🔴The Monroe Doctrine: History, Revival, and Contemporary Geopolitics


The Monroe Doctrine remains one of the most enduring and flexible constructs in international relations. Originally established as a defensive framework in the 19th century, it evolved into a symbol of hegemony in the Western Hemisphere and, more recently, a blueprint for managing American decline in a multipolar world.


1. Origins and Historical Context

President James Monroe articulated this doctrine on December 2, 1823, during the post-Napoleonic era when the "Holy Alliance" (Russia, Prussia, and Austria) threatened to restore Spanish colonial rule in newly independent Latin American republics.

* Original Objectives: It established two pillars: non-colonization (no new European colonies in the Americas) and non-intervention (Washington would remain neutral in European wars in exchange for Europe staying out of American affairs).

* Expansionist Evolution: While initially a "shield," by the mid-19th century it transformed into a "sword" for expansion, justifying the Mexican-American War and the displacement of indigenous populations.

* Historical Reinterpretations:

* The Roosevelt Corollary (1904): Theodore Roosevelt asserted "police power" to intervene in Latin American nations to prevent European creditors from doing so, turning the doctrine into a mandate for military intervention.

* The Cold War: It was used to justify the containment of Soviet influence (e.g., the 1954 Guatemalan coup and the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis).

* Post-Cold War: Secretary of State John Kerry declared in 2013 that the "era of the Monroe Doctrine is over," before its recent resurgence.


2. Consequences and Legacy
The doctrine's legacy is defined by a deep tension between protective intent and imperial practice.

* Interventionism: It provided the ideological architecture for over 50 U.S. military interventions in the region, reinforcing "dependency structures" where Latin American economies were integrated as raw material exporters.

* Normative Impact: Historically, the doctrine challenged the Westphalian concept of absolute sovereignty by creating a regional legal system that sometimes superseded international law under the guise of a "special relationship."

3. The Trump Revival: From "Monroe" to "Donroe"

Donald Trump explicitly revived the doctrine to signal a return to "principled realism" and the consolidation of regional influence.

* Context of Revival: Trump first cited it during his 2018 UN General Assembly speech: "It has been the formal policy of our country since President Monroe that we reject the interference of foreign nations in this hemisphere."

* The "Trump Corollary": As of late 2025 and early 2026, the administration rebranded it the "Donroe Doctrine." Unlike previous iterations based on ideology, this version is pragmatic and resource-driven.

* Strategic Intent: It serves as a tool for decline management. By relinquishing "global policeman" roles elsewhere, Trump seeks to fortify "Fortress Americas" against Chinese economic penetration and Russian security ties.


4. Alexander Dugin and the "Eurasian Monroe Doctrine"

Russian philosopher Alexander Dugin has long advocated for a "Eurasian Monroe Doctrine" as a cornerstone of his Neo-Eurasianist ideology.

* Logic: Dugin argues that if the U.S. claims the Western Hemisphere, Russia must claim "Great Eurasia" as its exclusive civilizational sphere.

* Multipolarity: This vision is not for global hegemony but for a "world of many Monroes," replacing universalism with regional spheres led by dominant powers.

* Comparison: While the U.S. version historically claimed to spread republicanism, Dugin’s version is rooted in "civilizational values" and the rejection of liberal democracy as a universal norm.


5. Implications for Europe and the EU

The rise of competing "Monroe-style" doctrines poses a structural threat to European "Strategic Autonomy."

* Strategic Decoupling: As the U.S.

🔴prioritizes its own hemisphere, the EU is forced to choose between being a junior partner in an American-led Atlanticist bloc or developing independent military capabilities.

* Eastern Europe: This region becomes a "shatter zone" where Russian and Western spheres overlap, leading to constant instability and a return to "buffer state" politics.


6. Latin America and Future U.S. Policy

Events in 2025–2026 indicate that the active re-application of the doctrine under Trump is now a reality.

* Targeting China: The focus has shifted from "anti-communism" to "anti-Chinese infrastructure," with Washington using the doctrine to block "Belt and Road" projects.

* Military Dimensions: U.S. movements in early 2026 suggest a readiness to use force to "clear" the Western Hemisphere of external influence.


7. Theoretical and Normative Assessment

The re-normalization of Monroe doctrines signals a retreat from a rules-based international order toward a neo-mercantilist imperial system. Multipolarity is not resulting in a "global village," but in a world fragmented into fortified spheres of influence, undermining the sovereignty of small states in the "near abroad" of great powers.
Extension to the Arab and Islamic World: The "Eisenhower Doctrine"
Although the Monroe Doctrine was geographically designed for the Americas, its "geopolitical logic" (enforcing exclusive spheres and barring foreign powers) migrated to the Middle East in the mid-20th century.

