly fears the "power of the powerless." He sees that non-state actors (Resistance movements) have achieved asymmetric deterrence and economic survival, rendering traditional imperial power obsolete.


🎭 The Contrast:

🌕 Carney: The nervous superego. Polished, calm, rearranging the furniture while the house burns.

🌕 Trump: The chaotic id. Rambling, exposing the decay with every shout.


📌Verdict: Whether they speak with Carney’s soft panic or Trump’s loud delusion, the trajectory is the same. The West is managing its own decline.

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🔴When Power Speaks Softly: What Mark Carney Accidentally Reveals About a World in Rupture


📰At Davos 2026, Mark Carney took the stage to speak of "coordination," "stability," and the "rules-based order." To the untrained ear, it sounded like the steady voice of financial stewardship. To those watching from Beirut, Tehran, and the ruins of Gaza, it sounded like something else entirely: the polite, frantic whisper of an empire realizing it has lost control.

🔽Carney’s speech was not a manifesto of leadership; it was a symptom of systemic anxiety. The West, long accustomed to dictating the rhythm of history, now finds itself merely reacting to it.

🔴 Hegemony in Decline: The Managerial Mask

👌Carney’s reliance on managerial rhetoric—technocratic buzzwords designed to soothe markets—attempts to mask a brutal material reality. The "rules-based order" he champions is currently paralyzed. NATO’s overreach has fractured, not unified, the global security architecture. In West Asia, the utter failure of deterrence against the Axis of Resistance proves that the West can no longer impose military outcomes at will.

When an imperial power shifts from commanding obedience to pleading for "coordination," it is an admission of weakness. This is not the language of a hegemon; it is the language of a decline trying desperately to sound responsible.

🔴 A Rupture, Not a Transition

👋Carney correctly identifies the current moment not as a smooth transition, but as a rupture. However, he misidentifies the cause. This is not merely an economic shift; it is the collapse of the Western narrative monopoly. The era where Washington could strangle nations with sanctions and call it "justice" is over.
We are witnessing the death of liberal universalism. As Gramsci warned, "The old world is dying, and the new one is being born." Davos is the funeral parlor of the old world, where elites mourn the loss of a time when their word was law.

🔴 The "Honesty" of the Dishonest

Perhaps most striking was Carney’s call for "political honesty." We must ask: Honest with whom? And about what? This is an elite confession, not a moral awakening. They call for honesty because their lies—about inevitable victory, about the superiority of their values—have been exposed by the steadfastness of the resistance.

👌Yet, structural lies remain. While Carney speaks of honesty, the genocide in Gaza and the aggression against Lebanon are sanitized. Israel’s impunity remains the unmentionable foundational lie of their "order."

🔴 Sovereignty as Normative Colonialism

👋The hypocrisy regarding territorial sovereignty remains the West’s most transparent vulnerability. Sovereignty is treated as a divine right for Ukraine but a conditional privilege for Palestine. Airspace violations over Lebanon are ignored, while borders elsewhere are sacrosanct. This is not inconsistency; it is normative colonialism.

🫶In Carney’s world, "sovereignty" is a club for Western allies, while the Global South receives only "humanitarian concern" without political rights.

🔴 The Real Power of the Powerless

Carney warns of the "power of the powerless," coopting a phrase meant for dissidents to describe the very forces besieging his order. The West is waking up to a nightmare: non-state actors who cannot be bought, bullied, or bombed into submission.

For the Axis of Resistance, this "power" is not an abstract liberal concept. It is operational. It is asymmetric military deterrence, narrative warfare that bypasses mainstream media, and economic survival mechanisms that defy siege. The "powerless" are reshaping the map, and the powerful are terrified.

🔴 Carney vs. Trump: The Superego and the Id

🫶The speech highlighted the dual face of American decline. On one side, Mark Carney: polished, technocratic, the nervous superego rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic, speaking calmly as the water rises. On the other, Donald Trump: the rambling, narcissistic id, a carnival barker shouting about greatness while stripping the empire of its last pretenses.
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