* The Eisenhower Doctrine (1957) as a "Middle Eastern Monroe Doctrine": Following the 1956 Suez Crisis, President Dwight Eisenhower declared the U.S. would use military force to aid any Middle Eastern state requesting help against "communist aggression." This was a clone of the Monroe Doctrine; Washington sought to fill the "vacuum" left by British and French colonialism.

* Application to Muslim Peoples: This logic justified interventions in Muslim-majority states under the pretext of protecting regional sovereignty while securing oil flow and supporting allied regimes (e.g., Lebanon in 1958).

* The Carter Doctrine and Gulf Security: In 1980, Jimmy Carter expanded this, declaring any attempt by an outside force to gain control of the Persian Gulf as an "attack on the vital interests of the United States." Analysts view this as an "Oil Monroe Doctrine."

* Impact on Sovereignty: Like in Latin America, this led to the marginalization of national sovereignty and turned the region into an arena for Great Power competition, fueling resistance movements that rejected American tutelage.


Conclusion

The logical conclusion of this analysis is that the return of "Monroe Doctrines"—whether "Donroe" in Washington or "Eurasian" in Moscow—heralds the end of liberal globalization and the beginning of an era of "Geopolitical Feudalism."

In this new system, superiority is no longer measured by the ability to impose universal values, but by the ability to draw clear geographical boundaries and prevent rivals from crossing them. For the Arab and Islamic world, this logic means the region will remain a hostage to the struggle over "vital spheres." The future of international stability depends on the ability of emerging powers in Latin America and the Middle East to break this "Monroe Cordon" and seek a true multipolar system based on sovereign balance rather than imperial protectorates.

🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5

🔴This editorial describes the U.S. military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, the failure of Venezuela’s Russian-made air defenses, and Dmitry Medvedev’s declaration that only nuclear weapons can guarantee sovereignty. Its origin is linked to reports in outlets such as Military Watch Magazine, AtlasPress, and Afghan Voice Agency (AVA), which covered Medvedev’s reaction to the alleged U.S. operation in Venezuela .



🔹 “Medvedev’s Summary”

How 150 minutes over Caracas humiliated military physics and ignited the Second Nuclear Age.

At 02:01 a.m. on January 3, 2026, a thermal cutting tool (3000°C) began penetrating the fortified chamber of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

• Russian S-300VM radars 1400 miles away were silent.
• 4000 miles away, Dmitry Medvedev (Deputy Chairman of Russia’s Security Council) wrote the phrase that would define the next decade:
“The only reliable guarantee for protecting any state is a nuclear arsenal! Long live nuclear weapons!”


This was not just anger—it was an official admission of the collapse of “conventional deterrence.” Russia told the world: “Our conventional weapons cannot protect you from America. Only the bomb can.”



1️⃣ Kinetic Reality – Operational Perfection

• CIA infiltration: They knew Maduro’s guards’ schedules, his movement corridors, even his pets. A spy guided forces moment by moment.
• Air fleet: 150 aircraft from 20 bases.• F-22 Raptors cleared the skies, invisible to S-300VM radars.
• F-35 Lightning II acted as “God’s Eye,” linking all sensors.
• EA-18G Growlers created a “noise wall,” blinding Venezuelan radars.

• Result: 150 minutes to end a regime, with zero U.S. losses.




2️⃣ Cyber-Kinetic Fusion – Turning Off the Lights

• Trump said: “We turned off Caracas’ lights.”
• Method: Cyberattack on SCADA systems at the Guri Dam (70% of Venezuela’s electricity).
• Effect: Darkness blinded MANPADS operators, while U.S. “Night Stalkers” helicopters flew at 100 feet.
• Message: Future wars begin with blackouts, not bombs.




3️⃣ Physics of Failure – Why S-300 Fell

• Venezuela invested $2B in Russian air defenses (S-300VM, Buk-M2E). Result: zero interceptions.
• Stealth reduced radar detection range from 200 km to 20 km.
• Electronic warfare forced operators into a dilemma: turn radars on and be destroyed, or stay blind. They chose blindness.
• Impact on Russia: Global arms buyers (India, China, Turkey, Algeria) shocked. “Stealth killer” weapons failed their first real test.




4️⃣ Medvedev Doctrine – Inevitable Nuclear Proliferation

• Medvedev’s statement was the logical outcome.
• If U.S. tech can penetrate any conventional defense and arrest any leader, sovereignty is an illusion for non-nuclear states.
• New equation:• Nuclear states = immune (e.g., North Korea).
• Non-nuclear states = targets (e.g., Venezuela).

• Impact: Threshold states (Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, South Korea) will rush to the bomb. The NPT died in Caracas.




🔴 Strategic Conclusion

Operation Absolute Resolve was not just an arrest—it was a demonstration of Full Spectrum Dominance.
America declared: “No bunker is deep enough, no radar strong enough to protect you.”
Russia replied: “Get nuclear weapons or face annihilation.”
We are entering an era where survival belongs to the nuclear-armed, sovereignty to those with the button of mass destruction.



🌕 Origin on the Net

The narrative is based on real statements by Dmitry Medvedev after the alleged U.S. operation in Venezuela. He explicitly said that “only nuclear weapons guarantee sovereignty” following Maduro’s reported abduction avapress.com +2.

• Military Watch Magazine – Reported Medvedev’s warning that only nuclear arsenals provide sufficient security.
• AtlasPress News – Covered Medvedev’s condemnation of the U.S. operation and claim that Maduro was kidnapped.
• Afghan Voice Agency (AVA) – Quoted Medvedev saying nuclear deterrence is the only guarantee of sovereignty.

🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5

🔴 Geopolitics | Iran Protests 2026

⚠️ Asymmetric Warfare & Internal Fissures

🔴Iran’s 2026 protests are not just about inflation or the collapsing rial. They unfold within a geopolitical siege:

• 💰 Economic War: Rial at 1.4M per USD, inflation >50%, oil revenues cut to 16%.

• 🚨 Military Pressure: Post–“12-Day War,” dissent treated as existential threat.

• 👍 Kurdish Dimension: Real grievances in Kermanshah, Sanandaj, Mahabad—instrumentalized by Komala & PJAK.

• 📺 Media Narratives: Western framing hides cyber ops, assassinations, and blockade tactics.


📌Bottom Line:
The protests are a contested political space, where genuine suffering is weaponized to weaken Iran’s deterrence and regional ties.

#IranProtests #Geopolitics #AsymmetricWarfare #MiddleEast #ResistanceAxis #EconomicWar #HybridWar

🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5

We will not tolerate foreign subservience.
Whoever you may be—when you become an agent of foreigners and work for them—the people reject you, and likewise the Islamic system rejects you.

And that one who sits arrogantly, issuing judgments on the whole world, must know that the tyrants and the arrogant throughout history—such as Pharaoh, Nimrod, Reza Khan, Mohammad Reza, and their likes—fell at the height of their pride. This one too will fall.

🔴 Excerpts from the wise Leader’s remarks in his meeting with the honorable people of Qom (anniversary of the January 9, 1987 uprising).

🔴There are those whose mission is destruction.
Last night, a group of saboteurs completely destroyed buildings belonging to their own country to please the American president.

🌕The American president made an irrelevant statement, claiming he stands with the rioters. If it were up to him, he would rule his own country.

🌕Trump’s hands are stained with the blood of more than a thousand Iranians.

🤲This person (Trump) said: I ordered the attack on Iran.

👌Everyone must know that the Islamic Republic came to power through the blood of hundreds of thousands of honorable people, and it will not retreat in the face of saboteurs.

📄Dear youth! Maintain your readiness and unity; a united nation overcomes every enemy.

🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5

🔴Title: The Maritime Noose: Investigating the UAE-Israeli Military Enclave on Samha Island


🔽Category: Geopolitical Analysis / Military Intelligence

💳Countries: Yemen, United Arab Emirates, Israel, Somalia, Eritrea

👍Organizations: Axis of Resistance, Southern Transitional Council (STC), Mossad, EDGE Group


🤔While global attention is fixed on direct naval confrontations in the Red Sea, a more subtle and dangerous architecture of occupation is solidifying in the shadow of Yemen’s Socotra Archipelago. Recent satellite imagery from Maxar Technologies (October 2025) has exposed a "secret" Emirati military airstrip on Samha Island. This development is not a localized infrastructure project; it is a critical node in a "maritime noose" designed to decouple Yemen’s strategic islands from its mainland and integrate them into a foreign-controlled intelligence grid.


⚪️Strategic Shift: Control of Vital Corridors

🔴This base signals a fundamental change in the pattern of regional dominance. Instead of traditional territorial conquest, the focus has shifted to the "Control of Vital Strategic Corridors." This strategy aims to weaken the retaliatory capabilities of regional states, stripping them of the power to punish Israel for its massacres or aggressions. Since the beginning of the Yemen conflict, the UAE has notably avoided the struggle for the central state, focusing instead on seizing ports and islands. This approach has served Abu Dhabi’s economic and political interests while simultaneously creating an ideal environment for Israeli freedom of movement in the Red Sea and Arabian Sea—a necessity for the Zionist entity after being severely disrupted by Yemeni deterrence operations.


⚪️Technical Analysis: A Base for Shadow Operations

🫶The Samha airstrip, measuring 1 kilometer by 35 meters, is perfectly tailored for Medium-Altitude Long-Endurance (MALE) UAVs like the Chinese Wing Loong II and the Israeli Hermes 900. Unlike traditional airports, Samha is designed for "ghost operations"—persistent surveillance providing a 24/7 digital eye over critical shipping lanes.


⚪️The Electronic Eye: Surveillance and Espionage

✌The island has been transformed into an advanced "listening post" equipped with cutting-edge Israeli technology:

👌 Radar Systems: Deployment includes ELM-2084 AESA radars—the technology behind the "Iron Dome"—capable of tracking 1,000+ targets simultaneously up to 470 km.

👌 Electronic Intelligence: The UAE’s SIGN4L (EDGE Group) has integrated SIGINT suites to provide the Mossad with a "Southern Eye" for monitoring naval movements and regional resistance activities.

👌 Coastal Sensors: Under-sea sensor arrays and thermal imaging track small-boat movements and submersible drones used by resistance forces.


⚪️The "Two Coasts" Strategy and Stripped Sovereignty

🫶The Samha base works in tandem with UAE hubs in the Horn of Africa (Assab and Berbera) to create an "asymmetric encirclement" of the Bab al-Mandab Strait. This results in the creation of weak states with fragmented sovereignty, where critical infrastructure is managed by a "UAE-Israeli network" or private companies serving Western-Israeli interests. In this model, the UAE acts as the executor, allowing Israel to control the region from the "Nile to the Euphrates" at a minimal cost. This infrastructure allows Israel to launch airstrikes, carry out assassinations, and commit massacres without real accountability.


⚪️Asymmetric Response: Yemeni Counter-Measures

🔻The Yemeni Armed Forces (YAF) are not passive observers of this buildup. To counter these "ghost bases," the YAF and the Axis of Resistance have developed a multi-layered asymmetric doctrine.

🌕 Saturation Strikes: Utilizing low-cost loitering munitions (kamikaze drones) like the Samad-3 and Wa'id series, the YAF can overwhelm the ELM-2084 radar systems through sheer volume, targeting fuel depots and drone hangars on Samha.

🌕 Submersible Threat: The deployment of Al-Qaria Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (UUVs) allows for the targeting of sub-sea sensor arrays and Emirati supply vessels that service these remote outposts, bypassing surface-level radar detection.

🌕 Anti-Ship Ballistic Missiles (ASBMs): By utilizing long-range precision missiles such as the Aasif or Tankil, the YAF can establish a "fire control" zone over the archipelago, effectively blockading the occupiers' own base and preventing the safe landing of military transport aircraft.

🌕 Electronic Warfare (EW): Developing localized jamming capabilities to disrupt the SIGINT links between Samha and Israeli command centers, blinding the "Southern Eye" during critical regional escalations.


📌Resistance Conclusion: A Legitimate Target for Liberation

🔻From the perspective of the Axis of Resistance, the transformation of Samha into a Zionist-linked enclave is an act of war. These "ghost bases" are direct extensions of the Zionist military apparatus. By providing Israel a platform to strike or spy on the region, the UAE has forfeited any claim to "neutrality." Consequently, the Yemeni Armed Forces regard these installations as legitimate military targets. The liberation of the Socotra Archipelago is now inextricably linked to the liberation of Al-Quds, as both represent the struggle against a singular web of colonial encroachment.


🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5

Local officials, however, pushed back. Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey demanded ICE withdraw from the city, while Governor Tim Walz mobilized the National Guard to manage protests. State prosecutors urged citizens to submit evidence, fearing federal suppression of facts. Minneapolis Public Schools even canceled classes due to safety concerns amid mass mobilizations.



6. Trump’s Focus on Iranian Demonstrations Instead of Domestic Unrest

While domestic protests escalated, President Trump publicly emphasized Iranian demonstrations abroad, portraying them as democratic uprisings against Tehran. His administration amplified these narratives through official statements and social media, contrasting sharply with its dismissive stance toward domestic unrest.

This selective focus reveals political incentives: foreign demonstrations serve U.S. geopolitical strategy, while domestic protests challenge federal legitimacy. For international audiences, particularly within the axis of resistance, this hypocrisy underscores Washington’s double standards in championing “freedom” abroad while suppressing dissent at home.



7. BORTAC Involvement and Legal Questions

The Border Patrol Tactical Unit (BORTAC), a specialized arm of U.S. Customs and Border Protection, is trained for counterterrorism and high-risk operations. Though originally designed for border missions, BORTAC has been deployed domestically, including during the Portland protests of 2020.

Its involvement in Minneapolis raises legal and civil liberties concerns. While DHS regulations permit federal tactical deployments, critics argue such actions blur the line between law enforcement and military occupation, potentially violating the Posse Comitatus Act. The use of BORTAC against civilian demonstrators highlights the militarization of immigration enforcement and suppression of lawful protest.



8. Conclusion and Evidence Base

The killing of Renee Nicole Good has become a catalyst for nationwide demonstrations, exposing deep fractures in U.S. governance and public trust. Her death, disputed narratives, and the federal government’s heavy-handed response have galvanized communities demanding accountability and justice.

The Trump administration’s dismissal of domestic unrest, contrasted with its focus on Iranian protests, illustrates the political manipulation of dissent. Meanwhile, the deploymentl
of tactical units like BORTAC raises urgent questions about legality, civil liberties, and the militarization of immigration enforcement.

For international audiences and those aligned with the axis of resistance, these events reveal the contradictions of U.S. democracy: a state that claims to defend freedom abroad while silencing it at home


🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5

Once again, Kurdish forces appear as a party drawn into unequal confrontations, often based on external assurances that quickly evaporate—reflecting a recurring pattern of functional use followed by abandonment. In the background, questions persist regarding the roles of regional and international intelligence services, whose presence seems closer to deliberate observation than prevention or containment.

At the level of funding and armament, the continued ability of armed groups to maneuver and fight raises serious questions about support networks that remain active despite declared international oversight. Most importantly, the political timing of the escalation suggests that Aleppo is once again being used as a strategic obstruction tool whenever discussions of stability, reconstruction, or genuine restoration of Syrian sovereignty gain momentum.

In this sense, what occurred in Aleppo cannot be read as a local conflict between rival factions, but rather as another chapter in the management of chaos—where local actors are exhausted, the state is frozen, and Syria remains hostage to external equations whose tools change while their objective does not.



Conclusion: Where Is Aleppo Heading?

The latest clashes warn that Aleppo may once again become a long-term arena of attrition unless the logic of managed proxy wars is broken. The equation is clear:

Either a unified, sovereign state—or a mosaic of competing functional entities.

🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5

🔴Based on the Forbes article dated January 7, 2026, titled "Syria Shells Kurdish Neighborhoods In Aleppo As Sharaa Signs Israel Intelligence Deal," here is the English translation of the previous summary and commentary:

1. Summary
* Military Escalation: On January 7, 2026, Syrian government forces under President Ahmed al-Sharaa launched a major military operation against the Kurdish-majority neighborhoods of Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyeh in Aleppo, declaring them "closed military zones."
* Political Collapse: This offensive follows the collapse of the March 2025 integration agreement between Damascus and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Damascus is pushing for individual integration and central control, while the SDF demands unit autonomy.
* Diplomatic Shift: Simultaneously, in Paris, the Sharaa government signed an unprecedented "Joint Fusion Mechanism" with Israel under U.S. mediation. This deal focuses on intelligence sharing and de-escalation, aimed at easing international sanctions and securing the border.

2. Commentary from the Perspective of the "Axis of Resistance"
From the viewpoint of the Resistance forces, these developments are analyzed as follows:
* Betrayal and Deviation: The signing of an "intelligence agreement" with the Zionist entity by the current Damascus administration is viewed as a stab in the back to the martyrs who defended Syria’s Arab identity. This "submissive approach" suggests the new leadership has pivoted toward the American-Zionist axis, abandoning Syria's historical role as a fortress of resistance.
* Internal Liquidation: The attack on Kurdish neighborhoods—despite the political differences with the SDF and their ties to the U.S.—is seen as a "show of force" intended to distract the public from the humiliating concessions being made to the occupation in Paris.
* American Hegemony: Direct U.S. sponsorship of these deals confirms that the objective is to isolate Syria from its natural allies in Tehran and Beirut, transforming the country into a tool for the occupation’s security under the guise of "regional stability."
* Principled Stand: Any security coordination with Israel is an acknowledgment of the occupation's legitimacy. The Axis of Resistance maintains that restoring Syrian sovereignty does not come through coordination with the enemy, but through upholding legitimate rights and total resistance until every inch of Arab land is liberated.

🔵Link to the article in Arabic

🖋@observer_5